リスクの世界市場：四半期レポート更新版-2022年第3四半期

欧州は、引き続き世界で最もリスクの低い地域です。しかし、欧州諸国がロシアに課した制裁措置に伴うエネルギー不足の影響を受けているため、リスクスコアは2022年第2四半期の32.6から第3四半期には33.4に上昇しました。中東・アフリカは最もリスクの高い地域とされ、2022年第3四半期のリスクスコアは54となっています。同地域では紛争が続いており、地政学的な状況は不安定なままです。また、物価の上昇は低開発国に影響を与え、人道的危機を悪化させています。南北アメリカのリスクスコアは2022年第2四半期の46.5から第3四半期には47.7に上昇し、ベネズエラなど中南米諸国での人道危機の悪化別脆弱性から、中東・アフリカに次いで高い順位となっています。

当レポートでは、世界のリスク市場について調査し、2022年第3四半期の国別概要、主なイベント、地域別の動向などを提供しています。

目次

• GlobalDataの国別リスクインデックス（GCRI）- 国ランキング
• GCRI 2022年第3四半期- 重要ポイント
• 世界概要-主なハイライト
• 世界概要- まとめ
• フラッシュバック-2021年11月～2022年10月
• 主なイベント-2022年10月～2023年9月
• GCRI 2022年第3四半期ヒートマップ
• GCRI-世界情勢（2022年）
• 主なリスクと回復
• 地域分析
• 地域分析-アジア太平洋
• 地域分析- 欧州
• 地域分析- 南北アメリカ
• 地域分析-中東・アフリカ
• 調査手法と付録

Global Risk Report is based on GlobalData Country Risk Index (GCRI) which is a unique country risk-rating model that determines the existing and future level of country risk by assessing various qualitative and quantitative factors. The index is formulated to help firms prepare their global business strategies on the basis of historical developments in an economy and also their future expectations.

The Country Risk Index incorporates the latest available macroeconomics, political, social, technological, environmental and legal data from a range of recognized national and international statistical sources, and incorporates proprietary data from GlobalData Economics Research. The model also features expert analytical judgment from in-house economists and takes into account their insights and opinions. By applying a robust approach to assessing risk, GlobalData analysts ensure that strategists have an effective tool to assess current trends and risks facing the economies across the globe.

The eighteenth update version of GlobalData Country Risk Index (GCRI) Q3 2022 ranks Switzerland at the top followed by Singapore and Denmark. 29 countries were identified in the very low risk zone, 27 countries in the low-risk zone, 33 countries under manageable risk, 41 countries under high risk and 23 countries in the very high-risk zone in GCRI Q3 2022.

Scope

• Europe continues to be the least-risk region in the world. However, the risk score increased to 33.4 in Q3 2022 from 32.6 in Q2 2022 as the European countries are reeling under the impact of energy shortage following the sanctions it imposed on Russia. The Middle East and Africa is considered to be the riskiest region, with a risk score of 54 in Q3 2022. The geopolitical situation remains precarious due to ongoing conflicts in the region. Increasing prices also affected underdeveloped countries and worsened the humanitarian crisis. The risk score of the Americas increased to 47.7 in Q3 2022 from 46.5 in Q2 2022 and was ranked the second-highest after the Middle East and Africa due to a vulnerability in Latin American countries such as Venezuela, as the humanitarian crisis in the country worsens.
• In Asia-Pacific, the risk score increased from 41 in Q2 2022 to 42 in Q3 2022, making it the third-riskiest region. In Q3 2022, the repercussions of China's zero-COVID policy led to a slowdown in the economy. Additionally, the displacement of Rohingyas, the spiraling economic crisis in Sri Lanka, and a devastating flood in Pakistan were the major risks for the region in Q3 2022.

Reasons to Buy

• Global Risk Report is based on GlobalData Country Risk Index (GCRI) which is a unique country risk-rating model that determines the existing and future level of country risk by assessing various qualitative and quantitative factors. The index is formulated to help firms prepare their global business strategies on the basis of historical developments in an economy and also their future expectations.
• The Country Risk Index incorporates the latest available macroeconomics, political, social, technological, environmental and legal data from a range of recognized national and international statistical sources, and incorporates proprietary data from GlobalData Economics Research. The model also features expert analytical judgment from in-house economists and takes into account their insights and opinions. By applying a robust approach to assessing risk, GlobalData analysts ensure that strategists have an effective tool to assess current trends and risks facing the economies across the globe.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

• GlobalData Country Risk Index (GCRI) - Country Ranking
• GCRI Q3 2022 - Key Takeaways
• Global Overview - Key Highlights
• Global Overview - Summary
• Flashback - November 2021 to October 2022
• Key Events - October 2022 to September 2023
• GCRI Q3 2022 Heat Map
• GCRI - Global Landscape 2022
• Major Risks and Recovery
• Regional Analysis
• Regional Analysis - Asia-Pacific
• Regional Analysis - Europe
• Regional Analysis - Americas
• Regional Analysis - Middle East and Africa
• Methodology and Appendix