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市場調査レポート

タイヤ産業におけるディスラプティブ技術の未来

The Future of Disruptive Technologies in the Tires Industry to 2035

発行 Smithers Rapra 商品コード 317408
出版日 ページ情報 英文
納期: 即日から翌営業日
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本日の銀行送金レート: 1USD=102.18円で換算しております。
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タイヤ産業におけるディスラプティブ技術の未来 The Future of Disruptive Technologies in the Tires Industry to 2035
出版日: 2014年10月01日 ページ情報: 英文
概要

現在、タイヤの年間世界生産量は15億本、価額にして1900億ドルに相当します。2019年にはこれが20億本、2700億ドルに達する状況から、地道なイメージのタイヤ産業も急変に近づいています。

当レポートでは、タイヤの世界市場に注目し、今後20年にわたる推移を予測して、その発展を支える有望技術を徹底考察するほか、環境・持続可能性問題に加えて新たに浮上しつつある経済発展のカギ - 拡大する一方で老齢化に向かう人口、そして進行する都市化 - をテーマに取り上げながら、今後の市場動向を分析する最新の調査データをまとめています。

エグゼクティブサマリー

  • 実現技術
    • 持続可能性
    • バイオテクノロジー
    • コンピューティングパワーとコスト、センサそして無線自動識別技術
    • バッテリーとエネルギー技術
    • モデリングとシミュレーション
    • モノマーの生物生成
  • タイヤに特化した技術
    • モノマーの生物生成
    • 天然ゴム張力の強化
    • タイヤの自動パンク修復
    • インナーライナーの薄層化
    • 生物由来のブタジエン
    • ポリイソプレン生成用の生物由来イソプレン
    • スマートタイヤ
    • バイオオイル
    • 高アスペクト比タイヤ
    • 非空気式タイヤ
    • 生物由来のイソブチレン
    • エポキシ化天然ゴム
    • 脱硫
    • 代替天然ゴム植物種
    • バイオフィラー
    • ブチルゴム生産用の生物由来イソプレン
    • 連続混合・押し出し
    • 生物由来のカーボンブラック
    • 漸進的または低水準な技術成功確率

イントロダクションおよび調査方法

  • 目的
  • 範囲
  • 方法
  • 定義
    • ディスラプティブ技術
    • 漸進的(持久技術)
    • 影響
    • 持続可能な発展
    • シェールガス
    • BRIC諸国
    • 転がり抵抗
    • シリカ
    • グリーンエネルギータイヤ
    • スマート、インテリジェント、サイバー、順応型タイヤ
    • 自律走行車
    • 生物素材、生物由来素材
    • 略語

重要推進要因および動向

  • イントロダクション
  • 世界経済
  • 世界人口動態
  • 資源の可用性と安定供給度
  • 環境問題
  • 車両設計および利用法のトレンド

タイヤ産業の構造と動向

  • タイヤーメーカー
  • 原材料とサプライチェーン
    • エラストマー
    • 強化フィラー
    • カーボンブラック
    • 沈殿シリカ
    • タイヤコード
    • 可塑剤・加工用油
    • 薬品
  • タイヤの構造と製造

今後20年にわたるトレンド

  • 『 Tire Technology International』誌
  • 2014年Reifen賞
  • 2012年IQPC調査レポート
  • Michelin
  • Pirelli
  • Firestone(トラック用)
  • ブリジストン
  • Goodyear
  • Continental
  • Hankook
  • Cooper tire

ディスラプティブ技術予測

  • 実現技術
  • タイヤ産業に特化した話題
  • サマリーと採点表
  • 良質化した代替天然ゴム
  • タイヤ装着型センサー技術
  • スマート、インテリジェント、サイバー、順応型タイヤ
  • 高アスペクト比タイヤ
  • 転がり抵抗低減技術
  • 熱回収(転がり抵抗低減に代わるもの)
  • タイヤのリサイクル
  • 自動パンク修復タイヤ
  • インナーライナーの薄層化
  • カーボンブラックの改善
  • 新素材フィラー
  • 100%シリカタイヤ
  • 強化シリカ・シラン構造
  • 加工用油
  • タイヤ製造工程および工場
  • レポート対象期間内では成功機会があまりに漸次的で実現性が低いことから却下されてきた潜在的需要技術

2035年までの技術予測

  • タイヤ産業に影響する長期動向
  • タイヤの世界市場
  • 今後20年のタイヤトレンドに対する専門家の視点
  • あり得るシナリオ
目次

This major new report identifies and profiles the top technologies affecting the global tire industry over the next 20 years. Over 1.5 billion tires are currently produced each year, valued at $190 billion. By 2019 this will reach over 2 billion units at $270 billion and move a slowplaced industry closer to rapid change. The Future of Disruptive Technologies in the Tires Industry to 2035 provides an in-depth insight into the technologies that will drive this growth. It focuses on environmental issues and sustainability, the rise of new economic powerhouses, burgeoning but ageing populations and increasing urbanisation. This essential report provides exclusive analysis of key trends and technology forecasts that will shape the future of the industry.

FIND OUT ABOUT

  • Thorough definitions and descriptions of the disruptive technologies that could impact the global tire industry
  • An assessment of the potential impact of the top 26 disruptive technologies in the industry over the next 20 years
  • Exclusive technology forecasts clearly illustrated with tables and scorecards

HOW WILL THIS MARKET INTELLIGENCE REPORT BENEFIT YOU

  • Identify and the understand the impact of the top 26 disruptive technologies on the industry over the next 20 years
  • Gain insight into the key trends affecting the tire industry
  • Get the latest market data and analysis based on primary and secondary research to plug straight into your business plan and plan your future strategy with confidence

Table of Contents

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

KEY TECHNOLOGIES

  • Enabling technologies
    • Sustainability
    • Biotechnologies
    • Computing power and cost, sensors and RFID
    • Battery and energy technologies
    • Modelling and simulation
    • Bio-sourcing of monomers
  • Tire-specific technologies
    • Bio-sourcing of monomers
    • Improved natural rubber strains
    • Self-sealing tires
    • Thinner inner liners
    • Bio-sourced butadiene
    • Bio-sourced isoprene for polyisoprene
    • Smart tires
    • Bio-oils
    • High aspect ratio tires
    • Non-pneumatic tires
    • Bio-sourced iso-butylene
    • Epoxidised natural rubber
    • Devulcanisation
    • Alternative natural rubber plants
    • Bio-fillers
    • Bio-sourced isoprene for butyl rubber
    • Continuous mixing and extrusion
    • Bio-sourced carbon blacks
    • Evolutionary or low probability of success technologies

INTRODUCTION AND METHODOLOGY

  • Objectives
  • Scope
  • Methodology
  • Definitions
    • Disruptive technologies
    • Evolutionary (sustaining technology)
    • Impact
    • Sustainable development
    • Shale gas
    • BRIC nations
    • Rolling resistance
    • Silica
    • Green and energy tires
    • Smart, intelligent, cyber and adaptive tires
    • Autonomous vehicles
    • Bio-materials and bio-sourced materials
    • Abbreviations

KEY DRIVERS AND TRENDS

  • Introduction
  • World economies
  • World demographics
  • Resource availability and security
  • Environmental issues
  • Trends in vehicle design and use

TIRE INDUSTRY STRUCTURE AND TRENDS

  • Tire companies
  • Raw materials and the supply chain
    • Elastomers
    • Reinforcing fillers
    • Carbon black
    • Precipitated silica
    • Tire cords
    • Plasticisers/processing oils
    • Chemicals
  • Tire construction and manufacture

TIRE TRENDS OVER THE NEXT 20 YEARS

  • The journal Tire Technology International
  • Reifen awards 2014
  • IQPC survey results 2012
  • Michelin
    • Statements
    • Patents
  • Pirelli
    • Statements
    • Patents
  • Firestone (trucks)
    • Statements
  • Bridgestone
    • Patents
  • Goodyear
    • Patents
  • Continental
    • Patents
  • Hankook
    • Patents
  • Cooper tire
    • Patents

DISRUPTIVE TECHNOLOGY FORECASTS

  • Enabling technologies
    • Biotechnologies
    • Sensor and RFID technology
    • Computing power and cost
    • Computing power, sensors and autonomous vehicles
    • Battery technologies, energy capture and harvesting
    • Modelling and simulation
    • Alternative fuels and electric vehicles
    • Shale gas and fracking
  • Specific tire industry topics
    • Bio-sourced monomers
    • Algal sources
      • Bio alcohols
      • Bioethanol
      • Biobutanol
      • Bio 2,3 butanediol
      • Butadiene
      • Bio-styrene
      • Bio-iso-butylene
      • Bio-isoprene
      • Bio polyamides (nylons)
  • Summary and scorecards
    • Scorecards for disruptive tire technologies related to biosourcing of monomers
  • Improved and alternative natural rubbers
    • Improved strains of natural rubber
    • Alternative natural rubber plants
    • Modified natural rubbers
  • Tire-mounted sensor technologies
    • Tire pressure monitoring systems (TPMS)
    • Tire-mounted systems (TMS)
    • Tire pressure maintenance systems
  • Smart, intelligent, cyber and adaptive tires
  • High aspect ration tires
    • Non-pneumatic tires (NPTs)
  • Reduced rolling resistance technologies (RR)
    • Low rolling resistance technology
    • Applicability to different tire parts
    • Applicability to different tire types
    • Silane coupling agent
    • Further developments
  • Heat recovery (instead of reducing rolling resistance)
  • Tire recycling
    • Material loss due to tire wear
    • Recycling of end of life tires (ELTs)
    • Re-usable fine rubber powder from granulation
    • Devulcanisation
    • Ultrasonic devulcanisation
    • Thermal processes
    • Thermo-mechanical process without chemical agents
    • Thermo-mechanical process with added chemicals
    • Microwave technology
    • Biological agents
    • Pyrolysis
  • Self-sealing tires
  • Thinner inner liners
  • Carbon black improvements
    • Summary and scoring
  • New fillers
  • All silica tire
  • Improved silica/silane systems
  • Processing oils
  • Tire making process and factories
  • Potentially important technologies that are rejected as too evolutionary or very low chance of success within the time scale of the report

TIRE TECHNOLOGY FORECASTS TO 2035

  • Long-term trends impacting on the tire industry
    • Demographics
    • Infrastructure and urbanisation Urbanisation
    • Regulations and legislation
    • Emission reduction and alternative fuels (e.g. electricity)
    • Sustainability of raw materials
    • Shale gas and fracking
    • Vehicle technology
    • Computer technologies, information technologies and smart and autonomous vehicles
    • Long-term trends in the tire industry
      • Increasing scarcity and cost of presently used raw materials
      • Environmental pressures
      • Increasing world population
      • A change in the journeys undertaken
  • World tire market
    • Growth of China as producer and market
  • Expert's views on tire trends over the next 20 years
    • Tire manufacturing methods
      • Elastomers
      • Processing oils
      • Reinforcing fillers
      • Tire cords
    • Sustainability and recycling
    • Noise reduction
    • Durability
    • Rolling resistance
    • Sensor, RFID embedded smart tires
    • Intelligent and adaptive tires
  • Possible scenarios
    • Continued evolutionary changes (automotives)
    • Futuristic extreme revolutionary changes (automotives)
    • Most likely

TABLES & FIGURES

  • Middle class populations in BRIC, 2000, 2010 and 2020 (million)
  • Comparison of naphthenic black oil, TDAE and RAE
  • Middle class populations in BRIC, 2000, 2010 and 2020 (million)
  • Tire production in China, 2001-- 2011 (million units)
  • Key enabling technologies
  • Key tire specific technologies
  • Technologies that are expected to have a significant impact but are considered evolutionary rather than disruptive
  • Potentially highly disruptive emerging technologies that have a low probability of success within the timescale of the report
  • Estimated global consumption of materials by the tire industry, (2012)
  • The main sectors of the tire market
  • Top 10 tire companies in the world by sales value, 2011
  • Typical composition of a tire (%)
  • Key enabling technologies
  • Scorecard computing power and cost
  • Scorecard for biotechnologies as an enabling technology
  • Scorecard sensor and RFID technologies
  • Scorecard battery and energy supply technologies
  • Scorecard modelling and simulation technologies
  • Scorecard alternative fuels
  • Scorecard shale gas
  • Smithers estimates for global rubber monomer requirements (million tonnes) for tire production 2014--2024
  • Advantages and limitations of syngas fermentation
  • Bio-sourced monomers (sugar feedstock option) scorecard
  • Bio-sourced monomers (residual biomass) scorecard
  • Bio-sourced butadiene scorecard template
  • Bio-sourced isoprene (for butyl rubber) scorecard
  • Bio-sourced isoprene (for polyisoprene) scorecard
  • Bio- isobutylene scorecard
  • Improvements to natural rubber strains scorecard
  • Alternative natural rubber scorecard
  • Modified natural rubber scorecard
  • Smart tires (basic) scorecard
  • Smart tires (advanced) scorecard
  • High aspect ratio tires scorecard
  • Non-pneumatic tire scorecard
  • Devulcanisation scorecard
  • Self-sealing tires scorecard
  • Thinner liner scorecard
  • Bio-sourced carbon blacks scorecard
  • Bio-fillers scorecard (starch, MCC)
  • All silica tire scorecard
  • Bio-oils scorecard
  • Continuous mixing scorecard
  • Technologies that are expected to have a significant impact but are considered evolutionary rather than disruptive
  • Potentially highly disruptive emerging technologies that have a low probability of success within the timescale of the report
  • Forecast population changes for the period 2015--2035
  • Tire labelling schemes coverage
  • Selected countries' targets for reducing CO2 emissions
  • Those countries with the largest proven technically recoverable shale gas reserves
  • Growth of the world car parc
  • Growth of the world commercial vehicle parc
  • Present status of fuel economy regulations
  • Automotive and tire market in 2035 with no disruptive changes
  • Automotive and tire market in 2035 with highly disruptive changes
  • Automotive and tire market in 2035 most likely scenario
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