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運輸部門の展望:中型および大型バス/トラックの世界市場:2016年〜2035年の予測

Transportation Forecast - Medium and Heavy Duty Vehicles: Global Forecasts of Medium and Heavy Duty Trucks and Buses by Region and Powertrain 2016-2035

発行 Navigant Research 商品コード 307590
出版日 ページ情報 英文 31 Pages; 126 Tables, Charts & Figures
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運輸部門の展望:中型および大型バス/トラックの世界市場:2016年〜2035年の予測 Transportation Forecast - Medium and Heavy Duty Vehicles: Global Forecasts of Medium and Heavy Duty Trucks and Buses by Region and Powertrain 2016-2035
出版日: 2016年04月18日 ページ情報: 英文 31 Pages; 126 Tables, Charts & Figures
概要

世界の中型・大型車両 (MHDV) 市場は、燃料コストの上昇および環境に対する懸念から、急速な変化を遂げていますが、この中で車両フリートを扱う民間および政府関連機関は燃料効率の良い技術および代替燃料に向けた投資の検討を余儀なくされています。現在道路上を12億台の小型・中型・大型車両が通行していると推測されています。MHDVは、このうちの5%未満で、その94%以上がガソリンまたはディーゼルを燃料とする従来型の内燃機関を利用していると思われます。このようにMHDVの石油への依存度は高く、各国政府が代替燃料技術の導入を促進するプログラムを推進するとともに、車両フリート事業者もより安価な代替燃料への投資を進めています。世界のMHDVの年間売上および買い替え台数は、2016年の470万台から、2035年には730万台に増加すると予測されています。

当レポートでは、世界の中型バス・トラックおよび大型バス・トラック市場を取り上げ、従来型ガソリンエンジン車、ガソリンエンジンのハイブリッド車、ガソリンエンジンのプラグインハイブリッド車、従来型ディーゼルエンジン車、ディーゼルエンジンのハイブリッド車、ディーゼルエンジンのンのプラグインハイブリッド車、バッテリー式電気自動車 (BEV) 、天然ガス車 (NGV) 、プロパンガス車 (PAGV) および燃料電池車 (FCV) の10のカテゴリーに分類して分析し、この市場分野における代替燃料技術の機会および影響についての分析をまとめています。

第1章 エグゼクティブサマリー

  • 市場概要
  • 調査範囲
  • 市場予測

第2章 予測パラメータ

  • 予測の方針
  • 市場動向
    • 燃費
    • 増分費用
    • 政府の方針および奨励策
    • 車両需要

第3章 市場予測

  • 新たなデータ選択オプション
  • 世界市場予測
  • 車両カテゴリー別内訳
  • 北米市場:パワートレイン別
  • 欧州市場:パワートレイン別
  • アジア太平洋地域市場:パワートレイン別
  • 結論と提言

第4章 頭字語および略語リスト

第5章 目次

第6章 図表

第7章 調査範囲・情報源と調査手法・注釈

図表

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目次
Product Code: DB-MHDV-16

The global medium and heavy duty vehicle (MHDV) market is changing due to rising fuel costs and environmental concerns. These issues are pushing commercial and government fleet operators to consider investments in fuel efficiency technologies and alternative fuels. Navigant Research estimates that more than 1.2 billion light, medium, and heavy duty vehicles are on the roads globally today-and less than 5% belong to the MHDV segment. Of these vehicles, over 94% utilize a conventional internal combustion engine (ICE) powered by either gasoline or diesel.

The MHDV segment represents only a small percentage of the total vehicle population. Yet, it accounts for a large portion of the total fuel and energy consumed in the road transportation sector because of the low average fuel economy and high annual mileage typical of MHDVs. Governments are examining programs to speed the adoption of alternative fuel technologies and reduce local emissions. Less expensive alternatives to petroleum-based fuels, such as natural gas, liquefied petroleum gas (LPG, also known as propane or autogas), and electricity, are beginning to make inroads. According to Navigant Research, global annual MHDV sales are expected to grow from 4.7 million vehicles in 2016 to 7.3 million in 2035.

This Navigant Research report analyzes the global MHDV market by four major categories: medium duty buses, heavy duty buses, medium duty trucks, and heavy duty trucks. Each of these categories is also broken down into 10 powertrain types: conventional gasoline, gasoline hybrid, gasoline plug-in hybrid, conventional diesel, diesel hybrid, diesel plug-in hybrid, battery electric, natural gas, propane, and hydrogen fuel cells. Global market forecasts for annual sales and the number of vehicles in use, segmented by country and powertrain type, extend through 2035. The Excel databook accompanying this report also includes new options for the user to select specific data of interest, including pivot tables and dynamic tables and charts.

Key Questions Addressed:

  • How quickly will the commercial vehicle market grow in terms of annual sales and vehicles in use?
  • How large are the bus and truck markets in each of the major world regions?
  • How big is the potential commercial vehicle market for each alternative fuel: electricity, hydrogen, natural gas, and liquefied petroleum gas?
  • Which fuels will power the global medium and heavy duty vehicle (MHDV) fleet in 2035?
  • Which regions will have strong demand for battery packs and electric motors for large vehicles?
  • Which countries will lead in implementing natural gas as a fuel for heavy vehicles?

Who needs this report?

  • Fleet managers
  • Truck and bus manufacturers
  • Battery and electric motor suppliers
  • Natural gas and hydrogen infrastructure developers
  • Utility companies
  • Electric vehicle supply equipment (EVSE) providers and manufacturers
  • Government agencies
  • Investor community

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary

  • 1.1 Market Overview
  • 1.2 Scope
    • 1.2.1 New Segmentation and Data Presentation
  • 1.3 Market Forecasts

2. Forecast Parameters

  • 2.1 Overall Forecast Philosophy
  • 2.2 Market Trends
    • 2.2.1 Fuel Cost
    • 2.2.2 Incremental Costs
    • 2.2.3 Government Policies and Incentives
    • 2.2.4 Fleet Demands

3. Market Forecasts

  • 3.1 New Data Selection Options Provided
  • 3.2 Global Forecast
  • 3.3 Breakdown by Vehicle Category
  • 3.4 North America by Powertrain
  • 3.5 Western Europe by Powertrain
  • 3.6 Asia Pacific by Powertrain
  • 3.7 Conclusions and Recommendations

4. Acronym and Abbreviation List

5. Table of Contents

6. Table of Charts and Figures

7. Scope of Study, Sources and Methodology, Notes

List of Charts and Figures

  • Annual MHDV Sales by Fuel Type, World Markets: 2016-2035
  • Annual MHDV Sales by Region, World Markets: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Bus Sales by Region, World Markets: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Bus Sales by Region, World Markets: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Truck Sales by Region, World Markets: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Truck Sales by Region, World Markets: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, North America: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, North America: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, North America: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, North America: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Western Europe: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Western Europe: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Western Europe: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Western Europe: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Asia Pacific: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Asia Pacific: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Asia Pacific: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Asia Pacific: 2016-2035

List of Tables

  • Vehicle Category Definitions
  • Vehicle Weight by Category Definitions in Key Countries/Regions
  • Annual HD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, United Kingdom: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Rest of Western Europe: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Western Europe: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Russia: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Rest of Eastern Europe: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Eastern Europe: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, China: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Japan: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, India: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Rest of Asia Pacific: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Asia Pacific: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Brazil: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Mexico: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Rest of Latin America: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Latin America: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Middle East & Africa: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, United States: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Canada: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, North America: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, France: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Germany: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, United Kingdom: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Rest of Western Europe: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Western Europe: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Russia: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Rest of Eastern Europe: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Eastern Europe: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, China: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Japan: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, India: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Rest of Asia Pacific: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Eastern Europe: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, China: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Japan: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, India: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Asia Pacific: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Brazil: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Mexico: 2016-2035
  • Fuel and Powertrain Category Definitions
  • List of Countries and Regions Covered in This Report
  • Annual MHDV Sales by Powertrain Type, World Markets: 2016-2035
  • Annual MHDV Sales by Fuel Type, World Markets: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Bus Sales by Region, World Markets: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, United States: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, United States: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, United States: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, United States: 2016-2035
  • Total Annual Sales by Powertrain Type, World Markets: 2016-2035
  • Country Pivot Table
  • Powertrain Pivot Table
  • Annual MHDV Sales by Region, World Markets: 2016-2035
  • Annual MHDV Parc by Region, World Markets: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Bus Sales by Region, World Markets: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Bus Parc by Region, World Markets: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Bus Sales by Region, World Markets: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Bus Parc by Region, World Markets: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Truck Sales by Region, World Markets: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Truck Parc by Region, World Markets: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Truck Sales by Region, World Markets: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Truck Parc by Region, World Markets: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, United States: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Canada: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, North America: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, France: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Germany: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, United Kingdom: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Rest of Western Europe: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Western Europe: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Russia: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Rest of Eastern Europe: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Rest of Asia Pacific: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Asia Pacific: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Brazil: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Mexico: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Rest of Latin America: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Latin America: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Middle East & Africa: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, United States: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Canada: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, North America: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, France: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Germany: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Rest of Latin America: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Latin America: 2016-2035
  • Annual MD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Middle East & Africa: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, United States: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Canada: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, North America: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, France: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Germany: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, United Kingdom: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Rest of Western Europe: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Western Europe: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Russia: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Rest of Eastern Europe: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Eastern Europe: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, China: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Japan: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, India: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Rest of Asia Pacific: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Asia Pacific: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Brazil: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Mexico: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Rest of Latin America: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Latin America: 2016-2035
  • Annual HD Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Middle East & Africa: 2016-2035
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