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世界のユーティリティ市場の予測(2017年)

IDC FutureScape: Worldwide Utilities 2017 Predictions

発行 IDC 商品コード 345101
出版日 ページ情報 英文 18 Pages
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世界のユーティリティ市場の予測(2017年) IDC FutureScape: Worldwide Utilities 2017 Predictions
出版日: 2016年11月02日 ページ情報: 英文 18 Pages
概要

当レポートでは、世界のユーティリティ市場について調査分析を行い、10の予測を通して2017年の市場の見通しについて考察してまとめています。

第1章 IDC FutureScape値

第2章 エグゼクティブサマリー

第3章 IDC FutureScapeの予測

  • 外部促進要因のサマリー
  • 予測:技術バイヤーへの提言
    • 予測1:2020年までに、非ユーティリティ企業とデジタルディスラプターがエネルギー小売市場の20%を掌握し、既存ユーティリティ企業との収益率の差は3倍になる見込み
    • 予測2:2020年までに、競合が激しい市場のエネルギープロバイダーは「便利なライフスタイル」のプロバイダーに変容することで収益を伸ばす見込み
    • 予測3:2020年までに、2.5GWのエネルギーは、ユーティリティ独立子会社を通じて余剰DERを卸売するフォーチュン誌のグローバル500社の20%が発電している見込み
    • 予測4:2019年までに、モバイルユーティリティワークフォースの70%がARやウェアラブルを利用できず、業務の最適化、安全の向上における機会を逃し、スキルの欠落を埋められなくなる見込み
    • 予測5:2020年までに、ユーティリティ企業の25%が、資産運用投資とセンサーデータとコグニティブ能力を統合し、資産効率を向上させ管理費を削減する見込み
    • 予測6:2019年までに、ユーティリティ企業は、外部で発生した資産、市場、グリッドデータを統合する方法を獲得する必要があり、30%の企業がDER管理システムに投資する見込み
    • 予測7:最高の顧客経験を提供できず、2018年までに5社に1社のユーティリティ企業しか10%以上顧客満足度を向上できず、NPSを上げることができない見込み
    • 予測8:2018年までに、60%のユーティリティ企業の戦略および運用に関する安全保障技術は取締役会レベルで扱われ、政府機関が調整するようになる見込み
    • 予測9:2018年までに、50%のスマートメーターIoTの取組みが規制枠組みの不整備と商業モデルの検討不足により試験段階前に失敗する見込み
    • 予測10:2019年までに、デジタル移行アジェンダの実行のためユーティリティ主要100社の25%が、ITインフラをパブリッククラウドに移行し、IT費用を少なくとも30%削減する見込み

第4章 技術バイヤーへの提言

第5章 外部促進要因:詳細

第6章 参考資料

  • 関連調査

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目次
Product Code: EMEA40123816

The traditional utility business model is broken, the pace of decarbonization is accelerating, and distributed generation is on the rise. At the same time, technology and the overall business environment are changing at a tremendous speed, which will only hasten. This IDC study contains the outlook of IDC Energy Insights' analyst team for the worldwide utility industry for 2017, as well as the planning horizon for the next 24 months and beyond. The outlook is presented through the lens of the 10 predictions that make up, in IDC Energy Insights' view, the framework for IT and line-of-business (LOB) decision makers and influencers' technology-related initiatives in the year ahead (see Figure 1).IDC Energy Insights' top 10 predictions for worldwide utilities for 2017 are:Competition. By 2020, non-utility companies and digital disrupters will seize 20% of the energy retail market, tripling the profitability gap between thrivers and survivors.Business models. By 2020, 50% of competitive-market energy providers will drive their revenues by transforming into "convenient lifestyle" providers.Power markets. By 2020, 2.5GW of electricity will be generated by 20% of Fortune G500 companies who will wholesale their distributed energy resource (DER) excess power through utility-independent subsidiaries.Workforce digital augmentation. By 2019, 70% of the mobile utility workforce will not be equipped with augmented reality and wearables, missing out on optimizing operations, improving safety, and easing skills gap.Asset digitization. By 2020, 25% of utilities will integrate asset performance management investments with sensor data and cognitive capabilities, boosting asset efficiency and reducing maintenance costs.Distributed energy resource management systems (DERMS). By 2019, utilities will need to learn how to integrate externally originated asset, market and grids data and 30% will invest in distributed energy resource management systems.Customer experience (CX). Failing to deliver superior customer experiences, only 1 in 5 utilities will raise customer satisfaction scores by 10% or reach positive net promoter score (NPS) by 2018.Cybersecurity. By 2018, 60% of a utilities' strategic and operational security technology will be managed at the board level and orchestrated by government agencies.Internet of Things (IoT). By 2018, misaligned regulatory frameworks and poorly considered commercial models will cause 50% of smart metering IoT initiatives to fail to deliver value beyond the pilot stage.Cloud. By 2019, to support their digital transformation agenda, 25% of top 100 utilities will cut IT costs by at least 30% by migrating IT infrastructure into public cloud."Utilities' traditional business models are under attack, directly and indirectly," said Roberta Bigliani, associate vice president, IDC Energy Insights. "Utilities are racing to reinvent their roles and have started a profound transformation journey. The industry will be reborn in 3D: decentralized, divergent, and digital."

IDC FutureScape Figure

Executive Summary

IDC FutureScape Predictions

  • Summary of External Drivers
  • Predictions: Impact on Technology Buyers
    • Prediction 1: By 2020, Non-Utility Companies and Digital Disrupters Will Seize 20% of the Energy Retail Market, Tripling the Profitability Gap Between Thrivers and Survivors
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 2: By 2020, 50% of Competitive-Market Energy Providers Will Drive Their Revenue by Transforming into "Convenient Lifestyle" Providers
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 3: By 2020, 2.5GW of Electricity will be Generated by 20% of Fortune G500 Companies Who Will Wholesale Their DER Excess Power Through Utility-Independent Subsidiaries
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 4: By 2019, 70% of the Mobile Utility Workforce Will Not Be Equipped with Augmented Reality and Wearables, Missing Out on Optimizing Operations, Improving Safety, and Easing Skills Gap
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 5: By 2020, 25% of utilities Will Integrate Asset Performance Management Investments with Sensor Data and Cognitive Capabilities, Boosting Asset Efficiency and Reducing Maintenance Costs
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 6: By 2019, Utilities Will Need to Learn How to Integrate Externally Originated Asset, Market, and Grids Data, and 30% Will Invest in Distributed Energy Resource Management Systems
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 7: Failing to Deliver Superior Customer Experiences, only 1 in 5 Utilities Will Raise Customer Satisfaction Scores by 10% or Reach Positive NPS by 2018
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 8: By 2018, 60% of Utilities' Strategic and Operational Security Technology Will Be Managed at the Board Level and Orchestrated by Government Agencies
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 9: By 2018, Misaligned Regulatory Frameworks and Poorly Considered Commercial Models Will Cause 50% Of Smart Metering IoT Initiatives to Fail to Deliver Value Beyond the Pilot Stage
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 10: By 2019, to Support Their Digital Transformation Agenda, 25% of Top 100 Utilities Will Cut IT Costs by at Least 30% by Migrating IT Infrastructure into Public Cloud
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
      • Guidance

Advice for Technology Buyers

External Drivers: Detail

  • Energy's New Normal: Decarbonized, Decentralized, and Redistributed
  • DX: Technology-Centric Transformation Altering Business and Society
  • Shifting Economics: Data as Digital Capital
  • Talent Crunch: Global Demand for Digital Workers
  • Innovation Impasse: Systems of Record Constrain Evolution
  • Platform Economy: The Ecosystem Battle for Scale
  • Disruptive Fault Lines: Security, Privacy, and Regulation

Learn More

  • Related Research
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