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天然ガス発電設備の世界市場の分析・予測:常時電力・予備電源・主電源・予備/バックアップ電源用の往復動内燃機関

Natural Gas Generator Sets - Reciprocating Internal Combustion Engines for Continuous, Prime and Standby/Backup Power: Global Market Analysis and Forecasts

発行 Navigant Research 商品コード 261650
出版日 ページ情報 英文 99 Pages; 50 Tables, Charts & Figures
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天然ガス発電設備の世界市場の分析・予測:常時電力・予備電源・主電源・予備/バックアップ電源用の往復動内燃機関 Natural Gas Generator Sets - Reciprocating Internal Combustion Engines for Continuous, Prime and Standby/Backup Power: Global Market Analysis and Forecasts
出版日: 2015年04月03日 ページ情報: 英文 99 Pages; 50 Tables, Charts & Figures
概要

天然ガス発電設備の年間設置規模は2024年には27.2GWに達すると予測されています。また、2015年から2025年にかけての累積収益は1468億ドルの規模に達すると予測されています。

当レポートでは、世界の天然ガス発電設備の市場について調査し、発電設備および分散型電源市場全体の動向、天然ガス産業の動向、天然ガス発電技術の概要、メリット、天然ガス発電設備の導入推進因子・阻害因子、技術開発の動向、主要参入企業のプロファイル、地域別の設備発電能力の推移と予測などをまとめています。

第1章 エグゼクティブサマリー

第2章 市場課題

  • 概要
    • 天然ガス発電技術
    • 分散型電源としての発電装置
    • 往復動内燃機関の速度
    • 世界における分散型電源
    • 調査範囲
  • 世界の発電設備市場
    • 往復動内燃機関による発電設備の出荷数
    • 天然ガスによる発電設備の市場シェア
    • 可搬式 vs スキッドマウント型
  • 往復動内燃機関による発電設備:用途別
    • 待機電力
    • 主電源
    • ピークカット
    • グリッドサポート
    • CHP
  • 往復動内燃機関による発電設備の市場
    • 住宅用・可搬型の市場機会
    • 小規模C&Iにおける市場機会
    • 大型C&Iにおける市場機会
    • ユーティリティ部門における市場機会
    • 市場機会の例
  • 天然ガス発電設備のメリット
    • 燃料安全保障
    • 排出削減
    • 性能・信頼性・利便性
    • 低コスト性
  • 市場促進因子
    • 競争力のある燃料コスト
    • 排出規制
    • CHP政策
    • 再生可能エネルギーの導入拡大
    • 大規模停電の増加
    • 農村部の電化
  • 市場阻害因子
    • ガスインフラ
    • ユーリティティとの相互接続の障壁
    • 保守における課題
    • エネルギー容量

第3章 天然ガス市場の課題

  • 概要
  • 天然ガスの供給
  • 天然ガスの需要
  • 天然ガスの貿易
  • 中国
  • 天然ガス産業の構造
    • 上流部門
    • 中流部門
    • 下流部門
  • 天然ガス価格

第4章 技術課題

  • 概要
  • 天然ガスの化学特性
    • パイプライン天然ガス
    • プロパン(液化石油ガス)
  • 天然ガス発電設備のコスト
    • 天然ガスによる往復動内燃機関の導入コスト
    • 典型的な天然ガス往復動内燃機関によるCHPシステムの導入コスト
  • 発電設備の用途:定格別
    • 常時電力
    • 主電源
    • 予備電力/バックアップ電源
  • 天然ガス発電設備の技術開発
    • 燃料効率の改善
    • 点火の改善
    • モニタリングシステム&ソフトウェア
    • 低BTUの往復動式発電設備

第5章 主要企業

  • 競合環境
    • 2G CENERGY
    • Aegis Energy Services
    • Briggs & Stratton
    • Caterpillar
    • Cummins Power 発電
    • Depco Power Systems
    • Dresser-Rand (Guascor)
    • Eaton
    • E.ON
    • GE Digital Energy
    • GE Energy
    • Generac Power Systems
    • Kohler Power Systems
    • MTU Onsite Energy Systems
    • MWM (Caterpillar)
    • Schneider Electric
    • Tecogen, Inc.
    • Wartsila

第6章 市場予測

  • 調査手法
  • 主な変曲点
  • 発電設備の導入予測
  • 地域別予測
    • 北米
    • 西欧
    • 東欧
    • アジア太平洋
    • ラテンアメリカ
    • 中東
    • アフリカ
  • 収益予測
    • 地域別
  • 総論・提言

第7章 企業ディレクトリ

第8章 用途

第9章 目次

第10章 図表

第11章 調査範囲・情報ソース・調査手法

図表リスト

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目次
Product Code: NAGS-15

Reciprocating Internal Combustion Engines for Continuous, Prime, and Standby/Backup Power: Global Market Analysis and Forecasts

Natural gas (NG) generator sets (gensets) are reciprocating internal combustion engines that are used worldwide for distributed power production. Despite a short-term slowdown due to volatility in the oil & gas market, the NG genset market is expected to show healthy growth during the next 10 years. As a source of emergency standby, prime, peaking, or continuous power, NG-fueled gensets are poised for rapid growth, particularly in markets where inexpensive NG is widely available.

Yet, NG gensets cannot match the performance or convenience of diesel gensets since diesel has a higher energy content and is easier to transport than NG. Today, though, the line between NG and diesel gensets is becoming blurred with the increasing popularity of dual-fuel gensets, which offer the performance of diesel while taking advantage of the low price and low emissions of NG. In emerging economies, the key obstacle to the spread of NG gensets is a lack of adequate NG infrastructure. Once again, dual-fuel gensets provide an interesting middle ground, and they are seeing growth markets in developing countries where the NG infrastructure is expected to follow. According to Navigant Research, annual NG genset installations are expected to reach 27.2 GW by 2024 and generate $146.8 billion in cumulative revenue between 2015 and 2024.

This Navigant Research report analyzes the global market for NG gensets from less than 15 kW to 20 MW for residential, commercial, industrial, and utility applications. The study includes in-depth assessments of global regions for NG genset capacity installations, a breakdown of market segments by power class, an analysis of global gas resource development, and profiles of the key industry players engaged in this market. Global market forecasts that project the capacity and revenue of NG gensets in the 15 kW-6 MW size range, segmented by region and country, extend through 2024.

Key Questions Addressed:

  • What is the size of the global market opportunity for natural gas (NG) generator sets (gensets)?
  • What are the market drivers and barriers for NG gensets?
  • What does the market landscape for NG gensets look like?
  • What is the emerging role of dual-fuel gensets?
  • How will combined heat and power (CHP) adoption affect the NG genset market?
  • How will the boom in unconventional gas resources affect the NG genset market?
  • How are emissions regulations affecting demand for diesel and NG gensets?
  • Which countries are the largest growth markets for NG gensets?

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary

  • 1.1. Overview
  • 1.2. Demand Drivers and Barriers
  • 1.3. Market Forecasts

2. Market Issues

  • 2.1. Overview
    • 2.1.1. NG Generation Technologies
    • 2.1.2. Gensets as a DG Resource
    • 2.1.2.1. Reciprocating Engine Speeds
    • 2.1.3. DG in the Global Context
    • 2.1.4. Report Scope
  • 2.2. Global Genset Market
    • 2.2.1. Reciprocating Engine-Based Genset Shipments
    • 2.2.2. NG Genset Market Share
    • 2.2.3. Portable versus Skid-Mounted NG Gensets
  • 2.3. Reciprocating Engine-Based Genset Applications
    • 2.3.1. Standby Power
    • 2.3.2. Prime Power
    • 2.3.3. Peak Shaving
    • 2.3.4. Grid Support
    • 2.3.5. CHP
  • 2.4. Reciprocating Engine-Based Genset Markets
    • 2.4.1. Residential/Portable Market Opportunities
    • 2.4.2. Small C&I Market Opportunities
    • 2.4.3. Large C&I Market Opportunities
    • 2.4.4. Utility Market Opportunities
    • 2.4.5. Market Opportunity Examples
  • 2.5. NG Genset Advantages
    • 2.5.1. Fuel Security
    • 2.5.2. Reduced Emissions
    • 2.5.3. Performance, Reliability, and Convenience
    • 2.5.4. Low Cost
  • 2.6. Market Drivers
    • 2.6.1. Competitive Fuel Cost
    • 2.6.2. Emissions Regulations
    • 2.6.3. CHP Policies
      • 2.6.3.1. United States
      • 2.6.3.2. Germany
      • 2.6.3.3. Russia
      • 2.6.3.4. China
    • 2.6.4. Greater Adoption of Renewables
    • 2.6.5. Increase in Catastrophic Power Outages
    • 2.6.6. Rural Electrification
  • 2.7. Market Barriers
    • 2.7.1. Gas Infrastructure
    • 2.7.2. Interconnection and Utility Barriers
    • 2.7.3. Maintenance Challenges
    • 2.7.4. Energy Content

3. Natural Gas Market Issues

  • 3.1. Overview
  • 3.2. NG Supply
  • 3.3. NG Demand
  • 3.4. LNG Trade
  • 3.5. China
  • 3.6. NG Industry Structure
    • 3.6.1. Upstream Segment
      • 3.6.1.1. Gas Mining
    • 3.6.2. Midstream Segment
    • 3.6.3. Downstream Segment
  • 3.7. NG Pricing

4. Technology Issues

  • 4.1. Overview
  • 4.2. Chemical Characteristics of NG
    • 4.2.1. Pipeline NG
    • 4.2.2. Propane (LPG)
  • 4.3. NG Genset Costs
    • 4.3.1. Installed Cost of NG-Fueled Reciprocating Engine System
    • 4.3.2. Installed Cost of Typical NG-Fueled Reciprocating Engine CHP System
  • 4.4. Genset Applications by Power Rating
    • 4.4.1. Continuous Power
    • 4.4.2. Prime Power
    • 4.4.3. Standby/Backup Power
  • 4.5. NG Genset Technology Development
    • 4.5.1. Fuel Efficiency Improvements
      • 4.5.1.1. Rich-Burn versus Lean-Burn
      • 4.5.1.2. Advanced Reciprocating Engine Systems Program
    • 4.5.2. Ignition Improvements
      • 4.5.2.1. Dual-Fuel Systems
      • 4.5.2.2. Laser Ignition
    • 4.5.3. Monitoring Systems and Software
    • 4.5.4. Low-Btu Reciprocating Gensets

5. Key Industry Players

  • 5.1. Competitive Landscape
    • 5.1.1. 2G CENERGY
    • 5.1.2. Aegis Energy Services
    • 5.1.3. Briggs & Stratton
    • 5.1.4. Caterpillar
    • 5.1.5. Cummins Power Generation
    • 5.1.6. Depco Power Systems
    • 5.1.7. Dresser-Rand (Guascor)
    • 5.1.8. Eaton
    • 5.1.9. E.ON
    • 5.1.10. GE Digital Energy
    • 5.1.11. GE Energy
      • 5.1.11.1. Jenbacher
    • 5.1.12. Generac Power Systems
    • 5.1.13. Kohler Power Systems
    • 5.1.14. MTU Onsite Energy Systems
    • 5.1.15. MWM (Caterpillar)
    • 5.1.16. Schneider Electric
    • 5.1.17. Tecogen, Inc.
    • 5.1.18. Wärtsilä

6. Market Forecasts

  • 6.1. Methodology
  • 6.2. Key Flex Points
  • 6.3. NG Genset Installations Forecast
  • 6.4. Forecasts by Region
    • 6.4.1. North America
    • 6.4.2. Western Europe
    • 6.4.3. Eastern Europe
    • 6.4.4. Asia Pacific
    • 6.4.5. Latin America
    • 6.4.6. Middle East
    • 6.4.7. Africa
  • 6.5. NG Genset Revenue Forecast
    • 6.5.1. Forecast by Region
  • 6.6. Conclusions and Recommendations

7. Company Directory

8. Acronym and Abbreviation List

9. Table of Contents

10. Table of Charts and Figures

11. Scope of Study, Sources and Methodology, Notes

List of Charts and Figures

  • Distributed Generation Installed Capacity Additions and Market Share by Region, World Markets: 2014
  • Distributed Generation Installed Capacity Additions and Market Share by Technology, World Markets: 2014
  • Genset Units Shipped by Power Class, North America: 2011-2014
  • Genset Capacity Shipped by Power Class, North America: 2011-2014
  • Commercial CHP Installed Capacity by Region, World Markets: 2015-2024
  • Diesel vs. Natural Gas Prices by Date, United States: 2007-2014
  • Share of Natural Gas Consumption by Region and Country, World Markets: 2013
  • Top 10 Consumers of Gross Natural Gas per Capita by Country, World Markets: 2012
  • Spot Price of Natural Gas by Market, World Markets: 2001-2014
  • Estimated Capital Cost for Typical Natural Gas Reciprocating Engine Genset, United States: 2003
  • Estimated Cost Breakdown of Typical Natural Gas Genset-Based CHP System: World Markets: 2013
  • Forward Cost Reduction Estimates for Natural Gas Reciprocating Engine Genset by CHP Application, World Markets: 2003-2030
  • Annual Natural Gas Genset Installed Capacity by Region, World Markets: 2015-2024
  • Annual Natural Gas Genset Installed Capacity by Country, North America: 2015-2024
  • Annual Natural Gas Genset Installed Capacity by Country, Western Europe: 2015-2024
  • Annual Natural Gas Genset Installed Capacity by Country, Eastern Europe: 2015-2024
  • Annual Natural Gas Genset Installed Capacity by Country, Asia Pacific: 2015-2024
  • Annual Natural Gas Genset Installed Capacity by Country, Latin America: 2015-2024
  • Annual Natural Gas Genset Installed Capacity by Country, Middle East: 2015-2024
  • Annual Natural Gas Genset Installed Capacity by Country, Africa: 2015-2024
  • Annual Natural Gas Genset Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2015-2024
  • Market Share of Cumulative Natural Gas Genset Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2024

List of Tables

  • Applications and Markets for Gas-Fired DG Technologies
  • Reciprocating Engine Types by Speed Classification (Available MW Ratings)
  • Estimated Genset Market Share by Power Class and Fuel, United States: 2014
  • Reciprocating Engine Genset Market Overview
  • Example Emerging Opportunities for Natural Gas Gensets
  • Availabilities and Outage Rates for Natural Gas Engines by Metric, United States: 2004
  • Historical Outage Data by Year, United States: 2008-2014
  • Estimated Losses per Hour of Grid Failure by Operations/Industry
  • Electricity Access, Regional Aggregates: 2012
  • Major Constituents of Gaseous Fuels
  • Comparison of Installed Costs by Distributed Generation Technology, World Markets: 2014
  • Snapshot of Natural Gas Genset OEM Market
  • Commercial CHP Installed Capacity by Region, World Markets: 2015-2024
  • Diesel vs. Natural Gas Prices by Date, United States: 2007-2014
  • Share of Natural Gas Consumption by Region and Country, World Markets: 2013
  • Distributed Generation Installed Capacity Additions and Market Share by Region, World Markets: 2014
  • Distributed Generation Installed Capacity Additions and Market Share by Technology, World Markets: 2014
  • Genset Units Shipped by Power Class, North America: 2011-2014
  • Genset Capacity Shipped by Power Class, North America: 2011-2014
  • Top 10 Consumers of Gross Natural Gas per Capita by Country, World Markets: 2012
  • Spot Price of Natural Gas by Market, World Markets: 2001-2014
  • Estimated Capital Cost for Typical Natural Gas Reciprocating Engine Genset, United States: 2003
  • Annual Natural Gas Genset Installed Capacity by Region and Country, World Markets: 2015-2024
  • Estimated Capital Cost for Typical Natural Gas Reciprocating Engine Genset in Grid-Connected CHP Applications, United States: 2013
  • Forward Cost Reduction Estimates for Natural Gas Reciprocating Engine Genset by CHP Application, World Markets: 2003-2030
  • Annual Natural Gas Genset Installed Capacity by Region, World Markets: 2015-2024
  • Annual Natural Gas Genset Revenue by Region and Country, World Markets: 2015-2024
  • Annual Natural Gas Genset Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2015-2024
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