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紙幣市場のライフサイクル:2025年までの予測

The Lifecycle of Banknotes to 2025

発行 Smithers Pira 商品コード 950670
出版日 ページ情報 英文
納期: 即日から翌営業日
価格
本日の銀行送金レート: 1USD=107.57円で換算しております。
紙幣市場のライフサイクル:2025年までの予測 The Lifecycle of Banknotes to 2025
出版日: 2020年07月01日 ページ情報: 英文
概要

紙幣業界は、タイトでニッチであり続けており、サプライヤーと顧客の両方に伝統とレガシーが染み込んでいます。小さなターゲット市場にもかかわらず、需要は衰えることなく続いており、サプライヤーが業界をリードする技術を競争力として求め続けているため、新規参入企業を促進し、製品開発を加速させています。

当レポートでは、紙幣市場のライフサイクルについて調査分析し、概要、COVID-19の影響、市場の現状と見通しについて、体系的な情報を提供しています。

目次

エグゼクティブサマリー

イントロダクション・調査手法

紙幣の需要:促進要因と動向

  • 主な促進要因と動向
  • 現在の紙幣市場
  • 紙幣の使用
  • ATM
  • 製造
    • プリンター
    • 機械サプライヤー
    • 原版サプライヤー
    • セキュリティインクサプライヤー
    • セキュリティ機能サプライヤー
  • シナリオと予測

紙幣デザインの動向

  • 主要促進要因と動向
  • 新シリーズの理由
  • 記念紙幣
  • 単位構造/通貨タイプの変更
  • 連続性の促進要因
  • 紙幣デザインのステークホルダー
  • デザイン要因
  • 将来の紙幣デザイン
  • シナリオと予測

紙幣の原版・セキュリティ技術

  • 促進要因と動向
  • コットンベース紙の原版
  • ポリマー原版
  • ハイブリッドソリューション
  • その他の製品
  • データの重要性
  • 中央銀行のクリーンノート政策の役割
  • 紙幣に対する国民の信頼
  • 原版の製造
  • 紙幣偽造の発展
  • 原版のセキュリティ機能
  • 抗菌・抗ウイルス開発
  • 地理的動向

紙幣の印刷

  • 市場規模と構造
  • 紙幣印刷のアウトソーシングについて
  • 印刷プレス市場の発展
  • プリプレス生産技術
  • セキュリティインク市場
  • オフセット印刷
  • 凹版印刷
  • スクリーン印刷
  • 適用されるセキュリティ機能
  • 最終的な印刷プロセスと仕上げ
  • 地理的動向

印刷後のオペレーションと現金の取り扱い

  • 品質管理と最終検査
  • 順次 vs. 非順次のシリアル番号
  • 切断・包装
  • 紙幣の処理
  • 紙幣のリサイクル
  • 紙幣の破壊・キャンセル・処分
  • 現金の物流

中央銀行:課題と責任の進化

  • 加速する変化とイノベーション
  • 現金と現金サイクル管理
  • 単位基準とコイン/紙幣の境界
  • 通貨の循環
  • 偽造
  • 通貨組合
  • 危機的状況の現金
  • 「現金戦争」
  • シナリオと予測
目次

Our exclusive content:

  • Exploration of the key drivers and trends in the lifecycle of banknotes
  • How the COVID-19 pandemic has impacted the use of cash in a crisis
  • In-depth study of the lifecycle of banknotes, from design, through printing and circulation

The banknote industry continues to be tight and niche, steeped in tradition and legacy for both supplier and customer. Despite the small target market, demand continues unabated which has encouraged new entrants and accelerated product development as suppliers continue to seek industry-leading technology as a competitive edge. The increase in competition has also put immense pressure on suppliers, reducing the available slice of the pie and driving down margins.

What will you discover?

  • A complete overview of the lifecycle of the banknote market
  • The impact COVID-19 is having upon the banknote industry
  • How the banknote market is dealing with the increasing pressure from counterfeiters

Who should buy the report?

  • Private organisations in the security print/packaging supply chain; such as ink suppliers, substrate suppliers, security feature specialist, packaging converters, brand owners etc.
  • Public sector organisations concerned with the issuance and management of currency - e.g. Central banks
  • Financial consultancies (e.g. Hedge funds)

The Smithers methodology

This report is based on extensive primary and secondary research. Primary research consisted of interviews with targeted interviews with material suppliers, converters and experts drawn from key markets. This was supported by secondary research in the form of extensive literature analysis of published data, official government statistics, domestic and international packaging trade organisation data, company websites, industry reports, trade press articles, presentations, and attendance at trade events.

About the author:

Doug Brooks entered the banknote industry in 2012, gaining a wealth of experience with Giesecke & Devrient in hardware and software solutions for banknote processing and cash centre management. He then moved to De La Rue as Global Business Development Director, Currency Solutions, responsible for new printed banknotes opportunities along with sales by the cash processing solutions division. Doug has spoken at conferences around the world and written various articles on currency management.

Table of Contents

Executive summary

Introduction & methodology

  • Report scope
  • Report objective
  • Methodology
  • Data resources

Banknote demand. Drivers and trends to 2025

  • Key drivers and trends
    • COVID-19
    • General drivers and trends
  • Current market for banknotes
  • Banknote usage
  • ATMs
  • Production
    • Printers
    • Machinery suppliers
    • Substrate suppliers
    • Security ink suppliers
    • Security features suppliers
  • Scenarios and forecasts to 2025

Banknote design trends

  • Key drivers and trends
  • Why a new banknote series?
  • Commemorative banknotes
  • Changes in denomination structure or currency type
  • Drivers for continuity
  • Stakeholders in banknote design
  • Design factors
  • Future banknote design
  • Scenarios and forecasts to 2025

Banknote substrates and security technologies

  • Drivers and trends
  • Cotton-based paper substrate
  • Polymer substrate
    • From durability to security and beyond
    • Tallow
    • Environmental credentials
  • Hybrid solutions
  • Other products relating to substrate durability
    • Paper reinforcement
    • Pre-print coatings
    • Post-print coatings
    • Mixed material paper
  • The importance of data
  • The role of a central bank clean note policy
  • Public confidence in banknotes
  • Substrate manufacture
    • Cotton-based paper
    • Polymer
  • Developments in banknote counterfeiting
  • Security features in the substrate
  • Anti-bacterial and anti-viral developments
  • Geographic trends

Banknote printing

  • Market size and structure
    • Commercial printers
    • Commercially focused stateowned print works
    • State printing sector
  • A note on the outsourcing of banknote printing
  • Developments in the printing press market
  • Pre-press production techniques
  • The market for security inks
  • Offset printing
    • Technique
    • New developments
    • Security features
  • Intaglio printing
    • Technique
    • New developments
    • Security features
  • Screen printing
    • Technique
    • New developments
    • Security features
  • Applied security features
  • Final print process and finishing
  • Geographic trends
  • Post-print operations and cash handling
  • Quality control and final inspection
  • Sequential vs non-sequential serial numbering
  • Cutting and packaging
  • Banknote processing
  • Banknote recycling
  • Destruction, cancellation and disposal of banknotes
  • Cash logistics
  • Central banks: evolution of challenges and responsibilities
  • Accelerated change and innovation
  • Cash and cash cycle management
    • Data analytics
    • Demand forecasting
    • Vault management
  • Denomination metrics and the coin/note boundary
  • Currency recirculation
  • Counterfeits
  • Currency unions
  • Cash in crises
    • Natural disasters
  • The 'war on cash'
    • Cashless vs less-cash
    • Electronic money
    • Digital currencies
    • Benefits of cash
  • Scenarios and forecasts to 2025

Key Facts and Figures

  • Novelty COVID-19 banknote
  • US currency in circulation, % change from year ago
  • ATMs per 100,000 people in 2019
  • Global M0 in USD with forecast to 2025
  • Commercial printers: estimated share of the market. 2020
  • Commercial banknote paper manufacturers: estimated capacity in tonnes. 2020
  • Countries around the world using Guardian substrate
  • Global banknote demand snapshot for 2020
  • Bank of Canada's new vertical $10 note on polymer featuring the activist Viola Desmond, with detail adjacent.
  • South Africa's commemorative 'Madiba' series, issued in 2018
  • New Bank of England £20 notes
  • Norway's new banknote series with a nautical theme on the obverse and pixel motif on the reverse of each denomination
  • Hans De Heij's Upid model (2017): a model for used centred design of banknotes
  • The Kuwaiti 5 dinar note
  • High level results of authenticating banknotes experiment
  • Average cotton prices between 2010 and 2020
  • Hybrid ADDvance
  • Soiling resistance of notes after 6 months in circulation
  • The Banque du Liban study results
  • Sigma QR watermark in the first series of Euro 20 banknote
  • Polymer design features Illuminate, Rotate and Integrate
  • Euro banknote circulation 2005-20
  • The volume of banknotes in circulation (millions)
  • Swiss banknotes in circulation on average in 2009
  • Shares of middles class consumption 2000-50
  • Security innovation market shares
  • An example of a see-through feature combining print from both the obverse and reverse of a banknote
  • De La Rue's Gemini
  • Gemini with SPARK
  • Avalon
  • Goznak's MVC feature, as seen on
  • Russian 100 rouble note
  • De La Rue Spectrum
  • Oberthur Fiduciaire Arc-en-Ciel
  • Kurz' Applied Patch Label (APL) range - a variety of effects which can be applied over a window in paper.
  • Market split for banknote origins
  • Volume of currency in circulation
  • Giesecke + Devrient BPS X9 single note inspection machine
  • Generic cash cycle schematic
  • The evolving cash cycle
  • Generic cash cycle and factors that might influence it
  • Banknote lifetime study on NoteChain by 7-Layer
  • De La Rue Analytics showing improved banknote life after changing the substrate from paper to polymer
  • One of the biggest and most sophisticated counterfeit banknote printing shops was raided and dismantled in Bulgaria in 2018
  • Counterfeit banknotes data from Bank of England
  • World map of current international currency unions
  • The effects of a natural disaster
  • Percentage of population aged >15 with active bank accounts
  • Worldwide projected payment card transactions
  • State Paper Mills
  • Main security thread categories
  • Competition for applied stripes
  • Commercial banknote printers
  • SPWs that are most active in the commercial market
  • State owned banknote printworks by region
  • Standard offset printing security features
  • Security features
  • 10 Largest economies in the world and their highest denomination banknotes
  • Counterfeit banknotes detected in the banking system-by denomination