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米中貿易戦争 - 世界・地域の影響:2024年までの予測

US-China Trade War - Global and Regional Impacts, Forecast to 2024

発行 Frost & Sullivan 商品コード 913952
出版日 ページ情報 英文 83 Pages
納期: 即日から翌営業日
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米中貿易戦争 - 世界・地域の影響:2024年までの予測 US-China Trade War - Global and Regional Impacts, Forecast to 2024
出版日: 2019年09月30日 ページ情報: 英文 83 Pages
概要

当レポートでは、米中貿易戦争について調査分析し、タイムライン、主要イベント、将来の見通しについて、体系的な情報を提供しています。

エグゼクティブサマリー

市場概要

  • 市場定義
  • 世界のGDP - 米国、中国、東南アジアのシェア
  • 1人当たりGDP - 米国、中国、東アジア、太平洋地域
  • 経済成長 - 世界、米国、中国

米中貿易戦争の歴史

  • タイムライン - バトル1・2
  • タイムライン - バトル2
  • タイムライン - バトル3
  • バトル1の内容
  • バトル2の内容
  • バトル3の内容
  • 「Made in China 2025」- 計画
  • 「Made in China 2025」- 結果

米中貿易戦争の影響 - 世界・地域別

  • 世界経済の影響 - 経済成長
  • 世界経済の影響 - 貿易
  • 世界経済の影響 - 輸出
  • 世界経済の影響 - 輸入
  • 世界経済の影響 - 米国の輸入代替
  • 世界経済の影響 - 中国の輸入代替
  • 世界経済の影響 - 政策の不確実性
  • 地域の影響 - 経済成長
  • 地域の影響 - 米国への輸出
  • 地域の影響 - 中国への輸出
  • 地域の影響 - 米国からの輸入
  • 地域の影響 - 中国からの輸入
  • 最も影響を受けた産業 - 技術
  • 最も影響を受けた産業 - 農業
  • 最も影響を受けた産業 - ソーラーパネル
  • 米中貿易戦争 - 勝者と敗者
  • 米国 - 勝者か敗者?
  • Huaweiのケース
  • 中国企業は移転

次は?

  • 貿易戦争から生じるリスク要因
  • この対立から生じるリスクを管理する方法は?
  • 米中貿易戦争の将来

成長機会とC2A (Companies to Action)

  • 成長機会1 - 投資機会
  • 成長機会2 - 地域の拡大
  • 成功・成長の戦略的必須事項

結論

付録

目次
Product Code: 9AB7/0D

It is Predicted that the United States and China will Reach a Partial Deal Before the 2020 US Presidential Election

China's swift economic growth and plans such as “Made in China 2025” have raised its competition with the United States. This situation has led to the US-China trade war with the United States imposing trade tariffs on Chinese products and China retaliating by imposing tariffs on US products. The trade war is slowing down the global economic and trade growth, increasing global policy uncertainty and shifting the global supply chain. The question here is how this ongoing trade war will affect the global and regional (Southeast Asia or SEA) economic growth? What will be the future of global trade?

With the onset of the trade war, the United States and China, the world's two largest economies, do not import each other's products as much as they used to before. As a result, their importations from other countries have increased substantially. These import substitutions have benefited other economies, especially those in SEA and Latin America. Questions here are how has the US-China trade war affected the economic and trade growth of SEA countries? Did it change their import and export patterns from the United States and China?

Companies in China, especially the tech giants, have either relocated or are considering relocation to other regions, particularly SEA, due to the ongoing trade war. These companies do not see any end to the trade war in the near future and have already lowered their earnings guidance. This has led to further questions: Which country is absorbing the flow of foreign direct investment (FDI) from China? What are the reasons behind it except skipping the US tariffs on Chinese products? The raise in the global uncertainty as a result of the US-China trade war and other events such as Brexit and the upcoming 2020 US presidential election has made investment decisions difficult for companies. Key questions here are what are the risk factors arising from the trade war, and how to manage these risks?

This research study is a comprehensive guideline of the US-China trade war for investors and decision makers. In addition to providing a timeline of the trade war highlighting and explaining the main events leading to the current dispute and explaining how this trade war began, this study answers all of the above-mentioned questions and also others-Will the United States and China compromise for the sake of higher efficiency? Are negotiations going to fail?-regarding the future of the trade war and if it is going to end anytime soon.

Key Issues Addressed:

  • How the ongoing trade war will affect the global and regional (SEA) economic growth?
  • What will be the future of global trade?
  • Did the trade war change SEA imports and exports patterns from the United States and China?
  • What are the risk factors arising from this trade war? How to manage these risks?
  • What will be the future of the US-China trade war?

Table of Contents

Executive Summary

  • Key Findings
  • Impact of Trade War
  • CEO's Perspective

Market Overview

  • Market Definitions
  • Global GDP-Share of the United States, China and SEA
  • GDP Per Capita-United States, China and East Asia & Pacific
  • Economic Growth-Global, United States and China

The History of the US-China Trade War

  • Timeline-Battles 1 and 2
  • Timeline-Battle 2
  • Timeline-Battle 3
  • Timeline-Battle 3 (continued)
  • Battle 1 Explained
  • Battle 2 Explained
  • Battle 2 Explained (continued)
  • Battle 3 Explained
  • Battle 3 Explained (continued)
  • Made in China 2025-The Plan
  • Made in China 2025-The Consequences
  • Made in China 2025-The Consequences (continued)
  • Made in China 2025-The Consequences (continued)

Impacts of the US-China Trade War-Global and Regional

  • Global Economic Impact-Economic Growth
  • Global Economic Impact-Trade
  • Global Economic Impact-Trade (continued)
  • Global Economic Impact-Exports
  • Global Economic Impact-Imports
  • Global Economic Impact-US's Import Substitutions
  • Global Economic Impact-China's Import Substitutions
  • Global Economic Impact-Policy Uncertainty
  • Global Economic Impact-Policy Uncertainty (continued)
  • Regional Impact-Economic Growth
  • Regional Impact-Exports to the United States
  • Regional Impact-Exports to China
  • Regional Impact-Imports from the United States
  • Regional Impact-Imports from China
  • Most Affected Industries-Technology
  • Most Affected Industries-Technology (continued)
  • Most Affected Industries-Technology (continued)
  • Most Affected Industries-Agriculture
  • Most Affected Industries-Solar Panel
  • US-China Trade War-Winners and Losers
  • United States-Winner or Loser?
  • United States-Winner or Loser? (continued)
  • The Case of Huawei
  • The Case of Huawei (continued)
  • Chinese Companies Are Relocating
  • Chinese Companies Are Relocating (continued)
  • Chinese Companies Are Relocating (continued)

What's Next?

  • Risk Factors Arising from the Trade War
  • Risk Factors Arising from the Trade War (continued)
  • How to Manage Risks Arising from this Conflict?
  • How to Manage Risks Arising from this Conflict? (continued)
  • Future of the US-China Trade War
  • Future of the US-China Trade War (continued)
  • Future of the US-China Trade War (continued)

Growth Opportunities and Companies to Action

  • Growth Opportunity 1-Investments Opportunities
  • Growth Opportunity 2-Geographical Expansion
  • Strategic Imperatives for Success and Growth

Conclusion

  • Concluding Remarks
  • Legal Disclaimer

Appendix

  • Key Source Documents
  • List of Exhibits
  • List of Exhibits (continued)

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