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南アジアのスマートグリッド市場予測(2020年~2029年)

South Asia Smart Grid: Market Forecast (2020 - 2029)

出版日: | 発行: Northeast Group, LLC | ページ情報: 英文 120 Page PDF, 28 Slides, Excel Dataset | 納期: 即日から翌営業日

価格
価格表記: USDを日本円(税抜)に換算
本日の銀行送金レート: 1USD=105.26円
南アジアのスマートグリッド市場予測(2020年~2029年)
出版日: 2020年10月30日
発行: Northeast Group, LLC
ページ情報: 英文 120 Page PDF, 28 Slides, Excel Dataset
納期: 即日から翌営業日
  • 全表示
  • 概要
  • 図表
  • 目次
概要

南アジアは現在、世界で最も急速にスマートグリッドインフラ投資が好転を遂げている地域でであり、今後10年間のインドの展開の強さにより、南アジアは世界最大のスマートグリッド市場の1つになる可能性があります。規制上の行き詰まり、プロジェクトの遅延、ローンのキャンセルなどが、数百万台のスマートメーターの導入と契約の獲得につながっています。しかしながら、まだいくつかの障害に直面している地域では、この傾向はさまざまな方向から覆される可能性があります。

当レポートは、南アジアのスマートグリッド市場について調査しており、市場の予測、国別の市場分析、ベンダー情勢などの情報を提供しています。

目次

エグゼクティブサマリー

第1章 2020年の新機能

第2章 南アジア:地域のスナップショット

第3章 市場予測

第4章 インド

  • 電気産業の構造
  • 市場の準備
  • スマートグリッド規制
  • インドの州
  • スマートグリッド活動
  • スマートグリッド予測

第5章 パキスタン

  • 電気産業の構造
  • 市場の準備
  • スマートグリッド規制
  • パキスタンのアジア開発銀行プロジェクト
  • スマートグリッド活動
  • スマートグリッド予測

第6章 バングラデシュ

  • 電気産業の構造
  • 市場の準備
  • スマートグリッド規制
  • スマートグリッド活動
  • スマートグリッド予測

第7章 ネパール

  • 電気産業の構造
  • 市場の準備
  • スマートグリッド規制
  • スマートグリッド活動
  • スマートグリッド予測

第8章 スリランカ

  • 電気産業の構造
  • 市場の準備
  • スマートグリッド規制
  • スマートグリッド活動
  • スマートグリッド予測

第9章 ベンダー活動

  • 市場シェア:AMIベンダー
  • ローカルベンダー
  • 市場シェア:国際ベンダー
  • 世界の計量ベンダー
  • 世界のグリッド/その他のベンダー
  • 中国のベンダー

第10章 付録

  • 公益事業リスト
  • 調査手法
  • スマートグリッドの概要
  • 世界のスマートグリッド活動
  • 企業と略語のリスト
図表

List of Figures and Tables

  • South Asia smart grid: Key takeaways
  • Smart metering status and plans at top 25 South Asian utilities
  • Figure 1.1: Covid-19 government response stringency index
  • Figure 1.2: India GDP growth rate 2000-2021
  • Table 1.1: Country updates
  • Figure 1.3: India - recent and upcoming activity
  • Table 1.2: Meters deployed through UDAY program
  • Table 1.3: India NSGM large-scale projects
  • Table 1.4: India NSGM pilot projects
  • Table 1.5: EESL tenders
  • Figure 1.4: Leading states in India in 2020
  • Table 1.6: Key smart meter projects in Delhi
  • Figure 1.5: Regional activity outside India
  • Figure 1.6: PT Hexing award timeline
  • Figure 1.7: Political risk in South Asia
  • Figure 2.1: Smart meter market attractiveness matrix
  • Figure 2.2: Electrification & CO2 emissions
  • Figure 2.3: Per-capita electricity consumption
  • Table 2.1: Impact of Covid-19 on GDP growth projections
  • Table 2.2: Smart grid drivers
  • Table 2.3: Confronting smart grid barriers
  • Figure 2.4: Battery cost forecasts across 28 studies
  • Figure 2.5: South Asia EVSE cumulative forecast
  • Table 2.4: South Asia EVSE cumulative forecast ($)
  • Figure 3.1: Regional AMI penetration %
  • Figure 3.2: South Asia smart grid cumulative forecast (by segment)
  • Table 3.1: South Asia smart gird cumulative forecast data ($m)
  • Figure 3.3: South Asia smart grid cumulative forecast (by country)
  • Table 3.2: South Asia smart grid cumulative forecast (by country, $m)
  • Figure 3.4: South Asia AMI cumulative forecast (units)
  • Table 3.3: South Asia AMI cumulative forecast (units, m)
  • Figure 3.5: South Asia smart grid annual forecast (by segment)
  • Table 3.4: South Asia smart grid annual forecast data ($m)
  • Figure 3.6: South Asia smart grid annual forecast (by country)
  • Table 3.5: South Asia smart grid annual forecast (by country, $m)
  • Figure 3.7: South Asia AMI annual forecast (units)
  • Table 3.6: South Asia AMI annual forecast (units (m)
  • Figure 3.9: AMI penetration % by country
  • Figure 4.1: T&D losses at Indian utilities
  • Table 4.1: India smart grid indicators
  • Table 4.2: India smart grid regulatory environment - key policies
  • Table 4.3: India smart grid regulatory environment - foundational policies
  • Figure 4.2: T&D losses in India - by state
  • Table 4.4: Distribution of EESL AMI tenders
  • Table 4.5: Top ten Indian states by customer total
  • Table 4.6: Updates on leading utilities in India
  • Figure 4.3: India smart grid cumulative forecast
  • Table 4.7: India smart grid cumulative forecast data ($m)
  • Figure 5.1: T&D losses at Pakistan utilities
  • Table 5.1: Pakistan smart grid indicators
  • Table 5.2: Pakistan smart grid regulatory environment
  • Figure 5.2: ADB project cancellation & revival
  • Table 5.3: Updates on leading utilities in Pakistan
  • Figure 5.3: Pakistan smart grid cumulative forecast
  • Table 5.4: Pakistan smart grid cumulative forecast data ($m)
  • Table 6.1: Bangladesh smart grid indicators
  • Table 6.2: Bangladesh smart grid regulatory environment
  • Table 6.3: Updates on leading utilities in Bangladesh
  • Figure 6.1: Bangladesh smart grid cumulative forecast
  • Table 6.4: Bangladesh smart grid cumulative forecast data ($m)
  • Table 7.1: Nepal smart grid indicators
  • Table 7.2: Nepal smart grid regulatory environment
  • Table 7.3: Updates on leading utilities in Nepal
  • Figure 7.1: Nepal smart grid cumulative forecast
  • Table 7.4: Nepal smart grid cumulative forecast data ($m)
  • Table 8.1: Sri Lanka smart grid indicators
  • Table 8.2: Sri Lanka smart grid regulatory environment
  • Table 8.3: Updates on leading utilities in Sri Lanka
  • Figure 8.1: Sri Lanka smart grid cumulative forecast
  • Table 8.4: Sri Lanka smart grid cumulative forecast data ($m)
  • Figure 9.1: Market share of leading AMI hardware vendors
  • Figure 9.2: Local vendors in South Asia
  • Table 9.1: Leading South Asia smart grid vendors
  • Figure 9.3: International vendor participation in South Asia AMI projects
  • Table 9.2: Leading international metering vendors
  • Table 9.3: Leading international grid/other vendors
  • Table 9.4: Chinese vendors
  • Table 10.1: List of India utilities
  • Table 10.2: India utilities full names & acronyms
  • Table 10.3: List of Pakistan utilities
  • Figure 10.1: South Asia smart grid focus
  • Table 10.4: Investment in five key smart grid segments
  • Figure 10.2: Global smart grid activity
  • Figure 10.3: Cumulative smart grid investment 2020-2029 (global regions)
  • Figure 10.4: Annual smart grid investment - global share 2020 & 2029
  • Table 10.5: Global smart grid drivers and activity
目次

South Asia is now undergoing what is arguably the most rapid turnaround of smart grid infrastructure investment in the world. Regulatory deadlock, delayed projects, and cancelled loans have given way to completed deployments and contract awards for millions of smart meters. The news is encouraging, but in a region that still faces several obstacles, it is a trend that could also be upended from several directions, not least of all the Covid19 crisis that has reshaped the world in a matter of months. South Asia has been hit particularly hard and the entire region is still drudging through a recession, which by some estimates will not see the economy return to pre-Covid levels until 2022. That said, project slowdowns seem to have dissipated, and a slight uptick in meter deployments is forecast for 2021 and 2022 to account for lost 2020 deployments. Additionally, in the midst of a society under lockdown, the advantages of remote-controlled, two-way AMI metering have become abundantly clear.

India makes up the vast majority of the South Asia market, not surprising as it is the world's largest metering market (excluding the insular market of China). Of the 314 million meters in the region, 245 million (78%) are in India. Multiple states in India (an important classification, as India's smart grid development is largely determined at the state level) have smart meter markets that easily surpass those of neighboring Bangladesh, Nepal, and Sri Lanka.

Accompanying India's numerical dominance is a national government dedicated to mass smart grid infrastructure investment, first and foremost through nationwide smart metering. This is mainly motivated by the woeful financial condition of India's distribution utilities ("discoms") which collectively owe $15.3 billion as of April 2020, the main culprit being electricity theft (or "nontechnical losses"). India's Ministry of Power has assembled a network of programs and financing mechanisms to encourage individual states and utilities to pursue massive AMI deployments. The most visible element is India's state-run ESCO, Energy Efficiency Services Limited (EESL) which has made headlines by releasing multiple tenders since 2017 for up to 5 million smart meters, to supply rollouts across multiple states. This bulk procurement method has also accomplished what once seemed a dubious target of India's government; bringing per-meter costs down to about $30, a price reduction that has major implications for deployments in the rest of the region.

In Pakistan, the new government has resurrected a cancelled loan from the Asian Development Bank to deploy an initial 2.6 million smart meters. Also on the strength of ADB funding, Nepal is pursuing a national rollout that targets a total of 5 million smart meters by 2025. Both projects demonstrate the continuing necessity of external assistance in the region. Bangladesh, traditionally more committed to prepaid meter deployments, will be conducting an AMI deployment of 850,000 meters with Landis+Gyr, a prime example of an international vendor breaking into a region that mainly seeks to support domestic manufacturers. Sri Lanka remains in the exploratory phases of smart grid infrastructure development.

While Indian vendors have dominated meter hardware contracts, international vendors have a role as suppliers of AMI software and communication networks. International vendors including Itron, Landis+Gyr, Trilliant, CyanConnode, and EDF, among others, have secured contracts in the region. While risks, both including and beyond Covid-19, will continue in a region long known to struggle with corrupt business practices, the strength of India's rollouts over the next 10 years will likely make South Asia one of the largest global smart grid markets.

Key questions answered in this study:

  • How large will the smart grid market be across South Asia?
  • How is Covid-19 impacting the market, short and long-term?
  • Which utilities are poised to begin large-scale smart meter rollouts?
  • Which local and international vendors will be most active in the region?
  • How will the participation of neighboring Chinese vendors impact the market?

Table of Contents

i. Executive summary

1. What's new in 2020?

2. South Asia: Regional snapshot

3. Market forecast

4. India

  • 4.1 Electricity industry structure
  • 4.2 Market readiness
  • 4.3 Smart grid regulations
  • 4.4 Indian states
  • 4.5 Smart grid activity
  • 4.6 Smart grid forecast

5. Pakistan

  • 5.1 Electricity industry structure
  • 5.2 Market readiness
  • 5.3 Smart grid regulations
  • 5.4 Asian Development Bank projects in Pakistan
  • 5.5 Smart grid activity
  • 5.6 Smart grid forecast

6. Bangladesh

  • 6.1 Electricity industry structure
  • 6.2 Market readiness
  • 6.3 Smart grid regulations
  • 6.4 Smart grid activity
  • 6.5 Smart grid forecast

7. Nepal

  • 7.1 Electricity industry structure
  • 7.2 Market readiness
  • 7.3 Smart grid regulations
  • 7.4 Smart grid activity
  • 7.5 Smart grid forecast

8. Sri Lanka

  • 8.1 Electricity industry structure
  • 8.2 Market readiness
  • 8.3 Smart grid regulations
  • 8.4 Smart grid activity
  • 8.5 Smart grid forecast

9. Vendor activity

  • 9.1 Market share - AMI vendors
  • 9.2 Local vendors
  • 9.3 Market share - International vendors
  • 9.4 International metering vendors
  • 9.5 International grid/other vendors
  • 9.6 Chinese vendors

10. Appendix

  • 10.1 Utility lists
  • 10.2 Methodology
  • 10.3 Smart grid overview
  • 10.4 Global smart grid activity
  • 10.5 List of companies and acronyms
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