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次世代PON&ファイバーアクセス:市場認識調査

Next-Gen PONs & Fiber Access: A Market Perception Study

発行 Heavy Reading 商品コード 139334
出版日 ページ情報 英文 36 Pages
納期: 即日から翌営業日
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次世代PON&ファイバーアクセス:市場認識調査 Next-Gen PONs & Fiber Access: A Market Perception Study
出版日: 2010年10月20日 ページ情報: 英文 36 Pages

当商品の販売は、2016年07月01日を持ちまして終了しました。

概要

当レポートでは、ネットワークオペレーターを対象に次世代PON技術に関する調査を行った結果から、今後の帯域需要、現行のファイバーアクセス製品の導入計画、次世代PONへの関心、各種次世代PONへの意識と利用例、導入の障壁、次世代PON機器の必要要件、ベンダーランキングなどをまとめ、概略下記の構成でお届けいたします。

第1章 イントロダクション・主要調査結果

  • 主要調査結果
  • 調査範囲・構成

第2章 次世代PON:概要・現状レポート

  • 今世代のファイバーアクセスアーキテクチャ
  • 次世代ファイバーアーキテクチャ
    • オプション1:10GEPON
    • オプション2:10GPON (aka XG-PON 1)
    • オプション3:WDM PON

第3章 アンケート調査対象の統計

第4章 次世代アクセスの需要牽引因子

  • 帯域の上昇
  • 帯域需要の上昇の速度

第5章 次世代PONのプランニング:通信事業者の期待

  • 現在の状況
  • 次世代PONへの意識
  • 注目分野:ケーブルMSO
  • 注目分野:米国 vs. 欧州・中東・アフリカ地域

第6章 ソリューションの選択

  • 主な選択基準
  • サプライヤーの選択

第7章 サマリー:次世代PONへの道のり

  • 次世代PONに向けた次のステップ
  • ベンダーへの提言

付録

図表

目次

Over the past year or so, interest in next-generation passive optical networks (NG PONs) has grown rapidly, driven partly by the standardization of new PON variants by both the Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE) and International Telecommunication Union (ITU), partly by vendor investment in a new category of PONs based on WDM, and partly by a sense that current-generation fiber-to-the-home (FTTH) products, including PON products, will run out of horsepower in the middle of the decade as end-user demand spirals beyond 100 Mbit/s.

Several vendors, including major telecom equipment manufacturers such as Alcatel-Lucent, Huawei, and ZTE, are already actively promoting the merits of NG PONs, and beginning to launch equipment in anticipation of potential demand; at the same time, vendors such as ADVA, LG-Nortel (now Ericsson), and Nokia Siemens Networks have been pushing the merits of a new approach based on WDM.

With standards now completed and vendor solutions emerging, next-generation PONs are beginning to attract more attention from network operators. Network operators expect that demand for access bandwidth will continue to grow, and that this will eventually translate into a need for new fiber access solutions, especially to deliver new high-speed applications to both homes and businesses.

How quickly that translates into real, significant demand for NG PON platforms is more problematic. there is widespread regional and national variation in FTTH plans, penetration, and technologies in use, creating challenges for vendors in creating a single solution that fits all builders and situations.

Next-Gen PONs & Fiber Access: A Market Perception Study presents results of a major online survey probing network operator opinions on NG PON technologies, conducted in the first quarter of 2010. The survey polled 99 professionals working with 72 different network operators. Among other things, the survey sought information in the following areas:

  • Recent and anticipated demand for bandwidth among main categories of users
  • Current and near-term plans for deployment of current-generation fiber access products
  • Knowledge of and interest in NG PONs
  • Catalysts to deploy NG PON equipment
  • Attitudes to different kinds of NG PONs and their use cases
  • Barriers to deployment
  • Key required features of NG PON equipment
  • Ranking of potential vendors in this area

Next-Gen PONs & Fiber Access: A Market Perception Study also examines key underlying demand issues, including historic and expected growth in bandwidth demand; and reviews the key standards governing next-gen PONs, examining their main features, advantages, and drawbacks.

Table of Contents

LIST OF FIGURES

I. INTRODUCTION & KEY FINDINGS

  • 1.1 Key Findings
  • 1.2 Report Scope & Structure

II. NEXT-GEN PONS: DESCRIPTION & STATUS REPORT

  • 2.1 Current-Generation Fiber Access Architectures
  • 2.2 Next-Generation Fiber Architectures
    • Option 1: 10GEPON
    • Option 2: 10GPON (aka XG-PON 1)
    • Option 3: WDM PON

III. SURVEY DEMOGRAPHICS

IV. WHAT' S DRIVING DEMAND FOR NEXT-GEN ACCESS?

  • 4.1 The Bandwidth Escalator
  • 4.2 How Fast Is Bandwidth Demand Rising Today?

V. PLANNING FOR NG PONS: WHAT TELCOS EXPECT

  • 5.1 Where Are We Now?
  • 5.2 Attitudes to Next-Gen PONs
  • 5.3 Zooming In: Cable MSOs
  • 5.4 Zooming In: US vs. EMEA

VI. CHOOSING A SOLUTION

  • 6.1 The Key Criteria
  • 6.2 Choosing Suppliers

VII. SUMMARY: THE ROAD TO NEXT-GEN PONS

  • 7.1 What' s Next for Next-Gen PONs?
  • 7.2 Recommendations to Vendors

APPENDIX A: ABOUT THE AUTHOR

APPENDIX B: LEGAL DISCLAIMER

LIST OF FIGURES

SECTION III

  • Figure 3.1: Respondents by Type of Operator
  • Figure 3.2: Revenues of Respondents' Companies in Most Recent Fiscal Year
  • Figure 3.3: Where Respondents Companies Were Headquartered
  • Figure 3.4: What Services Does Your Company Provide?
  • Figure 3.5: What Is Your Primary Job Function?

SECTION IV

  • Figure 4.1: The Bandwidth Escalator
  • Figure 4.2: Growth in Demand Through Major Internet Peering Point
  • Figure 4.3: Current Estimated Broadband Speeds
  • Figure 4.4: Estimated Broadband Speeds in 2015
  • Figure 4.5: Current Growth in Bandwidth Requirements
  • Figure 4.6: Will Bandwidth Demand Become More Symmetrical?

SECTION V

  • Figure 5.1: Current Household Penetration of FTTH in Major Territories (End
  • Figure 5.2: Global FTTH Connections, Historic & Forecast
  • Figure 5.3: Current Situation of Survey Respondent Companies
  • Figure 5.4: Planned Use of Current Fiber Access Technologies
  • Figure 5.5: Planned Use of Current Fiber Access Technologies (Incumbents
  • Figure 5.6: Mobile Broadband Is a Catalyst, Not a Barrier
  • Figure 5.7: There Is Already Considerable Interest in NG PONs
  • Figure 5.8: TDM Technologies May Be Reaching End of Life
  • Figure 5.9: The Key Drivers for Deploying Next-Generation PONs
  • Figure 5.10: Which Customer Segment First for NG PONs?
  • Figure 5.11: Capex Is the Key Constraint
  • Figure 5.12: Regional Differences Regarding PON Technologies
  • Figure 5.13: Differing Catalysts, US & EMEA

SECTION VI

  • Figure 6.1: Key Criteria When Choosing Next-Gen Access Technology
  • Figure 6.2: Incumbents' Top 5 Evaluation Criteria
  • Figure 6.3: The Key Issue - Minimizing Changes During the Transition
  • Figure 6.4: Full Backwards Compatibility Is Important, but Not Essential
  • Figure 6.5: Can a Single Platform Handle All Use Cases?
  • Figure 6.6: Key Criteria When Choosing Suppliers
  • Figure 6.7: Alcatel-Lucent & Huawei - Positioned to Dominate?
  • Figure 6.8: Supplier Scoring
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