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タイヤのライフサイクル:将来の展望および予測

The Lifecycle of Tires Scenario's and Forecasts to 2024

発行 Smithers Rapra 商品コード 322936
出版日 ページ情報 英文 140 Pages
納期: 即日から翌営業日
価格
本日の銀行送金レート: 1USD=115.27円で換算しております。
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タイヤのライフサイクル:将来の展望および予測 The Lifecycle of Tires Scenario's and Forecasts to 2024
出版日: 2014年12月31日 ページ情報: 英文 140 Pages
概要

2014年、世界のタイヤ市場は19億ユニットの規模を記録する見通しです。幾つかの市場が横ばいあるいは明らかな下落基調であったものの、市場全体の成長がカバーしています。本年の成長率は約4.7%となる見込みであり、2024年にかけての世界の実質GDP成長率は年平均で4.0%となると予測されています。

当レポートでは、タイヤの原材料からリサイクルに至るまでのライフサイクルについて調査し、ライフサイクルの各段階における技術革新、その他市場に影響を及ぼす産業内外の動向、タイヤ産業の成長シナリオ、市場規模の10カ年予測などをまとめています。

エグゼクティブサマリー

  • 主要調査結果
  • ライフサイクルの概要
  • タイヤのライフサイクルの環境的影響
  • 需要予測
    • シナリオの可変因子
    • 市場機会のあるエリア
    • 地域的成長

イントロダクション・調査手法

タイヤ需要:成長推進因子・今後の動向

  • 主な成長推進因子・動向
  • 世界経済
  • 世界の自動車製造
  • 世界の自動車販売
  • 世界の自動車保有数
    • 自動車の経年数
  • その他の成長推進因子
    • 走行マイル
    • モビリティと都市化
    • 自動車・タイヤ技術
    • 法規制
  • 現在のタイヤ市場
    • タイヤ市場:用途別
    • OEM・交換タイヤ
    • タイヤ性能カテゴリー
    • 新製品
  • 予測・シナリオ
    • シナリオへの潜在的影響因子

原材料の調達

  • タイヤの構成と原材料:概要
  • ゴム製品
    • 天然ゴム
      • 供給における課題
      • 価格
    • 合成ゴム
    • 新しい代替品
    • カーボンブラック
  • シリカ
    • 沈降シリカ
  • テキスタイル・スチールコード
  • 石油
  • 化学品

タイヤ製造

  • 製造の概要
  • タイヤ企業
  • 研究・エンジニアリング
  • 提携開発プロセス
  • 資本投資
  • 製造拠点・製造能力
  • 製造プロセスにおける課題

流通経路の動向

  • 概要
    • 卸売
    • 小売

販売・マーケティング/消費者サポート

  • 販売・マーケティング
    • タイヤ交換のニーズ
    • 消費者のタイヤ購入プロセス
    • 小売業者・消費者の教育
    • 広告・プロモーション
    • オンライン・ソーシャルメディアにおけるプレゼンス
    • オンライン販売
  • 消費者サポート
    • 保証
  • 保守・検査
  • フリート管理

寿命

  • 環境下第
  • 回収・再利用の選択肢
    • 概要
    • 材料の回収
    • 粉砕ゴム
    • エネルギー回収
    • 再利用
    • 輸出
    • リトレッド
    • 埋め立て
  • 地域によるタイヤ回収の動向
    • 米国
    • 欧州
    • 日本
    • その他

タイヤ・自動車製造業者のアンメットニーズ

  • 概要
  • 主な推進因子・動向
    • 従来型の原材料供給における課題
  • 環境および持続可能性に関する懸念
  • 法規制
  • 新しい自動車技術
    • ドライブとレイン
    • コネクティビティ
    • 自動運転車
  • 自動車の利用
    • 都市化
    • 販売マーケティング・整備
    • フリート
    • カーシェアリング
  • アンメットニーズと技術要件
  • 市場機会
    • 完全に持続可能なタイヤ
    • 新しいタイヤ設計
    • インテリジェントタイヤ
    • サービス・販売における改善
    • 寿命の最適化

将来の予測およびシナリオ

  • タイヤ産業全体の成長見通し
  • シナリオへの潜在的影響因子
    • 世界経済の成長
    • 地政学的問題
    • 環境規制
    • 原材料
    • エネルギーコスト
    • 自動車技術
    • タイヤ技術
    • 自動車利用
  • タイヤ市場の予測:地域別
    • 北米
    • 南米
    • 欧州
    • アジア太平洋
    • 中東・アフリカ

図表

目次

The current global market for tires is likely to top 1.9 billion units in 2014 as overall growth further overcomes flattening or outright decline in some markets. Growth of about 4.7% is expected this year and real GDP growth for the world as a whole looks set to average 4.0% per year through 2024. The Lifecycle of Tires: scenarios and forecasts to 2024 examines the progression on the tire from its inception as raw materials through design and manufacture, distribution marketing and sale, purchase, use and servicing, and eventual retirement to various possible end-of-life uses. The report examines the complex internal and external forces at work within each of these stages and what this means in the context of an evolving global marketplace.

METHODOLOGY

Drawing upon a diverse array of trade, government, technical and business sources, both primary and secondary, this report integrates quantitative and qualitative data and insight on each aspect of the tire lifecycle and examines the implications, threats and opportunities posed. Global views and perspectives from all lifecycle participants are taken into account including raw material suppliers, OE's, manufacturers, distributors, marketers, motorists, fleet managers and government representatives.

What will you disco ver?

  • What are the stages and evolution of the tire lifecycle from raw materials through recycling and the innovations impacting how tires are sourced, designed, manufactured, sold, used and disposed of
  • The factors growing the global tire market over the next 10 years
  • How vehicles and tires are becoming high tech and what this means to producers, drivers, and servicers
  • Insight into how key economic, environmental and regulatory trends are transforming each stage of the tire lifecycle
  • The key threats, opportunities and disruptive technologies that may shape tire supply and demand

WHO SHOULD BUY THIS REPORT?

  • Raw material suppliers
  • Rubber, chemical and equipment suppliers
  • Tire manufacturers
  • Tire wholesalers and retail distributors
  • Tire recycling operations
  • Industry consultants and analysts

WHAT'S INCLUDED IN THE PRICE?

  • An electronic version of the report in PDF format. You may add a hardcopy version (mailed to you) see the order form for details
  • 10-year market forecasts
  • Analyses of key trends, strategic market forecasts and original data

Table of Contents

Executive summary

  • Key findings
  • Lifecycle overview
  • Environmental impact of the tire lifecycle
  • Demand forecast
    • Scenario variables
    • Areas of opportunity
    • Regional growth

Introduction and methodology

Tire Demand: drivers and trends to 2024

  • Key drivers and trends
  • Global economies
  • Global vehicle production
  • Global vehicle sales
  • Global vehicle parks
    • Vehicle age
  • Other drivers
    • Miles driven
    • Mobility and urbanization
    • Vehicle and tire technologies
    • Legislation and regulation
      • Emissions targets
      • Fuel economy standards
      • Labelling
      • Trade barriers
  • Current market for tires
    • Tire market by usage/application
      • Small passenger and light goods vehicles
      • Large passenger, heavy goods and other vehicles
      • Off-road
    • OEM and replacement
    • Tire performance categories
      • Winter tires
    • Newer and emerging products
  • Forecast and scenarios to 2024
    • Potential scenario influencers

Raw mate rial sourcing

  • Tire composition and raw materials overview
  • Rubber products
    • Natural rubber
      • Natural rubber supply issues
      • Natural rubber prices
    • Synthetic rubber
    • Emerging substitutes
      • Guayule
      • Dandelion
      • Renewable synthetic rubber
      • Nd-PBR
      • Renewable isoprene
    • Carbon black
  • Silica
    • Precipitated silica
    • New supplies and additional sources
  • Textile and steel cords
  • Oils
  • Chemicals

Tire production

  • Manufacturing overview
  • Tire companies
  • Research & engineering
    • Tradeoffs
    • Focus on tread compound
    • Pressure from regulators and OEMs
  • Collaborative development process
    • Direct OEM involvement
    • New testing technologies
    • Leading companies
  • Capital investment
  • Location of production/capacity
    • North America
  • Manufacturing process issues
    • Increased automation
    • Tire identification number
    • RFID

Distribution trends

  • Channel overview
    • Wholesalers
    • Retailers
      • Independent tire dealers
      • Auto dealerships
      • Tire company-owned stores
      • Other
      • Online retailers

Sales and marketing/consumer support

  • Sales and marketing
    • Need for tire replacement
    • Consumer tire buying process
    • Retailer and consumer education
      • Tire labelling
      • Educational program examples
    • Advertising and promotion
      • Hospitality events for dealers
    • Online and social media presence
    • Online sales
  • Consumer support
    • Warranties
      • Tire warranties
      • Road hazard coverage
  • Maintenance and inspection
  • Fleet management

End-of-life

  • Environmental issues
  • Recovery and reuse options
    • Overview
    • Materials recovery
    • Ground rubber
    • Energy recovery
    • Reuse
    • Export
    • Retreading
    • Landfill
  • Geographic tire collection trends
    • US
    • ELT tire trends
    • Retreads
    • Reused tires
  • Europe
  • Japan
  • Other countries

Unmet needs of tireand automotive manufacturers

  • Overview
  • Key drivers and trends
    • Issues with traditional raw materials supplies
  • Environmental and sustainability concerns
    • Environmental impact throughout the tire lifecycle
    • Unsustainability of key inputs
    • Continuing end of life issues
  • Legislation and regulation
  • New vehicle technologies
    • Drivetrains
    • Connectivity
    • Autonomous vehicles
  • Vehicle usage
    • Urbanization
    • Sales marketing and servicing
    • Fleets
      • Issues in fleet operation
    • Car sharing
  • Unmet needs and technology requirements
  • Opportunities
    • Completely sustainable tires
    • New tire designs
      • Further LRR improvement
      • Improved inner liners
      • Lightweight tires
      • Non-pneumatic tires
    • Intelligent tires
    • Improvements in service and sales
      • Monitoring, inspection and diagnosis
      • Focus on fleet sales and support
    • End of life optimization

Forecasts and scenarios to 2024

  • Overall tire industry growth outlook
  • Potential scenario influencers
    • Global economic growth
    • Geopolitics
    • Environmental regulation
    • Raw materials
    • Energy costs
    • Vehicle technology
    • Tire technology
    • Vehicle usage
  • Geographic tire market forecasts
    • North America
    • South America
    • Europe
    • Asia-Pacific
    • Middle East/Africa

TABLES & FIGURES

  • Share of recovery and reuse approaches in major markets (%)
  • Regional share of global tire market (%), 2014-24
  • Compound annual growth of regional tire markets (%), 2014-24
  • GDP growth of major markets, 2013-14
  • Vehicle production growth in major markets, 2012-13
  • Vehicle sales growth in major markets (% change), 2012-13
  • Regional share of global vehicle parc 2013 (%)
  • Vehicle parc growth in major markets, 2012-13
  • Factor increase in transportation mode by 2050
  • Tire market growth in major markets, % CAGR 2007-14 and 2013-14
  • Global tire market by vehicle type, share of units sold, 2014
  • US passenger vehicle replacement tire by performance
  • Where customers go for auto service (US passengers and light trucks, % or respondents)
  • 2013 US channel share, passenger tires
  • 2013 US channel share, light truck tires
  • 2013 US channel share, medium truck tires
  • Priority US tire dealer concerns
  • EU Tire and other vehicle services value share for all vehicles
  • Reason behind consumer tire purchase, US, share of respondents
  • What factors drive final purchase, 2013
  • How dealers advertise and promote
  • Share of recovery and reuse approaches in major markets (%)
  • Share of end of life tire treatments in the US, 2011 (%)
  • Share of end of life tire treatments in the EU, 2012 (%)
  • Share of end of life tire treatments in japan, 2012 (%)
  • Regional share of global tire market (%), 2014-24
  • Compound annual growth of regional tire markets (%), 2014-24
  • Country share of North American tire market (%), 2014-24
  • Compound annual growth of North American tire markets (%), 2014-24
  • Country share of South American tire market (%), 2014-24
  • Compound annual growth of South American tire markets (%), 2014-24
  • Country share of European tire market (%), 2014-24
  • Compound annual growth of European tire markets (%), 2014-24
  • Country share of Asia-Pacific tire market (%), 2014-24
  • Compound annual growth of Asia- Pacific tire markets (%), 2014-24
  • Country share of Middle East/ Africa tire market (%), 2014-24
  • Compound annual growth of Middle East/Africa tire markets (%), 2014-24

List of tables

  • Lifecycle phases and key issues
  • Environmental impact of a car tire by life stage (%)
  • Global tire industry forecast 2014-24 (million units)
  • Key forecast variables and scenario contributors
  • Selected global economic indicators
  • Global vehicle production by region (units)
  • Regional share of global vehicle production (%)
  • Global vehicle sales by region 2012-13, (million units)
  • Regional share of global vehicle sales (%)
  • Global vehicle park by region (million units)
  • US average vehicle age
  • Annual US vehicle miles driven (trillions)
  • Labelling requirements and timing by market
  • Global tire market by region (million units)
  • Global tire market share by region (%)
  • Share of OEM and replacement tires for small passenger and light goods, 2013
  • Share of OEM and replacement tires for small large passenger, heavy goods and other vehicles, 2013
  • Real global GDP (billion 2005 $ PPP*)
  • Global motor vehicle park (million units)
  • Global tire industry (million units)
  • Key forecast variables and scenario contributors
  • Typical composition of a tire (%)
  • Estimated global consumption of materials by the tire industry, 2012
  • Overview of elastomers used in tires
  • Natural rubber prices, 2012-14
  • Synthetic rubber prices, 2012-14
  • Relative price ratio of natural rubber to synthetic rubber, 2012-14
  • Prices of indicators related to synthetic rubber price ratio of natural rubber to synthetic rubber, 2012-14
  • Stages of the tire manufacturing process
  • Top global tire manufacturers based on tire sales (million US)
  • US/Canadian OE consumer tire brand market shares, 2013 (%)
  • US replacement passenger car tire brand market shares, 2013 (%)
  • US replacement light truck tire brand market shares, 2013 (%)
  • US replacement medium/heavy truck tire market shares, 2014 (%)
  • OE farm tire market share, 2013, % Replacement farm tire market share, 2013, %
  • R&D spending for 2013 ($ million)
  • Capital spending for 2013 ($ million)
  • Recent significant tire industry capital investments
  • EU channel share for tire services by vehicle age, 2010
  • US tire manufacturer associate dealer programs
  • EU tire services by vehicle age, 2010 (billion euros)
  • Tire inspection results, japan 2011-12
  • Selected tire manufacturer sponsorships and partnerships
  • Environmental impact of a car tire by life stage (%)
  • Environmental and other risks associated with stockpiled waste tires
  • Recovery and reuse approaches in major markets, 2011-12 (000 tons)
  • Materials recovery tonnage for major markets
  • Energy recovery tonnage for major markets
  • Reuse tonnage for major markets
  • Export tonnage for major markets
  • Retreaded tire market by region, 2011
  • Retreading tonnage for major markets
  • Landfill tonnage for major markets
  • Recovery and reuse approaches in US EU and Japan, 2011-12 (000 tons)
  • Key US ELT tire trends to the RMA, 2012
  • US retreaded tire market share, 2013
  • Industry drivers, unmet needs, challenges and opportunities
  • Environmental impact of a car tire by life stage (%)
  • Real global GDP (billion 2005 $ PPP*)
  • Global motor vehicle park (million units)
  • Global tire industry forecast 2014-24 (million units)
  • Key forecast variables and scenario contributors
  • Tire market forecasts by region (million units)
  • North America tire forecast (million units)
  • South America region and country tire forecast (million units)
  • European tire forecast tire market forecasts by region (million units)
  • Asia-Pacific tire forecast tire market forecasts by region (million units)
  • Middle East/Africa tire forecast tire market forecasts by region (million units)
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