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市場調査レポート

LED・スマート街路照明 (街灯) :世界市場の予測 (2015年〜2025年)

Global LED and Smart Street Lighting: Market Forecast (2015-2025)

発行 Northeast Group, LLC 商品コード 296528
出版日 ページ情報 英文 157 Pages
納期: 即日から翌営業日
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LED・スマート街路照明 (街灯) :世界市場の予測 (2015年〜2025年) Global LED and Smart Street Lighting: Market Forecast (2015-2025)
出版日: 2015年04月30日 ページ情報: 英文 157 Pages
概要

現在、世界には総数で3億400万台の街路照明があり、2025年までに3億5,200万台まで増加すると予測されています。街路照明市場は変動期にあり、古い街路照明は新しく交換され、より効率的なLED、半導体照明技術に置き換えられています。さらに進化してネットワーク化すると「スマート」街路照明になります。

当レポートでは、世界のLED・スマート街路照明市場について調査分析し、メリット、課題、ケーススタディ、市場予測、主要市場、ベンダー分析などを含めて、体系的な情報を提供しています。

第1章 イントロダクション

第2章 LED・スマート街路照明のメリットの概要

  • LED街路照明の背景とその他の照明技術との比較
  • LEDのコスト節約の可能性
  • 先進「スマート」街路照明の特徴

第3章 LED・スマート街路照明システムの課題

  • 財政上の課題
  • 財政以外の障害

第4章 ケーススタディ

  • LED・スマート街路照明プロジェクトの特徴
  • Madrid、スペイン
  • Florida、米国
  • San Jose、米国
  • Chattanooga、米国
  • Sao Paulo、ブラジル
  • 韓国
  • Buenos Aires、アルゼンチン
  • Copenhagen、デンマーク
  • Bratislava、スロバキア
  • Almaty、カザフスタン
  • Abu Dhabi、アラブ首長国連邦
  • Durban、南アフリカ
  • Kolkata、インド
  • Dongguan、中国
  • Hanoi、ベトナム

第5章 市場予測

  • 街路照明の総数
  • LED・スマート街路照明のペース
  • LED・スマート街路照明展開のコスト
  • LED街路照明市場の予測
  • スマート街路照明市場の予測

第6章 主要市場

  • 米国
  • 中国
  • 日本
  • ドイツ
  • ブラジル
  • インド
  • メキシコ
  • フランス
  • 英国
  • トルコ
  • 韓国
  • イタリア

第7章 ベンダー

  • 市場動向
  • LED・スマート街路照明の主要ベンダー

第8章 付録

このページに掲載されている内容は最新版と異なる場合があります。詳細はお問い合わせください。

目次

There are currently 304 million total streetlights in the world. This number will grow to 352 million total streetlights by 2025. The public outdoor lighting market is currently undergoing a period of change where legacy streetlights are being replaced with new and more efficient LED, or solid-state lighting technology. Taking this new technology a step further, these LED streetlights are also being networked together with communications to become "smart" streetlights. This study analyzes and forecasts the global market for both LED and smart street lighting through 2025.

image1

LED streetlights will transform cities and municipalities across the globe over the next decade. LEDs offer longer lifetimes, lower energy consumption, and reduced maintenance costs when compared with legacy streetlight technologies. In most developed countries, LEDs are already an economically beneficial alternative to existing streetlights over the lifetime of the light when energy savings are considered, despite their higher upfront cost. But within a few years, LED streetlights are expected to reach cost parity with legacy technologies, making their benefits to costs immediately positive. At this point, they will make economic sense as replacements in almost all countries. Furthermore, with many emerging market countries rapidly urbanizing and in need of improved urban infrastructure, this creates an enormous market opportunity. From 2015 to 2025, countries are expected to invest $53.7 billion in LED street lighting. But LED luminaires are not the sole element in modernized public outdoor lighting. Networked "smart" streetlights help cities further reduce costs through off-peak dimming and reduced maintenance expenditures. As the costs for networked streetlights also rapidly decline, these smart streetlights will find a growing role in cities and municipalities across the globe. In many developed countries, they will serve as part of larger "smart city" concepts, where communications networks can be used to link items such as power and water meters, traffic lights, and parking meters. Smart streetlights also greatly improve safety conditions in a city by reducing the "down time" of streetlights. As soon as lamps expire, officials are notified, so streets rarely go without lighting. In many emerging market metropolises that are managing rising street crime, this will be a particularly strong benefit.

image2

Overall, the LED and smart street lighting market remains young, and some challenges must be overcome. Most importantly, costs must continue to fall for financing to be feasible in many countries - so far costs have fallen even faster than expected. Even so, vendor-led financing (i.e. performance contracting) must continue to develop to enable projects in many emerging market countries. In some of these countries, multilateral financing can help overcome these challenges, and in 2014 the World Bank announced a $1 billion fund exclusively for LED street lighting. Another challenge is a lack of standardization. Particularly for networked streetlights, undeveloped standards could limit vendors' ability to meet rising demand across the globe. Finally, a general preference towards conservatism could lead some cities to stick with legacy technologies even in the face of clear savings from LED and smart streetlights.

image3

image4

Back in 2012, Northeast Group conducted a survey of over 100 US cities, towns, and municipalities that were on the vanguard of LED streetlight deployments. The response was overwhelmingly positive-residents complimented the better light, law enforcement officials praised safety improvement, and cities overall showed significant cost savings. Today in 2015, the business case for LED and smart street lighting has only grown stronger. Improvements in technology have driven costs down while improving the quality of the lights. Northeast Group's most recent 2015 assessment of over 800 LED projects in 90 countries shows that these benefits are shared by cities and municipalities across the globe. Given these clear advantages, LED and smart streetlights are projected to reach 84% and 37% of the total streetlight market, respectively, by 2025. This will total a $63.5 billion market.

Key questions answered in this study:

  • How large will the market for LED and smart streetlights be across 125 countries?
  • How will falling costs impact LED and smart streetlight deployments?
  • What is the streetlight ownership structure in the leading markets?
  • Who are the key vendors throughout the smart streetlight value chain?
  • What hurdles to smart street lighting have been overcome and which ones remain?

Table of Contents

i. Executive Summary

  • i.i What's new in 2015?

ii. Methodology

1. Introduction

  • 1.1 What makes infrastructure "smart?"
  • 1.2 Smart infrastructure applications
  • 1.3 How do smart infrastructure applications build on each other?

2. Overview of LED and smart streetlight benefits

  • 2.1 Background of LED streetlights and comparison with other lighting technologies
  • 2.2 Cost savings potential of LEDs
  • 2.3 Advanced "smart" street lighting features

3. Challenges for LED and smart streetlight systems

  • 3.1 Financing challenges
  • 3.2 Non-financial hurdles

4. Case studies

  • 4.1 Characteristics of LED and smart streetlight projects
  • 4.2 Madrid, Spain
  • 4.3 Florida, US
  • 4.4 San Jos&, US
  • 4.5 Chattanooga, US
  • 4.6 S&atilede;o Paulo, Brazil
  • 4.7 South Korea (nationwide)
  • 4.8 Buenos Aires, Argentina
  • 4.9 Copenhagen, Denmark
  • 4.10 Bratislava, Slovakia
  • 4.11 Almaty, Kazakhstan
  • 4.12 Abu Dhabi, UAE
  • 4.13 Durban, South Africa
  • 4.14 Kolkata, India
  • 4.15 Dongguan, China
  • 4.16 Hanoi, Vietnam

5. Market forecast

  • 5.1 Total number of streetlights
  • 5.2 LED and smart streetlight pace
  • 5.3 Cost of LED and smart streetlight deployments
  • 5.4 LED streetlight market forecast
  • 5.5 Smart streetlight market forecast

6. Leading markets

  • 6.1 United States
  • 6.2 China
  • 6.3 Japan
  • 6.4 Germany
  • 6.5 Brazil
  • 6.6 India
  • 6.7 Mexico
  • 6.8 France
  • 6.9 United Kingdom
  • 6.10 Turkey
  • 6.11 South Korea
  • 6.12 Italy

7. Vendors

  • 7.1 Market trends
  • 7.2 Leading LED and smart streetlight vendors

8. Appendix

  • 8.1 List of projects assessed in this study
  • 8.2 List of abbreviations
  • 8.3 List of companies mentioned in this study

List of Figures, Boxes, and Tables

  • Global LED and smart street lighting: key takeaways
  • Average cost per streetlight of smart LED projects
  • Cumulative per-streetlight savings of LED luminaires in Brazil by year
  • Combined cumulative LED and networked streetlight value by year
  • Difference between 2014 and 2015 cumulative LED streetlight forecasts
  • Difference between 2014 and 2015 cumulative smart streetlight forecasts
  • Global identified LED streetlight projects
  • New LED streetlight projects in 2015
  • Case study examples in this study
  • Snapshots of leading LED and smart streetlight markets
  • Annual combined LED and smart streetlight value in leading markets
  • Locations of smart streetlight vendors
  • Smart streetlight value chain
  • Smart street lighting vendors
  • LED and smart streetlight forecast methodology
  • Table 1.1: Smart infrastructure market segments
  • Figure 1.1: Smart infrastructure overview
  • Table 1.2: Communications technologies
  • Figure 1.2: Smart grid value chain
  • Table 2.1: LED streetlight benefits
  • Figure 2.1: Streetlight directional control
  • Figure 2.2: Response to LED streetlights in Northeast Group's US survey
  • Table 2.2: Different types of streetlight luminaires
  • Figure 2.3: Types of streetlights in Brazil
  • Table 2.3: HPS to LED wattage cross-reference
  • Figure 2.4: Comparison of savings percentages in Sri Lanka and Ukraine
  • Table 2.4: Estimate of payback on LED streetlights in Sri Lanka
  • Figure 2.5: Payback on replacement LED streetlights in Sri Lanka
  • Table 2.5: Estimate of payback on LED streetlights in Ukraine
  • Figure 2.6: Payback on replacement LED streetlights in Ukraine
  • Table 2.6: Estimate of payback on LED streetlights in Germany
  • Figure 2.7: Payback on replacement LED streetlights in Germany
  • Figure 2.8: Average 10-year savings per streetlight from LEDs by region
  • Figure 2.9: Smart streetlight model with different communications systems
  • Figure 2.10: Cost breakdown of smart LED installation with PLC
  • Figure 2.11: Global average savings from smart streetlights based on networking costs
  • Figure 2.12: 10-year breakeven point for networked streetlights based solely on dimming
  • Figure 2.13: Average electricity prices by region
  • Figure 2.14: Average payback on networked streetlights
  • Table 2.7: Estimate of payback on networked streetlights
  • Table 2.8: Summary of cost-benefit analysis examples
  • Table 3.1: Streetlight financing in Europe
  • Table 3.2: Streetlight ownership models
  • Figure 3.1: Countries with only state-owned utilities
  • Figure 3.2: Streetlight ownership in Brazil
  • Figure 3.3: Legal framework for assessing liability of streetlights
  • Table 3.3: Dimming criteria for the standard IESNA RP-8-05
  • Figure 3.4: Countries with NEMA sockets
  • Figure 4.1: Locations of reporting LED and smart streetlight projects
  • Figure 4.2: LED and smart streetlight projects by region
  • Table 4.1: Noteworthy LED and smart streetlight projects in 2014-15
  • Figure 4.3: Case study examples in this study
  • Table 5.1: Total number of streetlights
  • Table 5.2: Cumulative investment in LED and smart streetlights
  • Figure 5.1: Cumulative investment in LED and smart streetlights
  • Figure 5.2: Global LED and smart streetlight penetration rate
  • Figure 5.3: Common types of LED streetlight fixtures
  • Figure 5.4: Average cost per streetlight of smart LED projects
  • Table 5.3: LED and smart streetlight market drivers and barriers
  • Figure 5.5: LED streetlight forecast by lamp type
  • Table 5.4: LED streetlight forecast data by type
  • Figure 5.6: LED streetlight forecast with installation separate
  • Figure 5.7: Regional LED streetlight forecast
  • Table 5.5: LED streetlight forecast data by region
  • Figure 5.8: Regional LED streetlight forecast (simplified)
  • Table 5.6: Smart streetlight forecast data
  • Figure 5.9: Smart streetlight forecast
  • Figure 5.10: Regional smart streetlight forecast
  • Table 5.7: LED streetlight forecast data, networking value only
  • Figure 5.11: Regional smart streetlight forecast (simplified)
  • Figure 6.1: Annual combined LED and smart streetlight value in leading markets
  • Leading markets snapshots
  • United States
  • China
  • Japan
  • Germany
  • Brazil
  • India
  • Mexico
  • France
  • United Kingdom
  • Turkey
  • South Korea
  • Italy
  • Figure 7.1: Relative manufacturing costs of LED chip components
  • Figure 7.2: Smart lighting value chain
  • Figure 7.3: Locations of smart streetlight vendors
  • Table 7.1: Streetlight vendor partnerships
  • Table 7.2: LED chip vendors
  • Table 7.3: LED wafer vendors
  • Table 7.4: LED phosphor vendors
  • Table 7.5: LED driver vendors
  • Table 7.6: General LED lighting vendors
  • Table 7.7: Streetlight network and control vendors
  • Table 7.8: Streetlight communications vendors
  • Figure 7.4: Dominant smart meter communications types by country
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