Product Code: 55861
The market for thin-film solar PV is expected to grow at a CAGR of 22.91% during the forecast period of 2019 - 2024. The Idea of thin-film technologies dates back to the inception of photovoltaics. It is an idea based on achieving low-cost photovoltaics appropriate for mass production and energy significant markets. Thin-film solar cells and modules require comparatively very less amount of active materials, due to their very high absorption coefficient. Therefore, factors such as low PV module prices and technological advancements made to improve the efficiency of thin-film solar cells are the major drivers of the market studied. However, as thin-film panels require a larger area than alternative types of Solar PV modules, the mere size of the system negatively affects the cost-effectiveness of the thin-film PV module systems, as the panel output losses offset less installation cost due to lower efficiencies. This factor, in turn, is expected to hinder the growth of the market studied.
- Globally, the photovoltaic (PV) solar cells based on cadmium telluride (CdTe) represents the largest segment of commercial thin-film module production as it is a lower-cost alternative to conventional silicon-based technologies.
- Tariffs on Imported Solar Cells (c-Si) and Modules in the United States is expected to create an ample opportunity for thin-film manufacturers.
- Asia-Pacific dominated the market across the globe with the majority of the demand coming from the countries such as China, and Japan.
Key Market Trends
Increasing Demand for Cadmium-Telluride (CdTe) Thin-Film Solar Cells
- Cadmium-Telluride (CdTe) thin film solar cells can be manufactured at low costs, as cadmium can be generated as a byproduct of mining, smelting, and refining of zinc, lead, and copper.
- This photovoltaic technology uses Cadmium Telluride, which enables the production of solar cells at relatively low cost. Of all solar energy technologies, this is the only one that requires the least amount of water for production.
- CdTe thin film PV solar cells have higher cell efficiencies up to 16.7% than other thin film technologies.
- The United States is a global leader in CdTe PV manufacturing. National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) has been at the forefront of research and development (R&D) in this area.
- As of 2018, CdTe has generated electricity at considerable cost that is less than or equal to traditional fossil-fuel energy sources. It has a scope for further improvement.
Asia-Pacific to Dominate the Market
- Asia-Pacific has accounted for the major share in the global thin-film solar PV market owing to the increasing deployment of solar PV modules in utility-scale, commercial and residential applications.
- China is one of the largest solar PV markets in the world, accounting for about 50% of global solar power demand in 2018. Thin film solar PVs are majorly being used in utility-scale projects in China.
- In 2018, China's National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) has written a draft policy that would increase the renewable energy target from 20% to 35%, by 2030. Around 40 GW of new renewable capacity are expected to be connected to the grid in 2019, with around 50% of the new capacity expected to come from large-scale solar plants. The remaining share is expected to come from smaller and decentralized systems.
- In 2018, the events organizing committee of Japan announced that it wanted to power the Tokyo Olympic Games exclusively through renewable energy. Organizers are also planning to purchase renewable energy from power companies, and to install solar panels wherever it is possible. As a part of this, the committee is making plans to build a number of solar roads made of thin film polycrystalline silicon to generate some of the power used by the 2020 games. This, in turn, is expected to boost the demand for thin film solar PV in the short term.
- Factors such as the upcoming utility-scale project along with supportive policies and subsidies, the thin-film solar PV is expected to witness significant growth over the forecast period.
The global thin-film solar PV market is consolidated. Some of the major companies include First Solar Inc., SolarPower Systems Inc., Kaneka Corporation, Solar Frontier K.K., and NanoPV Solar Inc.
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Table of Contents
- 1.1 Scope of the Study
- 1.2 Market Definition
- 1.3 Study Assumptions
- 1.4 Study Deliverables
- 1.5 Research Phases
2 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
3 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
4 MARKET OVERVIEW
- 4.1 Introduction
- 4.2 Installed Capacity, History, and Forecast in GW, till 2024
- 4.3 Recent Trends and Developments
- 4.4 Market Dynamics
- 4.4.1 Drivers
- 4.4.2 Restraints
- 4.5 Supply Chain Analysis
- 4.6 Porter's Five Forces Analysis
- 4.6.1 Bargaining Power of Suppliers
- 4.6.2 Bargaining Power of Consumers
- 4.6.3 Threat of New Entrants
- 4.6.4 Threat of Substitutes Products and Services
- 4.6.5 Intensity of Competitive Rivalry
5 MARKET SEGMENTATION
- 5.1 Type
- 5.1.1 Cadmium Telluride (CdTe)
- 5.1.2 Copper Indium Gallium Selenide (CIGS)
- 5.1.3 Amorphous Silicon (a-Si)
- 5.2 Geography
- 5.2.1 North America
- 5.2.2 Asia-Pacific
- 5.2.3 Europe
- 5.2.4 Rest of the World
6 COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE
- 6.1 Mergers and Acquisitions, Joint Ventures, Collaborations, and Agreements
- 6.2 Company Profiles
- 6.2.1 First Solar Inc.
- 6.2.2 SoloPower Systems Inc.
- 6.2.3 Kaneka Corporation
- 6.2.4 Solar Frontier K.K.
- 6.2.5 NanoPV Solar Inc.
- 6.2.6 Ascent Solar Technologies Inc.
- 6.2.7 Hanergy Thin Film Power Group Ltd
- 6.2.8 Trony Solar Holdings Co. Ltd
7 MARKET OPPORTUNITIES AND FUTURE TRENDS