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航空機・船舶用バイオ燃料:商用航空・海運・軍用の先進ドロップインバイオ燃料 - 世界市場の分析と予測

Aviation and Marine Biofuels: Advanced Drop-In Biofuels for Commercial Aviation, Marine Shipping and Military Applications - Global Market Analysis and Forecasts

発行 Navigant Research 商品コード 297929
出版日 ページ情報 英文 89 Pages; 61 Tables, Charts & Figures
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航空機・船舶用バイオ燃料:商用航空・海運・軍用の先進ドロップインバイオ燃料 - 世界市場の分析と予測 Aviation and Marine Biofuels: Advanced Drop-In Biofuels for Commercial Aviation, Marine Shipping and Military Applications - Global Market Analysis and Forecasts
出版日: 2014年03月11日 ページ情報: 英文 89 Pages; 61 Tables, Charts & Figures

当商品の販売は、2016年08月09日を持ちまして終了しました。

概要

先進的なバイオ燃料の実用化に向けた競争に大きな変革をもたらすと見られている航空機・船舶用バイオ燃料は、先進バイオ燃料産業における新興生産業者にとって大きな市場機会を提示しています。持続可能な非食品原料から生産された先進的なバイオ燃料に対する需要は、燃料コストの上昇、新たな排出規制の遵守、および先進バイオ燃料経路の認証制度に対応する必要性によって促されています。北米を中心に、航空機・船舶用バイオ燃料の生産能力は2024年までに33億ガロンに達することが見込まれています。

当レポートでは、世界の航空機・船舶用バイオ燃料市場について調査分析し、市場における主な動向および市場発展促進要因などの市場の課題、ならびに技術上の課題をまとめるとともに、主要企業のプロファイルおよび市場予測を提供するなど、概略以下の構成でお届けします。

第1章 エグゼクティブサマリー

  • 市場の課題
  • 市場予測

第2章 市場の課題

  • 市場概要
    • 世界的な燃料供給におけるバイオ燃料
    • 再生可能ドロップインバイオ燃料の概要
    • 航空機および船舶用バイオ燃料の役割
    • 主な動向
  • 市場機会
    • 商用航空機
    • 商用船舶
    • 軍用
    • 特殊燃料
  • 市場発展促進要因
    • 熱望されるターゲット
    • 燃料供給の多様性
      • 石油コストの高騰
      • 価格の不安定性
      • 米軍とエネルギー安全保障
    • 代替燃料指令
      • RFS2
      • RED
      • インドネシア航空法
    • 排出量削減
      • EU排出量取引システムと航空法の改正
      • 海洋汚染と排出量制限領域の規制
  • 市場発展阻害要因
    • 高いコスト
    • 原料の制限
    • 燃料の認証制度
  • 新興原料サプライチェーン
    • MSW
    • 排ガス
    • ジャトロファ属、カメリナ、およびカリナタ
    • 塩生植物
    • 藻類
  • バリューチェーンイニシアチブ
    • 商用航空会社バイオ燃料便
    • 航空機用バイオ燃料コンソーシアム
    • 米海軍のGreat Green Fleet

第3章 技術課題

  • 技術の概要
  • 新たな航空機・船舶用バイオ燃料変換経路
    • HEFA燃料
    • FT合成パラフィン系ケロシン
    • ATJ
    • Pyrolysis-to-jet
    • 発酵再生可能ジェット燃料
  • バイオテクノロジー(原料)の発展
  • 先進的なバイオ燃料の生産
    • フロントエンド変換の発展
    • バックエンド変換の発展
  • 生物精製所ビジネスモデル
  • 認証制度と検査
    • ASTM
    • 軍の認証制度

第4章 産業における主要企業

  • 主要企業の概要
  • 原料サプライヤー
    • SGB
  • OEM
    • Airbus
    • Boeing
    • General Electric Aviation
    • Pratt & Whitney
    • Rolls-Royce
    • Wartsila
  • 先進的なバイオ燃料生産業者
    • AltAir Fuels
    • Amyris
    • Chevron Lummus Global
    • Gevo
    • LanzaTech
    • Neste Oil
    • Primus Green Energy
    • Renewable Energy Group
    • SkyNRG
    • Solazyme
    • Solena Fuels
    • UOP
  • エンドユーザー
    • 商用キャリア
    • Maersk Group
    • Schipol Group

第5章 市場予測

  • 予測概要
  • 航空機・船舶用バイオ燃料の予測
  • 生産量予測、地域別・主要市場別
    • 地域別生産能力
    • 地域別売上
    • 主要市場
      • 米国
      • EU
      • ブラジル
      • 中国
  • 生産能力予測、変換プラットフォーム別
  • 燃料生産量予測、燃料タイプ別
  • 結論と提言

第6章 企業要覧

第7章 頭字語および略語リスト

第8章 目次

第9章 図表

第10章 調査範囲・情報源と調査手法・注釈

図表

目次
Product Code: BIOAM-14

Advanced Drop-In Biofuels for Commercial Aviation, Marine Shipping, and Military Applications: Global Market Analysis and Forecasts.

Viewed as a game changer in the race to commercialize advanced biofuels, aviation and marine biofuels represent a very significant opportunity for emerging producers in the advanced biofuels industry. Demand for advanced biofuels produced from sustainable, non-food feedstocks is largely driven by a need to hedge against increases in fuel costs, compliance with emerging emissions regulations, and certification of advanced biofuels pathways. Lacking a viable alternative to liquid fuels, aircraft manufacturers, turbine engine manufacturers, and commercial airlines have partnered in flying more than 600,000 miles powered by biofuels since 2008. Additional concerns around energy security and combat readiness has led to a deepening interest within the U.S. military.

Although the emerging aviation and marine biofuels market has expanded rapidly in recent years, feedstock constraints and high capital investment requirements will need to be overcome for the industry to meet aspirational growth targets. Led by North America, installed nameplate production capacity is expected to reach 3.3 billion gallons by 2024, representing 1.5% of total aviation and marine fuel consumption. Navigant Research forecasts that a cumulative total of 18.2 billion gallons to 19.6 billion gallons of renewable drop-in aviation and marine biofuels could be produced between 2014 and 2024, dependent on the two refinery scenarios analyzed in the report.

This Navigant Research report provides forecasts and market sizing for nameplate production capacity and production volumes for advanced aviation and marine biofuels. Forecasts are segmented by geography, conversion platform, and fuel type. The total addressable market size for commercial aviation, marine shipping, and U.S. military applications are discussed. This report also provides a qualitative analysis of key stakeholder initiatives, market drivers, challenges, and technology developments, as well as profiles of key stakeholders across the value chain.

Key Questions Addressed:

  • What is the current addressable market for commercial aviation, marine shipping, and U.S. military fuel consumption?
  • What is the forecast nameplate production capacity for advanced biorefineries producing drop-in renewable fuels?
  • What is the forecast production volume of drop-in aviation and marine biofuels?
  • Who are the key stakeholders in the emerging aviation and marine biofuels value chain?
  • What are the emerging feedstock opportunities driving the production of aviation and marine biofuels?

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary

  • 1.1. Market Issues
  • 1.2. Market Forecasts

2. Market Issues

  • 2.1. Market Overview
    • 2.1.1. Biofuels in the Global Fuel Supply
    • 2.1.2. Renewable Drop-in Biofuels Overview
    • 2.1.3. Role of Aviation and Marine Biofuels
    • 2.1.4. Key Trends
  • 2.2. Market Opportunities
    • 2.2.1. Commercial Aviation
    • 2.2.2. Commercial Marine Shipping
    • 2.2.3. Military
    • 2.2.4. Specialty Fuels
      • 2.2.4.1. General Aviation
      • 2.2.4.2. Missile Fuel
  • 2.3. Market Drivers
    • 2.3.1. Aspirational Targets
    • 2.3.2. Fuel Supply Diversity
      • 2.3.2.1. Rising Oil Costs
      • 2.3.2.2. Price Volatility
      • 2.3.2.3. U.S. Military and Energy Security
    • 2.3.3. Alternative Fuel Mandates
      • 2.3.3.1. RFS2
      • 2.3.3.2. RED
      • 2.3.3.3. Indonesian Aviation Act
    • 2.3.4. Emissions Reduction
      • 2.3.4.1. EU Emissions Trading System and Aviation Amendments
      • 2.3.4.2. Marine Pollution and Emission Control Areas Regulations
  • 2.4. Market Barriers
    • 2.4.1. High Cost
      • 2.4.1.1. Biorefinery Construction Costs
      • 2.4.1.2. Finished Fuel Costs
    • 2.4.2. Feedstock Limits
    • 2.4.3. Fuel Certification
  • 2.5. Emerging Feedstock Supply Chains
    • 2.5.1. MSW
    • 2.5.2. Waste Gases
    • 2.5.3. Jatropha, Camelina, and Carinata
    • 2.5.4. Halophytes
    • 2.5.5. Algae
  • 2.6. Value Chain Initiatives
    • 2.6.1. Commercial Airline Biofuel Flights
    • 2.6.2. Aviation Biofuel Consortiums
    • 2.6.3. U.S. Navy's Great Green Fleet

3. Technology Issues

  • 3.1. Technology Overview
  • 3.2. Emerging Aviation and Marine Biofuel Conversion Pathways
    • 3.2.1. HEFA Fuels
    • 3.2.2. FT Synthetic Paraffinic Kerosene
    • 3.2.3. ATJ
    • 3.2.4. Pyrolysis-to-jet
    • 3.2.5. Fermented Renewable Jet Fuel
  • 3.3. Biotechnology (Feedstock) Developments
    • 3.3.1. Emerging Aviation and Marine Biofuel Feedstocks
    • 3.3.2. Advanced Projects Research Agency-Energy Plants Engineered to Replace Oil Program
  • 3.4. Advanced Biofuels Production
    • 3.4.1. Front-End Conversion Advances
    • 3.4.2. Back-End Conversion Advances
  • 3.5. Biorefinery Business Models
    • 3.5.1. Integrated Biorefinery
    • 3.5.2. Hub and Spoke Model
    • 3.5.3. Bioport Model
  • 3.6. Certification and Testing
    • 3.6.1. ASTM
      • 3.6.1.1. Aviation Fuel Certifications
      • 3.6.1.2. Marine Fuel Certifications
    • 3.6.2. Military Certification

4. Key Industry Players

  • 4.1. Key Player Overview
  • 4.2. Feedstock Suppliers
    • 4.2.1. SGB
  • 4.3. OEMs
    • 4.3.1. Airbus
    • 4.3.2. Boeing
    • 4.3.3. General Electric Aviation
    • 4.3.4. Pratt & Whitney
    • 4.3.5. Rolls-Royce
    • 4.3.6. Wärtsilä
  • 4.4. Advanced Biofuel Producers
    • 4.4.1. AltAir Fuels
    • 4.4.2. Amyris
    • 4.4.3. Chevron Lummus Global
    • 4.4.4. Gevo
    • 4.4.5. LanzaTech
    • 4.4.6. Neste Oil
    • 4.4.7. Primus Green Energy
    • 4.4.8. Renewable Energy Group
    • 4.4.9. SkyNRG
    • 4.4.10. Solazyme
    • 4.4.11. Solena Fuels
    • 4.4.12. UOP
  • 4.5. End Users
    • 4.5.1. Commercial Carriers
    • 4.5.2. Maersk Group
    • 4.5.3. Schipol Group

5. Market Forecasts

  • 5.1. Forecast Overview
    • 5.1.1. Forecast Segments
    • 5.1.2. Key Inflection Points
  • 5.2. Aviation and Marine Biofuel Forecasts
  • 5.3. Nameplate Production Capacity Forecast by Region and Key Market
    • 5.3.1. Production Capacity by Region
    • 5.3.2. Revenue by Region
    • 5.3.3. Key Markets
      • 5.3.3.1. United States
      • 5.3.3.2. EU
      • 5.3.3.3. Brazil
      • 5.3.3.4. China
  • 5.4. Nameplate Production Capacity Forecast by Conversion Platform
  • 5.5. Fuel Production Volume Forecast by Fuel Type
    • 5.5.1. High Jet/Low Distillate Scenario
    • 5.5.2. Low Jet/High Distillate Scenario
  • 5.6. Conclusions and Recommendations

6. Company Directory

7. Acronym and Abbreviation List

8. Table of Contents

9. Table of Charts and Figures

10. Scope of Study, Sources and Methodology, Notes

List of Charts and Figures

  • Installed Aviation and Marine Biofuels Nameplate Production Capacity by Region, World Markets: 2014-2024
  • Installed Aviation and Marine Biofuels Nameplate Production Capacity by Producer, World Markets: 2007-2013
  • DOD Petroleum Consumption by Service, United States: 2012
  • DOD Fuel Consumption Mix by Fuel Type, United States: 2008
  • Global AvGas Consumption by Country, World Markets: 2010
  • Cost Comparison of Petroleum Jet Fuel, Marine Bunker, and Biofuels Alternatives: 2014-2024
  • Share of Municipal Solid Waste Generation by Region, World Markets: 2010-2020
  • Commercial Airline Biofuel Miles Flown by Flight Type, World Markets: 2008-2013
  • Cumulative Revenue from Biorefinery Construction and Fuel Sales by Fuel Product Scenario, World Markets: 2014-2024
  • Share of Biofuels in Aviation and Marine Fuel Mix by Region, World Markets: 2014-2024
  • Nameplate Aviation and Marine Biofuels Production Capacity by Region, World Markets: 2014-2024
  • Cumulative Revenue from Biorefinery Construction by Region, World Markets: 2014-2024
  • Nameplate Production Capacity by Biorefinery Platform and Cumulative Revenue, World Markets: 2014-2024
  • Cumulative Revenue from Fuel Sales by Fuel Type, World Markets: 2014-2024
  • Production by Fuel Type, High Jet/Low Distillate Scenario, World Markets: 2014-2024
  • Production by Fuel Type, Low Jet/High Distillate Scenario, World Markets: 2014-2024
  • Emerging Aviation and Marine Biofuel Pathways
  • HEFA Production Pathway
  • FT-SPK Production Pathway
  • ATJ Production Pathway
  • HDCJ Production Pathway
  • FRJ Production Pathway
  • Products Made from a Barrel of Crude Oil (Gallons)
  • Overview of Bio-Based Value Chain

List of Tables

  • Installed Aviation and Marine Biofuels Nameplate Production Capacity by Producer, World Markets: 2007-2013
  • Biofuel Miles Traveled by Commercial Airlines, World Markets: 2008-2014
  • Top 50 Global Container Fleet Operators: 2012
  • Military Biofuels Demonstrations, World Markets: 2010-2013
  • Profile of Potential Aviation and Marine Biofuels Markets
  • Aspirational Biofuel Targets by Organization
  • Average Refinery Capital Cost by Resource, World Markets: 2012
  • Potential Aviation and Marine Biofuels Feedstocks by Category
  • Sampling of Aviation Biofuel Initiatives, World Markets: 2014
  • Comparison of Feedstock Pathway Attributes: 2014
  • Aviation Biofuel ASTM Certification Timeline
  • Other Feedstock Producers
  • Early Adopter Commercial Airlines
  • Finished Aviation and Marine Biofuel Pathways
  • Assumed Biorefinery Fuel Production Cut by Conversion Platform
  • Installed Aviation and Marine Biofuels Nameplate Production Capacity by Producer, World Markets: 2007-2013
  • DOD Petroleum Consumption by Service, United States: 2012
  • DOD Fuel Consumption Mix by Fuel Type, United States: 2008
  • Profile of Potential Aviation and Marine Biofuels Markets
  • Global AvGas Consumption by Country, World Markets: 2010
  • Cost Comparison of Petroleum Jet Fuel, Marine Bunker, and Biofuels Alternatives: 2014-2024
  • Share of Municipal Solid Waste Generation by Region, World Markets: 2010-2020
  • Commercial Airline Biofuel Miles Flown by Flight Type, World Markets: 2008-2013
  • Cumulative Revenue of Aviation and Marine Biofuels Market by Scenario, World Markets: 2014-2024
  • Annual Aviation and Marine Fuel Consumption of All Sources by Region, World Markets: 2014-2024
  • Annual Commercial and Military Jet Fuel Consumption by Region, World Markets: 2014-2024
  • Annual Commercial Shipping and Military Marine Bunker Consumption by Region, World Markets: 2014-2024
  • Share of Biofuels in Aviation and Marine Fuel Market by Region, World Markets: 2014-2024
  • Installed Aviation and Marine Biofuels Nameplate Production Capacity by Region, World Markets: 2014-2024
  • Installed Aviation and Marine Biofuels Nameplate Production Capacity by Conversion Platform, World Markets: 2014-2024
  • Aviation and Marine Biofuels Production by Fuel Spec (High Jet/Low Distillate), World Markets: 2014-2024
  • Aviation and Marine Biofuels Production by Fuel Spec (Low Jet/High Distillate), World Markets: 2014-2024
  • Revenue from New Aviation and Marine Biorefineries by Region, World Markets: 2014-2024
  • Annual Revenue from New Aviation and Marine Biorefineries by Conversion Platform, World Markets: 2014-2024
  • Cumulative Revenue from New Aviation and Marine Biorefineries by Conversion Platform, World Markets: 2014-2024
  • Annual Revenue from Aviation and Marine Biofuels Production by Fuel Spec (High Jet/Low Distillate), World Markets: 2014-2024
  • Annual Aviation and Marine Biofuels Production by Fuel Spec (Low Jet/High Distillate), World Markets: 2014-2024
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