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市場調査レポート

暗号通貨の将来性:ビットコイン&アルトコインの影響および市場機会

The Future of Cryptocurrency

発行 Juniper Research 商品コード 323676
出版日 ページ情報 英文
納期: 即日から翌営業日
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こちらの商品の販売は終了いたしました。
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暗号通貨の将来性:ビットコイン&アルトコインの影響および市場機会 The Future of Cryptocurrency
出版日: 2015年02月04日 ページ情報: 英文

当商品の販売は、2016年09月27日を持ちまして終了しました。

概要

当レポートでは、暗号通貨市場の動向について調査し、暗号通貨の概要、エコシステムの発展の経緯、需要サイド、供給サイド、市場における課題、法規制の整備状況、主要ベンダーの位置付けおよびプロファイル、ビットコインおよびアルトコインの市場規模の推移と予測などをまとめています。

第1章 暗号通貨の進化

  • イントロダクション
  • 暗号通貨とは
    • 概要
    • 初期の暗号通貨
    • ビットコイン
    • 認識された欠陥
    • アルトコインの進化
    • 規制当局の対応と定義
  • 暗号通貨エコシステムの台頭
    • 暗号通貨の交換
    • 暗号通貨の決済事業者
    • ビットコインウォレットプロバイダー
    • リグプロバイダー
  • 決済以外の市場機会

第2章 暗号通貨の課題

  • イントロダクション
  • 供給サイドの課題
    • 生産コスト
    • フォーキング
    • 決済の変更不能
    • セキュリティ
    • 集中化
  • 市場の課題
    • 法規制の欠如
    • 暗号通貨交換所の崩壊
      • ケーススタディ:マウントゴックス
      • ケーススタディ:Moolah
    • 不安定性
  • 需要サイドの課題
    • 消費者の認識・消費者の反感
    • 非合法的含意
  • 課題の評価

第3章 競合環境

  • ベンダー調査
    • ベンダー評価基準
    • 制約と解釈
    • ベンダー分析:能力評価・市場の位置付け
    • ベンダーのグループ化
  • ベンダープロファイル
    • BitMEX
    • Bitnet
    • BitPay
    • BitStamp
    • BTCChina
    • Coinarch
    • CoinBase
    • Coingaming
    • Cryptopay
    • GoCoin
    • Kraken (Payward)
    • Polycoin
    • Ripple Labs

第4章 手法・前提因子

第5章 暗号通貨の予測

  • ビットコイン:市場 市場規模・予測
    • ビットコインユーザー数の予測
    • ビットコイン決済数の予測
    • ビットコイン決済額の予測
  • アルトコイン:市場市場規模・予測
    • アルトコインユーザー数の予測
    • アルトコイン決済数の予測
    • アルトコイン決済額の予測
  • 暗号通貨の総市場
目次

Overview

Juniper Research is the first industry analyst house to assess the activities and opportunities in the fast-moving cryptocurrency space.

Juniper investigates the development of the ecosystems that have evolved around cryptocurrencies, including the emergence of services targeting niches ranging from derivatives trading to online gambling.

Key Features

  • Analyses the challenges bitcoin and altcoin face as stakeholders seek to establish them as a retail payment mechanism.
  • Highlights the likely impact of proposed regulation on the sector.
  • Considers the opportunities for cryptocurrency beyond direct payment, including a potential role in transaction settlement.
  • Heat map-based assessment of the relative capabilities and capacities of 13 key industry stakeholders allied to a vendor positioning matrix.
  • Forecasts for Bitcoin and altcoin user numbers, usage levels, transaction volumes and transaction values.
  • Invaluable insights from interviews with the leading players across the cryptocurrency industry, including BitMEX, Bitnet, BitPay, Coingaming, GoCoin, Polycoin and Ripple.

Key Questions

  • 1. Who are the main players in the emerging cryptocurrency ecosystems?
  • 2. Why did the value of cryptocurrencies collapse in 2014?
  • 3. Can cryptocurrencies gain true mass adoption?
  • 4. How are national governments seeking to regulate cryptocurrencies?
  • 5. How much is cryptocurrency volatility a barrier to wider usage?

Companies Referenced

Interviewed: BitMEX, Bitnet, BitPay, Coingaming, GoCoin, Polycoin, Ripple Labs.

Profiled: BitMEX, Bitnet, BitPay, BitStamp, BTCChina, Coinarch, Coinbase, Coingaming, Cryptopay, GoCoin, Payward, Polycoin, Ripple Labs.

Case Studied: Moopay Ltd, Mt Gox.

Mentioned: Acromobile, Agreed.com, Aicaike, Alloscomp.com, Amagi Metals, American Express, Apple, Arstechnica, Bank of America, Betgames, Betsoft, Betting Promotions, Bitcoin Shop, BitFury, BitInstant, BitReserve, blockchain.info, British Airways, BTCTurk, CBW, CEX.IO, Citigroup, Cloudhashing, Coin Poker Network, Cointellect, Cointerra, Cooperatize.com, Cross River Bank, CyberSource, Debenhams, Dell, Deutsche Bank, DIRECTV, Dwolla, Earthport, E-Loan, Endorphina, Ernst & Young, Expedia, Ezugi, Facebook, Fidor, Flexcoin, GameART, GAW Miners, Google, Harris Interactive, Harris, Wiltshire & Grannis, Hawk Financial Group, HSBC, Hustler, iAcquire, IBM, InstaDeal Poker, Internet Ventures & Holdings, KnCminer, Lewt, Liberty Reserve, Magento, mBet Solutions NV, Microgaming, Microsoft, MintPal, Nunsantara Ayurveda, OKCupid, On Device Research, Opencart, osCommerce, Overstock.com, PassPort Parking, Paxum, PayCash, Paymium, PayPal, People's Bank of China, Perseus Telecom, Play'n GO, Prestashop, PrivateInternetAccess, Prosper, QikFunder, Rakuten, Reddit, REGARD Solutions, Robocoin, Shenzhoufu Hong Kong, Shopify, Sphonic, Spotify, Square, SWIFT, Standard Chartered, Syscoin, Takisto, techinasia.com, TheStreet, Time Inc, Ubercart, UniCredit SpA, Verge Gallery & Studio Project, VirtueMart, Visa, Vogogo, VTBC Vietnam, Walmart, Wells Fargo, WordPress, Yahoo, zen cart.

Data & Interactive Forecast

Juniper Research's highly granular interactive excels enable clients to manipulate Juniper's forecast data and charts to test their own assumptions, perform what-if analysis; and compare select markets side by side in customised charts and tables. IFxls greatly increase a clients' ability to both understand a particular market and to integrate their own views into the model.

Forecast suite includes:

  • Country level data splits for China, Canada and the US, as well as 8 key regions
  • Market split by Bitcoins and Altcoins
  • What-If Analysis tool allowing user the ability to manipulate Juniper's data for 6 different metrics.
  • Access to the full set of forecast data of 24 tables and 1,900 datapoints.

Table of Contents

1. Market Trends & Competitive Landscape

1. The Evolution of Cryptocurrency

  • 1.1. Introduction
  • 1.2. What are Cryptocurrencies?
    • 1.2.1. Overview
    • 1.2.2. Early Cryptocurrencies
    • 1.2.3. Bitcoin
      • i. The Block Chain
        • Figure 1.1: Bitcoins in Circulation (m) 2009-2014
      • ii. Bitcoin Transactions
        • Figure 1.2: Anonymous Transaction on the Block Chain
        • Figure 1.3: Transaction Procedure
      • iii. Growth in Adoption
        • Figure 1.4: Bitcoin Transactions Per Annum (m) 2010-2014
      • iv. User Base
      • v. Early Retailer Adoption
        • 1.2.4. Perceived Flaws
          • i. Fixed Money Supply
          • ii. Not Truly Anonymous
          • iii. Transaction Time
    • 1.2.5. The Altcoin (R)evolution
      • Table 1.5: Leading Cryptocurrencies by Market Capitalisation ($m), 28 January 2015
      • i. ‘Altcoin of the Day'
        • Figure 1.6: Cryptocurrency Transaction Values, 2014, By Cryptocurrency
        • Figure 1.7: Leading Cryptocurrencies by Transaction Volume & Value, 2014
      • ii. ‘Pump and Dump'
    • 1.2.6. Regulatory Reactions and Definitions
      • i. US Response
      • ii. China
      • iii. Elsewhere
  • 1.3. Emergence of Cryptocurrency Ecosystems
    • 1.3.1. Cryptocurrency Exchanges
      • Figure 1.8: Share of Bitcoin Exchange Transactions by Volume, December 2014
    • 1.3.2. Cryptocurrency Payment Processors
    • 1.3.3. Bitcoin Wallet Providers
    • 1.3.4. Rig Providers
      • Figure 1.9: TerraMiner IV
  • 1.4. Opportunities Beyond Payment
    • Figure 1.10: Payment System Layers

2. The Challenges of Cryptocurrency

  • 2.1. Introduction
    • Figure 2.1: Cryptocurrency Challenge Overview
  • 2.2. Supply Side Challenges
    • 2.2.1. Production Costs
      • Table 2.2: Cloudhashing Package Costs and Miner Profits, January 2015
    • 2.2.2. Forking
    • 2.2.3. Transaction Irrevocability
    • 2.2.4. Security
      • i. Individual Security
    • 2.2.5. Concentration
  • 2.3. Marketplace Challenges
    • 2.3.1. Lack of Regulation
    • 2.3.2. Cryptocurrency Exchange Collapse
      • i. Case Study: Mt Gox
      • ii. Case Study: Moolah
    • 2.3.3. Volatility
      • Figure 2.3: Selected Currency Baseline Analysis: December 2013-January 2015
  • 2.4. Demand Side Challenges
    • 2.4.1. Consumer Awareness, Consumer Resistance
      • Figure 2.4: The Cryptocurrency Consumer Journey
      • i. Awareness
        • Figure 2.5: Scale of Searches for Key Cryptocurrencies, 2010-2015
      • ii. Action & Availability
    • 2.4.2. Illegal Connotations
  • 2.5. Challenge Assessment
    • Figure 2.6: Cryptocurrency Challenge Assessment

3. Competitive Landscape

  • 3.1. Vendor Research
    • 3.1.1. Vendor Assessment Criteria
    • 3.1.2. Limitations and Interpretation
    • 3.1.3. Vendor Analysis: Capability Assessment & Market Positioning
      • Figure 3.1: Vendor Analysis Scoring Matrix: Capability & Capacity vs Product & Position
      • Figure 3.2: Cryptocurrency Vendor Positioning Matrix
    • 3.1.4. Vendor Groupings
      • i. Summary
      • ii. On Track Vendors
      • iii. Vendors Exceeding Expectations
  • 3.3. Vendor Profiles
    • 3.3.1. BitMEX
    • 3.3.2. Bitnet
    • 3.3.3. BitPay
    • 3.3.4. BitStamp
    • 3.3.5. BTCChina
    • 3.3.6. Coinarch
    • 3.3.7. CoinBase
    • 3.3.8. Coingaming
    • 3.3.9. Cryptopay
    • 3.3.10. GoCoin
    • 3.3.11. Kraken (Payward)
    • 3.3.12. Polycoin
    • 3.3.13. Ripple Labs

2. Market Sizing & Forecasts

1. Cryptocurrency - An Overview

  • 1.1. Introduction
  • 1.2. What are Cryptocurrencies?
    • 1.2.1. Overview
    • 1.2.2. Early Cryptocurrencies
    • 1.2.3. Bitcoin
      • i. The Block Chain
      • ii. Bitcoin Transactions
        • Figure 1.1: Transaction Procedure

2. Methodology & Assumptions

  • 2.1. Introduction
  • 2.2. Assumptions
    • Figure 2.1: Methodology for Sizing & Forecasting Cryptocurrency Markets

3. Cryptocurrency Forecasts

  • 3.1. Bitcoin: Market Sizing & Forecasts
    • 3.1.1. Bitcoin User Forecasts
      • Figure & Table 3.1: Percentage of Adults (15+) who Use Bitcoins, Split by 8 Key Regions, 2014-2019
      • Figure & Table 3.2: Number of Active Bitcoin Users Per Annum, Year End (m) Split by 8 Key Regions 2014-2019
    • 3.1.2. Bitcoin Transaction Volume Forecasts
      • Figure & Table 3.3: Average Number of Bitcoin Transactions Per User Per Annum, Split by 8 Key Regions, 2014-2019
      • Figure & Table 3.4: Total Number of Bitcoin Transactions Per Annum (m) Split by 8 Key Regions 2014-2019
    • 3.1.3. Bitcoin Transaction Value Forecasts
      • Figure & Table 3.5: Average Bitcoin Transaction Value ($) Split by 8 Key Regions 2014-2019
      • Figure & Table 3.6: Total Value of Bitcoin Transactions ($m) Split by 8 Key Regions 2014-2019
  • 3.2. Altcoin: Market Sizing & Forecasting
    • 3.2.1. Altcoin User Forecasts
      • Figure & Table 3.7: Percentage of Adults (15+) Who Use Bitcoins, Split by 8 Key Regions, 2014-2019
      • Figure & Table 3.8: Number of Active Altcoin Users Per Annum, Year End (m) Split by 8 Key Regions 2014-2019
    • 3.2.2. Altcoin Transaction Volume Forecasts
      • Figure & Table 3.9: Average Number of Altcoin Transactions Per User Per Annum Split by 8 Key Regions, 2014-2019
      • Figure & Table 3.10: Total Number of Altcoin Transactions Per Annum (m) Sit by 8 Key Regions 2014-2019
    • 3.2.3. Altcoin Transaction Value Forecasts
      • Figure & Table 3.11: Average Altcoin Transaction Value ($) Split by 8 Key Regions 2014-2019
      • Figure & Table 3.12: Total Value of Altcoin Transactions ($m) Split by 8 Key Regions 2014-2019
      • 3.3. Total Cryptocurrency Market
      • Figure & Table 3.13: Total Value of Cryptocurrency Transactions ($m) Split by 8 Key Regions 2014-2019
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