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北米におけるクラス8トラックのライフサイクル・TCO分析:2018-2032年

Life Cycle and TCO Analysis of Class-8 Trucks in North America, 2018-2032

出版日: | 発行: Frost & Sullivan | ページ情報: 英文 60 Pages | 納期: 即日から翌営業日

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北米におけるクラス8トラックのライフサイクル・TCO分析:2018-2032年
出版日: 2019年08月23日
発行: Frost & Sullivan
ページ情報: 英文 60 Pages
納期: 即日から翌営業日
  • 全表示
  • 概要
  • 目次
概要

当レポートでは、北米におけるクラス8トラックのライフサイクルおよび15年間のTCO (総保有コスト) について調査し、TCOの分析・予測に加え、ローンとリースのTCO比較、各オプションのメリット・デメリット、電気や天然ガスといった代替燃料のTCO比較、TCOの将来展望などをまとめています。

エグゼクティブサマリー

調査範囲・目的

トラックのライフサイクル分析

  • セミトラックの平均ライフサイクル、残存価額
  • トラックのライフサイクル全体における燃料の平均コスト
  • 主な修理 & メンテナンス間隔
  • トラックのライフサイクル全体における修理 & メンテナンスの平均コスト
  • 保険、許可取得、通行料金、およびタイヤの平均コスト
  • ドライバー賃金 & 給付の平均コスト
  • 顧客決済のベンチマーク:リース・融資
  • ローントラックの平均TCO:1人オーナー
  • トラックライフサイクルの平均TCO:複数オーナー
  • リーストラックの平均TCO:15年間

TCO (トータルコストオペレーション) の展望

  • TCOの比較
  • ディーゼルトラックの取得コスト
  • セミトラックの平均燃料コスト:モデル年度別
  • 修理 & メンテナンスの平均コスト:トラックのモデル年度別

代替燃料のTCO比較

  • 電気・天然ガストラックの主なアプリケーションセグメント
  • ディーゼル、天然ガス、および電気トラックのウェイトベンチマーク
  • 天然ガストラックの価格、燃料、およびR&M分析
  • 電気トラックの価格分析
  • 電気トラックの主な修理 & メンテナンス感覚
  • ディーゼル、天然ガス、および電気トラックのTCO比較
  • 電気トラック:Frost & Sullivanの展望

競合ベンチマーク

  • トラック購入:主要ステークホルダーの関心領域
  • OEM市場ポジショニングマッピング
  • 比較ベンチマーキング:OEMキャプティブサービス
  • OEM競合ベンチマーキング:TCO

成長機会・CTA

  • 成長機会1:OEMのTCOソリューション
  • 成長機会2:コネクティビティソリューション
  • 成長機会3:グリーン技術
  • 成功・成長の戦略インペラティブ

結論

付録

目次
Product Code: K384-18

TCO Over a 15-year Diesel Truck Life Cycle is Estimated to be ~$2.28 Million

Frost & Sullivan's research service on the Life Cycle and Total Cost of Ownership analysis of class-8 trucks in North America forecasts a class-8 truck's total cost of ownership over a 15-year period. It analyzes the key total cost of ownership through measures, such as driver wages and benefits, fuel, truck payments, repair and maintenance, insurance, tolls and permits, and tire replacement. Each measure of the total cost of ownership is derived from a miles-driven perspective in addition to the vehicle's cost over the life cycle period. The study also compares the total cost of ownership model between financing and leasing a class-8 truck over a 15-year period, providing a breakdown of the pros and cons of each option. Furthermore, the study offers a future outlook toward the total cost of ownership, comparing model year 2018 trucks to model year 2027 trucks. Finally, the study provides an in-depth look into the viability of alternative fueled class 8 trucks, including electric and natural gas to diesel trucks. It will provide an understanding of payload differences, fuel economy, and repair and maintenance intervals between the three different truck types. It concludes with a breakeven-scenario forecast that will help the readership understand the viability of an electric truck and natural gas truck to a competing diesel truck in long-haul applications.

A semi-truck commonly goes through 3 phases in its life cycle. The 1st owner is typically a fleet that drives an average of ~480,000 miles. The 2nd life owner is the owner-operator or small-sized fleet that drives an average of ~640,000 miles. Finally, the 3rd life owner is the owner-operator that drives ~ 400,000 miles. ‘Driver wages and benefits' is the highest operating expense for truckers in 2018, accounting for ~44% of the total cost of ownership. This expense is expected to continue rising due to the worsening driver shortage issue. The TCO for a 15-year life cycle financed truck is ~$2.28 million and a cost per mile of ~$1.50. Comparatively, the TCO of a consumer who leases a truck in 4-year intervals over a 15-year period is ~$2.30 million and a CPM of ~$1.53 CPM. Financing remains the primary choice of ownership, accounting for ~68% of purchases. Leasing is gaining traction in the market with 32% as consumers who lease and want to take advantage of factors such as shorter equipment life cycles, lower maintenance costs (under warranty), and funding stability Frost & Sullivan research indicates that leasing can be a realistic alternative to financing under the right circumstances, including fleet operations and capital.

Table of Contents

Executive Summary

  • Total Cost of Operation Summary
  • Average Semi-truck Total Cost of Operation Fleet Breakdown
  • Average Financed Truck TCO-One Owner
  • Average Truck Life Cycle Total Cost of Operation-Multiple Owners
  • Diesel, Natural Gas, and Electric Truck TCO Comparison
  • Total Cost of Ownership Comparison-2018 and 2027
  • Summary of Key Findings
  • Future Outlook on Trends Affecting TCO

Research Scope and Objectives

  • Research Scope
  • Research Aims and Objectives
  • Key Questions This Study Will Answer

Truck Life Cycle Analysis

  • Average Semi-truck Life Cycle and Residual Value
  • Average Fuel Cost Over the Life Cycle of a Truck
  • Key Repair & Maintenance Intervals
  • Average Repair & Maintenance Cost Over the Life Cycle of a Truck
  • Average Insurance, Permit, Tolls, and Tire Cost
  • Average Driver Wages & Benefits Cost
  • Customer Payment Benchmark-Leasing and Financing
  • Customer Payment Benchmark-Leasing and Financing (continued)
  • Average Financed Truck TCO-One Owner
  • Average Truck Life Cycle Total Cost of Operation-Multiple Owners
  • Average Leased Truck TCO-15 Year Period

Total Cost of Operation Outlook

  • Total Cost of Ownership Comparison-2018 and 2027
  • Acquisition Cost of Diesel Trucks
  • Average Semi-truck Fuel Cost by Model Year
  • Average Repair & Maintenance Cost by Truck Model Year

Alternative Fuel TCO Comparison

  • Key Application Segments for Electric and Natural Gas Trucks
  • Diesel, Natural Gas, and Electric Truck Weight Benchmark
  • Natural Gas Truck Price, Fuel, and R&M Breakdown
  • Electric Truck Price Breakdown
  • Key Repair & Maintenance Intervals for Electric Trucks
  • Diesel, Natural Gas, and Electric Truck TCO Comparison
  • Electric Truck-Frost & Sullivan Perspective

Competitive Benchmark

  • Truck Purchase-Focus Area of Key Stakeholders
  • OEM Market Position Mapping
  • Comparative Benchmarking-OEM Captive Services
  • OEM Competitive Benchmarking-Total Cost of Ownership

Growth Opportunities and Companies to Action

  • Growth Opportunity 1-OEM Total Cost of Ownership Solutions
  • Growth Opportunity 2-Connectivity Solutions
  • Growth Opportunity 3-Green Technologies
  • Strategic Imperatives for Success and Growth

Conclusions

  • Key Conclusions
  • Legal Disclaimer

Appendix

  • Market Engineering Methodology
  • List of Exhibits
  • List of Exhibits (continued)
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