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世界のリスク分析 (四半期ベース):2020年第2四半期

Global Risk Report Quarterly Update - Q2 2020

出版日: | 発行: GlobalData | ページ情報: 英文 | 納期: 即納可能 即納可能とは

価格
価格表記: USDを日本円(税抜)に換算
本日の銀行送金レート: 1USD=105.60円
世界のリスク分析 (四半期ベース):2020年第2四半期
出版日: 2020年09月15日
発行: GlobalData
ページ情報: 英文
納期: 即納可能 即納可能とは
  • 全表示
  • 概要
  • 目次
概要

GlobalDataが作成したGCRI (カントリーリスク指標) によれば、2020年第2四半期現在、スイスが最上位にランクされ、シンガポールとデンマークがそれに続いています。同レポートによれば、21ヶ国が超低リスクゾーン、22ヶ国が低リスクゾーン、28ヶ国が管理可能なリスク、36ヶ国が高リスク、29ヶ国が超高リスクゾーンに分類されています。

当レポートでは、GCRI (GlobalData Country Risk Index) の分析内容に基づき、最新のマクロ経済の手法や国内/国際統計データを活用して、世界各国の抱える政治的・社会的・技術的・環境的・法的リスクを定性的および定量的手法で計測し、世界経済が直面している課題や潜在的リスクについて考察しております。

目次

目次

  • 世界の概要:主要ハイライト
  • 世界の概要:サマリー
  • フラッシュバック(2020年1月~8月)
  • 今後の主なイベント:2020年9月~2021年8月
  • MLCRI (カントリーリスク指標):国別ランキング
  • MLCRI:ヒートマップ (2020年第2四半期)
  • MLCRI:世界の情勢 (2020年)
  • 新型コロナウイルス感染症 (COVID-19) の影響
    • COVID-19の世界各地への拡大
    • 感染拡大以前/以降の予測 (2020年):主要マクロ経済指標
    • COVID-19が景況感・消費者マインドに及ぼす影響
    • COVID-19が労働市場に及ぼす影響
  • 地域分析
    • 地域分析-アジア太平洋
    • 地域分析-欧州
    • 地域分析-南北アメリカ
    • 地域分析-中東とアフリカ

分析手法、付録

目次
Product Code: ER0011GLBRSK

Global Risk Report is based on GlobalData Country Risk Index (GCRI) which is a unique country risk-rating model that determines the existing and future level of country risk by assessing various qualitative and quantitative factors. The index is formulated to help firms prepare their global business strategies on the basis of historical developments in an economy and also their future expectations.

The Country Risk Index incorporates the latest available macroeconomics, political, social, technological, environmental and legal data from a range of recognized national and international statistical sources, and incorporates proprietary data from GlobalData Economics Research. The model also features expert analytical judgment from in-house economists and takes into account their insights and opinions. By applying a robust approach to assessing risk, GlobalData analysts ensure that strategists have an effective tool to assess current trends and risks facing the economies across the globe.

Scope

  • Asia-Pacific has the third highest risk score after the Americas in the Q2 2020 update of the GCRI. The region's risk score increased from 39.4 in Q4 2019 to 46.3 in Q2 2020. The outbreak of COVID-19, along with other risks such as geopolitical tensions, the controversial policies of the Indian and Chinese governments, spillover effects of the recession in Japan, and the increasing occurrence of environmental catastrophes, affected most of the countries in this region.
  • The European region remained the lowest risk region in the Q2 2020 update of the global risk index owing to its strong macroeconomic fundamentals. When the coronavirus pandemic was at its peak, the European nations were able to control the spread of disease and risks associated with the pandemic by sufficient control measures enforced in a timely manner. However, the region still faces high unemployment due to temporary furloughs and permanent job losses due the economic fallout of the coronavirus pandemic.
  • The Americas is the second highest risk region, according to the GCRI Q2 2020 update, with a regional risk score of 51.5 out of 100. The whole region has been battered by the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020. Out of the top 10 worst affected countries, six are part of the Americas. The health crisis has led to a precipitous rise in poverty and social instability in the region, led by high unemployment.
  • The Middle East and Africa (MEA) is the highest risk region according to the GCRI 2020 Q2 update, with a regional risk score of 55.6 out of 100, up compared to 48.8 in the GCRI 2019 Q4 update and up compared to 47.6 in the GCRI 2018 Q4 update. The region continues to be plagued by social conflict and geopolitical turmoil.

Reasons to Buy

  • The eleventh update version of GlobalData Country Risk Index (GCRI) Q2 2020 ranks Switzerland at the top followed by Singapore and Denmark.
  • 21 countries were identified in the very low risk zone, 22 countries in the low risk zone, 28 countries under manageable risk, 36 countries under high risk and 29 countries in the very high-risk zone in GCRI Q2 2020.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

  • Global Overview - Key Highlights
  • Global Overview - Summary
  • Flashback (January to August 2020)
  • Key Events: September 2020 - August 2021
  • MLCRI - Country Ranking
  • MLCRI Q2 2020 Heat Map
  • MLCRI: Global Landscape 2020
  • Impact of COVID-19
  • COVID-19 Spreads Globally
  • Pre Pandemic and Post Pandemic Forecast for 2020: Key Macroeconomic Indicators
  • Impact of COVID-19 on business and consumer sentiments
  • COVID-19 Impact on the Labour Market
  • Regional Analysis
  • Regional Analysis - Asia-Pacific
  • Regional Analysis - Europe
  • Regional Analysis - Americas
  • Regional Analysis - Middle East and Africa

Methodology and Appendix

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