表紙
市場調査レポート

エジプトのプロジェクト市場

Egypt Projects Market Report 2014

発行 MEED Insight 商品コード 308891
出版日 ページ情報 英文
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エジプトのプロジェクト市場 Egypt Projects Market Report 2014
出版日: 2014年06月01日 ページ情報: 英文
概要

2,700億米ドル以上のGDPおよび8,000万人以上の人口を抱えるエジプトは、常に重要なプロジェクト市場です。エジプトでは現在、1,040億米ドル額以上のプロジェクトが計画中および未発注となっています。

当レポートでは、エジプトのプロジェクト市場における市場機会について産業部門別に調査分析し、各分門における主なクライアントと請負事業者、市場規模の推移と予測、主要課題、政府および民間による戦略、政治経済的概要これまでの経緯と今度の見通しなどをまとめています。

第1章 序文

第2章 エグゼクティブサマリー

第3章 政治

  • 1952年の革命
  • サダト政権時代
  • ホスニ・ムバラクの台頭
  • 2011年の革命
  • ムルシ政権
  • ムルシ政権の終わり
  • アッシーシー時代の始まり

第4章 経済・銀行・金融

  • 経済
    • 経済構造
    • 経済実績
    • 収支
    • 財政政策・公的債務
  • 銀行・金融
    • 外国銀行の役割
    • 国営銀行
    • 中央銀行
    • エジプトの株式市場
    • 規制
    • 投資銀行

第5章 ビジネス

  • 40年にわたる自由化
  • Law 8(投資保護・優遇法)
  • 革命後の実業界

第6章 プロジェクト市場

第7章 石油・ガス

  • 概要
  • 組織
  • 石油・ガスのヒエラルキー
  • 石油生産
  • 探査・開発期間
  • 主要企業
    • BP
    • Eni
    • BG
    • Shell
    • 小規模オペレーター
    • アップストリームプロジェクト業務
  • 精製
  • 石油化学製品
    • オレフィン
    • 石油化学プロジェクトパイプライン
    • Tahrir Petrochemicals
  • 肥料
    • Mopcoの事例
  • プロジェクト市場
  • 請負業者

第8章 産業

  • セメント
  • スチール
  • 自動車
  • テキスタイル
  • その他の部門

第9章 電力

  • 供給・需要
  • 近年の・進行中の発電所プロジェクト
  • 民間の電力プロジェクト
  • 燃料・代替エネルギー
    • 風力
  • ソーラープロジェクト
    • 現在のプロジェクト
    • 将来のソーラープロジェクト
    • 原子力
  • 送配電
  • 国際電気相互接続

第10章 上下水道

  • ナイル川の背景
  • 廃水

第11章 輸送

  • 港湾
  • 道路
  • 鉄道
    • 幹線
    • 地下鉄

第12章 建設・ツーリズム

  • PPPプログラム
  • 主要企業
  • 不動産
  • ツーリズム

図表リスト

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目次

A comprehensive overview and assessment of the projects market in Egypt

With a GDP of more than $270bn and a population of more than 80 million, Egypt has always been an important projects market. Today, there are more than $104bn worth of projects planned and un-awarded.

As stability returns, the new government is keen to get the economy back on track. Indeed, the largest construction contract ever awarded in the region, Arabtec's $40bn deal to build 1 million houses in Egypt, is the perfect example of the massive investment that is expected to pour into the state.

The latest report from MEED Insight, Egypt Projects Market 2014, provides companies with a comprehensive sector-by-sector analysis, detailing all major projects planned in the state and assesses how the recent political changes will impact the market. The report examines the economic and political agenda of the new government and looks at the investment opportunities that have opened up as a result of the recent political changes.

Key benefits and features:

  • Understand the Egyptian projects market
  • Access more than $104bn planned and un-awarded project opportunities
  • Assess the political scene and its impact on the projects market
  • Understand the challenges and opportunities the market presents
  • Obtain a forecast for the future direction of the market

In addition to an examination of each key sector, the Egypt Projects Market 2014 report provides an overview of the political environment as well as a macro-economic analysis. The report focuses on quantifying the size of the market and the individual sectors that comprise it as well as supplying a forecast for the future direction of the market and the overall political development.

With the aid of billions of dollars from the UAE and Saudi Arabia, the new government will actively seek to address some of the country's most pressing issues such as a lack of affordable housing and other social infrastructure such as healthcare and education facilities.

The indications are that the authorities will look to the private sector to implement many of their project ambitions. Schemes like the $10bn-plus Alexandria-Luxor high speed railway, the $2.5bn Dairout power plant, the multi-billion-dollar Gulf of Suez wind farm complex, the expansion of $885m Safaga port, and the $750m Abu Rawash wastewater treatment plant will all be implemented on a PPP basis.

Projects as diverse as the $24bn Ayaat City, the $8.5bn Alexandria refinery, the remaining multi-billion-dollar phases of the Cairo metro are symbolic of the ambition of the projects market in the country.

With stability returning, Egypt will witness a sharp increase in project activity, offering a multitude of new project opportunities for contractors, consultants and suppliers alike.

Table of Contents

List of tables

List of figures

1. Preface

2. Executive summary

3. Politics

  • 3.1 The 1952 revolution
  • 3.2 The Sadat era
  • 3.3 The rise of Hosni Mubarak
  • 3.4 The 2011 revolution
  • 3.5 The Morsi administration
  • 3.6 The end of Morsi
  • 3.7 Dawn of the El-Sisi era

4. Economy, Banking & Finance

  • 4.1 Economy
    • 4.1.1 Economic structure
    • 4.1.2 Economic performance
    • 4.1.3 Balance of payments and reserves
    • 4.1.4 Fiscal policy and public debt
  • 4.2 Banking & Finance
    • 4.2.1 Role of foreign banks
    • 4.2.2 State-owned banks
    • 4.2.3 Central bank
    • 4.2.4 Egyptian stock market
    • 4.2.5 Regulation
    • 4.2.6 Investment banks

5. Doing business

  • 5.1 Liberalisation over four decades
  • 5.2 Law 8
  • 5.3 The post-revolution business scene

6. Projects market

7. Oil & Gas

  • 7.1 Overview
  • 7.2 Organisation
  • 7.3 Oil and gas hierarchy
  • 7.4 Oil production
  • 7.5 Natural gas production
  • 7.6 Exploration and development terms
  • 7.7 Main players
    • 7.7.1 BP
    • 7.7.2 Eni
    • 7.7.3 BG
    • 7.7.4 Shell
    • 7.7.5 Smaller operators
    • 7.7.6 Upstream project work
  • 7.8 Refining
  • 7.9 Petrochemicals
    • 7.9.1 Olefins
    • 7.9.2 Petrochemical project pipeline
    • 7.9.3 Tahrir Petrochemicals
  • 7.10 Fertilisers
    • 7.10.1 The Mopco case
  • 7.11 Projects market
  • 7.12 Contractors

8. Industry

  • 8.1 Cement
  • 8.2 Steel
  • 8.3 Automotive
  • 8.4 Textiles
  • 8.5 Other sectors

9. Power

  • 9.1 Supply and demand
  • 9.2 Recent and ongoing power station projects
  • 9.3 Private power projects
  • 9.4 Fuel and alternative energy
    • 9.4.1 Wind
  • 9.5 Solar projects
    • 9.5.1 Current projects
    • 9.5.2 Future solar projects
    • 9.5.3 Nuclear
  • 9.6 Transmission and distribution
  • 9.7 International electrical interconnection

10. Water & Wastewater

  • 10.1 Nile background
  • 10.2 Wastewater

11. Transportation

  • 11.1 Ports
  • 11.2 Roads
  • 11.3 Rail
    • 11.3.1 Mainline railway
    • 11.3.2 Metro

12. Construction & Tourism

  • 12.2 PPP programme
  • 12.3 Key players
  • 12.4 Real estate
  • 12.5 Tourism

List of tables

  • Table 1: The cabinet, appointed on 2 June 2014
  • Table 2: Demographics and employment, 2007-13
  • Table 3: GDP, 2007/08-12/13
  • Table 4: GDP by economic activity at factor cost, 2012/13
  • Table 5: GDP by expenditure, 2011/12-13/14
  • Table 6: Balance of payments, 2010-13 ($m)
  • Table 7: Central Bank of Egypt - major uses of foreign exchange, 2011-12 ($bn)
  • Table 8: Egypt budget highlights, 2012/13-14/15 (£Em)
  • Table 9: Government securities issuances, 2010/11-13/14 (£Ebn)
  • Table 10: Debt stocks, 2010-13
  • Table 11: Leading private banks, ranked by assets, 2010-11 (£Ebn)
  • Table 12: Egypt's Doing Business scores, 2014
  • Table 13: The proposed PPP programme
  • Table 14: Egypt: residential and commercial natural gas prices
  • Table 15: Awards stemming from the 2011 Egas bid round
  • Table 16: Blocks offered by EGPC in the Gulf of Suez and Western Desert
  • Table 17: Selected major upstream oil and gas projects, 2009-12
  • Table 18: Planned upstream oil and gas projects
  • Table 19: Local refineries, 2013
  • Table 20: Planned and recently commissioned petrochemical and fertiliser projects
  • Table 21: Selected major planned oil and gas projects
  • Table 22: Leading EPC contractors, 2007-12
  • Table 23: Output of main industrial products, 2009-12
  • Table 24: The cement industry, 2014
  • Table 25: Foreign players in the cement market, 2014
  • Table 26: Egyptian power sector key facts, 2013
  • Table 27: Electricity generating sector key facts, 2011-13
  • Table 28: Main power stations, 2013
  • Table 29: Installed capacity and energy generated from isolated power plants, 2012/13
  • Table 30: Fuel consumption by the power sector, 2011-13
  • Table 31: Energy generated from hydropower plants, 2011-13 (GWh)
  • Table 32: Kureimat ISCC key facts
  • Table 33: Egypt current and future solar projects
  • Table 34: Total transformers capacities (MVA)
  • Table 35: Total length of transmission lines and cables (km)
  • Table 36: Planned and under construction PPP wastewater projects
  • Table 37: Selected government-financed water and wastewater projects
  • Table 38: Active Egyptian mainline rail projects
  • Table 39: Recent major construction awards, 2010-13
  • Table 40: Planned major construction projects, June 2014

List of figures

  • Figure 1: Annual real GDP growth, 2005/06-12/13
  • Figure 2: GDP growth by quarter, 2009/10-13/14
  • Figure 3: Quarterly balance of payments highlights, Q1 2011-Q4 2013
  • Figure 4: Quarterly balance of payments highlights, Q1 2010-Q4 2013
  • Figure 5: FDI inflows, 2003/04-12/13
  • Figure 6: Foreign exchange reserves, Jan 2011-Apr 2014
  • Figure 7: Exchange rate, 2011-14 (£E:$)
  • Figure 8: Aggregate position of banks, 2010-13
  • Figure 9: EGX-30 index, Jan 2010-May 2014
  • Figure 10: EGX market capitalisation and trading, 2010-14
  • Figure 11: Egypt's Doing Business rankings, 2006-13
  • Figure 12: Major contract awards in the Mena region by country, 2010-13
  • Figure 13: Major Egyptian contract awards by year, 2008-13
  • Figure 14: Major contract awards by sector, 2008-13 ($m)
  • Figure 15: Total value of projects on hold or cancelled by sector, June 2014 ($m)
  • Figure 16: Value of planned and unawarded projects, June 2014
  • Figure 17: Oil and gas fields and discoveries
  • Figure 18: Structure of the oil and gas sector
  • Figure 19: Oil and gas trade, 2012-13
  • Figure 20: Oil production and demand, 1965-2012
  • Figure 21: Gas production and demand, 1986-2014
  • Figure 22: Overdue payments owed by EGPC to IOCs, 2004/05-Dec 2013
  • Figure 23: Acreage covered by Egas' 2012 bid round
  • Figure 24: BP's oil and gas interests
  • Figure 25: BG's oil and gas interests
  • Figure 26: Proposed sites for Echem's 20-year masterplan
  • Figure 27: Petrochemical output and sales, 2000/01-01/11
  • Figure 28: Oil, gas, chemical and fertiliser awards, 2007-13
  • Figure 29: Oil and gas awards by subsector, 2007-13 (%)
  • Figure 30: The manufacturing index, Jan 2010-Jun 2013
  • Figure 31: Passenger car sales, 2013 (%)
  • Figure 32: Textiles and clothing exports, 2009/10-12/13
  • Figure 33: Structure of the Egyptian electricity sector
  • Figure 34: Peak load and installed capacity, 2006/07-12/13
  • Figure 35: Installed capacity by technology, 2013 (%)
  • Figure 36: Electricity demand by user group, 2012/13 (%)
  • Figure 37: Wind energy capacity, Jun 2006-Jun 2013
  • Figure 38: The Kureimat ISCC
  • Figure 39: The Nile river system
  • Figure 40: Sources of conventional water supplies (bcm/y)
  • Figure 41: Water consumption by sector (%)
  • Figure 42: Main commercial ports
  • Figure 43: Growth of transit trade, 2005-11
  • Figure 44: Goods handled by Egyptian ports, 2011 (million tonnes)
  • Figure 45: East Port Said masterplan
  • Figure 46: Egypt railway network
  • Figure 47: The existing Cairo metro
  • Figure 48: Line 3 of the Cairo metro
  • Figure 49: Line 3, phase 2, of the Cairo metro
  • Figure 50: Line 3, phase 3, of the Cairo metro
  • Figure 51: Planned lines 4-6 on the Cairo metro
  • Figure 52: Monthly rebar production and sales, 2009-13
  • Figure 53: Domestic cement demand, 2004-11
  • Figure 54: Major contract awards in the construction sector, 2007-13
  • Figure 55: Tourist arrivals and revenues, 2007/08-Dec 13
  • Figure 56: Growth in the number of hotel rooms, 2000-11
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