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市場調査レポート

自動運転技術の世界市場予測:センサーおよびコンピューティングプラットフォーム

Market Data: Automated Driving Technologies - Sensor and Compute Platform: Global Market Forecasts

発行 Guidehouse Insights (formerly Navigant Research) 商品コード 941817
出版日 ページ情報 英文 36 Pages; 74 Tables, Charts & Figures
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自動運転技術の世界市場予測:センサーおよびコンピューティングプラットフォーム Market Data: Automated Driving Technologies - Sensor and Compute Platform: Global Market Forecasts
出版日: 2020年06月12日 ページ情報: 英文 36 Pages; 74 Tables, Charts & Figures
概要

高度に自動化された運転(AD)システムの開発は予想よりも大きな課題であることが証明されており、高度に自動化された車両(HAV)は、2020年代の後半までは数百万のユニットで大規模に展開されるとは予測されていません。しかし、今後数年間で、より高度な先進運転支援システム(ADAS)を追加し、部分的に自動化されたシステムの可用性を従来の車両に拡大する動きが強まっています。

当レポートでは、自動運転技術の世界市場について調査し、さまざまな自動化レベルにおける世界・地域市場における売上予測を提供しています。

第1章 エグゼクティブサマリー

  • 市場概要
  • 範囲
  • 市場予測

第2章 市場課題

  • 自動運転車両の採用
    • 下位レベルの自動化とADAS(先進運転支援システム)
    • デリバリーボット
    • 技術の問題

第3章 データの前提条件

  • 全体的な予測モデリング
  • センシング
  • コンピューティングプラットフォーム

第4章 市場予測

  • イントロダクション
    • 小型自動運転 (AD) 車両の予測
    • デリバリーボット
  • センシング
    • カメラ
    • レーダー
    • Lidar
    • 熱画像
  • コンピューティングプラットフォーム
    • 低性能コンピューティングプラットフォーム
    • 中性能コンピューティングプラットフォーム
    • 高性能コンピューティングプラットフォーム
  • 結論・提言

第5章 頭字語と略語リスト

第6章 目次

第7章 図表

第8章 調査範囲、情報源、 調査手法、注記

図表

LIST OF CHARTS AND FIGURES

  • Annual Volumes by Sensor Type, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Global LDV Sales Forecast: 2005-2030*
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Deployments by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual LD AD Vehicle Deployments by Level, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Delivery Bot Deployments by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Volumes by Sensor Type, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Camera Volumes by Level, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Short-Range Radar Volumes by Level, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Medium/Long-Range Radar Volumes by Level, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Imaging Radar by Level, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Short-Range Lidar by Level, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Long-Range Lidar by Level, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Thermal Imaging by Level, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Low Performance Compute Platforms by Level, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Medium Performance Compute Platforms by Level, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • High Performance Compute Platforms by Level, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual LDV Unit Sales by Region After COVID-19 Impact, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 3 LDV Sales by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 2 LDV Sales by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 1 LDV Sales by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Low Performance Compute Platforms by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Medium Performance Compute Platforms by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • High Performance Compute Platforms by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Refraction AI Delivery Bot Testing in Ann Arbor, Michigan
  • NVIDIA Drive AGX Orin Processor Family
  • Xpeng Motors P7 XPILOT 3.0

LIST OF TABLES

  • Annual LDV Unit Sales by Region After COVID-19 Impact, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Deployments by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 3 LDV Sales by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 2 LDV Sales by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 1 LDV Sales by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Delivery Bot Deployments by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Level 1 Camera Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Level 1 Short-Range Radar Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Level 1 Medium/Long-Range Radar Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Level 1 Imaging Radar Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030*
  • Annual Level 1 Short-Range Lidar Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Level 1 Long-Range Lidar Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030*
  • Annual Level 1 Thermal Imaging Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Level 2 Camera Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Level 2 Short-Range Radar Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Level 2 Medium/Long-Range Radar Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Level 2 Imaging Radar Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Level 2 Short-Range Lidar Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Level 2 Long-Range Lidar Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030*
  • Annual Level 2 Thermal Imaging Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Level 3 Camera Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Level 3 Short-Range Radar Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Level 3 Medium/Long-Range Radar Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Level 3 Imaging Radar Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Level 3 Short-Range Lidar Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Level 3 Long-Range Lidar Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Level 3 Thermal Imaging Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Level 4 Camera Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Level 4 Short-Range Radar Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Level 4 Medium/Long-Range Radar Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Level 4 Imaging Radar Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Level 4 Short-Range Lidar Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Level 4 Long-Range Lidar Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Level 4 Thermal Imaging Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Delivery Bot Camera Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Delivery Bot Short-Range Radar Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Delivery Bot Medium/Long-Range Radar Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Delivery Bot Imaging Radar Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Delivery Bot Short-Range Lidar Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Delivery Bot Long-Range Lidar Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Delivery Bot Thermal Imaging Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Volumes by Sensor Type, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Low Performance Compute Platforms by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Medium Performance Compute Platforms by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • High Performance Compute Platforms by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Low Performance Compute Platforms by Level, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Medium Performance Compute Platforms by Level, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • High Performance Compute Platforms by Level, World Markets: 2020-2030
目次
Product Code: MD-ADT-20

The development of highly automated driving (AD) systems has proven to be a bigger challenge than expected, and highly automated vehicles (HAVs) are not expected to be deployed at scale in the millions of units until well into the second half of the 2020s. However, there is an increasing push to add more capable advanced driver assist systems (ADAS) and expand availability of partially automated systems to conventional vehicles in the next few years.

Much of the core sensing technology and compute platforms initially developed for HAVs are being adapted to ADAS, providing a market for component suppliers to begin to recoup some of the investment made for HAVs and enabling safer vehicles. ADAS enhanced with sensors such as imaging radar, thermal imaging, and short-range lidar can provide more capable automatic emergency braking and crash avoidance. The integration of compute platforms initially developed for AD into new electrical architectures can also enable functions such as over-the-air updates. In the wake of the coronavirus pandemic, deliveries are also expected to be a growing sector of the economy as social distancing persists for an indeterminate period. Automated delivery bots will require many of these same technologies. Leveraging the underlying technologies for AD across the conventional vehicle fleet and new delivery vehicles will likely enable an earlier return on the massive investment already made in AD. As AD matures, the volumes of sensors required will continue to grow.

This Guidehouse Insights report examines the market for the main sensing technologies and compute platforms and provides global and regional market forecasts of sales at various levels of automation through 2030. Data is provided for LDVs and delivery bots used for consumer sales and commercial vehicles for cargo/goods delivery or passengers.

KEY QUESTIONS ADDRESSED:

  • How big is the market for perception systems for driver assist and automated vehicles?
  • What types of sensors are expected to be used at each level of assist or automation and how many are required?
  • How much redundancy will be required and which components will require redundancy at each automation level?
  • Which sensor types are expected to be used at each assist or automation level?
  • How much compute platform performance is required at each assist or automation level?

WHO NEEDS THIS REPORT:

  • Vehicle manufacturers
  • Automotive industry suppliers
  • Insurance companies
  • Commercial fleet managers
  • Taxi operators
  • Mobility service providers
  • City managers
  • Government agencies
  • Car sharing companies
  • Ride-hailing companies
  • Transit providers
  • Vehicle service providers
  • Investor community

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary

  • 1.1. Market Overview
  • 1.2. Scope
  • 1.3. Market Forecast

2. Market Issues

  • 2.1. Automated Vehicle Adoption
    • 2.1.1. Lower Level Automation and Advanced Driver Assist Systems
    • 2.1.2. Delivery Bots
    • 2.1.3. Technology Issues
      • 2.1.3.1. Networking
      • 2.1.3.2. Technology Maturity
        • 2.1.3.2.1. Cameras
        • 2.1.3.2.2. Radar
        • 2.1.3.2.3. Lidar
        • 2.1.3.2.4. Thermal Imaging
      • 2.1.3.3. Power Consumption

3. Data Assumptions

  • 3.1. Overall Forecast Modelling
  • 3.2. Sensing
  • 3.3. Compute Platforms

4. Market Forecasts

  • 4.1. Introduction
    • 4.1.1. Light Duty AD Vehicle Forecast
    • 4.1.2. Delivery Bots
  • 4.2Sensing
    • 4.2.1. Cameras
    • 4.2.2. Radar
    • 4.2.3. Lidar
    • 4.2.4. Thermal Imaging
  • 4.3. Compute Platforms
    • 4.3.1. Low Performance Compute Platforms
    • 4.3.2. Medium Performance Compute Platforms
    • 4.3.3. High Performance Compute Platforms
  • 4.4. Conclusions and Recommendations

5. Acronym and Abbreviation List

6. Table of Contents

7. Table of Charts and Figures

8. Scope of Study, Sources and Methodology, Notes