小型自動運転車の世界市場：消費者向け・商用予測（2023年～2035年）

小型自動運転車は、2023年から2035年にかけて売上が着実に増加すると予想されています。

当レポートでは、世界の小型自動運転車市場を調査し、市場の問題、業界バリューチェーン、市場予測などの情報を提供しています。

目次

第1章 エグゼクティブサマリー

• 概要
• 市場促進要因
• 市場の障壁
• 市場の見通し

第2章 市場の問題

• 促進要因
  • 技術の成熟
  • 市場統合
  • 規制環境
  • 安全性の向上
• 障壁
  • 技術の初期段階
  • ODD発展差
  • 公共認識
  • 安全性と責任
• 価格設定

第3章 業界バリューチェーン

• 競合情勢
• ビジネスモデルの進化

第4章 市場予測

• 調査手法
• LDV予測
• L4 LDAV予測
• L4のOEM収益予測
• L3を超えたL4のOEM収益予測
• L4開発：車両分類別

第5章 結論・提言

• 3大予測
• 提言
  • 自動車メーカー
  • レギュレーター
  • 配車サービス事業者

第6章 頭字語と略語リスト

第7章 目次

第8章 図表

第9章 調査範囲

第10章 出典、調査手法、メモ

List of Tables

• Annual LDV Unit Sales by Region, World Markets: 2023-2035
• Annual L4 LDAV Deployment by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2023-2035
• Annual L4 LDAV Deployment by Region, Conservative Scenario, World Markets: 2023-2035
• Annual L4 LDAV Deployment by Region, Aggressive Scenario, World Markets: 2023-2035
• OEM Equipment Costs per Vehicle by Automation Level, World Markets: 2027-2035
• Marginal Equipment Costs per Vehicle by Automation Level, World Markets: 2027-2035
• Annual L4 Robotaxi Deployment by Region, World Markets: 2023-2035
• Annual L4 Consumer Vehicle Deployment by Region, World Markets: 2023-2035
• Annual L4 Delivery Vehicle Deployment by Region, World Markets: 2023-2035
• Annual Deployment Revenue for L4 LDAV Equipment and Software by Region, World Markets: 2027-2035
• Annual OEM Deployment Revenue Premiums (L4 over L3) by Region, World Markets: 2027-2035

OEM Equipment Costs and Marginal Equipment Costs per Vehicle by Automation Level, World Markets: 2027

List of Figures

• Annual LDV Unit Sales by Region, World Markets: 2023-2035
• Annual L4 LDAV Deployment by Region, World Markets: 2023-2035
• Annual L4 LDAV Deployment by Scenario, World Markets: 2023-2035
• Annual Deployment Revenue for L4 AV Equipment and Software by Region, World Markets: 2027-2035
• Annual OEM Deployment Revenue Premiums (L4 over L3) by Region, World Markets: 2027-2035
• Annual L4 Deployment by Vehicle Classification, World Markets: 2023-2035
• Annual L4 Robotaxi Deployment by Region, World Markets: 2023-2035
• Annual L4 Consumer Vehicle Deployment by Region, World Markets: 2023-2035
• Annual L4 Delivery Vehicle Deployment by Region, World Markets: 2023-2035
• Annual Deployment Revenue for L4 AV Equipment and Software by Region, World Markets: 2027-2035
• Annual OEM Deployment Revenue Premiums (L4 over L3) by Region, World Markets: 2027-2035
• Annual L4 Deployment by Vehicle Classification, World Markets: 2023-2035
• Annual L4 Robotaxi Deployment by Region, World Markets: 2023-2035
• Annual L4 Consumer Vehicle Deployment by Region, World Markets: 2023-2035
• Annual L4 Delivery Vehicle Deployment by Region, World Markets: 2023-2035

L4 LDAV Market Value Chain

Light duty automated vehicles (LDAVs) are expected to experience steady growth in sales from 2023 through 2035. Importantly, in that timeframe, LDAVs with Level 4 (L4) and higher automation (hands-off, eyes-off, brain-off) will begin to enter the market. These are vehicles that can, in specific areas or use cases, drive without human intervention. The market implications of this technology are vast, and there are many factors driving its development, as well as several that could hold it back.

This Guidehouse Insights report examines the burgeoning market for L4 LDAVs and their penetration of the light duty vehicle (LDV) market, looking at the drivers of this emerging market as well as the barriers that could stop its growth. It predicts how the LDAV market will grow from 2023 through 2035 as well as the annual revenue automakers can expect from implementing the hardware needed for L4 autonomy. Guidehouse Insights also predicts what percentage of L4 LDAVs will be consumer vehicles versus commercial robotaxis or delivery vehicles.

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary

• 1.1 Overview
• 1.2 Market Drivers
• 1.3 Market Barriers
• 1.4 Market Outlook

2. Market Issues

• 2.1 Drivers
  • 2.1.1 Technology Maturation
  • 2.1.2 Market Consolidation
  • 2.1.3 Regulatory Environment
  • 2.1.4 Safety Improvements
• 2.2 Barriers
  • 2.2.1 Technology Nascency
  • 2.2.2 ODD Development Differences
  • 2.2.3 Public Perception
  • 2.2.4 Safety and Responsibility
• 2.3 Pricing

3. Industry Value Chain

• 3.1 Competitive Landscape
• 3.2 Business Model Evolution

4. Market Forecasts

• 4.1 Methodology
• 4.2 LDV Forecast
• 4.3 L4 LDAV Forecast
• 4.4 OEM Revenue Forecast for L4
• 4.5 OEM Revenue Forecast for L4 over L3
• 4.6 L4 Deployment by Vehicle Classification

5. Conclusions and Recommendations

• 5.1 Three Big Predictions
• 5.2 Recommendations
  • 5.2.1 Automakers
  • 5.2.2 Regulators
  • 5.2.3 Ride-Hailing Operators

6. Acronym and Abbreviation List

7. Table of Contents

8. Table of Charts and Figures

9. Scope of Study

10. Sources, Methodology & Notes