民間航空機の世界市場：成長機会

世界の民間航空機の市場規模は、2021年に市場全体の売上高で1,322億1,000万米ドルとなり、COVID-19パンデミックやロシアのウクライナへの軍事行動の影響を考慮して、2032年には3,080億2,000万米ドルに達すると予測されています。ナローボディ機の需要が60.6%と最も高く、次いでワイドボディ機が35.4%、リージョナルジェットが3.2%、ターボプロップが0.8%となっています。

当レポートでは、世界の民間航空機市場について調査分析し、戦略的必須要件、市場の促進要因、抑制要因、収益予測、競合環境、業界の動向、国別成長機会分析等に関する情報を提供しています。

目次

戦略的必須要件

• 成長がますます困難になるのはなぜか？
• 戦略的必須要件 8（TM）
• 民間航空機産業に対する上位3つの戦略的必須要件の影響
• 成長機会がGrowth Pipeline Engine (TM)を促進

成長機会分析

• 分析の範囲
• 民間航空機プラットフォーム
• セグメンテーション：航空機タイプ別
• 主要ベンダー
• バリューチェーン
• 成長指標
• 成長の促進要因
• 成長の抑制要因
• 予測の前提条件
• 収益予測
• 収益予測：航空機タイプ別
• 収益予測：地域別
• 収益予測分析
• 競合環境
• 収益シェア
• 収益シェア分析

業界の動向

• インダストリー4.0
• インダストリー4.0-Frostの視点
• 回復力のあるサプライチェーン
• 回復力のあるサプライチェーン-Frostの視点
• 軽量で燃料効率の高い航空機
• 軽量で燃料効率の高い航空機-Frostの視点

成長機会分析：アジア太平洋

• 成長指標
• 収益予測
• 収益予測：航空機タイプ別
• 予測分析

成長機会分析：北米

• 成長指標
• 収益予測
• 収益予測：航空機タイプ別
• 予測分析

成長機会分析：欧州

• 成長指標
• 収益予測
• 収益予測：航空機タイプ別
• 予測分析

成長機会分析：ラテンアメリカ

• 成長指標
• 収益予測
• 収益予測：航空機タイプ別
• 予測分析

成長機会分析：中東およびアフリカ

• 成長指標
• 収益予測
• 収益予測：航空機タイプ別
• 予測分析

成長機会ユニバース

• 成長機会1：ビジネスオペレーションを最適化するためのデジタル機能の強化
• 成長機会2：地政学的な衝撃の影響を減らすための回復力のあるサプライチェーンを開発
• 成長機会3：より軽量で燃料効率の高い航空機を製造するための研究開発を増やす

次のステップ

Development of Lighter, Fuel-efficient Aircraft Advancing Sustainability in Aviation

The global commercial aircraft industry demonstrates a high focus on developing fuel-efficient aircraft to help their clients (airlines) achieve sustainability targets. This study examines commercial aircraft that scheduled airlines operate. Scheduled airlines operate on different business models: full-service, low-cost, hybrid, and cargo carriers. Regional analysis of the commercial aircraft identifies 4 types: narrow body, wide body, regional jet, and turboprop. It excludes business jets and general aviation aircraft. The study provides a market forecast from 2022 to 2032 based on commercial aircraft delivery to airlines and aircraft lessors. In 2021, the total commercial aircraft market was worth $132.21 billion in revenue and is forecast to grow to $308.02 billion by 2032, considering the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic and Russo-Ukrainian war. Demand for narrow-body aircraft was highest at 60.6%, followed by wide-body aircraft at 35.4%, regional jet at 3.2%, and turboprop at 0.8%. During the forecast period, demand for narrow-body aircraft is expected to increase due to high order backlog from low-cost carriers, while orders for wide-body aircraft will likely decrease as production of aircraft such as the Airbus A380 and Boeing 747 ceases due to the lower need. Boeing's 777 is expected to deliver its new avatar in 2024. Demand for the regional jet is expected to decline slightly as production of the Russian-built Sukhoi Superjet 100 and upcoming MC-21 projects cease due to the stringent sanctions on Russia by the United States and allied countries.

The COVID-19 pandemic has severely impacted the regional jet and turboprop aircraft segments, with Mitsubishi and De Havilland Canada halting production plans for SpaceJet and Dash 8 due to weak demand. On the other hand, ARJ21 will likely attract decent demand driven by Chinese airlines. Low demand for turboprop aircraft forced De Havilland Canada to cease its manufacturing operation for Dash 8. As the market recovers to the pre-pandemic levels, Frost and Sullivan expects De Havilland to restart Dash 8 production. The study includes regional analysis for Asia-Pacific, North America, Europe, Latin America, and the Middle East and Africa. Demand for new aircraft is observed primarily from the developed nations as they replace older fleets, while airlines from emerging economies show expansion activities in their aircraft fleet. Airbus, Boeing, and Embraer are the 3 leading commercial aircraft manufacturers that account for 97.8% of the total market. These companies work closely with other industry stakeholders like airlines, engine manufacturers, oil companies, and aviation regulators to enhance sustainability in the aviation industry.

Key Issues Addressed:

• What is the size and state of the global commercial aircraft market?

• How has the COVID-19 pandemic and Russo-Ukrainian war affected the market?

• What are the market growth drivers and the restraints?

• How will the latest trends affect the market?

• Who are the key market participants competing in the market?

• What are the significant growth opportunities for commercial aircraft manufacturers?

Table of Contents

Strategic Imperatives

• Why is it Increasingly Difficult to Grow?
• The Strategic Imperative 8™
• Impact of the Top 3 Strategic Imperatives on the Commercial Aircraft Industry
• Growth Opportunities Fuel the Growth Pipeline Engine™

Growth Opportunity Analysis

• Scope of Analysis
• Commercial Aircraft Platforms
• Segmentation by Aircraft Type
• Key Vendors
• Value Chain
• Growth Metrics
• Growth Drivers
• Growth Restraints
• Forecast Assumptions
• Revenue Forecast
• Revenue Forecast by Aircraft Type
• Revenue Forecast by Region
• Revenue Forecast Analysis
• Revenue Forecast Analysis (continued)
• Competitive Environment
• Revenue Share
• Revenue Share Analysis

Industry Trends

• Industry 4.0
• Industry 4.0-Frost Perspective
• Resilient Supply Chain
• Resilient Supply Chain-Frost Perspective
• Lightweight and Fuel-efficient Aircraft
• Lightweight and Fuel-efficient Aircraft-Frost Perspective

Growth Opportunity Analysis-Asia-Pacific

• Growth Metrics
• Revenue Forecast
• Revenue Forecast by Aircraft Type
• Forecast Analysis
• Forecast Analysis (continued)
• Forecast Analysis (continued)

Growth Opportunity Analysis-North America

• Growth Metrics
• Revenue Forecast
• Revenue Forecast by Aircraft Type
• Forecast Analysis
• Forecast Analysis (continued)
• Forecast Analysis (continued)

Growth Opportunity Analysis-Europe

• Growth Metrics
• Revenue Forecast
• Revenue Forecast by Aircraft Type
• Forecast Analysis
• Forecast Analysis (continued)

Growth Opportunity Analysis-Latin America

• Growth Metrics
• Revenue Forecast
• Revenue Forecast by Aircraft Type
• Forecast Analysis
• Forecast Analysis (continued)
• Forecast Analysis (continued)

Growth Opportunity Analysis-Middle East and Africa

• Growth Metrics
• Revenue Forecast
• Revenue Forecast by Aircraft Type
• Forecast Analysis
• Forecast Analysis (continued)
• Forecast Analysis (continued)
• Forecast Analysis (continued)

Growth Opportunity Universe

• Growth Opportunity 1: Enhance Digital Capabilities to Optimize Business Operations
• Growth Opportunity 1: Enhance Digital Capabilities to Optimize Business Operations (continued)
• Growth Opportunity 2: Develop a Resilient Supply Chain to Reduce the Impact of Geopolitical Shockwaves
• Growth Opportunity 2: Develop a Resilient Supply Chain to Reduce the Impact of Geopolitical Shockwaves (continued)
• Growth Opportunity 3: Increase R&D to Manufacture Lighter and Fuel-efficient Aircraft
• Growth Opportunity 3: Increase R&D to Manufacture Lighter and Fuel-efficient Aircraft (continued)

Next Steps

• Your Next Steps
• Why Frost, Why Now?
• List of Exhibits
• List of Exhibits (continued)
• Legal Disclaimer