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キャッシュサイクルの将来:~2029年

The Future of Cash Cycles to 2029

発行 Smithers Pira 商品コード 756338
出版日 ページ情報 英文
納期: 即日から翌営業日
価格
本日の銀行送金レート: 1USD=109.71円で換算しております。
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キャッシュサイクルの将来:~2029年 The Future of Cash Cycles to 2029
出版日: 2019年05月20日 ページ情報: 英文
概要

当レポートでは、世界のキャッシュサイクルの展望を調査し、非現金決済の進化、非現金決済のメリット、消費者行動の変化、各種現金・非現金決済手法の技術的評価、現金決済・非現金決済の利用予測、市場通貨量の推移・予測、関連事業者への影響・課題、主要地域・国別の展望などをまとめています。

エグゼクティブサマリー

イントロダクション・調査手法

電子世界におけるキャッシュ:2019-2029年

  • イントロダクション
  • 現金の位置付け
  • 消費者の認識:主要国市場・地域間の違い
  • 現金のメリット
  • 非現金決済の進化
  • 非現金決済のメリット
    • eコマース
    • 電子政府・電子決済
  • 消費者行動の進化
  • 現金決済の制約
  • 脱現金戦略
    • IMF/G20
  • Better Than Cash Alliance
  • 新たな決済システムによる脱現金化の例
    • インド
    • ケニア
    • スウェーデン
  • 他の影響因子

将来の現金決済と電子決済

  • イントロダクション
  • 現金決済の技術評価
    • 紙幣
    • 硬貨
  • 電子決済の技術評価
    • 小切手
    • デビット・クレジットカード
    • ダイレクトデビット
    • オンラインバンキング・即時決済
  • モバイル決済・バンキングアプリ
    • Apple pay
    • Google pay
    • Alipay
    • M-Pesa
    • その他
  • トークン・仮想/暗号通貨
  • 最適な決済法の評価基準
    • コスト
    • 利便性
    • 信頼性
    • セキュリティ
    • データ保護
    • 選択の自由
  • 小売産業の進化
    • eコマースデリバリー
    • キャッシュバック
    • 食料雑貨のネットショッピング
  • バンキング&決済サービスインフラの進化
    • ITエコシステム
    • 支店網
  • 現金決済とキャッシュレス決済のインターエース
  • 現金決済・非現金決済の利用予測

市場通貨量の推移・予測

  • キャッシュレス決済の影響
  • 市場通貨量の進化的動向
  • 中央銀行市場への影響
  • 市場通貨量のシナリオ

電子決済:関連事業者にとっての課題

  • 中央銀行
  • 省庁・造幣局
  • 民間紙幣印刷事業者
  • 商業銀行
  • 現金輸送事業者
  • ATM運用事業者
  • 小売業者
  • その他

将来の現金:通貨設計への影響

  • 概要

将来のキャッシュサイクル:地域・国別展望

  • 概要
  • 西欧
  • 東欧
  • 北米
  • ラテンアメリカ
  • アジア
  • 中東
  • アフリカ
  • オーストララシア
目次

With the value of non-cash payments overtaking cash payment in major national economies, cash cycles worldwide are transforming rapidly.

  • This report examines this trend in detail, tracking the evolution of physical currency, cheques and electronic alternatives(credit/debit cards, contactless payment, mobile pay, etc) to strategically map the state of cash cycles through to 2029.
  • A series of scenarios for the adoption of non-cash alternatives are presented with detailed case studies of existing national cash cycles - including data forecasts for current and future use of different payment options and the impact on demand for banknotes.
  • This is supported by analysis of attitudes to cash versus non-cash payment from all central actors in the cash cycle, and routes commercial organisations can take to remain profitable.

Description

Our exclusive content:

  • In-depth data on cash replacement by electronic payment mechanisms in key global markets across 2018-29
  • Detailed insight into bank and consumer attitudes to the cashless society; including technical barriers to its deployment
  • Critical analysis of the evolution of different non-cash payment solutions.

What methodology is used?

The Future of Cash Cycles to 2029 is based on extensive primary research of targeted interviews with key decision makers and specialists at central banks, technology suppliers, and leading industry consultants. This was supported by detailed secondary research on current cash and non-cash payments solutions and the future of cash cycles.

This draws on a diverse range of official and private databases, supplier websites and brochures, technical articles, papers and conference proceedings. This was further cross referenced with existing Smithers Pira qualitative and quantitative data on the banknote and security printing industry and related technologies to construct a series of detailed cash cycle adoption scenarios and forecasts through to 2029.

What will you discover?

  • The value and volume of current and future physical and different electronic payment in key regional markets with forecasts through to 2029
  • The impact of digitalisation of the cash cycle on organisations at all its stages - central banks; public and private sector banknote printers; commercial banks; cash-intransit companies; etc.
  • How evolution of the cash cycles will affect demand for printed banknotes and their design.

Who should buy this report?

  • Private-sector organisations active in the printing and distribution of cash
  • Payment technology suppliers
  • Central banks, state printers and mints
  • Manufacturers of ATMs, cash handling and cash processing equipment
  • Business strategy consultants and analysts.

Table of Contents

Executive summary

Introduction and methodology

  • Introduction
  • Objectives
  • Scope & definitions
    • Market segmentation
    • Data
  • Methodology
  • Glossary of terms
  • List of abbreviations
  • Exchange rates

Cash in an electronic world 2019-29

  • Introduction
  • The position of cash 2019
  • Consumer attitudes to cash - key national markets and regional differences
  • The advantages of cash
  • The evolution of non-cash payments
  • The advantages of non-cash payments
    • E-commerce
    • E-government and electronic payment
  • Evolving consumer behaviour
  • The limitations of cash payments
  • De-cashing strategies
    • IMF/G20
  • Better-than-cash alliance
  • Example of de-cashing via new payment systems
    • India
    • Kenya
    • Sweden
  • Other aspects influencing the status of cash
    • Legal considerations
    • Economic considerations
    • Eco-regulation for cash
    • Cash in response to economic crises

The future of cash vs electronic payment

  • Introduction
  • Technical evaluation of cash payment
    • Banknotes
    • Coins
    • Technical evaluation of e-payment methods
    • Cheques
    • Debit and credit cards
    • Direct debit
    • Online banking and instant payment
  • Mobile payment and banking apps
    • Apple pay
    • Google pay
    • Alipay
    • M-Pesa
    • Other
  • Tokens and virtual/crypto currencies
  • Evaluation criteria for best payment option
    • Cost
    • Convenience
    • Reliability
    • Security
    • Data protection
    • Liberty of choice
  • Evolution in the retail industry
    • E-commerce delivery
    • Cashback
    • E-grocery shopping
  • Evolution of banking and payment service infrastructure
    • IT eco-systems
    • Branch networks
  • Interface between cash and cashless payments
  • The future use of cash and noncash payments 2019-29

Cash in circulation 2019-29

  • The impact of cashless payment to cash in circulation
  • Evolutionary trends in cash in circulation
  • The influence on markets of central banks
  • Scenarios of cash in circulation
    • Cash cycle with fast electronic adoption
    • Cash cycle with moderate electronic adoption
    • Cash cycle with slow electronic adoption

Electronic payment: challenges for companies in the cash cycle 2019-29

  • Central banks
  • Mints and public-sector
  • banknote printers
  • Private-sector banknote
  • printers
  • Commercial banks
  • Cash-in-transit companies
  • ATM operators
  • Retailers
  • Other

The future of cash: implications for currency design 2019-29

  • Overview

The future of cash cycle: regional and national perspectives 2019-29

  • Overview
  • Western Europe
  • Eastern Europe
  • North America
  • Latin America
  • Asia
  • The Middle East
  • Africa
  • Australasia

Tales and Figures

  • Factors influencing cash-incirculation 2013-29
  • Categorisation of national cash markets and level of e-payment development
  • Cash payments for top 10 selected countries 2015-28 (value, $ million/local currency million)
  • Consumer attitudes to cash and e-payment option for selected national markets
  • Global market for e-payments, by geographic region 2013-29 (transactions)
  • Global market for e-payments, by geographic region 2013-29 (value, $ million)
  • Countries accepting USD and Euro as de facto currencies
  • Payment process diagram: Physical cash
  • Payment process diagram:Cheques
  • Payment process diagram: Debit and credit cards
  • Payment process diagram: Direct debit
  • Payment process diagram: Online banking/instantpayment
  • Payment process diagram: Mobile payment and banking apps
  • Payment process diagram: Tokens and virtual/crypto currencies
  • Physical cash payments 2013-29 (value, $ million/local currency million)
  • Physical cash payments 2013- 29 (number of transactions)
  • Cheque payments 2013-29 (value, $ million/local currency million) payments 2013-29 (number of transactions)
  • Debit and credit cards payments 2013-29 (value, $ million/local currency million)
  • Debit and credit cards payments 2013-29 (number of transactions)
  • Direct debit payments 2013-29 (value, $ million/local currency million)
  • Direct debit payments 2013-29 (number of transactions)
  • Online banking/instant payments 2013-29 (value, $ million/local currency million)
  • Online banking/instant payments 2013-29 (number of transactions)
  • Mobile payments 2013-29 (value, $ million/local currency million)
  • Mobile payments 2013-29 (number of transactions)
  • Token/cryptocurrency payments 2013-29 (value, $ million/local currency million)
  • Token/cryptocurrency payments 2013-29 (number of transactions)
  • Installed base of ATMs selected national market 2013-29 (units)
  • Illustration of cash cycle 2019
  • Rapid adoption e-payment national market schematic 2019
  • Rapid adoption e-payment national market schematic 2024
  • Rapid adoption e-payment national market schematic 2029
  • Moderate adoption e-payment national market schematic 2019
  • Moderate adoption e-payment national market schematic 2024
  • Moderate adoption e-payment national market schematic 2029
  • Slow adoption e-payment national market schematic 2019
  • Slow adoption e-payment national market schematic 2024
  • Slow adoption e-payment national market schematic 2029
  • E-payment in the cash cycle technical and business challenges: Central banks
  • E-payment in the cash cycle technical and business challenges: Mints/public-sector banknote printers
  • E-payment in the cash cycle technical and business challenges: Private-sector banknote printers
  • E-payment in the cash cycle technical and business challenges: Commercial banks
  • E-payment in the cash cycle technical and business challenges: Cash-in-transit companies
  • E-payment in the cash cycle technical and business challenges: ATM operators
  • E-payment in the cash cycle technical and business challenges: Retailers
  • E-payment in the cash cycle technical and business challenges: Other
  • Key drivers in banknote design 2019-2029
  • Current and forecast banknote production volumes selected national markets, 2013-29 (million notes)
  • Current and forecast banknote production volumes selected national markets, 2013-29 (value, $ million/local currency million)
  • Global market for cash and other payments, by geographic region 2013-29 (number of transactions)
  • Global market for cash and other payments, by geographic region 2013-29 (Value of transactions)
  • Payment methods selected representative national markets, 2013-29 (number of transactions)
  • Payment methods selected representative national markets, 2013-29 (value of transactions, $ million/local currency million)
  • Western Europe market for cash and other payments, by payment method (number of transactions)
  • Western Europe market for cash and other payments, by payment method (value of transactions, $ million)
  • Eastern Europe market for cash and other payments, by payment method (number of transactions)
  • Eastern Europe market for cash and other payments, by payment method (value of transactions, $ million)
  • North America market for cash and other payments, by payment method (number of transactions)
  • North America market for cash and other payments, by payment method (value of transactions, $ million)
  • Latin America market for cash and other payments, by payment method (number of transactions)
  • Latin America market for cash and other payments, by payment method (value of transactions, $ million)
  • Asia market for cash and other payments, by payment method (number of transactions)
  • Asia market for cash and other payments, by payment method (value of transactions, $ million)
  • Middle East market for cash and other payments, by payment method (number of transactions)
  • Middle East market for cash and other payments, by payment method (value of transactions, $ million)
  • Africa market for cash and other payments, by payment method (number of transactions)
  • Africa market for cash and other payments, by payment method (value of transactions, $ million)
  • Australasia market for cash and other payments, by payment method (number of transactions)
  • Australasia market for cash and other payments, by payment method (value of transactions, $ million)
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