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市場データ - 電気自動車 (EV) 市場の地域別予測:北米 (米国・カナダ) の小型プラグインEVの市場予測、州別・主要大都市圏別

Market Data - EV Geographic Forecast - North America: US and Canadian Light Duty Plug-In EV Forecasts by Province, State, and Major Metropolitan Area

出版日: | 発行: Guidehouse Insights (formerly Navigant Research) | ページ情報: 英文 33 Pages; 51 Tables, Charts & Figures | 納期: 即納可能 即納可能とは

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価格表記: USDを日本円(税抜)に換算
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市場データ - 電気自動車 (EV) 市場の地域別予測:北米 (米国・カナダ) の小型プラグインEVの市場予測、州別・主要大都市圏別
出版日: 2020年12月10日
発行: Guidehouse Insights (formerly Navigant Research)
ページ情報: 英文 33 Pages; 51 Tables, Charts & Figures
納期: 即納可能 即納可能とは
  • 全表示
  • 概要
  • 図表
  • 目次
概要

世界の小型 (LD) プラグインEV (PEV) の販売台数は、2019年に約250万台に達しまし (前年比30%増)。ただし、2020年は新型コロナウイルス感染症 (COVID-19) の影響で大幅に縮小し (北米市場では20%減)、その影響から脱却するには5年ほど掛かると見込まれています。それでも、長期的な成長動向には変化は無く、現在PEVを保有している富裕層にはCOVID-19の影響が小さいこともあり、2030年までの販売台数の予測は明るいものになっています。

当レポートでは、北米諸国 (米国・カナダ) のプラグイン電気自動車 (PEV) 市場について分析し、全体的な市場規模の動向見通し (2030年まで) や、州別・地域別 (主要大都市圏別) の詳細動向、主な市場促進・抑制要因、今後の政策整備動向 - ゼロエミッション車 (ZEV)、充電インフラ整備ほか - と市場への影響、といった情報を取りまとめてお届けいたします。

目次

第1章 エグゼクティブサマリー

第2章 市場の課題

第3章 分析手法

第4章 市場予測

  • イントロダクション
  • 米国
    • 州別の市場予測
    • 地域別 (大都市圏別) の市場予測
    • EV充電スタンド
  • カナダ
    • 州別の市場予測
    • EV充電スタンド
  • 結論・提言

第5章 頭字語・略語の一覧

第6章 目次

第7章 図表

第8章 分析範囲、データソース、分析手法、注記

図表

LIST OF CHARTS AND FIGURES

  • LD PEV Population by Major Market, Base Scenario, North America, 2020-2030
  • LD PEV Population by Scenario, US: 2020-2030
  • LD PEV Population by Class, Base Scenario, US: 2020-2030
  • LD PEV Sales by Top 10 States, Base Scenario, US: 2030
  • LD PEV Sales by Top 10 Metropolitan Areas, Base Scenario, US: 2030
  • EV Charging Ports by Charger Type, Base Scenario, US: 2020-2030
  • LD PEV Population by Scenario, Canada: 2020-2030
  • LD PEV Population by Class, Base Scenario, Canada: 2020-2030
  • LD PEV Sales by Top 5 Provinces, Base Scenario, Canada: 2030
  • EV Charging Ports by Charger Type, Base Scenario, Canada: 2020-2030
  • VAST Systems Dynamics Innovation Diffusion Approach
  • Example of LDV Charging Port Allocation

LIST OF TABLES

  • LDV Sales by State or Province, North America: 2020-2030
  • LDV Population by State or Province, North America: 2020-2030
  • LD PEV Sales by Powertrain and Scenario, US: 2020-2030
  • LD PEV Sales by Powertrain and Scenario, Canada: 2020-2030
  • LD BEV Sales by State or Province, Conservative Scenario, North America: 2020-2030
  • LD BEV Sales by State or Province, Base Scenario, North America: 2020-2030
  • LD BEV Sales by State or Province, Aggressive Scenario, North America: 2020-2030
  • LD PHEV Sales by State or Province, Conservative Scenario, North America: 2020-2030
  • LD PHEV Sales by State or Province, Base Scenario, North America: 2020-2030
  • LD PHEV Sales by State or Province, Aggressive Scenario, North America: 2020-2030
  • LD PEV Sales by Class and Scenario, US: 2020-2030
  • LD PEV Sales by Class and Scenario, Canada: 2020-2030
  • Top 50 Largest LD PEV Sales by Metropolitan Area, Conservative Scenario, US: 2020-2030
  • Top 50 Largest LD PEV Sales by Metropolitan Area, Base Scenario, US: 2020-2030
  • Top 50 Largest LD PEV Sales by Metropolitan Area, Aggressive Scenario, US: 2020-2030
  • LD PEV Population by Powertrain and Scenario, US: 2020-2030
  • LD PEV Population by Powertrain and Scenario, Canada: 2020-2030
  • LD BEV Population by State or Province, Conservative Scenario, North America: 2020-2030
  • LD BEV Population by State or Province, Base Scenario, North America: 2020-2030
  • LD BEV Population by State or Province, Aggressive Scenario, North America: 2020-2030
  • LD PHEV Population by State or Province, Conservative Scenario, North America: 2020-2030
  • LD PHEV Population by State or Province, Base Scenario, North America: 2020-2030
  • LD PHEV Population by State or Province, Aggressive Scenario, North America: 2020-2030
  • LD PEV Population by Class and Scenario, US: 2020-2030
  • LD PEV Population by Class and Scenario, Canada: 2020-2030
  • Top 50 Largest LD PEV Populations by Metropolitan Area, Conservative Scenario, US: 2020-2030
  • Top 50 Largest LD PEV Populations by Metropolitan Area, Base Scenario, US: 2020-2030
  • Top 50 Largest LD PEV Populations by Metropolitan Area, Aggressive Scenario, US: 2020-2030
  • EV Charging Port Counts by Use Case and Scenario, US: 2020-2030
  • EV Charging Port Counts by Use Case and Scenario, Canada: 2020-2030
  • Residential EV Charging Port Counts by State or Province, Conservative Scenario, North America: 2020-2030
  • Residential EV Charging Port Counts by State or Province, Base Scenario, North America: 2020-2030
  • Residential EV Charging Port Counts by State or Province, Aggressive Scenario, North America: 2020-2030
  • Nonresidential EV Charging Port Counts by State or Province, Conservative Scenario, North America: 2020-2030
  • Nonresidential EV Charging Port Counts by State or Province, Base Scenario, North America: 2020-2030
  • Nonresidential EV Charging Port Counts by State or Province, Aggressive Scenario, North America: 2020-2030
  • EV Geographic Forecast-North America Forecast Drivers and Scenarios
  • Geographic Forecasting Area Labels and Definitions
  • BEV Lithium Ion Battery Pack Pricing, Global Average, All Scenarios: 2020 and 2030
目次
Product Code: MD-EVGNA

Global sales of light duty (LD) plug-in EVs (PEVs) reached nearly 2.5 million in 2019 with a sales growth of 30% over 2018. However, 2020 may tell a different story for the light duty vehicle (LDV) market around the globe. In North America, LDV sales decreased due to the economic impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic. Guidehouse Insights anticipates LDV sales in North America to be down 20% in 2020 from 2019 levels, and even in the best-case scenario, the pandemic will have a lasting economic impact. The LDV market will likely take 5 years to fully recover.

Despite economic impacts to the LDV market, PEVs are proving to be a resilient vehicle market segment in some regions of the world, but less so in North America. In the near term, PEVs in North America are expected to see only a 5% decline from 2019, but long-term sales market share has slowed. The wealthier consumer base that currently purchases PEVs is likely to experience fewer impacts from the economic recession and still consider purchasing a vehicle, whereas other consumers may have to put their purchasing plans on hold. Given that long-term PEV sales expectations assume higher adoption from a broader group of consumers, the economic shift will likely have an impact on PEV sales through 2030.

This Guidehouse Insights report analyzes EV technology innovations, incentives, policies, and vehicle availability to forecast PEV adoption in the US and Canada on a national, state/province, and sub state/province level. Guidehouse Insights employs the Guidehouse Vehicle Adoption Simulation Tool (VAST) to create three forecast scenarios. The forecasts include passenger car (PC) and light truck (LT) breakouts, as well as powertrain breakout by plug-in hybrid EVs (PHEVs) and battery EVs (BEVs). Additionally, the report includes charging port forecasts by residential and nonresidential use cases on a national and state/province level. All forecasts have a conservative, base, and aggressive scenario.

KEY QUESTIONS ADDRESSED:

  • Which areas in North America are most likely to have the strongest penetration of plug-in EVs (PEVs)?
  • What is the projected size of the North American PEV market through 2030?
  • What are the impacts of state and regional market regulations and interventions on the market?
  • What are the emerging implications of increased PEV diffusion?
  • How will markets respond to increased PEV capability?
  • How will additional zero emissions vehicle (ZEV) policies affect PEV sales and population?
  • How will vehicle adoption affect the amount of charging infrastructure?

WHO NEEDS THIS REPORT:

  • Automobile OEM marketing managers
  • Vehicle aftermarket and service management
  • Tier One supplier marketing managers
  • EV charging equipment marketing managers
  • Electric utility management
  • State, province, and city urban planners
  • EV advocacy groups
  • Investor community

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1. Executive Summary

  • 1.1. Introduction
  • 1.2. Market Forecasts

2. Market Issues

  • 2.1. Introduction
    • 2.1.1. Scenarios and Scope
      • 2.1.1.1. Battery Pack and Fuel Prices
      • 2.1.1.2. Consumer VMT
      • 2.1.1.3. Model Availability
      • 2.1.1.4. Policy Environment

3. Methodology

  • 3.1. Vehicle Adoption Simulation Tool Model Overview
    • 3.1.1. Long-Run Market Share-Competition between Powertrains
    • 3.1.2. Fueling Infrastructure and Vehicle Adoption
    • 3.1.3. The Vehicle Sales Forecast and Model Calibration
    • 3.1.4. Geographic Specificity
  • 3.2. The VAST Charger Siting Module Overview

4. Market Forecasts

  • 4.1. Introduction
  • 4.2. US
    • 4.2.1. State Forecasts
    • 4.2.2. Sub-State Forecasts
    • 4.2.3. EV Charging Ports
  • 4.3. Canada
    • 4.3.1. Province Forecasts
    • 4.3.2. EV Charging Ports
  • 4.4. Conclusions and Recommendations

5. Acronym and Abbreviation List

6. Table of Contents

7. Table of Charts and Figures

8. Scope of Study, Sources and Methodology, Notes

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