Worldwide PC Forecast Update, 2016-2020: June 2016
|出版日||ページ情報||英文 19 Pages
The poor macroeconomic climate continues to sour our outlook on the near-term PC market. Among other issues, instable commodity prices, weak oil data, currency fluctuations, and tense political conditions across many regions have dampened spending activities across the consumer and commercial segments alike. Although channel inventory largely showed signs of improvement in this quarter, channel intake remained mostly cautious. Overall PC demand is expected to remain soft as life cycles continue to extend and as alternative form factors including detachables gain steam.Amid a modest outlook for 2016, streaks of improvements in certain pockets, especially toward the end of the year, could bolster PC sales. Notably, Chromebook's ascent in the education sector is expected to hold strong, although this is mainly still a North American narrative. We believe enterprises will rigorously test Windows 10 throughout this year and will be already planning for a Windows 10 transition. Whether or not these transitions happen in earnest sooner rather than later could be the difference between a weak 2016 and an abysmal one.This IDC study provides an updated view on the worldwide PC market through the next five years and utilizes data from the 1Q16 PC forecast."With new form factors fast replacing the PC experience and with refresh cycles continuing to stretch, 2016 hasn't brought any good news for the PC market as such," states Neha Mahajan, senior research analyst at IDC's Devices and Displays group. "Healthier reception of Windows 10 and additional demand creation from certain sectors of the market may just be able to prevent an abysmal 2016."