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市場調査レポート

通信の将来

Future of Communication 2020: Telco & OTT Communication Market Forecasts

発行 IDATE DigiWorld 商品コード 259671
出版日 ページ情報 英文 54 Pages
納期: 即日から翌営業日
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通信の将来 Future of Communication 2020: Telco & OTT Communication Market Forecasts
出版日: 2012年12月24日 ページ情報: 英文 54 Pages
概要

当レポートでは、Telco(通信事業者)およびOTT(オーバーザトップ)通信市場について調査し、今後の利用数・収益に関するデータ変化の分析を提供しており、最新の動向、OTTにおけるTelcoのリポジショニングなどをまとめ、概略下記の構成でお届けいたします。

第1章 エグゼクティブサマリー

第2章 調査手法

第3章 数字で見る通信

  • 主な利用発展
    • モバイルユーザーは依然としてOTT(オーバーザトップ)VoIPユーザーよりもはるかに多い
    • メッセージングユーザーはTelco(通信事業者)・OTTともに成長の見込み
    • SMS送信数は引き続き成長の構え、しかしOTTメッセージが急速に追いつく
  • 通信収益の定量化
    • 全体的な通信サービス市場は8年間を通してわずかに縮小する見込み
    • モバイル通信収益の増加は固定通信収益の減少を補えない
    • Telcoメッセージング収益の増加はTelco音声収益の減少を補えない
    • OTT通信収益はTelco通信収益の下落を補えない

第4章 通信における6つの主要動向

  • 通信タイプの寄せ集め
    • イントロダクション
    • Facebook
    • Google
    • WhatsApp
    • Apple
    • オペレーター
  • Telco向け従来型通信の展望
    • イントロダクション
    • 自身のOTTサービスを提供するオペレーター
    • OTTとオペレーター間の提携、ほか
  • 音声・メッセージングがTelcoの商品になる
    • イントロダクション
    • 大量のモバイル音声・メッセージングの申し出
    • 固定音声・インターネットアクセスも同様に無制限、ほか
  • モバイルデータ・WiFiはOTTの強固な事例となる
    • イントロダクション
    • 無制限のモバイルデータは依然として珍しい
    • モバイル上のWiFiはビデオを含め無制限のOTT通信を可能に
  • ビデオ通信の増加
    • イントロダクション
    • Telcoのビデオ通信
    • OTTのビデオ通信
  • ユーザーデータの代わりに正真正銘の無料OTTを提供
    • イントロダクション
    • 無料または低コストのOTTサービス
    • 広告・データ利用

データベース

目次
Product Code: M12121

Telco & OTT communication - Market forecasts

Communication being ubiquitious and IP-based solutions taking increasingly a bigger part in it, this market still remains essential despite decreasing revenues. This report provides analyses on quantitative changes until 2020, in terms of usages and revenues. It also describes the latest trends, the re-positioning of telcos in an OTT world.

Report's key questions

  • What will be the key trends in communication by 2020? Will the total revenue pie of communication shrink or grow?
  • How are telco margins evolving for communication? Simple substitution from fixed to mobile or revenue loss?
  • In terms of usages, how will communication services evolve until 2020? What about OTT VoIP & SMS?
  • What are the impacts of new technologies such as WebRTC or RCSe?
  • Can telcos recover their territory from OTT players? Moreover, how much territory are they really losing, if any?

Excerpts

Share of messages sent forecast, EU5, 2012-2020

Source: IDATE

Number of messages sent by type, USA, 2012-2020

Source: IDATE

Total communication revenue forecast, USA 2012-2020

Source: IDATE

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary

  • 1.1. The six key trends shaping the market
  • 1.2. Key developments in usage of communication services
  • 1.3. The quantification of the communication market

2. Methodology

3. Communication 2020 in figures

  • 3.1. Key usage developments by 2020
    • 3.1.1. Mobile users still much more dominant than OTT VoIP users
      • USA
      • EU5: France, Germany, Italy, Spain, UK
    • 3.1.2. Messaging users of both telcos and OTTs expected to grow
      • USA
      • EU5: France, Germany, Italy, Spain, UK
    • 3.1.3. Number of SMS sent still set to grow, but OTT messages are rapidly catching up
      • USA
      • EU5: France, Germany, Italy, Spain, UK
  • 3.2. The quantification of communication revenue by 2020
    • 3.2.1. Overall communication services market expected to see very slight decline over eight years from 2012 to 2020
    • 3.2.2. Increase in mobile communication revenues cannot compensate for the decline in fixed communication revenues
    • 3.2.3. Increase in telco messaging revenues cannot compensate for the decline in telco voice revenues
    • 3.2.4. OTT communication revenues cannot compensate for decline in telco communication revenues

4. The six key trends in communication

  • 4.1. The aggregation of communication types
    • 4.1.1. Intro
    • 4.1.2. Facebook
    • 4.1.3. Google
    • 4.1.4. WhatsApp
    • 4.1.5. Apple
    • 4.1.6. Operators
  • 4.2. Beyond traditional communication for telcos
    • 4.2.1. Intro
    • 4.2.2. Operators providing their own OTT service
    • 4.2.3. Partnerships between OTT and operators
    • 4.2.4. joyn (RCSe)
  • 4.3. Voice and messaging becoming a telco commodity
    • 4.3.1. Intro
    • 4.3.2. Mobile voice and messaging offered in abundance
    • 4.3.3. Fixed voice and Internet access also unlimited
    • 4.3.4. Bundling it all for an even cheaper experience
  • 4.4. Mobile data and WiFi makes strong case for OTTs
    • 4.4.1. Intro
    • 4.4.2. Unlimited mobile data still rare
    • 4.4.3. WiFi over mobile allows unlimited OTT communication including video
  • 4.5. The rise of video communication
    • 4.5.1. Intro
    • 4.5.2. Telco video communications
    • 4.5.3. OTT video communications
  • 4.6. Genuinely free OTT offers in exchange of user data
    • 4.6.1. Intro
    • 4.6.2. Free or low-cost OTT services
    • 4.6.3. Advertising and data usage

Database

IDATE's scenario for the communication services industry with market estimates from 2012 to 2020.

Countries analysed

  • France
  • Germany
  • Italy
  • Spain
  • United Kingdom
  • United States

Usage data

  • Telcos - fixed
    • Fixed telephony lines (PSTN/ISDN)
    • Fixed telephony density
    • Number of fixed voice minutes
    • Internet users
    • Fixed Internet penetration
    • VoIP subscribers (managed)
    • VoIP penetration
  • Telcos - mobile
    • Mobile subscribers
    • Mobile density
    • Number of mobile voice minutes
    • Mobile Internet users
    • Mobile Internet penetration
    • Mobile VoIP users (managed)
    • Mobile VoIP penetration
    • Number of SMS/MMS users
    • SMS penetration
    • Number of SMS sent
    • Number of other manages messages sent
    • Number of telco-OTT users
  • OTT Players
    • Number of social network users
    • VoIP users
    • Penetration of OTT VoIP
    • Number of messaging apps users (whatsapp, BBM...)
    • Penetration of messaging apps
    • Penetration of messaging apps
    • Number of messages sent

Communication Services

Telco fixed communications

  • Fixed telephony (voice) including VoIP
  • Internet and data

Telco mobile communications

  • Mobile voice
  • Mobile data
    • Non-SMS data
    • SMS
    • Other messaging MMS, telco OTT...

OTT Communications

  • Social networks communication revenue
  • VoIP
  • Paid messaging apps
  • OTT IM

Slideshow

The report ships with a slideshow providing the reader with a synopsis of the study's essential points.

It enables you:

  • to share the principal findings rapidly with your colleagues
  • to use the slides for your internal presentations
  • or simply to browse through the main thoughts of the market study with some clicks
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