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輸送産業の長期的展望 (2025-2050年):コネクティビティ・自動技術・オンデマンドモビリティ・自動車電動化の世界の旅客運送市場への影響

Transportation Outlook 2025 to 2050: How Connectivity, Autonomous Technology, On-Demand Mobility, and Vehicle Electrification Will Transform Global Passenger Transportation

発行 Navigant Research 商品コード 356358
出版日 ページ情報 英文 31 Pages; 4 Tables, Charts & Figures
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輸送産業の長期的展望 (2025-2050年):コネクティビティ・自動技術・オンデマンドモビリティ・自動車電動化の世界の旅客運送市場への影響 Transportation Outlook 2025 to 2050: How Connectivity, Autonomous Technology, On-Demand Mobility, and Vehicle Electrification Will Transform Global Passenger Transportation
出版日: 2016年04月18日 ページ情報: 英文 31 Pages; 4 Tables, Charts & Figures
概要

当レポートでは、世界の輸送産業の長期的展望を調査し、輸送関連および他の重要技術による輸送産業への影響、産業の成長を促進する技術、輸送産業の形成に影響を及ぼす各種要因などをまとめています。

第1章 エグゼクティブサマリー

第2章 2025年の展望

  • 始まりの終わり
  • 重要な構成要素としてのコネクティビティ
  • 広く利用可能となる自動運転車
  • 都市でのオンデマンドモビリティが変化を主導
  • 電気駆動の競合

第3章 潜在性の分析

  • 輸送部門の次の時代のはじまり
  • 優先事項の変化と自動車メーカーにとっての脅威
  • コネクティビティが提供する新しい収益機会
  • コネクティビティの拡大に伴うリスクの増大
  • 自動運転車が変える都市の中心部
  • 自動運転の影響
  • ノルマのオンデマンドモビリティ
  • 世界的成長が予測されるEV
  • 輸送市場の長期的将来予測:総論
    • MaaSに欠かせないコネクティビティ
    • 自動車の大改革
    • PEVの優位性
    • 個人用自動車の減少

第4章 用語

第5章 目次

第6章 図表

第7章 調査範囲・情報源・調査手法・注記

図表

目次
Product Code: WP-TOUT-16

How Connectivity, Autonomous Technology, On-Demand Mobility, and Vehicle Electrification Will Transform Global Passenger Transportation

The global vehicle market is facing a substantial upheaval between now and 2050. Automotive industry technology development is leading to a new generation of vehicles that are capable of taking over much (and ultimately all) of the driving responsibility. At the same time, electric drive technology is becoming more efficient and affordable. Moreover, governments are increasingly pushing for reductions in emissions, and the long-term trend of people moving to live in ever growing urban areas is forcing cities to regulate private car usage. Layered over all of this is the macro trend of 24/7 connectivity.

The development of carsharing and ride-hailing services is at the core of a trend toward mobility on-demand and away from individual vehicle ownership. This is not something that will happen overnight, but it is where the combination of factors described above is driving the growth of the global vehicle market. In the future, the business model of vehicle OEMs delivering products to individual consumers will gradually decline in popularity as mobility services expand.

This Navigant Research white paper takes a high-level look at the long-term evolution of individual transportation based on an assessment of four key trends-vehicle connectivity, vehicle autonomy, on-demand mobility, and vehicle electrification-and factors such as the progress of urbanization. Because the timeframe of 2025-2050 is so far in the future, it is not practical to offer global market forecasts for annual sales. Rather, the paper considers how the transformation of individual mobility will affect the overall vehicle market, as well as vehicle manufacturers and other key stakeholders involved in automotive industry technology development.

Key Questions Addressed:

  • What will the passenger transportation market look like in 2025 and 2050?
  • Which technologies being developed now will drive the future picture of the global vehicle market?
  • How will these technologies interact to further change the transportation landscape?
  • What are the key external forces that will influence the future of transportation?
  • How will companies involved in transportation need to adapt to be successful in the long term?
  • What are the on-demand mobility and automotive industry topics that city planners should be studying now?

Who needs this report?

  • Vehicle manufacturers and automotive suppliers
  • Fleet managers
  • Electric vehicle (EV) supply equipment providers and manufacturers
  • Wireless communications companies
  • Oil & gas companies
  • Utility companies
  • Local and national government agencies
  • Investor community

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary

  • 1.1. Introduction
  • 1.2. A Picture of 2025
  • 1.3. Outlook to 2050

2. A Picture of 2025

  • 2.1. The End of the Beginning
  • 2.2. Connectivity Is a Key Building Block
  • 2.3. Autonomous Vehicles Will Be Widely Available
  • 2.4. On-Demand Mobility in Cities Will Lead to Change
  • 2.5. Electric Drive Competes Head On

3. Exploring the Potential: 2025-2050

  • 3.1. The Beginning of the Next Transportation Epoch
  • 3.2. Shifting Priorities in Transportation Pose a Threat to Automakers
  • 3.3. Connectivity Provides New Revenue Opportunities
  • 3.4. More Connectivity Brings More Risk
  • 3.5. Self-Driving Vehicles Transform City Centers
  • 3.6. Consequences of Automated Driving
  • 3.7. On-Demand Mobility Is the Norm
  • 3.8. EVs Will See Global Growth
  • 3.9. Conclusions about Transportation Markets in 2050 and Beyond
    • 3.9.1. Connectivity Is Vital for MaaS
    • 3.9.2. Vehicle Makeover
    • 3.9.3. PEVs Still Share the Road
    • 3.9.4. The Decline of the Personal Vehicle

4. Acronym and Abbreviation List

5. Table of Contents

6. Table of Charts and Figures

7. Scope of Study, Sources and Methodology, Notes

List of Charts and Figures

  • Transportation Landscape: 2025-2050
  • Transportation Landscape: 2025
  • Transportation Landscape: 2050

List of Tables

  • Vehicle Automation Level Definitions
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