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サハラ以南のアフリカ諸国における電気検針市場

Sub-Saharan Africa Electricity Metering: Market Forecast (2016-2026)

発行 Northeast Group, LLC 商品コード 301315
出版日 ページ情報 英文 152 Pages
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サハラ以南のアフリカ諸国における電気検針市場 Sub-Saharan Africa Electricity Metering: Market Forecast (2016-2026)
出版日: 2016年02月29日 ページ情報: 英文 152 Pages
概要

サハラ以南のアフリカ地域は力強い持続的経済成長の10年を迎える態勢にあります。この成長を維持するため、各国は電力部門に大規模な投資を行い、急速にその電化プログラムを拡充させています。その中で、電気検針の重要性も高まる見通しであり、大きな市場の可能性が創出されています。ユーティリティ事業者は集金の効率を高め、財政的持続性を得ようと取り組んでおり、アフリカの成長に向けた取り組みの中で、検針部門は重要視されています。この計画には、現在は検針されていない顧客に対する検針の実行、プリペイドシステムの大規模な導入も含まれています。プリペイドシステムは、2016年末には住宅用検針市場において42%を占める見込みで、このシェアは2020年までに61%に拡大すると予測されています。

当レポートでは、サハラ以南のアフリカ諸国における電気検針市場について調査分析し、地域全体の市場規模推計、市場成長の推進因子と障壁、各国のユーティリティ部門の概要、検針部門の状況、電化計画、市場成長予測、主要ベンダーと競合環境などをまとめています。

第1章 イントロダクション

  • アフリカ地域における電気検針
  • アフリカのエネルギー政策における検針の役割

第2章 アフリカにおける検針:概要

  • 地域の比較
  • 市場成長推進因子
  • 市場成長阻害因子
  • 現在の動向

第3章 市場予測

第4章 南アフリカ

  • ユーティリティ部門
  • 成長推進因子・障壁
  • 検針の状況
  • 検針市場の予測

第5章 ナイジェリア

  • ユーティリティ部門
  • 成長推進因子・障壁
  • 検針の状況
  • 検針市場の予測

第6章 ガーナ

  • ユーティリティ部門
  • 成長推進因子・障壁
  • 検針の状況
  • 検針市場の予測

第7章 モザンビーク

  • ユーティリティ部門
  • 成長推進因子・障壁
  • 検針の状況
  • 検針市場の予測

第8章 ケニア

  • ユーティリティ部門
  • 成長推進因子・障壁
  • 検針の状況
  • 検針市場の予測

第9章 タンザニア

  • ユーティリティ部門
  • 成長推進因子・障壁
  • 検針の状況
  • 検針市場の予測

第10章 エチオピア

  • ユーティリティ部門
  • 成長推進因子・障壁
  • 検針の状況
  • 検針市場の予測

第11章 ザンビア

  • ユーティリティ部門
  • 成長推進因子・障壁
  • 検針の状況
  • 検針市場の予測

第12章 セネガル

  • ユーティリティ部門
  • 成長推進因子・障壁
  • 検針の状況
  • 検針市場の予測

第13章 アンゴラ

  • ユーティリティ部門
  • 成長推進因子・障壁
  • 検針の状況
  • 検針市場の予測

第14章 ルワンダ

  • ユーティリティ部門
  • 成長推進因子・障壁
  • 検針の状況
  • 検針市場の予測

第15章 ウガンダ

  • ユーティリティ部門
  • 成長推進因子・障壁
  • 検針の状況
  • 検針市場の予測

第16章 ボツワナ

  • ユーティリティ部門
  • 成長推進因子・障壁
  • 検針の状況
  • 検針市場の予測

第17章 カメルーン

  • ユーティリティ部門
  • 成長推進因子・障壁
  • 検針の状況
  • 検針市場の予測

第18章 ナミビア

  • ユーティリティ部門
  • 成長推進因子・障壁
  • 検針の状況
  • 検針市場の予測

第19章 その他

第20章 ベンダー

第21章 付録

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目次

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Sub-Saharan Africa is poised for a decade of strong, continuous economic growth. In order to sustain this growth, African countries are investing heavily in the power sector and rapidly expanding electrification programs. As they do, electricity metering will increase in importance, creating significant market potential. Metering is critical to Africa's growth efforts as utilities seek to ensure financial sustainability through improved revenue collection. In the near term, this includes implementing metering for currently unmetered customers and large-scale deployments of prepaid meters. By the end of 2016, prepaid meters will make up 42% of the residential metering market and this share will grow to 61% by 2020. AMI metering - often including prepaid features - will also grow significantly in larger countries like Nigeria and South Africa. By 2026, over 90% of electricity meters in Africa will be either AMI or non-communicating prepaid meters.


At the same time, the African metering market faces significant challenges. Most notably, per-capita electricity consumption is the lowest in the world. In percapita consumption terms, the cost of advanced meters may be prohibitively high in some areas. Additionally, large rural populations make electrification impractical in some countries. Finally, political risk remains high across the continent. But these barriers are being lifted, and in some senses, Africa's currently undeveloped market is a positive, as it creates large opportunities for growth. As these trends continue, Africa will have the fastest growing metering market in the world over the next decade.

Table of Contents

i. Executive summary

ii. Methodology

1. Introduction

  • 1.1 Electricity metering in the African context
  • 1.2 The role of metering in Africa's energy policy

2. Africa metering snapshot

  • 2.1 Regional comparison
  • 2.2 Market drivers
  • 2.3 Market barriers

3. Market forecast

4. South Africa

  • 4.1 Utilities in South Africa
  • 4.2 South Africa drivers and barriers
  • 4.3 Metering activity in South Africa
  • 4.4 South Africa metering market forecast

5. Nigeria

  • 5.1 Utilities in Nigeria
  • 5.2 Nigeria drivers and barriers
  • 5.3 Metering activity in Nigeria
  • 5.4 Nigeria metering market forecast

6. Ghana

  • 6.1 Utilities in Ghana
  • 6.2 Ghana drivers and barriers
  • 6.3 Metering activity in Ghana
  • 6.4 Ghana metering market forecast

7. Mozambique

  • 7.1 Utilities in Mozambique
  • 7.2 Mozambique drivers and barriers
  • 7.3 Metering activity in Mozambique
  • 7.4 Mozambique metering market forecast

8. Kenya

  • 8.1 Utilities in Kenya
  • 8.2 Kenya drivers and barriers
  • 8.3 Metering activity in Kenya
  • 8.4 Kenya metering market forecast

9. Tanzania

  • 9.1 Utilities in Tanzania
  • 9.2 Tanzania drivers and barriers
  • 9.3 Metering activity in Tanzania
  • 9.4 Tanzania metering market forecast

10. Ethiopia

  • 10.1 Utilities in Ethiopia
  • 10.2 Ethiopia drivers and barriers
  • 10.3 Metering activity in Ethiopia
  • 10.4 Ethiopia metering market forecast

11. Zambia

  • 11.1 Utilities in Zambia
  • 11.2 Zambia drivers and barriers
  • 11.3 Metering activity in Zambia
  • 11.4 Zambia metering market forecast

12. Senegal

  • 12.1 Utilities in Senegal
  • 12.2 Senegal drivers and barriers
  • 12.3 Metering activity in Senegal
  • 12.4 Senegal metering market forecast

13. Angola

  • 13.1 Utilities in Angola
  • 13.2 Angola drivers and barriers
  • 13.3 Metering activity in Angola
  • 13.4 Angola metering market forecast

14. Rwanda

  • 14.1 Utilities in Rwanda
  • 14.2 Rwanda drivers and barriers
  • 14.3 Metering activity in Rwanda
  • 14.4 Rwanda metering market forecast

15. Uganda

  • 15.1 Utilities in Uganda
  • 15.2 Uganda drivers and barriers
  • 15.3 Metering activity in Uganda
  • 15.4 Uganda metering market forecast

16. Botswana

  • 16.1 Utilities in Botswana
  • 16.2 Botswana drivers and barriers
  • 16.3 Metering activity in Botswana
  • 16.4 Botswana metering market forecast

17. Cameroon

  • 17.1 Utilities in Cameroon
  • 17.2 Cameroon drivers and barriers
  • 17.3 Metering activity in Cameroon
  • 17.4 Cameroon metering market forecast

18. Namibia

  • 18.1 Utilities in Namibia
  • 18.2 Namibia drivers and barriers
  • 18.3 Metering activity in Namibia
  • 18.4 Namibia metering market forecast

19. Other countries

20. Vendors

21. Appendix

  • 21.1 Import and installation vendors in Nigeria
  • 21.2 Companies covered in this report
  • 21.3 List of abbreviations and acronyms

List of Figures, Boxes, and Tables

  • Sub-Saharan Africa electricity metering: Key takeaways
  • Change in smart meter market potential in major African markets
  • Installed base of prepaid meters in 2014 and end of 2016
  • Prepaid meter market penetration in Africa
  • Metering plans at Nigerian utilities
  • Recent metering activity in Africa
  • Annual prepaid and AMI meter shipments (units)
  • African countries by GDP ($bn)
  • Annual AMI spending in Africa ($M)
  • Electrification growth in Sub-Saharan Africa
  • Chinese metering vendors in Sub-Saharan Africa
  • Table 1.1: Metering segments
  • Figure 1.1: Countries participating in Power Africa
  • Figure 2.1: Electricity consumption by region
  • Figure 2.2: GDP growth by region (2016 - 2020)
  • Figure 2.3: Smart meter potential in emerging markets
  • Figure 2.4: Main regional drivers
  • Figure 2.5: GDP growth rates in Africa
  • Figure 2.6: T&D loss rates - EIA as source
  • Figure 2.7: T&D loss rates - alternative sources
  • Figure 2.8: Electrification rates in Sub-Saharan Africa
  • Figure 2.9: Electrification in Africa
  • Figure 2.10: High-voltage transmission lines in Africa
  • Figure 2.11: Electricity consumption per capita
  • Figure 2.12: Urbanization and rural electrification in Africa
  • Figure 2.13: Corruption Perceptions Index scores in Africa
  • Figure 3.1: Penetration rate by meter market segment in Africa
  • Table 3.1: Average meter costs by segment
  • Figure 3.2: Metering market forecast by segment in Africa
  • Figure 3.3: Metering market forecast by country in Africa
  • Table 3.2: Meter forecast data by segment
  • Table 3.3: Meter forecast data by country
  • Figure 3.4: Value of future metering shipments in Africa
  • Table 3.4: Value of future metering shipments in Africa
  • Figure 4.1: Electricity supply and demand in South Africa
  • Figure 4.2: Electricity sales and market segmentation in South Africa
  • Figure 4.3: Eskom demand savings
  • Table 4.1: Local content requirements in South Africa
  • Table 4.2: AMI projects in South Africa
  • Table 4.3: Metering roadmaps at Eskom
  • Figure 4.4: South Africa metering forecast
  • Table 4.1: South Africa metering forecast data
  • Table 5.1: Nigeria utility data
  • Table 5.2: Total meter growth in Nigeria
  • Table 5.3: Residential meter growth in Nigeria
  • Figure 5.1: R2 electricity tariffs across 11 utilities in Nigeria
  • Figure 5.2: Global T&D and billing losses
  • Figure 5.3: Electricity losses across 9 Nigerian utilities
  • Table 5.4: Metering plans at Nigerian utilities
  • Table 5.5: Prepaid metering at Abuja
  • Table 5.6: Prepaid metering at Benin
  • Figure 5.4: CAPEX at BEDC
  • Figure 5.5: AMI investments at JED
  • Figure 5.6: Annual meter deployments at YEDC
  • Figure 5.7: Nigeria metering forecast
  • Table 5.5: Nigeria metering forecast data
  • Figure 6.1: Total customer growth in Ghana
  • Figure 6.2: Average electricity tariff in Ghana
  • Figure 6.3: Electrification rates in Africa
  • Figure 6.4: Ghana metering forecast
  • Table 6.1: Ghana metering forecast data
  • Figure 7.1: Total customers and growth rates in Mozambique
  • Figure 7.2: Electrification rate by region in Mozambique
  • Figure 7.3: Urbanization rates in Africa
  • Figure 7.4: Mozambique metering forecast
  • Table 7.1: Mozambique metering forecast data
  • Figure 8.1: Energy supply and market segmentation in Kenya
  • Figure 8.2: Urban and rural electricity customers in Kenya
  • Figure 8.3: Historical electricity usage and market segmentation in Kenya
  • Figure 8.4: Kenya metering forecast
  • Table 8.1: Kenya metering forecast data
  • Figure 9.1: Total customers since 2006 in Tanzania
  • Figure 9.2: Forecast customer growth in Tanzania
  • Figure 9.3: Per-capita electricity consumption
  • Figure 9.4: Tanzania metering forecast
  • Table 9.1: Tanzania metering forecast data
  • Figure 10.1: Electricity production vs. per-capita consumption in Ethiopia
  • Figure 10.2: Rural vs. urban market segmentation in Ethiopia
  • Figure 10.3: Electrification growth forecast to 2025 in Ethiopia
  • Figure 10.4: Timeline of metering activity and plans in Ethiopia
  • Figure 10.5: Ethiopia metering forecast
  • Table 10.1: Ethiopia metering forecast data
  • Figure 11.1: Total customers and growth rates in Zambia
  • Figure 11.2: Electricity meters in Zambia
  • Figure 11.3: Electrification rates in Africa
  • Figure 11.4: Zambia metering forecast
  • Table 11.1: Zambia metering forecast data
  • Figure 12.1: Total customers since 2007 in Senegal
  • Figure 12.2: Average electricity price in Senegal
  • Figure 12.3: Subpar GDP growth in Senegal
  • Figure 12.4: Senegal metering forecast
  • Table 12.1: Senegal metering forecast data
  • Figure 13.1: Annual meter additions in Angola
  • Figure 13.2: Electrification in Angola
  • Figure 13.3: Metering in Angola
  • Figure 13.4: Angola metering forecast
  • Table 13.1: Angola metering forecast data
  • Figure 14.1: Development capacity forecast in Rwanda
  • Figure 14.2: Number of connections with capacity and demand in Rwanda
  • Figure 14.3: Installation costs per renewable MW of electricity in Rwanda
  • Figure 14.4: Rwanda metering forecast
  • Table 14.1: Rwanda metering forecast data
  • Figure 15.1: Electricity capacity and market segmentation in Uganda
  • Figure 15.2: Total customers and electricity sales in Uganda
  • Figure 15.3: Distribution losses and revenue collection in Uganda
  • Figure 15.4: Uganda metering forecast
  • Table 15.1: Uganda metering forecast data
  • Figure 16.1: Energy supply and market segmentation in Botswana
  • Figure 16.2: Total vs. residential consumption in Botswana
  • Figure 16.3: Electricity consumption by market segmentation in Botswana
  • Figure 16.6: Botswana metering forecast
  • Table 16.1: Botswana metering forecast data
  • Figure 17.1: Meter additions since 2002 in Cameroon
  • Figure 17.2: Planned and actual annual added connections in Cameroon
  • Figure 17.3: Business climate in Cameroon
  • Figure 17.4: Cameroon metering forecast
  • Table 17.1: Cameroon metering forecast data
  • Figure 18.1: Electricity demand vs. generation capacity in Namibia
  • Figure 18.2: Total vs. residential consumption in Namibia
  • Figure 18.3: Percentage of electricity imports in Namibia
  • Figure 18.4: Projected change in prices from shift to prepaid metering in Namibia
  • Figure 18.5: Namibia metering forecast
  • Table 18.1: Namibia metering forecast data
  • Table 19.1: Estimated total meter market size of additional African countries
  • Figure 19.1: Additional countries not considered in detail
  • Table 20.1: Leading international and local vendors in Africa
  • Figure 20.1: Leading metering vendors in Sub-Saharan Africa
  • Figure 20.2: El Sewedy Electrometer activity in Africa
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