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市場調査レポート

携帯電話の世界市場予測

Worldwide Mobile Phone Forecast, 2018-2022

発行 IDC 商品コード 341116
出版日 ページ情報 英文 23 Pages
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携帯電話の世界市場予測 Worldwide Mobile Phone Forecast, 2018-2022
出版日: 2018年03月21日 ページ情報: 英文 23 Pages
概要

当レポートでは、世界市場における端末ベンダーごとの携帯電話出荷数の5か年予測などを提供しています。

IDCの見解

エグゼクティブサマリー

技術サプライヤへのアドバイス

  • 製品ラインアップのバランスを取る
  • 新興市場における手ごろな価格の端末の成功
  • 5G

市場予測

  • 携帯電話の世界市場予測
  • 携帯電話の世界市場予測:地域別
  • 携帯電話市場予測:端末タイプ別
    • フィーチャーフォン
    • スマートフォン
  • 携帯電話市場予測:エアインターフェース別
    • CDMA
    • GSM
    • UMTS/WCDMA
    • 4G
    • 5G
  • 携帯電話の世界市場予測:ASP別

市場の背景

  • 成長因子と成長阻害因子
    • 成長因子
    • 成長阻害因子
  • 重大な市場開発
  • 過去の予測からの変更点

市場の定義

  • フィーチャーフォン
  • スマートフォン

調査手法

参考資料

目次
Product Code: US43624018
This IDC study presents the five-year forecast for mobile phone shipments worldwide by device vendors. The worldwide mobile phone market will reach a total of 1,958.3 million unit shipments in 2018, down 0.6% from the 1,971.0 million units shipped in 2017. From there, total mobile phone shipments will reach 1,940.4 million units worldwide by 2022, resulting in a CAGR of -0.3% from 2017 to 2022."2018 is set to bring a slight decline to the total mobile phone market as we expect a continuing decrease in feature phone shipments offset by minor 2.1% growth in smartphones," says Anthony Scarsella, research manager for IDC's Mobile Phones team. "Despite the expected decline in 2018, we expect more premium devices to enter the market. New 18:9 bezel-less models with advanced capabilities such as AR/VR and artificial intelligence will be some of the big trends throughout the year, and they won't come cheap. We expect a 9.0% year-over-year increase in the average selling price of a mobile phone in 2018 largely fueled by these new ultra-high-end models. Prices will continue to grow throughout the forecast period as this segment of the market will thrive in many developed markets where consumers can utilize financing and trade-in to offset the higher up-front cost."

IDC Market Forecast Figure

Executive Summary

Advice for Technology Suppliers

  • Preparing for 5G
  • Capturing Feature Phone Owners Remains Essential
  • High-End Continues to Flourish

Market Forecast

  • Worldwide Mobile Phone Forecast, 2017-2022
    • Worldwide Mobile Phone Forecast by Region
    • Worldwide Mobile Phone Forecast by Device Type
      • Feature Phones
      • Smartphones
    • Worldwide Mobile Phone Forecast by Air Interface and Air Interface Group
      • CDMA
      • GSM
      • UMTS/WCDMA
      • 4G
      • 5G
    • Worldwide Mobile Phone Forecast by ASP

Market Context

  • Drivers and Inhibitors
    • Drivers
      • Component Costs
      • 5G Handsets
      • Larger Screen Sizes
    • Inhibitors
      • Exchange Rates
      • Replacement Rates
  • Significant Market Developments
  • Changes from Prior Forecast

Market Definition

  • Feature Phone
  • Smartphone

Methodology

  • Primary Data Sources
  • Secondary Sources
  • IDC's Worldwide Quarterly Mobile Phone Tracker

Related Research

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