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市場調査レポート

EVの電力需要への影響予測 (~2040年):主要成長市場の展望

Impact of Electric Vehicles on Power Demand, Forecast to 2040-A Perspective on Key Global Growth Markets

発行 Frost & Sullivan 商品コード 914932
出版日 ページ情報 英文 105 Pages
納期: 即日から翌営業日
価格
本日の銀行送金レート: 1USD=109.53円で換算しております。
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EVの電力需要への影響予測 (~2040年):主要成長市場の展望 Impact of Electric Vehicles on Power Demand, Forecast to 2040-A Perspective on Key Global Growth Markets
出版日: 2019年10月14日 ページ情報: 英文 105 Pages
概要

当レポートでは、世界の主要国におけるEVの電力需要への影響を調査し、市場の定義と概要、主要国におけるEV&ハイブリッド車市場の動向、電力需要シナリオ、潜在的発電能力と電力需要の比較分析、ユーティリティ事業者のアクションプラン、成長機会・成功戦略の分析、将来の展望などをまとめています。

エグゼクティブサマリー

調査範囲・調査目的・調査手法

市場背景

  • EVへの移行を推進する世界的動向
  • 世界のEV市場:マイルストーン・見通し
  • 世界の電池製造能力
  • リチウムイオン価格
  • EV化のステークホルダー
  • 課題:グリッドへの影響

推進因子と障壁

EVの電力需要への影響:調査手法

米国

  • EV・ハイブリッド車の成長
  • 電力需要のシナリオモデリング
  • 将来の潜在的発電能力 vs 電力需要モデリング
  • エネルギーグリッドへの影響・戦略的提言

ドイツ

  • EV・ハイブリッド車の成長
  • 電力需要のシナリオモデリング
  • 将来の潜在的発電能力 vs 電力需要モデリング
  • エネルギーグリッドへの影響・戦略的提言

英国

  • EV・ハイブリッド車の成長
  • 電力需要のシナリオモデリング
  • 将来の潜在的発電能力 vs 電力需要モデリング
  • エネルギーグリッドへの影響・戦略的提言

日本

  • EV・ハイブリッド車の成長
  • 電力需要のシナリオモデリング
  • 将来の潜在的発電能力 vs 電力需要モデリング
  • エネルギーグリッドへの影響・戦略的提言

中国

  • EV・ハイブリッド車の成長
  • 電力需要のシナリオモデリング
  • 将来の潜在的発電能力 vs 電力需要モデリング
  • エネルギーグリッドへの影響・戦略的提言

ユーティリティ事業者のアクションプラン

  • ユーティリティ事業者の役割の変化
  • ユーティリティ事業者のアクションプラン
  • デマンドレスポンスとEV充電
  • スマート/インテリジェントEV充電ソリューション
  • スマート充電のシナリオ分析:ユーティリティ事業者の役割
  • V2Gソリューションの実装
  • 再生可能エネルギー市場の統合とV2G・V2Hサービス
  • ダイナミックプライシングモデル
  • エネルギー貯蔵ソリューションによるピーク需要抑制
  • ユーティリティ事業者の現在の取り組み:主要ステークホルダーとの提携

成長機会

  • トップ5成長機会
  • 成長機会:デジタル化
  • 成長機会:ビジネスモデル
  • 成長機会:グリッドトランスフォーメーション
  • 成長機会:スマートシティ
  • 成長機会:サブスクリプションサービス
  • 成功・成長の戦略的必須要件

総論

付録

FROST & SULLIVANについて

目次
Product Code: MEB5-14

With Electric Vehicles (EVs) Set for Transformational Growth, Grid Modernization Initiatives and Disruptive Technologies Will Form the Critical Elements of the EV Power and Utility Ecosystem

Falling battery prices, stringent emission regulations, rapid increase in public charging stations and innovation in eMobility business models are all drivers for growth in the electrification of transport over the next decade. Although the overall increase in electricity consumption is lower than many people might expect, the proliferation of EVs will pose challenges for the power grid post-2030. However, the rise of EVs will also generate new revenue opportunities for the energy service companies which require a clear roadmap for the utilities to capture the value offered by the flexibility of EVs.

“Impact Of Electric Vehicles On the Power Demand - A Perspective on Key Growth Markets” deliverable aims to provide a holistic overview of the electric vehicle penetration and its potential impact on the power demand. A brief analysis on what it means to the different stakeholders such as EV manufacturers, battery suppliers, power utilities and infrastructure, EV end users, regulators and external actors, EV aggregators etc. have been analyzed. Recommendations on the strategies for energy service providers and various action plans for utilities have been elucidated. The geographical scope of the study includes the US, Europe, UK, Germany, China and Japan.

One of the critical industry challenges in the eMobility ecosystem includes the limited interoperability of the current charging infrastructure and the lack of standards for EV charging solutions. Also, there is a threat of overloading of local distribution transformers due to EV addition and peak load problems. With limited customer awareness programmes about the utility tax rebates and schemes, outreach programmes are the need of the hour to boost the EV adoption.

With vehicle electrification, there is a huge opportunity to leverage disruptive technologies such as Vehicle 2 Grid and peer to peer blockchain trading to manage and optimize the grid. Companies that fail to embrace new technologies and business models will be left behind in this lucrative business.

Key Issues Addressed:

  • How does the EV penetration look now, and how will it evolve in the key geographies identified?
  • What is the power demand requirement due to the addition of EV? What will be the impact on the energy demand and different strategies required to overcome this?
  • Who are the key industry stakeholders? What are the main growth opportunities for the different stakeholders involved in the energy ecosystem?
  • What are the revenue opportunities for utilities to remain relevant in the changing ecosystem?
  • What are the investment trends of the stakeholders in the energy space? What are the implications on the value chain and how are they expected to react?

Table of Contents

Executive Summary

  • Executive Summary-Key Findings
  • Executive Summary-Implications
  • Aggressive Scenario Power Demand Versus Generation Potential
  • Future Generation Potential Versus Power Demand Modelling
  • Future Generation Potential Versus Power Demand Modelling (continued)
  • Future Generation Potential Versus Power Demand Modelling (continued)
  • Future Generation Potential Versus Power Demand Modelling (continued)
  • Future Generation Potential Versus Power Demand Modelling (continued)
  • Action Plan for Utilities-6 Key Strategies

Research Scope, Objectives, and Methodology

  • Research Scope
  • Key Questions this Study will Answer

Market Background

  • Global Trends Driving the Transition Toward EV
  • Projected Global EV Milestones
  • Global Battery Manufacturing Capacity
  • Lithium-ion Pricing
  • Key Stakeholders for Vehicle Electrification
  • Key Stakeholders for Vehicle Electrification (continued)
  • Key Stakeholders for Vehicle Electrification (continued)
  • The Challenge-What Fast Charging Could Mean for the Grid

Drivers and Restraints

  • Drivers and Restraints for EV-Power Ecosystem
  • Drivers And Restraints Mapping
  • Market Drivers
  • Drivers Explained
  • Drivers Explained (continued)
  • Drivers Explained (continued)
  • Market Restraints
  • Restraints Explained
  • Restraints Explained (continued)

Impact of EVs on Power Demand-Methodology

  • Forecasting Methodology
  • Forecast Assumptions
  • Forecast Assumptions-Limitations

The United States Of America

  • Growth of EVs and Hybrids-US
  • Scenario Modelling of Power Demand-US
  • Future Generation Potential Versus Power Demand Modelling
  • Implications on the Energy Grid and Strategic Recommendations
  • Implications on the Energy Grid and Strategic Recommendations (continued)

Germany

  • Growth of EVs and Hybrids-Germany
  • Scenario Modelling of Power Demand-Germany
  • Future Generation Potential Versus Power Demand Modelling
  • Implications on the Energy Grid and Strategic Recommendations

The United Kingdom

  • Growth of EVs and Hybrids-UK
  • Scenario Modelling of Power Demand-UK
  • Future Generation Potential Versus Power Demand Modelling
  • Implications on the Energy Grid and Strategic Recommendations

Japan

  • Growth of EVs and Hybrids-Japan
  • Scenario Modelling of Power Demand-Japan
  • Future Generation Potential Versus Power Demand Modelling
  • Implications on the Energy Grid and Strategic Recommendations

China

  • Growth of EVs and Hybrids-China
  • Scenario Modelling of Power Demand-China
  • Future Generation Potential Versus Power Demand Modelling
  • Implications on the Energy Grid and Strategic Recommendations

Action Plan for Utilities

  • Likely Evolution of Utilities' Role in EVs
  • Action Plan for Utilities
  • Aggregating Demand Response With EV Charging
  • Smart or Intelligent EV Charging Solution
  • Scenario Analysis for Smart Charging-Role of Utilities
  • Implementing Vehicle-to-grid Solutions
  • V2G and V2H Services for Renewable Energy Market Integration
  • Dynamic Pricing Model
  • Peak Demand Shaving With Energy Storage Solution
  • What are Utilities Doing Now-Partnerships With Key Stakeholders

Growth Opportunities

  • Top 5 Growth Opportunities in the EV Market
  • Growth Opportunity 1-Digitisation
  • Growth Opportunity 2-Business Models
  • Growth Opportunity 3-Grid Transformation
  • Growth Opportunity 4-Smart Cities
  • Growth Opportunity 5-Subscription based Offerings
  • Strategic Imperatives for Success and Growth

Last Word

  • The Last Word
  • Legal Disclaimer

Appendix

  • Overview of European Tax Subsidies
  • Overview of European Tax Subsidies (continued)
  • Overview of European Tax Subsidies (continued)
  • List of Exhibits
  • List of Exhibits (continued)
  • List of Exhibits (continued)

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