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電気トラック市場の分析と予測

Executive Analysis of Electric Truck Market, Forecast to 2025

発行 Frost & Sullivan 商品コード 599548
出版日 ページ情報 英文 61 Pages
納期: 即日から翌営業日
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本日の銀行送金レート: 1USD=110.06円で換算しております。
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電気トラック市場の分析と予測 Executive Analysis of Electric Truck Market, Forecast to 2025
出版日: 2017年12月26日 ページ情報: 英文 61 Pages
概要

当レポートでは、世界の中型・大型電気トラック市場の機会について調査分析し、概要、地域別の見通し、成長機会など、体系的な情報を提供しています。

第1章 エグゼクティブサマリー

第2章 調査範囲・区分

第3章 市場の見通し

  • 主要地域の電気トラック市場の見通し

第4章 中国の電気トラック市場の概要

  • ケーススタディ:中国政府のNEV開発計画
  • 電動パワートレイン:中央政府による購入インセンティブ
  • 電気トラック:地方政府による購入インセンティブ
  • 電動パワートレイン:主な影響動向
  • 主要OEMの電気トラックポートフォリオ
  • 市場概要:中国のパワートレイン導入
  • 中国の電動パワートレイン導入予測

第5章 北米の電気トラック市場の概要

  • 国のトラック燃費とGHG排出量
  • 北米のNHTSA燃費規格
  • 北米のフェーズ1/2トラクター、トレイラー標準
  • 電動パワートレイン:主要OEMのトラックポートフォリオ
  • 市場概要:北米のパワートレイン導入
  • 北米の電動パワートレイン導入予測

第6章 欧州の電気トラック市場の概要

  • 英国、イタリア、ドイツ:低排出圏のイニシアティブをリード
  • EUにおける都市のアクセス制限
  • EUのGHG排出基準:現状の概要
  • VECTO
  • 主要OEMの電気トラックポートフォリオ
  • 市場概要:欧州のパワートレイン導入
  • 欧州の電動パワートレイン導入予測

第7章 電動ドライブトレインと下流の影響

  • さまざまな電動ドライブライン構成
  • 車軸に対する電化の影響
  • ホイールエンドに対する電化の影響
  • ブレーキに対する電化の影響

第8章 バッテリー市場の分析

  • 将来のバッテリー化学:市場導入ロードマップ
  • バッテリー価格を下げてEVを手頃な価格に
  • リチウムイオン電池のコスト内訳

第9章 充電インフラの要件

  • EV充電インフラの定義
  • AC充電プラグ・コネクタータイプ
  • DC充電コネクターの形状
  • CHAdeMOの充電
  • CHARIN

第10章 成長機会とC2A (Companies to Action)

  • 成長機会
  • EV市場の戦略的必須事項

第11章 結論と将来の見通し

第12章 付録

目次
Product Code: K1CB-18

Chinese Thrust to Propel Global Light-medium-heavy Duty Electric Truck Market to More than 2.5 Million Units in Annual Sales by 2025

This study provides an overview of the opportunities in the global medium heavy-duty electric truck market in the period 2016-2025. The study reveals that the Chinese electric truck market will be the global electric medium heavy-duty truck leader and is expected to be dominated by fully electric trucks with 61.1% market share, followed by plug-in hybrid with 28.5% and hybrid with 10.4%, by 2025. New energy powertrain adoption is likely to increase, especially among medium-duty and heavy-duty trucks in China which is mainly dominated by new trucks models. The North American electric truck market is expected to be dominated by fully electric trucks with 53.3% market share, followed by plug-in hybrid with 30.7% and hybrid with 15.9%, by 2025. The new GHG emission regulations are pushing hard to achieve CO2 and fuel economy standards to satisfy EISA lead-time requirement. The European electric truck market is expected to be dominated by fully electric trucks with 54.6% market share, followed by plug-in hybrid with 37.4%, share and hybrid with 8.0%, by 2025. Several Western European countries are planning to adopt the ICE ban from 2025-2030, with expanding low-emission zones planning to ban diesel and gasoline engines.

List of market participants reviewed in the study include AVL, Allison, BAE Systems, BYD, BYD America, Brusa, Chanje, Charge, Daimler, Donfeng, E-Force, Eaton, Emerson, Ennova, Enride, FAW, Foton, Fuso, GINAF, GKN, Geely, Hino Motors, Hitachi, JAC, MAN, Mack Trucks, Medcom, Motiv Power, Nanjin IVECO, Nikola, Nissan, Remy, Renault, Scania, Shaanxi, Siemens, Smith Electric, TM4, Tesla, Toyota, Traktionssysteme, UQM Technologies, VIA, Volvo, ZF, eTraction and many more.

Research Highlights:

Growing penetration of electric and hybrid powertrain technologies in commercial vehicles, especially within city limits, will drive the demand for new types of drivelines. eAxles and motors mounted adjacent to wheel hubs are new technologies that are gaining traction in heavy-duty trucking applications. Battery prices have decreased by about 50% since 2010 and are expected to further decrease by 50% in the next 4 to 6 years. In batteries, Lithium sulfur is likely to be adopted as the next battery chemistry; however, advancement in lithium-ion technology will be seen.

Key Issues Addressed:

  • What are the current and future market trends of the electric truck market?
  • How will the market transform into by 2025 in terms of the geographic growth?
  • What will be the downstream implications for electric truck drivetrains in trucks?
  • Which models are likely to be launched in the next 2 or 4 years?
  • What will be the technological and affordability trends of electric powertrain components like batteries, motors, and charging systems?

Table of Contents

1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

  • Key Takeaways

2. RESEARCH SCOPE AND SEGMENTATION

  • Research Scope
  • Research Aims and Objectives
  • Key Questions this Study will Answer
  • Research Background
  • Research Methodology
  • Partial List of Industries Compared

3. MARKET OUTLOOK

  • Electric Truck Market Outlook of Key Regions-2025

4. CHINESE ELECTRIC TRUCK MARKET OVERVIEW

  • Case Study-Chinese Government NEV Development Plan
  • Electric Powertrain-Purchase Incentive by Central Government
  • Electric Trucks-Purchase Incentive by Regional Government
  • Electric Powertrain-Key Influencing Trends
  • Electric Truck Portfolio of Key OEMs
  • Market Overview 2016-Powertrain Adoption in China
  • Electric Powertrain Adoption Forecast in China, 2016-2025

5. NORTH AMERICAN ELECTRIC TRUCK MARKET OVERVIEW

  • National Truck Fuel economy and GHG Emissions
  • North America NHTSA Fuel Consumption Standards
  • North America Phase 1 and Phase 2 Combination Tractor and Trailer Standards
  • Electric Powertrain-Truck Portfolio of Key OEMs
  • Market Overview 2016-Powertrain Adoption in North America
  • Electric Powertrain Adoption Forecast in North America: 2016-2025

6. EUROPEAN ELECTRIC TRUCK MARKET OVERVIEW

  • UK, Italy, and Germany-Leading the Initiative with Low-Emission Zones
  • City Urban Access Restriction in EU Making VMs
  • EU GHG Emission Norms-Overview of Status Quo
  • Vehicle Energy Consumption Calculation Tool (VECTO)
  • Electric Truck Portfolio of Key OEMs
  • Electric Truck Portfolio of Key OEMs (continued)
  • Market Overview 2016-Powertrain Adoption in Europe
  • Electric Powertrain Adoption Forecast in Europe, 2016-2025

7. ELECTRIC DRIVETRAIN AND DOWNSTREAM IMPLICATIONS

  • Various Electric Driveline Configurations
  • Impact of Electrification on Axles
  • Impact of Electrification on Wheel End
  • Impact of Electrification on Brakes

8. BATTERY MARKET ANALYSIS

  • Future Battery Chemistries-Market Introduction Roadmap
  • Decline in Battery Prices to Make EVs Affordable
  • Lithium-ion Battery Cost Breakdown

9. CHARGING INFRASTRUCTURE REQUIREMENTS

  • Definition of EV Charging Infrastructure
  • AC Charging Plug and Connector Type
  • DC Charging Connector Geometry
  • CHAdeMO Charging
  • Charging Interface Initiative (CHARIN)

10. GROWTH OPPORTUNITIES AND COMPANIES TO ACTION

  • Growth Opportunity
  • Strategic Imperatives for Electric Vehicle Market

11. KEY CONCLUSIONS AND FUTURE OUTLOOK

  • Key Conclusions and Future Outlook
  • The Last Word-3 Big Predictions
  • Legal Disclaimer

12. APPENDIX

  • Market Engineering Methodology
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