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世界のペイメント市場の予測 (2017年)

IDC FutureScape: Worldwide Payments 2017 Predictions

発行 IDC 商品コード 345092
出版日 ページ情報 英文 22 Pages
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世界のペイメント市場の予測 (2017年) IDC FutureScape: Worldwide Payments 2017 Predictions
出版日: 2016年11月02日 ページ情報: 英文 22 Pages
概要

当レポートでは、企業の技術責任者に対する戦略的提言や36か月の計画プロセスなどについて取り上げています。

IDC FutureScapeの見解

エグゼクティブサマリー

IDC FutureScapeの予測

  • 外的活性因子のサマリー
  • 予測:技術バイヤーへの影響
    • 予測1:2020年までに世界の貿易金融の20%がブロックチェーン/分散型元帳技術を統合する
    • 予測2:誰がエクスペリエンスを「所有」するかが不確かな状態を受け、NFCを使用した世界のモバイルペイメントは2018年までには35%の増加に留まる
    • 予測3:2020年までに、ネット接続端末とIoTがペイメント市場の収益の100億米ドルを占める
    • 予測4:世界の政治的連携の大幅なシフトは、規制の努力がペイメントの変容を促進している銀行への支払操作にあまり影響は与えない
    • 予測5:2017年、銀行の10%が顧客に対し認識技術を提供して様々な端末での「音声ペイメント」を可能にしているが導入は遅い
    • 予測6:2019年までに金融機関は120億米ドル以上をペイメントシステムの変更に費やす
    • 予測7:世界的に、銀行の5%は前線での競争を諦め、「クラウド型バランスシート」を開発してフィンテックや競合社と顧客サービス提供のために連携する
    • 予測8:2020年までに、450億米ドルがブロックチェーンや分散型元帳アプリケーションおよびビジネスネットワークを可能にするために金融機関によって専門サービスに支出される
    • 予測9:2019年までにRTGSインフラが世界各地で大幅に変容し、アジア太平洋の市場の開発はほぼ完了する
    • 予測10:2018年までに、小売業者はデータを守り費用を無くすまたは削減するセキュアネットワークの代替品を追及する

技術バイヤーへの主な提言

外的活性因子:詳細

  • 関連性の保持:新たな参入者と製品が分断する金融業界
  • DX:ビジネスと社会を変える技術中心の転向
  • 企業の構造:改革と既存インフラの統合
  • プラットフォーム経済:規模に対する収益構造の戦い
  • どこでも何でも:コンピュータベースの知能の登場
  • 世界的な不安定さ:競争、パワー、リスク
  • 新たなリスクの性質:有害因子への防御と増加する規制コンプライアンス順守のための改革

参考資料

このページに掲載されている内容は最新版と異なる場合があります。詳細はお問い合わせください。

目次
Product Code: US40132716

This IDC Financial Insights study is a tool for technology leaders and their line-of-business (LOB) counterparts to use in their IT strategic planning efforts as they face these exciting times. As such, the document provides the following:It provides strategic guidance for those leaders within organizations who are tasked with making broad technology decisions and plans by offering 10 predictions covering the most important areas of change within the industry.It covers a 36-month planning process by looking at the scope of the change caused by these trends described in the first bullet point as well as the level of investment and effort necessary to address them."The payment market has already experienced immense change in the past few years, brought about by new competitors, business models, risks, and regulation," said James Wester, research director, Worldwide Payment Strategies, and lead author of the study. "Within that rapidly shifting market, however, IDC Financial Insights has identified several trends that technology leaders should pay particular attention to as they plan for the future."

IDC FutureScape Figure

Executive Summary

IDC FutureScape Predictions

  • Summary of External Drivers
  • Predictions: Impact on Technology Buyers
    • Prediction 1: By 2020, 20% of Trade Finance Globally Will Incorporate Blockchain/Distributed Ledger Technology
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
        • Technology
        • People
        • Process
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 2: Worldwide Mobile Payments Using NFC Will Increase Just 35% by 2018, Reflecting Continued Uncertainty in Who Will "Own" the Experience
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
        • Technology
        • People
        • Process
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 3: By 2020, Connected Devices and the Internet of Things Will Account for $10 Billion in Revenue for the Payment Market
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
        • Technology
        • People
        • Process
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 4: Significant Shifts in Global Political Alliances Will Have Limited or No Impact on Payment Operations of Worldwide Banks Where Regulatory Efforts Have Spurred Payment Transformation
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
        • Technology
        • People
        • Process
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 5: 10% of Banks in 2017 Will Provide Their Consumers Cognitive Technologies Allowing for "Voice Bill Payments" on Numerous Devices; Yet Adoption Will Be Slow
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
        • Technology
        • People
        • Process
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 6: Financial Institutions Will Spend More than $12 Billion by 2019 on Transformation of Their Payment Systems
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
        • Technology
        • People
        • Process
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 7: Globally, 5% of Banks Will Give Up Competing at the Front End, Develop "Balance Sheet as a Service" as a Business, and Partner with Fintechs or Competitors to Deliver Customer Service
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
        • Technology
        • People
        • Process
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 8: By 2020, $45 Million Will Be Spent by Financial Institutions on Professional Services to Enable Blockchain and Distributed Ledger Applications and Business Networks
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
        • Technology
        • People
        • Process
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 9: By 2019, RTGS Infrastructure Will Be Significantly Transformed in Many Regions of the World, with Development in Markets in Asia/Pacific Being Nearly Complete
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
        • Technology
        • People
        • Process
      • Guidance
    • Prediction 10: By 2018, Retailers Will Pursue Alternatives for Secure Networks That Protect Data and Eliminate or Lower Fees
      • Associated Drivers
      • IT Impact
        • Technology
        • People
        • Process
      • Guidance

Advice for Technology Buyers

External Drivers: Detail

  • Staying Relevant: New Entrants and Products Disrupting Financial Industry
  • DX: Technology-Centric Transformation Altering Business and Society
  • Enterprise Architectures: Integrating Innovation into the Institution's Existing Infrastructure
  • Platform Economy: The Ecosystem Battle for Scale
  • Everything, Everywhere: The Rise of Computer-Based Intelligence
  • Global Volatility: Competition, Power, and Risk
  • New Nature of Risk: Innovating to Defend Against Bad Actors and Comply with Increasing Regulatory Compliance

Learn More

  • Related Research
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