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米国国内のエチレン製造プラント建設コスト (2016〜2020年):四半期データの分析と、効率的な比較分析 - 競争的市場におけるコスト管理と期間短縮

US Ethylene Complex Construction Costs Data 2016-2020: Quarterly Data Analysis for Effective Benchmarking - Control Costs and Save Time in a Competitive Marketplace

発行 Petrochemical Update 商品コード 328673
出版日 ページ情報 英文 53 Pages; Dataset 86+ Tabs
納期: 即日から翌営業日
価格
本日の銀行送金レート: 1USD=115.27円で換算しております。
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米国国内のエチレン製造プラント建設コスト (2016〜2020年):四半期データの分析と、効率的な比較分析 - 競争的市場におけるコスト管理と期間短縮 US Ethylene Complex Construction Costs Data 2016-2020: Quarterly Data Analysis for Effective Benchmarking - Control Costs and Save Time in a Competitive Marketplace
出版日: 2016年06月30日 ページ情報: 英文 53 Pages; Dataset 86+ Tabs
概要

北米諸国では現在、20社の企業がエチレン加工プラント (製造装置 (クラッカー)、下流工程のエチレン誘導体プラント) の操業・建設・拡張に参入しています。一方で、他の業界と同じく、建設費用や人件費に関する信頼性の高いデータを確保することが、エチレン加工プラントの建設プロジェクトで成功を収めるのに重要となっています。 稼働中または建設中・計画中のエチレン加工プラントが20か所あります。

当レポートでは、米国におけるエチレン加工プラント (コンビナート) の建設コストの動向見通しについて分析し、エチレン製造業の現状や、プラント建造プロジェクトへの直接的・間接的な影響要因、人件費・材料費の現状と見通し、地域別 (メキシコ湾岸、北東部)・期間別 (「第一の波」/「第二の波」) の詳細動向、現在建設中のプロジェクトの現状と完成見通し、といった情報を取りまとめてお届けいたします。

第1章 エグゼクティブ・サマリー

第2章 イントロダクション

  • 投資のカテゴリー
  • 投資への影響要因
  • 派生的な投資
  • 分析の焦点

第3章 エチレンプラントの建設コスト

  • 「第一の波」の新設エチレン製造装置 (クラッカー):メキシコ湾岸
    • 分析詳細
    • 「第一の波」のコスト構造
    • 年量100万トンのエチレンプラントの場合
    • 年量125万トンのエチレンプラントの場合
    • 年量150万トンのエチレンプラントの場合
    • サマリー
  • 「第二の波」の新設エチレン製造装置:メキシコ湾岸
    • メキシコ湾岸と北東部との比較
  • 新設エチレン製造装置:北東部
  • 経済性の比較分析
  • 拡張規模
    • コスト概要

第4章 エチレン誘導体プラントの建設費用:概略

  • ポリエチレン
    • LDPE (低密度ポリエチレン) チューブ技術
    • LLDPE (直鎖状低密度ポリエチレン) 技術
  • HDPE (高密度ポリエチレン) 技術
    • ガス相のHDPE
    • コスト分析:概略
  • エチレンオキシド (EO)/エチレングリコール (EG)
  • 二塩化エチレン (EDC)/塩ビモノマー (VCM)/ポリ塩化ビニル (PVC)
  • αオレフィン

第5章 課題と問題点

  • 調達
  • 労働力
  • 天候
  • ロジスティクス
  • 輸出競争
  • 計画中のプロジェクト
    • 北東部の利点
    • ポリ塩化ビニル (PVC)
    • 戦略的考察
    • 輸出競争
    • タイミング
  • 石油・ガス価格
  • 石油価格シナリオに関するリスク
  • 建設時の問題:「第二の波」
  • 建設後

第6章 「第一の波」の推定費用

  • エチレン製造プラント
  • 付録
  • 略語一覧

図表一覧

このページに掲載されている内容は最新版と異なる場合があります。詳細はお問い合わせください。

目次

Quarterly data analysis for effective benchmarking - control costs and save time in a competitive marketplace

In North America twenty producers are now planning, constructing or expanding ethylene crackers and downstream derivative plants.

For new and committed investments alike, having access to reliable construction and labor cost data is critical to the success of ethylene complex projects.

This quantitative analysis will enable you to:

  • Manage your Costs: Understand the construction cost environment in the US for ethylene facilities to manage cost escalation, prevent cost overruns and achieve budget optimization.
  • Benchmark your Costs: 2016 cost data for bulk materials, labor, major equipment, detailed design, indirect costs and more.
  • Evaluate your Contracts with itemized data including component quantities and costs for associated labor.
  • Sharpen your Ethylene Investment Strategy: Identify key trends in the petrochemical construction market to enable more accurate financial planning and strategic decision making.

Key questions answered

  • What are the current indirect construction costs on US ethylene projects?
  • What are the current labor and material costs on US ethylene projects?
  • How are labor costs changing in the Gulf Coast?
  • What is the status of projects under construction and when are they likely to be completed?

Table of Contents

  • List of Tables
  • List of Figures

1. Executive Summary

2. Introduction

  • Investment Categories
  • Impact on Investments
  • Derivative Investments
  • Study Focus

3. Ethylene Plant Construction Costs

  • 3.1. First Wave New Crackers: Gulf Coast
    • Report Details
    • The First Wave Cost Profiles
    • 1.0. Million Tons Per Year Ethylene Plant
    • 1.25. Million Tons Per Year Ethylene Plant
    • 1.5. Million Tons Per Year Ethylene Plant
    • Summary
  • 3.2. The Second Wave New Crackers: The Gulf Coast-2020
    • Comparing the Gulf Coast with the Northeast
  • 3.3. New Crackers: Northeast
  • 3.4. Comparative Economics
  • 3.5. Expansion Units
    • Summary costs

4. Derivative Plant Cost Summaries

  • 4.1. Polyethylene
    • LDPE Tubular Technology
    • LLDPE Technologies
  • 4.2. HDPE Technology
    • HDPE Gas Phase
    • Summary Cost Analysis
  • 4.3. EO/EG
  • 4.4. EDC/VCM/PVC
  • 4.5. Alpha-olefins

5. Challenges & Issues

  • 5.1. Procurement
  • 5.2. Labor
    • Craft Data Results
  • 5.3. Weather
  • 5.4. Logistics
  • 5.5. Export competition
  • 5.6. Projects in Planning
    • Northeast Advantage
    • PVC
    • Strategic Considerations
    • Export Competition
    • Timing
  • 5.7. Oil and Gas Prices
  • 5.8. Risks with Oil Price Scenarios
  • 5.9. Construction Issues: Second wave
  • Post-construction

6. Estimated Costs of First Wave

  • Ethylene Complexes
  • Appendix
    • Methodology and Estimation Basis
    • Future Inflation/Escalation Rates (Applies to all Cost Models)
    • Estimating Basis
    • Exclusions & Qualifications
    • Cost Data Summary Tables
  • Acronyms

Tables

  • Table 1: Total Estimated Cost of the First Wave
  • Table 2: Ethylene Cracker Projects in North America
  • Table 3: North American Ethylene Capacity Under Construction: The First Wave (2016-2021 Start-up)
  • Table 4: US Ethylene Derivative Unit Projects
  • Table 5: First Wave US Ethylene Cracker and Expansion Projects (2016 to 2021 Start up)
  • Table 6: Second Wave Potential New Ethylene Cracker Projects in the US
  • Table 7: New Ethylene Cracker Sizes by Location (KTA)
  • Table 8: Cracker Capacities Covered by the Research
  • Table 9: Cost Categories Included in the Analysis
  • Table 10: Gulf Coast Major Equipment Costs 1.25 MMTPY Base Case
  • Table 11: 1.25 MMTPY Gulf Coast Bulk Materials Costs Base Case
  • Table 12: 1.25 MMTPY Gulf Coast Indirect Costs Base Case
  • Table 13: 1.25 MMTPY Gulf Coast Cracker Cost Summary
  • Table 14: Estimated Project Cost of 1.0, 1.25 and 1.5 MMTPY Gulf Coast Crackers
  • Table 15: Second Wave Construction and Design Cost Estimates (Construction Starting in 2020)
  • Table 16: First and Second Wave Gulf Coast Cracker Cost Comparison
  • Table 17: US Ethylene Expansions
  • Table 18: 200 (KTA) Gulf Coast Ethylene Expansion Unit Major Equipment Costs
  • Table 19: 200 (KTA) Gulf Coast Ethylene Expansion Unit Bulk Materials Costs
  • Table 20: 200 (KTA) Gulf Coast Ethylene Expansion Unit Indirect Costs
  • Table 21: 200 (KTA) Gulf Coast Ethylene Expansion Unit Cost Summary
  • Table 22: Derivative Complex Cost Estimates
  • Table 23: Polyethylene Technology Licensors and Owners
  • Table 24: Derivative Unit Cost Estimates
  • Table 25: Annual Craft Wages
  • Table 26: Estimated Complex Construction Cost for Projects Under Construction in the US .

Figures

  • Figure 1: Comparative Ethylene Cracker Costs, Base Case, Gulf Coast
  • Figure 2: Second Wave Ethane Cracker Construction Cost Summary (Construction to Start 2020)
  • Figure 3: 200 (KTA) Gulf Coast Ethylene Expansion Unit Cost Summary
  • Figure 4: Cumulative Shale Gas Chemical Investment
  • Figure 5: US Oil to Gas Price Ratio
  • Figure 6: Ethylene Margins Ethane vs Naphtha Feedstock
  • Figure 7: Gulf Coast Cracker Project Cost Comparison
  • Figure 8: 1.0 MMTPY Gulf Coast Ethylene Plant Cost Summary
  • Figure 9: 1.25 MMTPY Gulf Coast Ethylene Plant Cost Summary
  • Figure 10: 1.25 MMTPY Gulf Coast Major Equipment Costs (Excluding Columns)
  • Figure 11: 1.25 MMTPY Gulf Coast Bulk Materials Costs
  • Figure 12: 1.25 MMTPY Gulf Coast Indirect Costs
  • Figure 13: 1.5 MMTPY Gulf Coast Ethylene Plant Cost Summary
  • Figure 14: Second Wave Cracker Cost Comparison (Construction Starting in 2020)
  • Figure 15: Project Construction and Detailed Design Forecasts 1.0 MMTPY Cracker 2016-2020 (Gulf Coast) $Millions
  • Figure 16: 1.25 MMTPY Gulf Coast Construction and Design Costs Forecast 2016-2020
  • Figure 17: 1.5 MMTPY Gulf Coast Construction and Design Costs Forecast 2016-2020
  • Figure 18: 1.25 MMTPY North East Cost Summary
  • Figure 19: 1.25 MMTPY Construction and Design Costs Forecast 2016-2020
  • Figure 20: 200 (KTA) Gulf Coast Expansion Unit Cost Summary
  • Figure 21: 200 (KTA) Gulf Coast Expansion Unit Major Equipment Costs
  • Figure 22: 200 (KTA) Gulf Coast Expansion Unit Bulk Materials
  • Figure 23: 200 (KTA) Gulf Coast Expansion Unit Indirect Costs
  • Figure 24: Oil to Gas Price Ratio at a Range of Commodity Prices

Excel Workbook Contents

An excel workbook comprising over 85 tabs and containing all the data in this study is provided for all clients. Escalation rates and quarterly updates are available only for Full Spectrum subscribers. The tabs in the excel sheet are listed below.

Cost Spreadsheets

  • 200 (KTA) Gulf Coast Expansion Unit
  • 1.0 MMTPY Gulf Coast
  • 1.25 MMTPY Gulf Coast
  • 1.25 MMTPY North East
  • 1.5 MMTPY Gulf Coast

Escalation Rate Tables

  • 200 (KTA) Expansion Unit Escalation Rates
  • 1.0 MMTPY Gulf Coast Escalation Rates
  • 1.25 MMTPY Gulf Coast Escalation Rates
  • 1.25 MMTPY North East Escalation Rates
  • 1.5 MMTPY Gulf Coast Escalation Rates

Cost Forecasts

  • Gulf Coast Projects Construction & Design Cost Forecasts
  • Gulf Coast 2022 Forecasts
  • North East Project Construction & Design Cost Forecasts
  • North East 2022 Forecast
  • 200 (KTA) Expansion Unit Forecast

Key Cost Category Data

  • 0.2 Major Equipment
  • 0.2 Bulk Materials
  • 0.2 Indirect Costs
  • 0.2 Cost Summary
  • 1.0 Major Equipment
  • 1.0 Bulk Materials
  • 1.0 Indirect Costs
  • 1.0 Cost Summary
  • 1.25 Major Equipment
  • 1.25 Bulk Materials
  • 1.25 Indirect Costs
  • 1.25 Cost Summary
  • 1.25 North East Major Equipment
  • 1.25 North East Bulk Materials
  • 1.25 North East Indirect Costs
  • 1.25 North East Cost Summary

1.5 Major Equipment

  • 1.5 Bulk Materials
  • 1.5 Indirect Costs
  • 1.5 Cost Summary

Quarterly Update Contents

Quarterly Updates to construction data are provided in March, July, October and January.

  • New Cracker Project Status Updates
  • Key Construction Issues
  • Total Construction Costs Comparison
  • Major Equipment Costs Comparison
  • Bulk Materials Costs Comparison
  • Indirect Costs Comparison
  • Other Costs Comparison
  • Methodology & Estimation Basis

Quarterly Spreadsheet Contents

  • Ethane Cracker Construction Projects
  • Total Construction Cost Comparison
  • Gulf Coast Project Cost Comparison
  • Oil vs Natural Gas Prices Ratio
  • Total Construction Cost Comparison
  • Gulf Coast Project Cost Comparison
  • 0.2 MT GC Bulk Materials
  • 0.2 MT GC Major Equipment
  • 0.2 MT GC Indirect Costs
  • 1.0 MT GC Bulk Materials
  • 1.0 MT GC Major Equipment
  • 1.0 MT GC Indirect Costs
  • 1.25 MT NE Bulk Materials
  • 1.25 MT NE Major Equipment
  • 1.25 MT NE Indirect Costs
  • 1.25 MT GC Bulk Materials
  • 1.25 MT GC Major Equipment
  • 1.25 MT GC Indirect Costs
  • 1.5 MT GC Bulk Materials
  • 1.5 MT GC Major Equipment
  • 1.5 MT GC Indirect Costs

Escalation Rates

  • 0.2 Expansion Unit
  • 1.0 Gulf Coast
  • 1.25Gulf Coast
  • 1.25 North East
  • 1.5 Gulf Coast
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