市場調査レポート

5G技術の評価、市場見通しと予測:2015年〜2020年

5G Technology Assessment, Market Outlook, and Forecasts 2015 - 2030

発行 Mind Commerce 商品コード 341607
出版日 ページ情報 英文 127 Pages
納期: 即日から翌営業日
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5G技術の評価、市場見通しと予測:2015年〜2020年 5G Technology Assessment, Market Outlook, and Forecasts 2015 - 2030
出版日: 2015年10月08日 ページ情報: 英文 127 Pages
概要

第5世代 (5G) セルラーは、モバイル通信の進化における最終段階を示しています。

当レポートでは、技術的な問題 (実現技術、5Gの標準化と研究構想、周波数帯など) 、ビジネス分野 (市場促進要因、課題、使用事例、産業分野別の応用、規制問題など) のほか、新興の5Gエコシステムについて、体系的な情報を提供しています。

第1章 エグゼクティブサマリー

第2章 5G技術のイントロダクション

第3章 5G実現技術

第4章 5G規制要因

第5章 M2M・IoT環境における5Gサービスの応用

第6章 5Gエコシステム

第7章 5G標準規格と研究

第8章 5Gベンダーと企業分析

  • ERICSSON
  • ALCATEL-LUCENT
  • 富士通
  • HUAWEI
  • INTEL
  • 日本電気
  • SAMSUNG
  • ZTE
  • QUALCOMM
  • NOKIA NETWORKS
  • CHINA MOBILE
  • DEUTSCHE TELEKOM
  • NTTドコモ
  • SK TELECOM
  • BROADCOM
  • LG U+
  • SINGTEL

第9章 5G投資と加入予測

第10章 通信産業に対する5Gの影響

第11章 結論と提言

図表

目次

Fifth generation (5G) cellular represents the latest stage in the evolution of mobile communications. It is also a new standard that relies upon various supporting technologies including millimeter wave propagation, IPv6 transmission protocol, and many others including some that are still in the R&D stage with major infrastructure providers. Among other major differences as compared to the fourth generation of cellular, 5G network demands higher data rate in a range of several gigabits per seconds (Gbps) and this can achieved using steerable antennas with Millimeter Wave (mmWave) technologies.

Some technologies will become standardized and well-known components of a 5G system whereas other aspects may be optional and even proprietary adjuncts to a standardized system. As with all game-changing technologies of the past, software, platform, and infrastructure providers have a lot at stake in terms of the prospect of their offerings becoming part of the de facto standard or being left behind with stranded R&D expenditures.

This research provides an in-depth assessment of both technical issues (enabling technologies, 5G standardization and research initiatives, spectrum bands, etc.) and business areas (market drivers, challenges, use cases, vertical market applications, regulatory issues, trial commitments, introduction strategies, and impact to CSPs), as well as analysis of the emerging 5G ecosystem.

The report includes specific ecosystem constituent recommendations and forecasts for both 5G investments, subscriptions, and more for the period of 2015 - 2030. All purchases of Mind Commerce reports includes time with an expert analyst who will help you link key findings in the report to the business issues you're addressing. This needs to be used within three months of purchasing the report.

Target Audience:

  • Mobile network operators
  • 5G infrastructure suppliers
  • Wireless device manufacturers
  • Big Data and analytics companies
  • Semiconductor and embedded companies
  • M2M and Internet of Things (IoT) companies
  • Next generation augmented reality providers
  • Next gen content, commerce, and app companies
  • Enterprise in all market segments and industry verticals

Table of Contents

1.0 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

2.0 INTRODUCTION TO 5G TECHNOLOGY

  • 2.1 5G TECHNOLOGY AND FUNCTIONALITY
    • 2.1.1 DIFFERENCES BETWEEN 5G AND 4G
  • 2.2 WHAT 5G TECHNOLOGY CAN OFFER?
  • 2.3 OSI LAYERS IN 5G
    • 2.3.1 PHYSICAL AND MEDIUM ACCESS CONTROL LAYER
    • 2.3.2 NETWORK LAYER
    • 2.3.3 OPEN TRANSPORT PROTOCOL (OTA) LAYER
    • 2.3.4 APPLICATION LAYER
  • 2.4 5G MOTIVATION AND TIMELINE
  • 2.5 5G SPECTRUM OPTIONS AND UTILIZATION
  • 2.6 ELEMENTS OF 5G
  • 2.7 5G CHALLENGES
    • 2.7.1 TECHNOLOGY REQUIREMENTS AND SERVICE CHARACTERISTICS
    • 2.7.2 STANDARDIZATION
    • 2.7.3 NETWORK CHALLENGES
    • 2.7.4 MOBILE DEVICE CHALLENGES
    • 2.7.5 APPLICATION CHALLENGES
  • 2.8 TECHNOLOGICAL REQUIREMENTS OF 5G

3.0 5G ENABLING TECHNOLOGIES

  • 3.1 MASSIVE MIMO
  • 3.2 NETWORK FUNCTIONS VIRTUALIZATION (NFV)
  • 3.3 SDN AND VIRTUALIZATION
  • 3.4 COGNITIVE RADIOS (CRS) AND TRANSMISSION TECHNOLOGIES
  • 3.5 SELF-ORGANIZING NETWORKS (SONS)
  • 3.6 COMMUNICATION, NAVIGATION, SENSING AND SERVICES
  • 3.7 COOPERATIVE COMMUNICATION FUNCTIONS
    • 3.7.1 MULTI-HOP
    • 3.7.2 CACHING
  • 3.8 AUTOMATED NETWORK ORGANIZATION 2
    • 3.8.1 SELF-CONFIGURATION
    • 3.8.2 AUTOMATIC NEIGHBOUR RELATION (ANR)
    • 3.8.3 SELF-HEALING
    • 3.8.4 SELF-ORGANIZATION
  • 3.9 ADVANCED TRAFFIC MANAGEMENT
  • 3.10 VISIBLE LIGHT COMMUNICATIONS (VLCS) 30
  • 3.11 ENERGY EFFICIENCY
  • 3.12 MILLIMETER WAVE (MMWAVE)
  • 3.13 MASSIVE M2M COMMUNICATIONS
  • 3.14 C-RAN ARCHITECTURE
  • 3.15 HETNET SOLUTION
  • 3.16 H-CRAN SOLUTION
  • 3.17 LARGE-SCALE COOPERATIVE SPATIAL SIGNAL PROCESSING (LS-CSSP)
  • 3.18 SDR
  • 3.19 SPECTRUM AND SATELLITE
  • 3.20 DRONES, ROBOTS, AND HIGH-ALTITUDE BALLOONS
  • 3.21 NEXT GEN TECHNOLOGY
    • 3.21.1 CROSS LAYER CONTROLLER
    • 3.21.2 ENERGY AWARE
    • 3.21.3 SECURITY

4.0 5G REGULATORY CONTRIBUTOR

  • 4.1 5G ROADMAP
    • 4.1.1 5G REQUIREMENTS 2015 - 2020
    • 4.1.2 5G WIRELESS SUBSYSTEM 2015 - 2020
    • 4.1.3 NETWORK VIRTUALISATION & SOFTWARE NETWORKS 2015 - 2020
    • 4.1.4 CONVERGED CONNECTIVITY
  • 4.2 GSMA
  • 4.3 OFCOM UK
  • 4.4 METIS
  • 4.5 5G PPP
  • 4.6 NGMN
  • 4.7 4G AMERICAS

5.0 5G SERVICE APPLICATIONS IN M2M AND IOT ENVIRONMENT

  • 5.1 5G BUSINESS CASE
    • 5.1.1 SHARING SPECTRUM AND SERVICE SPECTRUM
  • 5.2 POTENTIAL 5G APPLICATION USE CASES
    • 5.2.1 VIRTUAL REALITY OR TACTILE INTERNET
    • 5.2.2 AUTONOMOUS DRIVING AND CONNECTED CARS
    • 5.2.3 WIRELESS CLOUD-BASED OFFICE AND MULTI-PERSON VIDEOCONFERENCING
    • 5.2.4 M2M CONNECTIVITY
    • 5.2.5 50+ MBPS EVERYWHERE
    • 5.2.6 HIGH SPEED TRAIN
    • 5.2.7 REMOTE COMPUTING
    • 5.2.8 NON-STATIONARY HOT SPOTS
    • 5.2.9 3D CONNECTIVITY: AIRCRAFT
    • 5.2.10 SMART CLOTHING
    • 5.2.11 SENSOR NETWORKS
    • 5.2.12 NATURAL DISASTER
    • 5.2.13 CONTROL NETWORK FOR ROBOTS
    • 5.2.14 EHEALTH
    • 5.2.15 3D CONNECTIVITY: DRONES
    • 5.2.16 PUBLIC SAFETY
    • 5.2.17 CONTEXT AWARE SERVICE
  • 5.3 BRAND NEW SERVICES CAPABILITY

6.0 5G ECOSYSTEM

  • 6.1 5G REQUIREMENT
    • 6.1.1 USER DRIVEN REQUIREMENT
    • 6.1.2 NETWORK DRIVEN REQUIREMENT
    • 6.2 STAKEHOLDER ANALYSIS
  • 6.3 STAKEHOLDER EXPECTATION: KPI'S OF 5G TECHNOLOGY
    • 6.3.1 PERFORMANCE CHALLENGES
    • 6.3.2 SYSTEM LEVEL CHALLENGES
  • 6.4 5G CHANNEL MODEL
  • 6.5 APIS AND SLAS TO EXTERNAL ACTORS
  • 6.6 KEY DRIVERS
  • 6.7 DISRUPTIVE CAPABILITIES
  • 6.8 DESIGN PRINCIPLES
  • 6.9 5G BUSINESS MODEL
  • 6.10 5G VALUE PROPOSITION

7.0 5G STANDARDIZATION AND RESEARCH

  • 7.1 MAJOR EVENT
  • 7.2 RESEARCH, DEVELOPMENT AND INNOVATION
  • 7.3 STANDARDIZATION ACTIVITIES
  • 7.4 ITU RADIO COMMUNICATION SECTOR (ITU-R)
  • 7.5 3GPP
    • 7.5.1 IMT 2020
    • 7.5.2 RAN STUDY
  • 7.6 GSMA
  • 7.7 NGMN ALLIANCE
  • 7.8 TIA
  • 7.9 EUROPEAN COMMISSION (EC)
    • 7.9.1 METIS
    • 7.9.2 5G PPP
    • 7.9.3 5G PPP PROJECTS
    • 7.9.4 5GNOW
  • 7.10 NATIONAL GOVERNMENTS IN EASTERN ASIA
    • 7.10.1 CHINA IMT-2020
    • 7.10.2 JAPAN ARIB 20B AH
    • 7.10.3 KOREA 5G FORUM
    • 7.10.4 CHINA'S 863-5G PROJECT
  • 7.11 MOBILE OPERATOR AND VENDORS
    • 7.11.1 SK TELECOM AND ERICSSON
    • 7.11.2 HUAWEI AND SAMSUNG
    • 7.11.3 NTT DOCOMO AND MULTIPLE VENDORS
    • 7.11.4 TURKCELL AND ERICSSON
    • 7.11.5 5G NORMA (NOKIA AND SK TELECOM)
    • 7.11.6 HUAWEI AND ERICSSON
  • 7.12 FANTASTIC-5G
  • 7.13 5GIC
  • 7.14 NYU WIRELESS

8.0 5G VENDORS AND COMPANY ANALYSIS

  • 8.1 ERICSSON
    • 8.1.1 5G COLLABORATION AND COMMITMENT
    • 8.1.2 5G STRATEGY AND USE CASES
    • 8.1.3 5G TRIAL COMMITMENT
  • 8.2 ALCATEL-LUCENT
    • 8.2.1 5G RESEARCH AND CONTRIBUTIONS
    • 8.2.2 5G STRATEGY
    • 8.2.3 5G SOLUTIONS
  • 8.3 FUJITSU
    • 8.3.1 5G STRATEGY AND SOLUTIONS
    • 8.3.2 5G CONTRIBUTION
    • 8.3.3 5G TRIAL COMMITMENT
  • 8.4 HUAWEI
    • 8.4.1 5G VISION
    • 8.4.2 5G STRATEGY
    • 8.4.3 5G COLLABORATION AND CONTRIBUTION
  • 8.5 INTEL
    • 8.5.1 5G STRATEGY
    • 8.5.2 5G COLLABORATION AND CONTRIBUTION
  • 8.6 NEC
    • 8.6.1 5G STRATEGY
    • 8.6.2 5G CONTRIBUTION
    • 8.6.3 5G TRIAL COMMITMENT
  • 8.7 SAMSUNG
    • 8.7.1 5G STRATEGY AND VISION
    • 8.7.2 5G CONTRIBUTION
    • 8.7.3 5G COLLABORATION
    • 8.7.4 5G TRIAL COMMITMENT
  • 8.8 ZTE
    • 8.8.1 5G STRATEGY
    • 8.8.2 5G CONTRIBUTION
    • 8.8.3 5G TRIAL COMMITMENT
  • 8.9 QUALCOMM
    • 8.9.1 5G STRATEGY
    • 8.9.2 5G CONTRIBUTION
  • 8.10 NOKIA NETWORKS
    • 8.10.1 5G VISION
    • 8.10.2 5G STRATEGY
    • 8.10.3 5G CONTRIBUTION AND COLLABORATION
    • 8.10.4 5G TRIAL COMMITMENT
  • 8.11 CHINA MOBILE
    • 8.11.1 5G CONTRIBUTION
  • 8.12 DEUTSCHE TELEKOM
    • 8.12.1 5G CONTRIBUTION
  • 8.13 NTT DOCOMO
    • 8.13.1 5G CONTRIBUTION
  • 8.14 SK TELECOM
    • 8.14.1 5G CONTRIBUTION
  • 8.15 BROADCOM
    • 8.15.1 5G CONTRIBUTION
  • 8.16 LG U+
  • 8.17 SINGTEL

9.0 5G INVESTMENT AND SUBSCRIPTION FORECAST

  • 9.1 GLOBAL 5G R&D AND TRIAL INVESTMENTS 2015 - 2030
    • 9.1.1 5G INVESTMENT BY CATEGORY 2015 - 2020 VS. 2020 - 2030
  • 9.2 LTE ADVANCE AND 5G SUBSCRIPTION 2020 - 2030
  • 9.3 5G ONLY SUBSCRIPTION 2022 - 2030
    • 9.3.1 5G ONLY SUBSCRIPTIONS BY REGIONS 2022 - 2030
  • 9.4 MOBILE OPERATORS' 5G EXPECTATION 2015
    • 9.4.1 NETWORK LEVEL EXPECTATION
    • 9.4.2 SPECTRUM USAGE EXPECTATION
    • 9.4.3 SERVICE LEVEL EXPECTATION
    • 9.4.4 5G DEVELOPMENT BY REGIONS
    • 9.4.5 5G COMMERCIAL LAUNCHING
  • 9.5 DATA TRAFFIC, VIDEO, AND DOWNLOAD SPEED PROJECTION 2020 - 2030
  • 9.6 5G INVESTMENT CASE ANALYSIS
    • 9.6.1 EUROPEAN COMMISSION
    • 9.6.2 HUAWEI
    • 9.6.3 SOUTH KOREA
    • 9.6.4 ZTE
    • 9.6.5 HORIZON 2020
  • 9.7 QUANTUM TECHNOLOGY AND 6G INVESTMENT ANALYSIS

10.0 5G IMPLICATION FOR TELECOM INDUSTRY

  • 10.1 SPECTRUM AND COVERAGE IMPLICATIONS
  • 10.2 ONE MILLISECOND LATENCY
  • 10.3 BUSINESS OPPORTUNITIES

11.0 CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS

  • 11.1 END-TO-END ECOSYSTEM
  • 11.2 5G CONSIDERATIONS
    • 11.2.1 5G ARRIVAL DEPENDS ON SPECIFICATIONS AND ADOPTION
    • 11.2.2 NEW RAN WILL IMPROVE MOBILE NETWORKS
    • 11.2.3 IMMEDIATE TECHNOLOGICAL DEVELOPMENTS
    • 11.2.4 LTE MAY SLOW DOWN 5G GROWTH
    • 11.2.5 USE OF GOVERNMENTAL INTEREST AND RESOURCES
    • 11.2.6 MORE SUSTAINABLE OPERATOR INVESTMENT MODEL IN TERMS OF CAPACITY
  • 11.3 5G VALUE CREATION
    • 11.3.1 FOR CONSUMERS
    • 11.3.2 FOR ENTERPRISES
    • 11.3.3 FOR VERTICALS
    • 11.3.4 FOR 3RD PARTY PARTNERS
  • 11.4 RECOMMENDATION FOR VALUE CHAIN PARTNERS
    • 11.4.1 DISRUPTIVE NETWORK ARCHITECTURE
    • 11.4.2 ACCESS
    • 11.4.3 SYSTEM LEVEL PRINCIPLES
    • 11.4.4 RIGHT BUSINESS MODEL
    • 11.4.5 STAKEHOLDER COMMUNITY
    • 11.4.6 POLICY AND STANDARDIZATION FRAMEWORK

Figures

  • Figure 1: Core Differences between 5G and 4G
  • Figure 2: Sample Specifications for 5G
  • Figure 3: Conceptual 5G Mobile Device
  • Figure 4: Mobile Terminal Network Layer in 5G Networks
  • Figure 5: 5G Timeline 2008 - 2021
  • Figure 6: 5G Challenges: Mobile SoC Performance vs. Energy Efficiency
  • Figure 7: 5G Technological Components
  • Figure 8: Massive MIMO Concept
  • Figure 9: NFV in H-RAN Solution
  • Figure 10: SDN Architecture
  • Figure 11: SDN Supporting Layers
  • Figure 12 Self-Organizing Networks (SONs) in H-RAN
  • Figure 13: H-RAN Application of 5G Systems
  • Figure 14: Centralized and Distribution LS-CSSP in H-CRANs
  • Figure 15: Software Defined Radio Network
  • Figure 16: Hybrid Architecture of SDN & SDR in 5G Network
  • Figure 17: Role of Satellite in 5G Communication System
  • Figure 18: METIS Regulatory Consortium
  • Figure 19: METIS Regulatory Framework
  • Figure 20: 5G Service Application Areas
  • Figure 21: Potential 5G Service Chart and Bandwidth & Latency Requirement
  • Figure 22: New Service Capabilities in 5G Environment
  • Figure 23: 5G Disruptive Capabilities
  • Figure 24: Performance Indicators of Disruptive Capabilities in 5G Network
  • Figure 25: 5G Network Design Architecture and Service Division
  • Figure 26: 5G Business Models
  • Figure 27: Key 5G Initiatives and Development Timeline 2012 - 2020
  • Figure 28: 5G Exploration to Development Phases 2014 - 2020
  • Figure 29: 5G Standardization Roadmap 2014 - 2024
  • Figure 30: 3GPP 5G Timeline
  • Figure 31: METIS HTs Structure
  • Figure 32: METIS WPs Structure
  • Figure 33: National 863 5G Project Phases 2013 - 2015
  • Figure 34: 863 5G Project Promotional Framework
  • Figure 35: Ericsson 5G Collaboration and Work 2013 - 2021
  • Figure 36: Ericsson 5G Strategy Chart
  • Figure 37: Ericsson 5G Vision for Broadband
  • Figure 38: Ericsson 5G Vision for Smart Transport and Infrastructure
  • Figure 39: Ericsson 5G Vision for Media
  • Figure 40: Ericsson 5G Vision for Remote Devices
  • Figure 41: Ericsson 5G Vision for IoT
  • Figure 42: Alcatel-Lucent 5G Timeline
  • Figure 43: Alcatel-Lucent 5G Programmable Networking Framework
  • Figure 44: Alcatel-Lucent 5G Solutions
  • Figure 45: Fujitsu 5G Network Configurations and WLAN
  • Figure 46: Huawei 5G Service and Scenario Vision
  • Figure 47: Huawei 5G All-spectrum access RAN
  • Figure 48: Intel 5G Vision
  • Figure 49: NEC 5G Vision
  • Figure 50: NEC's Virtualization of Cell Concept
  • Figure 51: Architecture of Massive-Element Antenna
  • Figure 52: Samsung's 5G Service Vision
  • Figure 53: Samsung Rainbow Requirements
  • Figure 54: Samsung's FD-MIMO Concept
  • Figure 55: Samsung's Reconfigurable 5G Phased-array Antenna
  • Figure 56: Samsung's 5G Timeline
  • Figure 57: Samsung's 5G Trial Drive 2014
  • Figure 58: ZTE's Three Dimensional 5G Vision
  • Figure 59: Qualcomm 5G Scalability Chart
  • Figure 60: Qualcomm 5G Connectivity Design
  • Figure 61: Qualcomm Unified Platform Dimensions
  • Figure 62: Qualcomm 5G Timeline 2015 - 2022
  • Figure 63: Qualcomm 5G Business Model
  • Figure 64: Qualcomm Model to Leverage 4G Investment
  • Figure 65: Nokia 5G Vision and Requirements
  • Figure 66: Nokia 5G Network Design of Functional Requirement
  • Figure 67: NTT DoCoMo 5G Experimental Trial
  • Figure 68: Global 5G Investment (R&D and Trial) in $billion 2015 - 2030
  • Figure 69: 5G Investments (Large Scale, Lab R&D, Test Bed) 2015/2020/2030
  • Figure 70: Global LTE Advance and 5G Subscription in Billion 2020 - 2030
  • Figure 71: Global 5G Only Subscription in Billion 2022 - 2030
  • Figure 72: Latency Comparison between LTE and 5G
  • Figure 73: End to End 5G Ecosystem
  • Figure 74: Total Global Mobile Operator 4G CAPEX Forecast 2009 - 2020
  • Figure 75: 5G Value Creation Capabilities

Tables

  • Table 1: OSl Layers by Category
  • Table 2: 5G Spectrum Band Options, Merits and Licenses
  • Table 3: MTC features in 3GPP Standard
  • Table 4: Roadmap for 5G Requirements 2015 - 2020
  • Table 5 Roadmap for 5G Wireless Subsystem 2015 - 2020
  • Table 6: Roadmap for Virtualization and Software Networks 2015 - 2020
  • Table 7: Roadmap for Converged Connectivity 2015 - 2020
  • Table 8: 5G PPP 19 Projects
  • Table 9: 5G Only Subscription APAC vs. NA vs. Europe vs. Others 2022 - 2030
  • Table 10: Mobile Operators' 5G Expectations
  • Table 11: Mobile Operators' Expectations of 5G Spectrum
  • Table 12: Mobile Operators' Expectation of 5G Service Levels
  • Table 13: Mobile Operators' Expectations of 5G Deployment by Region
  • Table 14 Mobile Operators' 5G Commercial Launch Expectations
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