市場調査レポート

CIS諸国のアンモニアの生産・市場・予測

Ammonia: Production, Market and Forecast in the CIS

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CIS諸国のアンモニアの生産・市場・予測 Ammonia: Production, Market and Forecast in the CIS
出版日: 2013年02月25日 ページ情報: 英文
概要

当レポートでは、CIS諸国におけるアンモニア産業・市場について分析し、アンモニアの生産技術と原材料、CIS諸国におけるアンモニアの生産構造・動向、輸出・輸入動向、価格の変動、消費構造・動向、主なメーカー・需要家のプロファイルなどの情報を盛り込んで、概略以下の構成でお届けします。

サマリー

イントロダクション

第1章 世界のアンモニア市場

  • アンモニアの製造能力
  • アンモニア製造用の原材料
  • 世界のアンモニアの生産コストと生産量
  • 世界のアンモニアの貿易と消費
  • アンモニアの国際市場価格の状況

第2章 アンモニアの生産技術と原材料

  • アンモニア生産技術
  • CIS諸国におけるアンモニア製造能力
  • 原材料の主なサプライヤー
  • アンモニア製造用原材料の供給先・供給量
  • ロシアにおけるアンモニア生産費用

第3章 CIS諸国におけるアンモニア生産

  • 製品の品質
  • CIS諸国におけるアンモニア生産量
    • ロシアのアンモニア生産
    • ウクライナのアンモニア生産
    • ウズベキスタンのアンモニア生産
    • ベラルーシのアンモニア生産
    • カザフスタン・トルクメニスタン・タジキスタンのアンモニア生産

第4章 アンモニアの輸出入

  • ロシアのアンモニア輸出量・輸入量
  • ロシアのアンモニア輸出の傾向と特徴
  • ロシアのアンモニア輸出の主な相手国
  • ウクライナのアンモニア輸出量・輸入量

第5章 アンモニアの価格

  • ロシアのアンモニアの国内価格
  • ロシアのアンモニア輸出入価格の変動
  • ウクライナのアンモニアの国内価格
  • ウクライナのアンモニアの輸出入価格の変動
  • 契約価格に影響を与える主な要因

第6章 アンモニアの消費

  • アンモニアの消費バランス
    • ロシアにおけるアンモニアの消費バランス
    • ウクライナにおけるアンモニアの消費バランス
  • ロシアのアンモニア消費構造
  • アンモニアの主な用途
    • 窒素肥料の生産
    • リン酸肥料の生産
    • カプロラクタムおよびアクリロニトリルの生産
  • 主な消費企業とそのプロジェクト

第7章 ロシアのアンモニア生産・消費量の予測

付録1:CIS諸国のアンモニア生産企業の住所一覧

付録2:ロシアのアンモニア消費企業の住所一覧

図表一覧

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目次

The report is devoted to investigation of current standing of market of ammonia in the CIS and forecast of its development. The report consists of 7 Sections, contains 263 pages, including 69 Tables, 66 figures and 2 applications.

Methodologically, the work was carried out in two stages - "desk" research and "field" activities. In the first phase were analyzed information sources, we used data of state bodies - Federal Service of State Statistics of Russia (Rosstat), State Statistics Committee of the CIS countries, the customs statistics of the Russian Federation and Ukraine, the State Customs Committee of Ukraine (SCC of Ukraine), State Statistics w / a traffic RF. Also, data of companies, the database of "InfoMine", media materials and the Internet.

At the second stage, the summarized data were verified and corrected by telephone interviews with specialists of the enterprises in this report.

The first chapter of the report presents brief characteristics of world market of ammonia and forecast of its development.

The second chapter provides information about the current industry technology for ammonia, mainly as a raw material (natural gas) and the direction of its supplies to the CIS.

The third chapter of this review is devoted to the production of ammonia in the CIS in 1997-2012. In particular, in this chapter the characteristics of current standing of the main enterprise-producers of ammonia in the CIS.

The fourth and fifth chapters contain information about export and import operations with ammonia in Russia and Ukraine in 1999-2012, and the level of prices for the product.

Sixth Section describes consumption of ammonia in Russia and Ukraine. Detailed analysis of pattern of consumption of chemical balance of the "supply-demand". A review of the main branches of the consumption of ammonia, as well as the greatest company-consumers of the product.

The seventh Section of the report presents forecast of development of Russian market of ammonia to 2020.

Appendix presents addresses and contact information of enterprises, producing ammonia in Russia and CIS countries, as well as the main Russian consumers of the product.

Table of Contents

Abstract

Introduction

I. World ammonia market 2005-2012

  • I.1. The capacity for the production of ammonia
  • I.2. Raw materials for the production of ammonia
  • I.3. Cost and production of ammonia in the world. Competition from Arab producers and its effect on pricing
  • I.4. World consumption and trade of ammonia
  • I.5. Prices in the world market of ammonia. Characteristic spot and contract markets
  • I.6. The main transport routes export ammonia transport prices

II. Technology of production of ammonia and resources used

  • II.1. Technology of production of ammonia. Dependence on the orientation of technology to processing of ammonia or selling a commodity product
  • II.2. The capacity for the production of ammonia in the CIS
  • II.3. The main suppliers of raw materials
  • II.4. Directions and volumes of supplies of raw materials to producers of ammonia
  • II.5. The production cost of ammonia in Russia

III. Ammonia production in the CIS

  • III.1. Quality of products
  • III.2. The volume of production of ammonia in the CIS in 1997-2012
    • III.2.1. Ammonia production in Russia in 1996-2012
      • III.2.1.1. The volume and structure of production
      • III.2.1.2. Russian holdings for the production of nitrogen fertilizers
        • Mineral and Chemical Company (MCC) "EuroChem"
        • JSC "FosAgro"
        • JSC "United Chemical Company" UralChem "
        • Holding company "Siberian Business Union"
        • Group of companies "Akron"
        • JSC "Corporation" Togliatti "
      • III.2.1.3. The current status of the major manufacturers
        • JSC "Togliatti" (Togliatti, Samara region.)
        • Time in regards to their capacities, current status
        • Ownership structure, the conflicts around the enterprise
        • The volume of production of ammonia in 1997-2012
        • Analysis of supply and logistics
        • Financial performance in 2001-2012
        • Ecology
        • Prospects of development
        • JSC NAK "Nitrogen" (Novomoskovsk, Tula Region).
        • Time in regards to their capacities, current status
        • Volumes of production of the main products in 1997-2012
        • Analysis of supply and logistics
        • Financial performance in 2003-2012
        • Ecology
        • Prospects of development
        • JSC "Nevinnomyssk nitrogen" (Nevinnomyssk, Stavropol Territory)
        • Time in regards to their capacities, current status
        • The volume of production of the main products in 1997-2012
        • Analysis of supply and logistics
        • Financial performance in 2003-2012
        • Ecology
        • Prospects of development
        • JSC "Akron" (Veliky Novgorod), JSC "Dorogobuzh" (Smolensk region).
        • Time in regards to their capacities, current status
        • Volumes of production of ammonia in 1997-2012
        • Analysis of supply and logistics
        • Financial performance in 2003-2012
        • Ecology
        • Prospects of development
        • Plant Fertilizer KChKhK (Kirov-Chepetsk, Kirov region).
        • Time in regards to their capacities, current status
        • Volumes of production of ammonia in 1997-2012
        • Analysis of supply and logistics
        • Prospects of development
        • Branch "Azot" JSC "UCC" UralChem"(Berezniki, Perm region)
        • Time in regards to their capacities, current status
        • Analysis of supply and logistics
        • Prospects of development
        • JSC "Mineral fertilizers" (Perm)
        • JSC "Mineral Fertilizers" (Rossosh Voronezh region).
        • Time in regards to their capacities, current status
        • Volumes of production of ammonia in 1997-2012
        • Analysis of supply and logistics
        • Financial performance in 2001-2011
        • Ecology
        • JSC "Cherepovets PhosAgro-" (Cherepovets, Vologda region).
        • Time in regards to their capacities, current status
        • Volumes of production of ammonia in 1997-2012
        • Analysis of supply and logistics
        • Financial performance
        • Ecology
        • Prospects of development
        • JSC "Nitrogen" (Kemerovo region).
        • Time in regards to their capacities, current status
        • Volumes of production of ammonia in 1997-2012
        • Analysis of supply and logistics
        • Financial performance
        • Ecology
        • Prospects of development
        • Other companies
      • III.2.1.4. Comparative characteristics of the main Russian producers of ammonia
      • III.2.1.5. Features of the production of ammonia and the domestic and foreign markets, the impact on pricing and marketing policies of company-producers
    • III.2.2. Ammonia production in Ukraine
    • III.2.3. Ammonia production in Uzbekistan
    • III.2.4. Ammonia production in Belarus
    • III.2.5. Ammonia production in Kazakhstan, Turkmenistan and Tajikistan
    • III.2.6. Major manufacturers of ammonia SNG0

IV. Export-import of ammonia

  • IV.1. Export-import of ammonia in Russia in 1997-2012
  • IV.2. Tendencies and features of export of ammonia in Russia
  • IV.3. The main directions of export of Russian ammonia
  • IV.4. Export-import of ammonia in Ukraine in 1999-2012
  • IV.5. Especially exports through the port of Ventspils and South. Risks involved in the transportation routes of ammonia to the final point of consumption

V. Review of prices for ammonia

  • V.1. Domestic prices for ammonia in Russia in 2004-2012
  • V.2. Dynamics of Russian export-import prices in 1997-2012
  • V.3. Domestic prices for ammonia in Ukraine in 2004-2012
  • V.4. Dynamics of Ukrainian export-import prices in 1999-2012
  • V.5. The main factors affecting the contract prices

VI. Consumption of ammonia

  • VI.1. Supply-demand balance of ammonia
    • VI.1.1. Balance of consumption of ammonia in Russia in 1997-2012
    • VI.1.2. Balance of consumption of ammonia in Ukraine in 1999-2012
  • VI.2. Pattern of consumption of ammonia in Russia
  • VI.3. The main end-uses of ammonia
    • VI.3.1. Production of nitrogen fertilizer
    • VI.3.2. Production of phosphate and compound fertilizer
    • VI.3.3. Production of caprolactam and acrylonitrile
  • VI.4. The main company-consumers, their projects
    • JSC "PhosAgro" - OJSC "PhosAgro-Cherepovets" (formerly "Ammophos", Vologda region.) Ltd. "Balakovo mineral fertilizers" (Saratov region).
    • MCC "EuroChem" - OJSC "PG Phosphorite" (Leningrad region)., "Euro-BMF" (Stavropol Territory)
    • UCC "UralChem" - OJSC "Voskresensk Mineral Fertilizers" (Moscow region).
    • Other major Russian company-consumers of ammonia

VII. Forecast of production and consumption of ammonia in Russia up to 2020

Appendix 1: Contact information on company-producers of ammonia in the CIS

Appendix 2: Contact Russian company-consumers of ammonia

List of Tables:

  • Table 1: Spot prices FOB to ammonia in the Southern ports of shipment and Ventspils in 2010-2011, $ / t
  • Table 2: World prices for ammonia, depending on the location and conditions of shipment in January-August 2012, $ / t
  • Table 3: Project energy consumption figures of Russian ammonium units
  • Table 4: Distribution of ammonia units of the enterprises of the Russian Federation and the flow rates of gas per 1 ton of NH3 by units in 2008 and 2011
  • Table 5: Mean of the design capacity of large enterprises in the CIS ammonia units in 1986-2010,%
  • Table 6: Manufacturers of ammonia in the CIS countries and their capacity at the beginning of 2013
  • Table 7: Gas production in Russia (billion m3) and production growth rate (%) in 2001-2012
  • Table 8: Distribution of Russian producers of ammonia by agrochemical holdings and their feedstock supply in 2012
  • Table 9: Technical requirements for the quality of anhydrous ammonia (according to GOST 6221-90)
  • Table 10: Production of ammonia in the CIS in 1998-2012, kt
  • Table 11: Production of ammonia in Russia in 1997-2012, kt
  • Table 12: Membership of the major holdings of enterprises producing mineral fertilizers in Russia in 2012
  • Table 13: The greatest consumers of ammonia produced by "Togliatti" in 2004-2012, t
  • Table 14: Geographic pattern of export of ammonia "Togliatti" in 2004-2012, kt
  • Table 15: Some of the financial results of JSC "Togliatti" in 2001-2011 and 9 months. 2012
  • Table 16: ammonia exports of JSC "NAC" Nitrogen "in 2004-2012, kt,%
  • Table 17: The greatest consumers of ammonia produced by JSC NAC "Nitrogen" in 2004-2012, t
  • Table 18: Some of the financial results of JSC "NAC" Nitrogen "in 2003-2012
  • Table 19: The greatest consumers of ammonia produced by JSC "Nevinnomyssk Azot" in 2004-2012, t
  • Table 20: Some of the financial results of JSC "Nevinnomyssk Azot" in 2003-2012
  • Table 21: The main production facilities of JSC "Akron" and JSC "Dorogobuzh"
  • Table 22: Consumption of natural gas and electricity to the Russian plants of the "Akron" in 2008-2011
  • Table 23: Ammonia exports of "Akron" in 2004-2012, kt
  • Table 24: The greatest consumers of ammonia production of the holding "Akron" in 2004-2012, t,%
  • Table 25: Some of the financial results of JSC "Akron" in 2003-2011 and 9 months. 2012
  • Table 26: Some of the financial results of JSC "Dorogobuzh" in 2003-2011 and 9 months. 2012
  • Table 27: The greatest consumers of ammonia produced by "MFP KChKhK" in 2004-2012, t,%
  • Table 28: Geographic pattern of export of ammonia "MFP KChKhK" in 2004-2012, kt
  • Table 29: Geographic pattern of export of ammonia "Fertilizers" (Rossosh) in 2004-2012, kt
  • Table 30: The greatest consumers of ammonia produced by JSC "Mineral Fertilizers" (Rossosh) in 2004-2012, t
  • Table 31: Some of the financial results of JSC "Mineral Fertilizers" (Rossosh) in 2001-2011
  • Table 32: The greatest consumers of ammonia produced by "PhosAgro-Cherepovets" in 2004-2012, t
  • Table 33: Cost of production and prices of ammonia produced by "PhosAgro-Cherepovets" in 2009-2011, rub. / T
  • Table 34: Some of the financial results of JSC "Cherepovets Azot" in 2003-2011
  • Table 35: The greatest Russian consumers of ammonia KOAO "Nitrogen" in 2004-2012, t,%
  • Table 36: Some financial data JSC "Nitrogen" in 2003-2011 and 9 months. 2012
  • Table 37: Comparison of the main Russian producers of ammonia
  • Table 38: Distribution of ammonia released by Russian enterprises in 2010-2012, kt,%
  • Table 39: Production of ammonia in Ukraine in 1999-2012, kt
  • Table 40: The greatest producers of ammonia in the CIS in 2007-2012, thousand t,%
  • Table 41: Foreign trade of ammonia in Russia in 1997-2012, kt
  • Table 42: Exports of ammonia by Russian enterprises in 2003-2012, kt,%
  • Table 43: The main country-importers of Russian ammonia in 2002-2012 tons
  • Table 44: Export-import of ammonia in Ukraine in 1999-2012, kt
  • Table 45: Exports of ammonia by Ukrainian enterprises in 2000-2012, kt,%
  • Table 46: Exports of ammonia by Ukrainian enterprises by countries in 2004-2012, kt
  • Table 47: The main country-importers of Ukrainian ammonia in 2001-2012, kt
  • Table 48: Country-suppliers of ammonia in Ukraine in 2001-2012, t
  • Table 49: The main Ukrainian consumers of imported ammonia in 2001-2011, t
  • Table 50: Key indicators of foreign trade ammonia in Uzbekistan in 2007-2011, t, thousand $
  • Table 51: Prices of ammonia in Russia in 2010-2011 (PFD, CFA, delivery FCA), rub. / T including VAT
  • Table 52: Prices of ammonia in Russia, established by its producers in 2004-2012, Ruble / t (including VAT)
  • Table 53: Key Financials export ammonia in Russia in 2006-2012
  • Table 54: Export prices for ammonia, sets the Russian producers in 2005-2012, $ / t
  • Table 55: Russian export-import prices on ammonia in 2002-2012, $ / t
  • Table 56: Prices of ammonia in Ukraine established its producers in 2004-2011, UAH / t including VAT
  • Table 57: Prices of ammonia in the Ukrainian market in 2010-2011 (Eastern region, delivery EXW), UAH / t with VAT
  • Table 58: Key financial indicators of Ukrainian exports of ammonia in 2006-2012
  • Table 59: Export prices for ammonia, sets the Ukrainian producers in 2005-2012, $ / t
  • Table 60: Key indicators of the Russian market of ammonia in 1997-2012, thousand t,%
  • Table 61: Key figures of the Ukrainian market of ammonia in 1999-2012, kt,%
  • Table 62: Volumes of consumption of ammonia in Russia by end-use in 2005-2012, kt
  • Table 63: Indices of chemical production and fertilizer production in Russia in 2003-2012,% to previous year
  • Table 64: Production of phosphate fertilizers in Russia by enterprises in 2010-2012, kt,%
  • Table 65: The greatest Russian consumers of ammonia in 2008-2012, thousand t,%
  • Table 66: Railway supplies the greatest Russian consumers of ammonia with no domestic production of this product in 2005-2012, kt
  • Table 67: Some financial indicators of production of JSC "Ammophos" in 2005-2011, mln.
  • Table 68: Financial performance indicators of "VMF" in 2003-2011 and the 1st half. 2012
  • Table 69: Financial performance indicators of "Meleuz Mineral fertilizers" in 2004-2011

List of Figures:

  • Figure 1: Regional structure of world gas production in 2009 and 2011,%
  • Figure 2: Forecast of world prices for natural gas for the period up to 2015, $ / MMBtu
  • Figure 3: Increasing global production capacity of ammonia and problems with the supply of natural gas in 2010-2015
  • Figure 4: The global production of ammonia in 2005-2012, mln t
  • Figure 5: Volume and regional pattern of world trade ammonia in 2005-2012 and forecast up to 2015, mln t
  • Figure 6: Major importing countries of ammonia in 2011,%
  • Figure 7: Major exporters of ammonia in 2011,%
  • Figure 8: The structure of the global consumption of nitrogen fertilizer,%
  • Figure 9: Comparison of Quarterly changes in world prices for ammonia, urea, ammonium nitrate and nitric acid in 2008-2011, $ / t
  • Figure 10: The main transport routes of export-import of nitrogen fertilizers
  • Figure 11: The traditional scheme of production of ammonia from natural gas
  • Figure 12: of ammonia
  • Figure 13: The unit of ammonia capacity of 1360 t / d
  • Figure 14: Structure of gas production in Russia in 2012,%
  • Figure 15: Reserves in promising gas production areas of OAO "Gazprom"
  • Figure 16: Production of ammonia in Russia and the CIS in 1995-2012, mln t
  • Figure 17: Share of CIS production of ammonia in the total structure of production of the product in 1996-2012,%
  • Figure 18: Dynamics of production of ammonia in Russia in 1997-2012, mln t
  • Figure 19: Quarterly dynamics of ammonia production in Russia in 2007-2012, mln t
  • Figure 20: Share of manufacturers in total Russian production of ammonia in 2004-2012,%
  • Figure 21: Regional structure of production of ammonia in Russia in 2011-2012,%
  • Figure 22: Production chain MCC "EuroChem"
  • Figure 23: The Group's production assets "FosAgro"
  • Figure 24: Schematic of the assets of "UCC" UralChem "
  • Figure 25: Ammonia production in Russia by holdings in 2008-2012,%
  • Figure 26: Production of ammonia and urea production of "Togliatti" in 1997-2012 (kt) and capacity utilization (%)
  • Figure 27: Dynamics of production of main kinds of products of JSC "NAC" Nitrogen "in 1997-2012, kt
  • Figure 28: Dynamics of production of main kinds of products of JSC "Nevinnomyssk Azot" in 1997-2012, kt
  • Figure 29: Simplified diagram of production at the Group "Akron" indicating capacity
  • Figure 30: Dynamics of production of ammonia units holding "Akron" in 1997-2012, kt
  • Figure 31: Production of the main kinds of products of JSC "MFP KChKhK" in 2000-2012, kt
  • Figure 32: Ammonia (tonnes) and capacity utilization (%) of "Fertilizers" (Rossosh) in 1997-2012
  • Figure 33: Ammonia (tonnes) and capacity utilization (%) of "PhosAgro-Cherepovets" in 1997-2012
  • Figure 34: Ammonia (tonnes) and capacity utilization (%) JSC "Nitrogen" in 1997-2012, kt
  • Figure 35: Structure of the ammonia on the Russian domestic market by companies in 2012,%
  • Figure 36: Dynamics of production of ammonia in Ukraine in 1999-2012, mln t
  • Figure 37: Shares of ammonia producers in the total volume of its production in Ukraine in 2012,%
  • Figure 38: Dynamics of production of ammonia in Uzbekistan in 1999-2012, mln t
  • Figure 39: Ammonia production of "Grodnoazot" (kt) and capacity utilization (%) in 1998-2012
  • Figure 40: Ammonia production in Turkmenistan, Kazakhstan and Tajikistan in 2003-2012, kt
  • Figure 41: Production and export of ammonia in Russia in 1995-2012, mln t
  • Figure 42: Quarterly exports of ammonia in Russia in 2006-2012, kt
  • Figure 43: Share of export in production of ammonia in Russia in 1995-2012,%
  • Figure 44: Share of exports of ammonia in the volume of its production of the largest Russian exporters in 2008-2012,%
  • Figure 45: exports of ammonia in Russia in 2008-2012,%
  • Figure 46: Dynamics of production and export of ammonia in Ukraine in 1999-2012, kt
  • Figure 47: Share of exports of ammonia in the volume of its production of Ukrainian producers in 2006-2012,%
  • Figure 48: Geographical structure of Ukrainian exports of ammonia in 2008-2012,%
  • Figure 49: Dynamics of average prices for ammonia Russia in 2004-2008, rub. / T exclusive of VAT
  • Figure 50: Dynamics of average prices of Russian exports of ammonia in 1997-2012, $ / t
  • Figure 51: Quarterly price of Russian exports of ammonia in 2006-2012, $ / t
  • Figure 52: Dynamics of monthly prices for ammonia (Yuzhny, FOB), $ / t
  • Figure 53: Comparative Dynamics of prices of Russian and Ukrainian exports of ammonia in 1999-2012, $ / t
  • Figure 54: Dynamics of production of ammonia and nitrogen fertilizers in Russia and the domestic consumption of ammonia in 1997-2012, mln t
  • Figure 55: Dynamics of production, consumption and exports of ammonia in Ukraine in 1999-2012, kt
  • Figure 56: Structure of consumption of ammonia in Russia in 2012,%
  • Figure 57: Change in the structure of consumption of ammonia in Russia in 1999-2012,%
  • Figure 58: Production of nitrogen and phosphate fertilizers in Russia in 2003-2012 (in equivalent of 100% of valuable substance), kt
  • Figure 59: Production of ammonium nitrate, urea, MAP and DAP (in bulk) in Russia in 1999-2012, kt
  • Figure 60: Simplified diagram of the main types of nitrogen fertilizers and the average consumption ratios on feed
  • Figure 61: Shares of the largest producers of nitrogen fertilizers, urea and ammonium nitrate in Russia's national release in 2012,%
  • Figure 62: Shares of the largest manufacturers of MAP and diammophos in Russia's national release in 2012,%
  • Figure 63: Dynamics of production of MAP and diammophos in JSC "Ammophos" (in bulk) in 1999-2012, kt
  • Figure 64: Dynamics of production of MAP and diammophos in JSC "Resurrection fertilizers" in 1999-2012, kt
  • Figure 65: Dynamics of production of ammonium nitrate in JSC "Meleuz Mineral fertilizers" in 1997-2012, kt
  • Figure 66: Forecast of production and consumption of ammonia in Russia up to 2020, mln t
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