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市場調査レポート

世界の電動バイクおよびスクーターの市場:市場の成長促進要因と阻害要因、技術面の課題、主要企業、世界的な需要の予測

Electric Motorcycles and Scooters: Market Drivers and Barriers, Technology Issues, Key Industry Players and Global Demand Forecasts

発行 Navigant Research 商品コード 180846
出版日 ページ情報 英文 81 Pages; 69 Tables, Charts & Figures
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世界の電動バイクおよびスクーターの市場:市場の成長促進要因と阻害要因、技術面の課題、主要企業、世界的な需要の予測 Electric Motorcycles and Scooters: Market Drivers and Barriers, Technology Issues, Key Industry Players and Global Demand Forecasts
出版日: 2015年03月16日 ページ情報: 英文 81 Pages; 69 Tables, Charts & Figures
担当者のコメント
電動2輪車ではベストセラーな調査レポートです。
概要

電動バイクとスクーターを含む電動二輪車の市場では、世界同時不況の影響を脱した後も低成長が続いています。当面、部品価格の上昇と需要の低迷が続くため、販売台数の大幅な伸びは期待できませんが、消費者向けの市場は成長を続けており、新たなメーカーの参入や部品供給企業の生産能力拡大なども期待できることから、多くの地域で更なる成長が見込めます。現在電動二輪車市場をリードしているのは中国ですが、今後は販売台数が減少する見通しであり、成長の原動力は他の地域に移ると思われます。電動二輪車市場の成長を促す要因は、ガソリン価格の高騰、技術の熟成、都市部における交通の混雑などですが、価格の高さ、販売台数の少なさ、性能の低さなど、課題も少なくありません。世界市場における年間販売台数は、電動バイクが2015年の120万台から2024年には150万台に、電動スクーターは410万台から440万台に増える見通しです。

当レポートは、世界の電動二輪車と電池の市場に光を当て、市場の成長促進要因と阻害要因、技術面の主な課題、各国政府の政策の影響などを明らかにしたもので、同等レベルの内燃機関を搭載した二輪車との比較、電気自動車の充電技術がもたらす影響についての分析、主要企業のプロファイルなども盛り込んでお届けいたします。

第1章 エグゼクティブサマリー

第2章 市場の課題

  • 定義
  • 地域別競合状況および市場市場要素
    • 北米
    • 欧州
    • アジア太平洋
    • 南米
    • 中東とアフリカ
  • 市場の成長促進要因
    • 革新的な新製品の提供
      • 折り畳み式E-スクーター
      • 水素燃料電池スクーター
      • 軽量E-バイク
      • E-スクーターシェアリング
    • 大手メーカーの市場参入者(E-バイク)
      • Harley-Davidson Project LiveWire
      • Polaris Industries
      • ヤマハ発動機
    • 自動車メーカー製E-PTWs
    • 業務利用
    • 性能、レース用およびオフロード用バイク
    • E-PTW 優遇策
      • 米国
        • カリフォルニア州
        • ジョージア州
        • イリノイ州
        • マサチューセッツ州
        • オレゴン州
      • 西欧
        • オーストリア
        • イタリア
        • スペイン
      • アジア太平洋地域
        • インド
        • 台湾
    • 交通と排ガスの制限
  • 市場の成長阻害要因
    • 価格
    • 車両の供給体制と製品の性能
    • 地形と気候
    • 原油価格(燃料費)の下落

第3章 技術の課題

  • 電池技術
    • 密閉型鉛蓄電池(SLA)
    • ニッケル水素電池(NiMH)
    • リチウムイオン電池(Li-ion)
  • 電池の管理
  • 電動機
  • 回生ブレーキ
  • 車両駆動系コンポーネントのコストのトレンド
  • 車両のネットワーク接続機能
  • 車両の充電技術

第4章 関連業界の主な企業

  • 主な二輪車メーカー
    • BMW Motorrad International
    • Brammo, Inc.
    • GOVECS
    • iO Scooter
    • Jiangsu Xinri E-Vehicle Co., Ltd.
    • Terra Motors
    • Zero Motorcycles, Inc.
  • 主な部品供給企業
    • Flextronics
    • パナソニック/サンヨー
    • Parker Hannafin
    • Samsung SDI
    • Sevcon
    • Tianneng Power International Ltd.
  • 市場に参入している主な企業
    • AllCell Technologies
    • Alta Motors
    • BOXX Corp
    • Chaowei Power
    • E.T Scooter
    • Gogoro
    • Green Energy Motors
    • Greenwit Technologies (Motorino)
    • Harley-Davidson
    • Hollywood Electrics
    • ホンダ
    • Huafu High Technology Energy Storage Co., Ltd.
    • KTM
    • Lightning Motorcycles
    • Mahindra GenZe
    • Mission Motors
    • Peugeot Scooters
    • スズキ
    • Yadea Technology Group Co., Ltd.
    • ヤマハ発動機

第5章 市場予測

  • 内燃機関式スクーターとバイクの市場
  • 電動スクーター市場
  • 電動バイク市場
  • 電動機サイズ別の市場区分
  • 電池タイプ別の市場区分
  • 結論と提言

第6章 企業要覧

第7章 頭字語と略語

第8章 目次

第9章 図表

第10章 調査範囲、資料、調査方法、注記

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目次
Product Code: EMOT-15

Market Drivers and Barriers, Technology Issues, Key Industry Players, and Global Demand Forecasts

The electric power two-wheel (e-PTW) vehicle industry is expected to achieve stable and continuous growth during the coming years as several large OEMs enter the market and decreasing battery costs make products more affordable. In the electric scooter (e-scooter) market, e-scooter battery-swapping startup Gogoro is offering its customers a battery swapping network to reduce the cost of buying a vehicle. Meanwhile, the acquisition of Brammo by Polaris Industries may have kick-started the entrance of large market players into the electric motorcycle (e-motorcycle) market.

The e-PTW market is led by China, where most of the world's e-motorcycles and e-scooters are sold. However, restrictive congestion/emissions policies and lower-than-expected GDP growth are reducing demand in China. Consequently, manufacturers are moving to the e-motorcycle and e-scooter markets in neighboring emerging economies. New products and key industry players continue to enter the market in various regions of the world and cities are becoming increasingly congested with traffic, leading to new e-PTW sales. Yet, e-PTWs face challenges as well, including high purchase prices, limited vehicle availability, and low gasoline prices. According to Navigant Research, global annual sales of e-motorcycles are expected to grow from 1.2 million vehicles in 2015 to 1.5 million in 2024, while sales of e-scooters are expected to grow from 4.1 million to over 4.4 million.

This Navigant Research report examines the global markets for high-powered and low-powered e-motorcycles, e-scooters, and the related battery technologies. The study provides an analysis of the key market drivers, barriers, and technology issues related to e-PTWs, as well as the impact of incentives. Global forecasts for e-PTWs and the batteries used in the vehicles, segmented by region, technology, and internal combustion engine (ICE) motor size equivalent, extend through 2024. The report also examines the market for gasoline motorcycles and scooters, battery market issues, the effect of electric vehicle (EV) charging equipment, and major industry players.

Key Questions Addressed:

  • How do low gasoline prices affect the electric power-two wheeler (e-PTW) market?
  • How do the gasoline motorcycle and scooter markets affect the e-PTW market?
  • What impact will new products and large OEMs have on the e-motorcycle market?
  • What are the key drivers of growth in the e-motorcycle and e-scooter markets?
  • How many e-PTWs will be sold during the next 10 years in major world regions?
  • What are the different types of batteries used in e-motorcycles and e-scooters?
  • How fast will lithium ion batteries penetrate the e-PTW market?
  • Who are the key industry players in the e-motorcycle and e-scooter markets?

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary

  • 1.1. Market Issues
  • 1.2. Technology Issues
  • 1.3. Market Forecasts

2. Market Issues

  • 2.1. Definitions
  • 2.2. Regional Competition and Market Factors
    • 2.2.1. North America
    • 2.2.2. Europe
    • 2.2.3. Asia Pacific
    • 2.2.4. Latin America
    • 2.2.5. Middle East & Africa
  • 2.3. E-PTW Market Drivers
    • 2.3.1. Innovative New Product Offerings
      • 2.3.1.1. Fold-Up E-Scooters
      • 2.3.1.2. Hydrogen Fuel Cell Scooter
      • 2.3.1.3. Lightweight E-Motorcycles
      • 2.3.1.4. E-Scooter Sharing
      • 2.3.1.5. E-Scooter Battery Swapping
    • 2.3.2. Large Brand Market Entrants (E-Motorcycles)
      • 2.3.2.1. Harley-Davidson Project LiveWire
      • 2.3.2.2. Polaris Industries
      • 2.3.2.3. Yamaha
    • 2.3.3. E-PTWs from Automotive Brands
    • 2.3.4. Fleet Usage
    • 2.3.5. Performance, Racing, and Off-Road Bikes
    • 2.3.6. E-PTW Incentives
      • 2.3.6.1. United States
        • 2.3.6.1.1. California
        • 2.3.6.1.2. Georgia
        • 2.3.6.1.3. Illinois
        • 2.3.6.1.4. Massachusetts
        • 2.3.6.1.5. Oregon
      • 2.3.6.2. Western Europe
        • 2.3.6.2.1. Austria
        • 2.3.6.2.2. Italy
        • 2.3.6.2.3. Spain
      • 2.3.6.3 Asia Pacific
        • 2.3.6.3.1. India
        • 2.3.6.3.2. Taiwan
    • 2.3.7. Traffic and Emissions Restrictions
  • 2.4. Market Barriers
    • 2.4.1. Costs
    • 2.4.2. Vehicle Availability and Product Performance
    • 2.4.3. Geography and Climate
    • 2.4.4. Fall in the Price of Oil (Fuel Costs)

3. Technology Issues

  • 3.1. Battery Technology
    • 3.1.1. SLA
    • 3.1.2. NiMH
    • 3.1.3. Li-Ion
      • 3.1.3.1. Lithium Iron Phosphate
      • 3.1.3.2. Lithium Metal Chemistries
  • 3.2. Battery Management
  • 3.3. Electric Motors
  • 3.4. Regenerative Braking
  • 3.5. Vehicle Drivetrain Component Cost Trends
  • 3.6. Vehicle Connectivity
  • 3.7. Vehicle Recharging

4. Key Industry Players

  • 4.1. Key OEMs
    • 4.1.1. BMW Motorrad International
    • 4.1.2. Brammo, Inc. (Now Polaris Industries)
    • 4.1.3. GOVECS
    • 4.1.4. iO Scooter
    • 4.1.5. Jiangsu Xinri E-Vehicle Co., Ltd.
    • 4.1.6. Terra Motors
    • 4.1.7. Zero Motorcycles, Inc.
  • 4.2. Key Industry Suppliers
    • 4.2.1. Flextronics
    • 4.2.2. Panasonic Corp./Sanyo
    • 4.2.3. Parker Hannifin
    • 4.2.4. Samsung SDI
    • 4.2.5. Sevcon
    • 4.2.6. Tianneng Power International Ltd.
  • 4.3. Industry Participants
    • 4.3.1. AllCell Technologies
    • 4.3.2. Alta Motors
    • 4.3.3. BOXX Corp.
    • 4.3.4. Chaowei Power
    • 4.3.5. E.T Scooter
    • 4.3.6. Gogoro
    • 4.3.7. Green Energy Motors
    • 4.3.8. Greenwit Technologies (Motorino)
    • 4.3.9. Harley-Davidson
    • 4.3.10. Hollywood Electrics
    • 4.3.11. Honda Motor Co., Ltd.
    • 4.3.12. Huafu High Technology Energy Storage Co., Ltd.
    • 4.3.13. KTM
    • 4.3.14. Lightning Motorcycles
    • 4.3.15. Mahindra GenZe
    • 4.3.16. Mission Motors
    • 4.3.17. M-Way
    • 4.3.18. Peugeot Scooters
    • 4.3.19. Suzuki
    • 4.3.20. Yadea Technology Group Co., Ltd.
  • 4.3.21. Yamaha Motor Co.

5. Market Forecasts

  • 5.1. ICE Scooter and Motorcycle Market
  • 5.2. E-Scooter Market
  • 5.3. E-Motorcycle Market
  • 5.4. E-PTW Segmentation by Motor Size
  • 5.5. E-PTW Segmentation by Battery Type
  • 5.6. Conclusions and Recommendations

6. Company Directory

7. Acronym and Abbreviation List

8. Table of Contents

9. Table of Charts and Figures

10. Scope of Study, Sources and Methodology, Notes

List of Charts and Figures

  • E-Scooter and E-Motorcycle Sales by Type, World Markets: 2015-2024
  • Retail Gasoline Prices by Region, World Markets: 2015-2024
  • ICE Scooter Sales by Region, World Markets: 2015-2024
  • ICE Motorcycle Sales by Region, World Markets: 2015-2024
  • E-Scooter Sales by Region, China and Rest of World: 2015-2024
  • E-Motorcycle Sales by Power Level, World Markets: 2015-2024
  • E-PTW Sales by ICE cc Equivalent, World Markets: 2015-2024
  • Percentage of Li-Ion Batteries in E-Motorcycles and E-Scooters, World Markets: 2015-2024
  • Battery Capacity of E-PTW Sales by Region, World Markets: 2015-2024
  • E-Motorcycle (Brammo)
  • E-Scooter (Jiangsu Xinri E-Vehicle Co., Ltd.)
  • E-Bicycle (Haibike by Currie Technologies)
  • Stigo Fold-Up Electric Scooter
  • Green Energy Motors Commute-Case E-Scooter
  • MUV-e Folding Scooter
  • Sudaca E-Motorcycle
  • Gogoro E-Scooter and Battery Swap Station
  • Cylinder Li-Ion Battery Cutaway Diagram
  • Prismatic Li-Ion Battery Cutaway Diagram
  • SAE Connectors: J1772 and J1772 Combo Charger
  • CHAdeMO Connector

List of Tables

  • E-PTW Definitions by Region, World Markets: 2015
  • E-PTW and ICE PTW Total Cost of Ownership Comparison: 2015
  • Advanced Batteries Capacity by Segment, World Markets: 2013
  • Retail Gasoline Prices by Region, World Markets: 2009-2014
  • Retail Gasoline Prices by Region, World Markets: 2015-2024
  • Battery Characteristics by Chemistry
  • ICE Scooter Sales by Region, World Markets: 2015-2024
  • ICE Motorcycle Sales by Region, World Markets: 2015-2024
  • E-Scooter Sales by Region, World Markets: 2015-2024
  • Low-Powered E-Motorcycle (Less Than 30 kW/40 hp Peak) Sales by Region, World Markets: 2015-2024
  • High-Powered E-Motorcycle (More Than 30 kW/40 hp Peak) Sales by Region, World Markets: 2015-2024
  • E-Motorcycle Sales by Region, World Markets: 2015-2024
  • E-PTW Sales by ICE cc Equivalent, North America: 2015-2024
  • E-PTW Sales by ICE cc Equivalent, Western Europe: 2015-2024
  • E-PTW Sales by ICE cc Equivalent, Eastern Europe: 2015-2024
  • E-PTW Sales by ICE cc Equivalent, Asia Pacific: 2015-2024
  • E-PTW Sales by ICE cc Equivalent, Latin America: 2015-2024
  • E-PTW Sales by ICE cc Equivalent, Middle East & Africa: 2015-2024
  • E-PTW Sales by ICE cc Equivalent, World Markets: 2015-2024
  • Battery Capacity of E-PTW Sales by Region, World Markets: 2015-2024
  • Battery Capacity of Li-Ion E-Scooter Sales by Region, World Markets: 2015-2024
  • Battery Capacity of SLA E-Scooter Sales by Region, World Markets: 2015-2024
  • E-Scooter Battery Technology Mix by Region, World Markets: 2015-2024
  • Battery Capacity of Li-Ion E-Motorcycle Sales by Region, World Markets: 2015-2024
  • Battery Capacity of SLA E-Motorcycle Sales by Region, World Markets: 2015-2024
  • E-Motorcycle Battery Technology Mix by Region, World Markets: 2015-2024
  • Annual Electricity Use by E-PTW Type, North America: 2015-2024
  • Annual Electricity Use by E-PTW Type, Western Europe: 2015-2024
  • Cities Banning or Restricting Motorcycles, China: 2010
  • Energy Storage Strengths and Weaknesses by Technology: 2015
  • Battery Characteristics by Chemistry
  • Drivetrain Component Percentage of Costs for E-PTWs: 2015
  • BMW Motorrad SWOT Analysis
  • Brammo Product Line
  • Brammo/Polaris SWOT Analysis
  • GOVECS Product Line: 2015
  • GOVECS SWOT Analysis
  • iO Scooter SWOT Analysis
  • Jiangsu Xinri E-Vehicle Co. SWOT Analysis
  • Terra Motors SWOT Analysis
  • Zero Motorcycles Product Line: 2015
  • Zero Motorcycles SWOT Analysis
  • Flextronics SWOT Analysis
  • Panasonic SWOT Analysis
  • Parker Hannifin SWOT Analysis
  • Samsung SDI SWOT Analysis
  • Sevcon SWOT Analysis
  • Tianneng SWOT Analysis
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