無料レポート プレゼントキャンペーン 実施中 : メールサービスに新規登録いただいた方にご用意した無料レポートをご提供

株式会社グローバルインフォメーション
TEL: 044-952-0102
表紙
市場調査レポート

商用車のエレクトリフィケーション:潜在性・動向予測 (〜2025年)

Global Commercial Vehicle Electrification Potential and Trends, Forecast to 2025

発行 Frost & Sullivan 商品コード 739361
出版日 ページ情報 英文 91 Pages
納期: 即日から翌営業日
価格
本日の銀行送金レート: 1USD=114.61円で換算しております。
Back to Top
商用車のエレクトリフィケーション:潜在性・動向予測 (〜2025年) Global Commercial Vehicle Electrification Potential and Trends, Forecast to 2025
出版日: 2018年10月26日 ページ情報: 英文 91 Pages
概要

中型・大型トラックのエレクトリフィケーションは、電池パック価格の100ドル/kwh以下への下落と助成金を活用した多くの電気トラック製品の発売から好調に推移する見通しであり、2025年にかけて11.1%の成長率で、250,000台の市場機会を創出すると推計されています。

当レポートでは、世界の商用車のエレクトリフィケーションの動向を調査し、市場の定義と概要、市場成長推進因子・阻害因子の分析、中型・大型トラックのエレクトリフィケーションの事例、エレクトリフィケーション技術の概要、トラック区分・地域別の販売台数の予測、主要地域・国別の詳細分析、成長機会・推奨行動の分析などをまとめています。

第1章 エグゼクティブサマリー

第2章 調査範囲・市場区分

第3章 市場環境・市場力学

  • エレクトリフィケーションへの主な影響因子
  • 法規制因子の分析
  • 経済因子の分析
  • インフラ因子の分析
  • 技術因子の分析

第4章 利用事例の分析

  • 中型トラック
  • 大型トラック

第5章 エレクトリフィケーション技術の概要

  • EVの主要コンポーネント
  • 電気ドライブラインアーキテクチャのベンチマーキング
  • 電気モーター技術のロードマップ
  • 電気モーター技術のベンチマーキング
  • パワーエレクトロニクス技術のロードマップ
  • EVの電池化学の将来:技術ロードマップ
  • リチウムイオン電池:比較分析
  • 電池製造能力の予測
  • CHAdeMO充電のロードマップ
  • CHARIN (Charging Interface Initiative)

第6章 世界市場の展望:中型・大型電気トラック

  • 予測手法
  • 電気トラック販売台数の予測
  • 市場分析・予測:重量区分・地域別
  • 中型電気トラック市場の展望:地域別
  • 大型電気トラック市場の展望:地域別

第7章 中国の中型・大型電気トラック市場:概要

  • 電動パワートレイン:中国の購入インセンティブ
  • 電気トラック:主要自治政府の購入インセンティブ
  • 電動パワートレイン:主な影響因子
  • 製品ポートフォリオ・市場投入ロードマップ
  • 大型電気トラック販売台数の予測
  • 大型トラック:電動パワートレイン導入予測
  • 中型電気トラック販売台数の予測
  • 中型トラック:電動パワートレイン導入予測

第8章 北米の中型・大型電気トラック市場:概要

  • 国のトラック燃料経済とGHG排出基準
  • 製品ポートフォリオ・市場投入ロードマップ
  • 大型電気トラック販売台数の予測
  • 大型トラック:電動パワートレイン導入予測
  • 中型電気トラック販売台数の予測
  • 中型トラック:電動パワートレイン導入予測

第9章 欧州の中型・大型電気トラック市場:概要

  • 英国・イタリア・ドイツ:低排出ゾーンイニシアチブを主導
  • 都心部へのアクセスの制限
  • インセンティブの概要
  • 製品ポートフォリオ・市場投入ロードマップ
  • 大型電気トラック販売台数の予測
  • 大型トラック:電動パワートレイン導入予測
  • 中型電気トラック販売台数の予測
  • 中型トラック:電動パワートレイン導入予測

第10章 成長機会・推奨行動

第11章 総論・将来の展望

第12章 付録

目次
Product Code: K2FF-18

Drop in Battery Pack Price Below $100/kwh Compounded by Slew of eTruck Product Launches to Capitalise on Subsidies are Poised to Push Electrification in MD & HD Truck Segment to 11.1% by 2025 Translating to 250,000 Market Opportunity

GHG emission regulations are ever strengthening in North America, Europe, and China. Climate change concerns among the public is especially propelling the automotive industry to reduce carbon footprint. Countries are looking for options to improve air quality in their communities and to contribute to mitigation of global climate change through electrification. This study provides an overview of the key trends in medium commercial vehicle ranging between 6.1 tonnes and 16 tonnes, and heavy commercial vehicle ranging above 16 tonnes segments of global electric truck market from 2016 to 2025. The various factors attracting adoption of electric trucks and the top challenges are studied in brief. The study reveals that the Chinese truck market will dominate the electric truck market with aggressive plan of subsidy rollout coupled with deployment of charging infrastructure systems in large scale. China is leading the electrification and contributes to 50% of the global electric truck sales in today's scenario, and the trend is expected to remain the same by 2025. North America, mainly Canada and the US, is expected to be the second largest market for electric trucks, having new disruptors emerging from the market. The incentive policies and stringent emission regulations in Europe, North America, and China will motivate the buyers, and the growing consumer demand for electric trucks will be satisfied by the product line-ups planned by OEMs. New entrants like Tesla and Nikola are expected to disrupt the North American market, while Chinese manufacturers are eyeing on export markets to uphold the market dominance in terms of electric truck sales volume. The electric powertrain adoption is poised to accelerate post 2020 due to the fall in battery prices. This study provides a summary on the available drivetrain technologies in the industry and future adoptions. By 2025, the penetration of electrification is expected to be 28.5% in medium-duty trucks and 6.5% in heavy-duty trucks in China. In North America, the penetration of electric powertrain is expected to be 8.3% and 12.3% in medium- and heavy-duty trucks, respectively. Several Western European countries are planning to adopt the ICE ban from 2025-2030, with expanding low-emission zones planning to ban diesel and gasoline engines. The new GHG emission regulations in Europe are pushing hard to achieve CO2 and fuel economy standards to satisfy EISA lead-time requirement. The electric powertrain adoption is expected to be 15% in medium-duty trucks and 5.2% in heavy-duty trucks in Europe. The world of batteries is changing very rapidly making it very hard to predict the most promising battery chemistry; however, some trends are already visible when limiting to lithium-ion based batteries. With battery prices dropping nearly 80% during 2010-2017, electric vehicles have become the favourite alternative powertrain for automakers both incumbent (such as Daimler, Volvo, and Scania) and startups (such as Tesla, Orange EV, and Nikola) ahead of hybrids. Fuel cell electric vehicles will be the future trend and will start acquiring the market from 2020 due to the intensity of energy in hydrogen and light weight, making the technology suitable for trucks. The rapid technology developments in electrification and huge market potential are inviting new technology participants and startups to invest in the CV space, whereas the transition is compelling the existing manufacturers to adopt the next-generation technology. With wide range of fiscal incentives and other benefits by government, emergence of eMobility value chain, and rising consumer awareness on usage benefits and cost savings, the market opportunity for electric medium- and heavy-duty trucks is predicted to be 250,000 units by 2025.

Table of Contents

1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

  • Electric Truck Market-Outlook of Key Regions
  • Technology Advancements Aiding Electric Trucks
  • Top 4 Market Drivers in Adoption of Electric Trucks
  • Top 4 Challenges in Adoption of Electric Trucks
  • Key Developments in the Electric Truck Market

2. RESEARCH SCOPE AND SEGMENTATION

  • Research Scope
  • Powertrain Technology Segmentation
  • Definitions
  • Research Aims and Objectives
  • Key Questions This Study Will Answer
  • Research Background
  • Research Methodology
  • Partial List of Industries Compared

3. MARKET ENVIRONMENT AND DYNAMICS

  • Key Factors Impacting Electrification
  • Legislative Factors Analysis
  • Economic Factors Analysis
  • Economic Factors Analysis (continued)
  • Infrastructure Factors Analysis
  • Technological Factors Analysis

4. USE CASE ANALYSIS

  • MD Truck Use Case Analysis
  • HD Truck Use Case Analysis
  • HD Truck Use Case Analysis (continued)

5. ELECTRIFICATION TECHNOLOGY OVERVIEW

  • Key Components of Electric Vehicles
  • Electric Driveline Architecture Benchmarking
  • Electric Motor Technology Roadmap
  • Electric Motor Technology Benchmarking
  • Power Electronics Technology Roadmap
  • Future of Battery Chemistries in EVs-Technology Roadmap
  • Lithium Ion Batteries Comparative Analysis
  • Lithium-ion Batteries Continue to Make Promising Gains
  • Battery Production Capacity to 2025
  • CHAdeMO Charging Roadmap
  • Charging Interface Initiative (CHARIN)

6. GLOBAL MARKET OUTLOOK-MD & HD ELECTRIC TRUCKS

  • Forecasting Methodology
  • MD & HD Electric Truck Sales Forecast
  • Breakdown by Weight Segment and Region
  • Electric MD Market Outlook of Key Regions-2025
  • Electric HD Market Outlook of Key Regions-2025

7. CHINESE MD & HD ELECTRIC TRUCK MARKET OVERVIEW

  • Electric Powertrain-Purchase Incentive by Chinese Central Government
  • Electric Trucks-Purchase Incentive by Key Regional Government
  • Electric Powertrain-Key Influencing Trends
  • Product Portfolio and Launch Roadmap
  • Product Portfolio and Launch Roadmap (continued)
  • HD Electric Truck Sales Forecast
  • HD Truck-Electric Powertrain Adoption Forecast
  • MD Electric Truck Sales Forecast
  • MD Truck-Electric Powertrain Adoption Forecast

8. NORTH AMERICAN MD & HD ELECTRIC TRUCK MARKET OVERVIEW

  • National Truck Fuel Economy and GHG Emissions Standards
  • Product Portfolio and Launch Roadmap
  • Product Portfolio and Launch Roadmap (continued)
  • HD Electric Truck Sales Forecast
  • HD Truck-Electric Powertrain Adoption Forecast
  • MD Electric Truck Sales Forecast
  • MD Truck-Electric Powertrain Adoption Forecast

9. EUROPEAN MD & HD ELECTRIC TRUCK MARKET OVERVIEW

  • UK, Italy, and Germany-Leading the Initiative with Low-Emission Zones
  • City Urban Access Restriction
  • Overview of Incentives
  • Product Portfolio and Launch Roadmap
  • HD Electric Truck Sales Forecast
  • HD Truck-Electric Powertrain Adoption Forecast
  • MD Electric Truck Sales Forecast
  • MD Truck-Electric Powertrain Adoption Forecast

10. GROWTH OPPORTUNITIES AND COMPANIES TO ACTION

  • Growth Opportunity
  • Strategic Imperatives for Electric MD & HD Truck Market

11. KEY CONCLUSIONS AND FUTURE OUTLOOK

  • Future Outlook-2025
  • The Last Word-3 Big Predictions
  • Legal Disclaimer

12. APPENDIX

  • Market Engineering Methodology
  • List of Exhibits
  • List of Exhibits (continued)
  • List of Exhibits (continued)
  • List of Exhibits (continued)
Back to Top