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市場調査レポート

北米のCVR市場

Conservation Voltage Reduction: Distribution Management Systems, Switched Capacitor Banks, Voltage Regulators, Load Tap Changers, Advanced Controllers, End-of-Line Sensors and Communication Nodes in North America

発行 Navigant Research 商品コード 294186
出版日 ページ情報 英文 87 Pages; 53 Tables, Charts & Figures
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北米のCVR市場 Conservation Voltage Reduction: Distribution Management Systems, Switched Capacitor Banks, Voltage Regulators, Load Tap Changers, Advanced Controllers, End-of-Line Sensors and Communication Nodes in North America
出版日: 2014年01月13日 ページ情報: 英文 87 Pages; 53 Tables, Charts & Figures

当商品の販売は、2016年03月18日を持ちまして終了しました。

概要

Conservation Voltage Reduction(CVR)とは、停電を避けるため、電力会社が事前の予測に基づき、管理可能な方法で電圧を引き下げる手法であり、需要応答(DR)とエネルギーの効率的な利用(EE)を実現するための比較的穏当なアプローチといえます。具体的には、高度なスマートグリッド技術を使って電圧レベルを機動的に調整し、供給可能な電力を上回るような需要が見込まれるピーク時に電力消費量と需要を継続的に抑えるというもので、最近実施されたパイロットプロジェクトでも優れた成果が得られたことから、DRとEEを実現する有力な技術として期待を集めるようになっています。とりわけ注目されるのは、CVRと高度メーターインフラ(AMI)を統合することで高精度の電圧低減戦略が実現可能になり、スマートグリッドの利点を遺憾なく発揮させることができるという点です。これまでのところ、北米地域にある電力会社の多くは、スマートグリッドの利点を十分に引き出すことができずにいますが、CVRのパイロットプロジェクトが成功を収めていることで、監督機関もこの技術に大きな期待を寄せるようになっており、北米地域におけるCVR関連の収益は、2020年の時点で19億ドル近くになると予想されます。

当レポートは、北米地域のCVR関連市場を分析し、市場拡大の原動力となる各種の要因を明らかにしたもので、2020年までの統合CVRソリューションの出荷台数と売上高の予測、通信技術や各種機器、配電管理システム(DMS)などCVRソリューションを構成する要素についての解説、主要企業各社のプロファイルなどを盛り込み、概略以下の構成でお届けします。

第1章 エグゼクティブサマリー

  • 概要
  • CVRシステムの構成要素
  • 市場のトレンドと予測

第2章 市場の問題

  • スマートユーティリティ:優れたエネルギー効率を実現するスマートグリッド
  • スマートグリッドにおけるCVR
  • CVR市場の成長促進要因
  • CVR関連事業の投資対効果の分析
  • CVRの課題

第3章 技術の問題

  • 配電技術
  • CVRのアルゴリズムに関する詳細な解説
  • CVRの構成要素
    • 通信技術
    • 一次装置
    • 二次装置
    • 配電管理システム
  • 各種構成要素の統合:CVRの戦略
    • 基本的なCVRの利用例:PECO
    • 機動的、積極的なCVRの利用例:Dominion
    • DRとCVR:TVAとProgress Energy
    • 24時間年中無休の省エネ対策:DOE
    • CVRの導入計画
  • 技術面の課題
    • データ管理
    • サイバーセキュリティ

第4章 主要企業のプロファイル

  • イントロダクション
  • 電力システムのベンダー
    • ABB
    • Alstom
    • Beckwith Electric
    • Cooper Power Systems
    • Dominion Voltage, Inc.
    • Efacec Advanced Control Systems
    • GE Energy
    • GRIDiant
    • IUS Technologies
    • Open Systems International, Inc. (OSI)
    • S&C Electric Company
    • Schneider Electric
    • Schweitzer Engineering Laboratories
    • Siemens
    • Silver Spring Networks
    • Tollgrade Communications, Inc.
    • Varentec
  • 電力会社
    • AEP
    • Dominion Virginia Power
    • Duke Energy/Progress Energy
    • Exelon/PECO
    • Portland General Electric (PGE)
    • San Diego Gas & Electric (SDG&E)
    • Southern California Edison (SCE)
    • Tennessee Valley Authority

第5章 市場予測

  • イントロダクション
  • 予測のためのアプローチ
  • 市場予測
    • 変電所1ヶ所あたりの収益
    • 各種システムコンポーネントの予測
  • 結論と提言
    • ベンダーに対する提言
    • 電力会社に対する提言
    • 地域市場についての結論
    • 今後の注目スポット

第6章 企業要覧

第7章 略語と頭字語

第8章 目次

第9章 図表リスト

第10章 調査の範囲、資料、調査方法、注記

目次
Product Code: CVR-14

Distribution Management Systems, Switched Capacitor Banks, Voltage Regulators, Load Tap Changers, Advanced Controllers, End-of-Line Sensors, and Communication Nodes in North America.

Conservation voltage reduction (CVR) is a noninvasive approach to demand response (DR) and energy efficiency (EE) with more controllable, predictable reductions than other popular DR/EE approaches. CVR dynamically optimizes voltage levels via sophisticated smart grid technologies to continuously reduce energy consumption and demand during peaks when electricity prices are inflated and demand may exceed the available energy. Due to the excellent results of recent CVR pilots, the technology is a strong candidate to be among the most popular EE and DR measures before the end of 2020.

Advanced metering infrastructure (AMI)-integrated CVR in particular is a high-precision voltage reduction strategy that can unleash unprecedented smart grid benefits. The vast majority of North American utilities have yet to take full advantage of this benefit, which often lies latent in the smart meter functionality. As extensive CVR piloting and evaluations pass with flying colors, regulators are likely to be enthusiastic and allow CVR under the same terms as other EE measures. Navigant Research forecasts that cumulative CVR revenue will amount to nearly $1.9 billion between 2013 and 2020.

This Navigant Research report analyzes the market for CVR in North America. The study provides an analysis of the significant factors and drivers that will contribute to market growth for CVR. Market forecasts for unit shipments and revenue for each component type in an integrated CVR solution in North America extend through 2020. The report also examines the building blocks for CVR - telecommunications technologies, primary and secondary equipment, and distribution management systems (DMSs) - and profiles the key industry players active in this emerging field.

Key Questions Addressed:

  • How does CVR improve voltage quality and how is it used for distribution efficiency and demand regulation?
  • How can AMI be leveraged with CVR to achieve aggressive energy efficiency and demand reduction targets?
  • What are the current and projected unit shipments in North America for each component type in an integrated CVR solution?
  • What is the current and projected revenue per substation for CVR components in North America?
  • Who are the key players in the emerging CVR arena?

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary

  • 1.1. Overview
  • 1.2. CVR System Components
  • 1.3. Market Trends and Forecast

2. Market Issues

  • 2.1. The Smart Utility: Brilliant and Efficient Smart Grids
    • 2.1.1. Smart Grid Drivers
  • 2.2. CVR in the Smart Grid
  • 2.3. CVR Market Drivers
    • 2.3.1. Decommissioning of Coal (and Possibly Nuclear) Power Plants
    • 2.3.2. Electricity Demand Growth
    • 2.3.3. Demand, Energy Efficiency, and Demand Response
      • 2.3.3.1. Achievable, Near-Term EE Measures
  • 2.4. CVR Business Case
    • 2.4.1. CVR Benefits
      • 2.4.1.1. Customer Energy Reductions
    • 2.4.2. Operational Benefits
      • 2.4.2.1. Avoided or Deferred CAPEX
      • 2.4.2.2. Technical O&M Reductions
  • 2.5. CVR Challenges
    • 2.5.1. Revenue and Margin Erosion
    • 2.5.2. Slow Regulatory Cadence
    • 2.5.3. Participating Customers Also Benefit
    • 2.5.4. Confusing Number of Acronyms

3. Technology Issues

  • 3.1. Distribution Topologies
  • 3.2. A High-Level Description of the CVR Algorithm
    • 3.2.1. CVR Retrofits
    • 3.2.2. CVR with AMI
    • 3.2.3. Lessons from Government-Backed CVR Projects
      • 3.2.3.1. Target High-Value Feeders
  • 3.3. CVR Building Blocks
    • 3.3.1. Telecommunications Technologies
      • 3.3.1.1. Protocols and Data Standards
      • 3.3.1.2. Distribution SCADA
      • 3.3.1.3. Field Area Network Communications
      • 3.3.1.4. Integration of AMI Communications
      • 3.3.1.5. Communications Security
    • 3.3.2. Primary CVR Equipment
      • 3.3.2.1. Substation Voltage Regulation
        • 3.3.2.1.1.. Mode of Operation
      • 3.3.2.2. Substation SCADA Equipment
    • 3.3.3. Secondary CVR Equipment
      • 3.3.3.1. Automated/Switched Secondary Capacitor Banks
      • 3.3.3.2. Line Sensors, Volt Metering Sets
      • 3.3.3.3. Automated Line Regulators
    • 3.3.4. Distribution Management Systems
      • 3.3.4.1. DMS and the VVO/CVR Function
      • 3.3.4.2. DMSs and the Common Information Model
  • 3.4. How It All Ties Together: CVR Strategy
    • 3.4.1. Basic CVR Use Case: PECO
    • 3.4.2. Dynamic, Aggressive CVR Use Case: Dominion
    • 3.4.3. Demand Response and CVR: TVA and Progress Energy
    • 3.4.4. 24/7 Energy Efficiency CVR: DOE
    • 3.4.5. CVR Game Plan
      • 3.4.5.1. Plan
      • 3.4.5.2. Manage
      • 3.4.5.3. Measure and Verify (M&V)
  • 3.5. Technology Challenges
    • 3.5.1. Data Management
    • 3.5.2. Cyber Security

4. Key Industry Players

  • 4.1. Introduction
  • 4.2. Power System Vendors
    • 4.2.1. ABB
    • 4.2.2. Alstom
    • 4.2.3. Beckwith Electric
    • 4.2.4. Cooper Power Systems
    • 4.2.5. Dominion Voltage, Inc.
    • 4.2.6. Efacec Advanced Control Systems
    • 4.2.7. GE Energy
    • 4.2.8. GRIDiant
    • 4.2.9. IUS Technologies
    • 4.2.10. Open Systems International, Inc. (OSI)
    • 4.2.11. S&C Electric Company
    • 4.2.12. Schneider Electric
    • 4.2.13. Schweitzer Engineering Laboratories
    • 4.2.14. Siemens
    • 4.2.15. Silver Spring Networks
    • 4.2.16. Tollgrade Communications, Inc.
    • 4.2.17. Varentec
  • 4.3. Power Companies
    • 4.3.1. AEP
    • 4.3.2. Dominion Virginia Power
    • 4.3.3. Duke Energy/Progress Energy
    • 4.3.4. Exelon/PECO
    • 4.3.5. Portland General Electric (PGE)
    • 4.3.6. San Diego Gas & Electric (SDG&E)
    • 4.3.7. Southern California Edison (SCE)
    • 4.3.8. Tennessee Valley Authority

5. Market Forecasts

  • 5.1. Introduction
  • 5.2. Forecasting Approach
  • 5.3. Market Forecast
    • 5.3.1. Revenue per Substation
    • 5.3.2. Forecast by System Components
      • 5.3.2.1. Primary Components
      • 5.3.2.2. Secondary Components
      • 5.3.2.3. Communication Nodes
      • 5.3.2.4. DMS/CVR Software
      • 5.3.2.5. Revenue
  • 5.4. Conclusions and Recommendations
    • 5.4.1. Recommendations for Vendors
    • 5.4.2. Recommendation for Utilities
    • 5.4.3. Regional Conclusions
    • 5.4.4. The Next CVR Hot Spots

6. Company Directory

7. Acronym and Abbreviation List

8. Table of Contents

9. Table of Charts and Figures

10. Scope of Study, Sources and Methodology, Notes

List of Charts and Figures

  • Cumulative CVR Revenue, North America: 2013-2020
  • Annual CVR Revenue, North America: 2013-2020
  • Revenue per Substation for CVR with AMI by Component Segment, North America: 2013-2020
  • Revenue per Substation for CVR without AMI by Component Segment, North America: 2013-2020
  • Shipments of Primary Components for CVR by Component Type, North America: 2013-2020
  • Shipments of Secondary Components for CVR by Component Type, North America: 2013-2020
  • Shipments of Communications Components for CVR by Component Type, North America: 2013-2020
  • Shipments of DMS Components for CVR by Component Type, North America: 2013-2020
  • Primary Component Revenue by Component Type, North America: 2013-2020
  • Secondary Component Revenue by Component Type, North America: 2013-2020
  • Communications Component Revenue, North America: 2013-2020
  • DMS Component Revenue by Component Type, North America: 2013-2020
  • Simplified Grid Transmission and Distribution System, North America
  • Actual and Announced Coal-Fired Retirements, United States: 2011-2020
  • Retail Sales by Customer Class, United States: 1950-2011
  • Estimated Total Benefits and Cost for Regional CVR Deployment, Present Value
  • Assessment of Duke Energy Ohio CVR Benefit
  • Simplified Distribution Topologies for Substations and Feeder Circuits
  • CVR Benefit as a Function of Percent of Circuits Upgraded
  • Illustration of a Typical SCADA Architecture
  • Smart Grid Networking Approach
  • Example Distribution Substation
  • Example Load Tap Changers
  • Example LTC/VR Controllers
  • Communication Node
  • Example Pole-Mounted Capacitor Bank and Controller Package
  • Example of Devices in Metering Sets
  • Sensor Installation by Hotstick
  • Example of Pole-Mounted Line Regulators
  • Illustration of CVR Configuration
  • Feeder Voltage Profile with LTC, VR, and Capacitor Bank
  • PECO CVR Strategy

List of Tables

  • Cumulative CVR Revenue by Component Type, North America: 2013-2020
  • Typical Benefit-Cost Ratio (TRC-Based) for Energy Efficiency by Category, North America: 2013
  • Estimated Load and Spending in States with EE Programs by Category, United States: 2009-2012
  • Utility Spending and Returns on EE Programs by Category, United States: 1991-2010
  • Typical Load Reduction and Energy Savings using CVR by Category and Scenario, North America: 2012
  • Cost of CVR per Sub by Category and Scenario, North America: 2013
  • Net Benefits to Customers by Category and Scenario, North America: 2013
  • Annual CVR Revenue by Component Type, North America: 2013-2020
  • Revenue per Substation for CVR with AMI by Component Segment, North America: 2013-2020
  • Shipments of Primary Components for CVR by Component Type, North America: 2013-2020
  • Shipments of Secondary Components for CVR by Component Type, North America: 2013-2020
  • Shipments of Communications Components for CVR by Component Type, North America: 2013-2020
  • Shipments of DMS Components for CVR by Component Type, North America: 2013-2020
  • Primary Component Revenue by Component Type, North America: 2013-2020
  • Secondary Component Revenue by Component Type, North America: 2013-2020
  • Communications Component Revenue, North America: 2013-2020
  • DMS Component Revenue by Component Type, North America: 2013-2020
  • Voltage Level Definitions
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