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市場調査レポート

商用車のインド市場情勢 (2030年までの予測)

Indian Commercial Vehicles Market Landscape, Forecast to 2030

発行 Frost & Sullivan 商品コード 917441
出版日 ページ情報 英文 108 Pages
納期: 即日から翌営業日
価格
本日の銀行送金レート: 1USD=108.54円で換算しております。
商用車のインド市場情勢 (2030年までの予測) Indian Commercial Vehicles Market Landscape, Forecast to 2030
出版日: 2019年11月12日 ページ情報: 英文 108 Pages
概要

インドにおける商用車 (CV) 売上台数は、技術、経済活性化、および規制ガバナンスに促進され、2030年までに125万台を上回ると予測されています。

当レポートでは、インドの商用車 (CV) 市場について調査し、市場概要、業績・販売台数の予測、セグメント別の動向、規制環境、技術展望、成長戦略、および今後の展望などについて分析しています。

エグゼクティブサマリー

市場定義・分類

CV業績の展望

  • CV業績の動向
  • CV売上動向
  • CV売上予測
  • 予測の検討事項
  • OEM情勢
  • 貨物車:インドにおける主要企業の売上
  • 旅客車:インドにおける主要企業の売上

CV台数の予測:インド

  • 販売台数の予測:LCV (小型) 貨物車
  • 販売台数の予測:MCV (中型) 貨物車
  • 販売台数の予測:HCV (大型) 貨物車
  • 販売台数の予測:LCV (小型) 旅客車
  • 販売台数の予測:M & HCV (中・大型) 旅客車

セグメントの動向分析:LCVおよびM & HCVセグメントの推移、市場シェア分析

  • LCVセグメントの動き
  • LCV旅客車市場シェア比較
  • LCV貨物車市場シェア比較
  • M & HCV セグメントの動き
  • M & HCV 旅客車市場シェア比較
  • M & HCV 貨物車市場シェア比較

インドのCV輸出レビュー:主な輸出市場・需要・予測

  • インドのCV輸出台数レビュー
  • CV輸出:GVWのシェア
  • 主要な輸出市場:ASEAN、アフリカ、ラテンアメリカおよび中道

インドのトラック:利用活動・主な用途

  • 産業構造:貨物車
  • トラック産業の用途区分 (LCV、MCVおよびHCV)
  • 用途:GVWセグメント別
  • パーセルロジスティクス
  • パーセルロジスティクスの中核セグメント
  • 建材
  • 果物・野菜・生鮮品
  • 農産物
  • セメント
  • タンカー・高速鉄道
  • 工業製品
  • 自動車
  • 鉱業

規制の展望:インドにおけるCVへの指令・影響

  • 規制の展望
  • GSTの影響
  • GST後の主要ウェアハウジングハブの登場、ほか

インドのCV技術概要:技術進歩・最新動向・ステークホルダーの影響

  • 技術ロードマップ
  • トランスミッション技術の進化
  • トランスミッションの展望:マニュアルからオートへ、ほか

インドにおけるCVの電化:イニシアチブスキーム・製品プレゼンス・普及の展望

  • ハイブリッド・電気CV:インドにおける変化の力
  • 電化の政府イニシアチブ
  • 電気自動車 (EV) 情勢
  • 電化の予測:トランジットバス市場

インドにおけるCVのテレマティクス:動向・サービス・市場展望

  • インドにおけるテレマティクスのロードマップ:CV
  • インドにおけるテレマティクス成長の促進要因
  • テレマティクス支援サービス
  • インドにおけるテレマティクス
  • CVにおけるテレマティクス:フリートマネジメントサービス (FMS) の統合

インドにおけるバス:用途・主なフリート・動向

  • バス産業
  • 旅客輸送における最新動向

インドにおける貨物車・旅客車の動き

成長戦略・戦略インペラティブ

結論

付録

目次
Product Code: MEDB-18

Commercial Vehicles in India are Expected to Exceed 1.25 Million Unit Sales by 2030, Undergoing Progressive Transformations Aided by Technology, Economic Impetus, and Regulatory Governance

The Indian commercial vehicle market is experiencing changes due to heavy regulatory winds, changes in customer preferences, segment shifts, increasing adoption of technology, and digitalization. Aspirational trajectory of economic potential, growing population, consumer commodity spending, infrastructure developments, overall manufacturing, and agricultural output will project the future of Indian commercial vehicle performance.

India is facing major imminent shift of emission from BS IV to BS VI from April 2020 leapfrogging BSV, a move that is aimed to curb threatening levels of air pollution in urban areas. Revised axle load regulation that was announced in July 2018 with immediate effect increases the vehicles permissible operating GVW capacity by approximately 12% to 15% had resulted in nationwide faster freight transportation. The major implication for trucks emanating from GST is the consolidation of widespread small to medium storage yards to regionally centralized large warehouses facility for hub-hub transportation. This has resulted in an increased demand for high GVW vehicles. Truck body code defines standards for body building to significantly improve the quality of vehicle applicable to both OEMs and local body builders. Vehicle scrappage policy, which proposes voluntary scrappage of old vehicle sunder incentive scheme, is unlikely. The Ministry of Road Transports & Highways has clear set regulatory roadmap with a focus on quality, safety, efficiency, and environment.

Proliferation of network and mobile phones is aiding traceability and accessibility of vehicles that have led to the adoption of connected business solutions that deliver profitable fleet management. Awareness of technology and realization of long-term TCO benefits drive the customer to invest in value-added features, moving away from the traditional price-based buying approach. Indian OEMs are heavily investing in R&D on performance enhancement features to withstand tough competition from foreign OEMs. Packaging beneficial features at attractive pricing is preferred during the introductory phase. Traditionally, a market where cowl is highly preferred, OEMs have considerably improved cabin styling and ergonomics that offer an overall superior driving experience.

The Government of India is ambitiously pursuing a transition to electrification and has announced FAME schemes to assist adoption. OEMs, technology companies, and relevant tier suppliers need to invest in relevant R&D with a long-term strategic implementation roadmap.

In 2018, India was the world's 3rd largest commercial vehicles market and the fastest growing globally. Much of the country's population falls into the working-age category, which provides a favorable environment for investment and production output. Permeating middle class is increasing the demand for commodity and consumption goods. High rate of urbanization and development in infrastructure and facilities will increase the economic activity. eCommerce has emerged as a vital segment in the logistics sector, with the involvement of multinational companies competing to capitalize on opportunities. Overall manufacturing and industrial segment has garnered investment due to prevailing favorable economic conditions. The commercial vehicle market in India, which is a direct indicator of economic activity, is expected to grow at a CAGR of 2.97% from 2018 to 2030, with trucks performing at 2.82% CAGR and buses performing at 4.36% CAGR.

Government initiatives, a strong supplier ecosystem, availability of raw materials, human resource, and economies prospect enable India to emerge as a leading country in the commercial vehicle market. Both indigenous and foreign participants will steer technological and digital transformations needed to help organize the industry and progress advancement.

Table of Contents

Executive Summary

  • Key Highlights of Indian Commercial Vehicles (CVs), 2018

Market Definitions and Categorization

  • Market Definitions
  • Indian CV Segmentation-GVW
  • Research Scope

CV Performance Outlook

  • CV Performance Trend
  • CV Sales Trend
  • CV Sales Forecast
  • Forecast Considerations
  • OEM Landscape
  • Goods Carriers-Sales of Major Participants in India
  • Passenger Carriers-Sales of Major Participants in India

CV Volumes Forecast-India

  • Sales Forecast-LCV Goods Carriers
  • Sales Forecast-MCV Goods Carriers
  • Sales Forecast-HCV Goods Carriers
  • Sales Forecast-LCV Passenger Carriers
  • Sales Forecast-M&HCV Passenger Carriers

Segment Trend Analysis-LCV and M&HCV Segment Shifts, Market Share Analysis

  • LCV Segment Behavior
  • LCV Passenger Carrier Market Share Comparison
  • LCV Goods Carrier Market Share Comparison
  • M&HCV Segment Behavior
  • M&HCV Passenger Carrier Market Share Comparison
  • M&HCV Goods Carrier Market Share Comparison

Indian CV Exports Review-Key Export Markets, Demand, and Forecast

  • Indian CV Exports Volume Review
  • CV Exports-Share of GVW
  • Key Export Markets-ASEAN, Africa, Latin America, and the Middle East

Indian Trucks-Usage Practices and Major Applications

  • Industry Structure-Goods Carrier
  • Application Split for Truck Industry (LCV, MCV, and HCV)
  • Application by GVW Segments
  • Parcel Logistics
  • Major Core Segments of Parcel Logistics
  • Construction Materials
  • Fruits, Vegetables, and Perishables
  • Agriculture Products
  • Cement
  • Tankers and Bullets
  • Industrial Goods
  • Automotive
  • Mining

Regulations Outlook-Mandates and Implications on Indian CV

  • Regulations Outlook
  • GST Impact
  • Major Warehousing Hubs Emerge After GST
  • Axle Load Regulation
  • New Truck Axle Norms-Understanding GVW Impact
  • Impact of Axle Load Regulation
  • Implementation Challenges for OEMs
  • Overloading Practice in India-Trucks
  • Evolution of BS Norms in India
  • Truck Body Code
  • Motor Vehicle Amendment
  • Vehicle Scrappage Policy
  • Implementation of Scrappage Seems Highly Unlikely
  • Truck Regulations Affecting Vehicle Build Summary in Indian CV Market

Indian CV Technology Overview-Technological Progress, Latest Trends, Stakeholder Impact

  • Technology Roadmap
  • Technology Roadmap (continued)
  • Technology Roadmap (continued)
  • Transmissions Technology Evolution
  • Transmission Outlook-Manual to Automated
  • Active and Passive Truck Safety Systems
  • Cabin Ergonomics
  • Fleet/Driver Preferences-Fuel Efficiency Improvement
  • Fleet/Driver Preferences-Safety and Driving Assistance Systems
  • Fleet/Driver Preferences-Comfort and Ergonomics

Electrification in India CV-Initiative Schemes, Product Presence, Penetration Outlook

  • Hybrid and Electric CVs-Forces of Change in India
  • Government Initiatives for Electrification
  • Electric Vehicles (EV) Landscape
  • Electrification Forecast-Transit Bus Market

Telematics in Indian CV-Trends, Services, and Market Outlook

  • Indian Telematics Roadmap-CVs
  • Factors Driving Telematics Growth in India
  • Telematics-aided Services
  • Telematics in India
  • Telematics in CVs-Fleet Management Services (FMS) Integration

Indian Buses-Application, Major Fleets, and Trends

  • Bus Industry
  • Recent Trends in Passenger Transportation

Trends Impacting Goods and Passenger Carrier Movement in India

  • Growth in Urban Regions by 2025
  • India's Road Network-Fast-tracking Projects

Growth Opportunities and Strategic Imperatives

  • Factors Influencing Indian Truck Market Growth
  • Growth Opportunities
  • Strategic Imperatives

The Last Word

  • The Last Word-3 Big Predictions
  • Legal Disclaimer

Appendix

  • Market Engineering Methodology
  • List of Exhibits
  • List of Exhibits (continued)
  • List of Exhibits (continued)
  • List of Exhibits (continued)