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防衛産業におけるポストパンデミックの成長機会の分析

Post-pandemic Growth Opportunity Analysis of the Defence Industry

出版日: | 発行: Frost & Sullivan | ページ情報: 英文 33 Pages | 納期: 即日から翌営業日

価格
価格表記: USDを日本円(税抜)に換算
本日の銀行送金レート: 1USD=105.15円
防衛産業におけるポストパンデミックの成長機会の分析
出版日: 2020年05月25日
発行: Frost & Sullivan
ページ情報: 英文 33 Pages
納期: 即日から翌営業日
  • 全表示
  • 概要
  • 目次
概要

世界の防衛支出額は、2018年に1.8兆米ドルを記録し、これまでの最高額となりました。 COVID-19は、これまでの金融危機や健康危機とは異なり、公衆衛生と経済の二重の危機です。

当レポートでは、防衛産業におけるCOVID-19パンデミック危機の影響と、経済および防衛支出への影響について調査し、起こり得る事態をシナリオに分類しています。さらに、世界の防衛サプライチェーンに及ぼす影響についても分析しています。

成長環境

  • パンデミックによる国防産業の修正
  • 主要な予測基準
  • GDP予測
  • 防衛費: 世界の歴史的傾向
  • 防衛費:地域の歴史的傾向
  • 防衛費の動向に関する議論
  • GDPに関する地政学:防衛支出の促進
  • 地政学的要因の議論
  • 防衛費トップ15のダッシュボード
  • 概要:防衛費への影響
  • サプライチェーンへの影響
  • 防衛産業への長期的な影響
  • その他の予測の傾向
  • 防衛市場の将来展望

成長機会

  • 成長機会1:2020年のポートフォリオ統合のための合併と買収
  • 成長機会2:コスト低下とアフターマーケット獲得のための垂直統合
  • 成長機会3:リーンオペレーションのためのロボティクス・AI
  • 成長機会4:運用効率を高めるためのマルチプライヤーの強制
  • 成長機会5:より迅速な災害対応のためのCBRN
  • 成長機会6:仮想学習環境のトレーニングとシミュレーション

主要企業

  • その他の地域動する企業

付録:Growth Pipeline Engine

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目次
Product Code: MF75-16

Preparing for the Rebound

The global defence spending was recorded at $1.8 trillion in 2018; the highest spending recorded, to date. The COVID-19 epidemic is likely to reduce defence spending as governments around the world allocate funds for both fighting the pandemic and reviving the economy. COVID-19 is a dual crisis-public health and economic downturn-unlike any other preceding financial or health crisis. Stresses in the financial system led to the Global Financial Crisis of 2008 and the collapse of the stock market, followed by a decrease in demand due to lower per capita income. The Dotcom burst was led by a collapse of the stock market.

Previous health emergencies, such as the outbreak of SARS or EBOLA, were limited in their geographical scope and the consequent effect on the world economy. COVID-19 is a supply-chain-led shock due to lockdown measures, which portends the winding down of businesses with consequent spill over onto demand and the financial system. The underlying demand and economy were healthy before the start of the crisis. Therefore, the restoration of supply and economy will depend on how quickly the disease is contained.

Examination of previous trends has shown that defence spending is a function of political uncertainty, GDP growth, and budget deficits, with political tension emerging as the dominant factor. Frost & Sullivan estimates that political uncertainty will increase due to attempts at political isolation of China which is being blamed for giving incorrect information on the true nature of the infection. This would be compounded by the actions of Russia and North Korea which seek to take advantage of the geopolitical chaos. In the near term (2020-2021), Frost & Sullivan estimates that the defence spending will stagnate or dip slightly, subject to political factors; however, in the long term, the defence spending is likely to go down by at least 10% as seen in the past.

This report will further investigate the effects of the crisis and its impact on the economy and defence spending, breaking down what will potentially happen into scenarios. Furthermore, the virus has had the biggest impact on global defence supply chains, which will be investigated in greater detail, such as a risk of greater supply chain solvency. A future outlook is provided, whereby an overview of the defence industry for the next 6 to12 months is discussed. Most importantly, the report will analyse six growth opportunities that will emerge from the crisis for companies to investigate and follow.

Table of Contents

Growth Environment

  • Revised State of the Defence Industry Due to the Pandemic
  • Key Forecast Criteria
  • GDP Forecast
  • Defence Spending: Global Historical Trend
  • Defence Spending: Regional Historical Trend
  • Discussion of Defence Spending Trends
  • Geopolitics Over GDP: Driving Defence Spending
  • Discussion of Geopolitical Factors
  • Discussion of Geopolitical Factors (continued)
  • Discussion of Geopolitical Factors (continued)
  • Top 15 Defence Spenders Dashboard
  • Summary: Impact on Defence Spending
  • Impact on Supply Chain
  • Long Term Impacts On Defence Industry
  • Other Forecast Trends
  • Defence Market Future Outlook

Growth Opportunities

  • Growth Opportunity 1: Mergers & Acquisitions for Portfolio Consolidation, 2020
  • Growth Opportunity 2: Vertical Integration for Lower Costs and Aftermarket Capture, 2020
  • Growth Opportunity 3: Robotics & AI for Leaner Operations,2020
  • Growth Opportunity 4: Force Multipliers for Enhanced Operational Effectiveness, 2020
  • Growth Opportunity 5: CBRN for Quicker Disaster Response, 2020
  • Growth Opportunity 6: Training and Simulation for Virtual Learning Environment, 2020

Companies to Action

  • Companies to Action

Appendix: Growth Pipeline Engine™

  • About the Growth Pipeline Engine™
  • Next Steps
  • Legal Disclaimer
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