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石油精製の世界市場の機会と動向:2023年までの予測

Opportunities and Trends in the Global Refining Market, Forecast to 2023

出版日: | 発行: Frost & Sullivan | ページ情報: 英文 42 Pages | 納期: 即日から翌営業日

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石油精製の世界市場の機会と動向:2023年までの予測
出版日: 2020年01月24日
発行: Frost & Sullivan
ページ情報: 英文 42 Pages
納期: 即日から翌営業日
  • 全表示
  • 概要
  • 目次
概要

世界の石油精製市場は、自動車向け石油化学製品・燃料への高い需要を特徴とし、今後10年間は市場成長が続くと予測されています。人口の増大、値ごろ感の向上、高い自動車普及率、原油価格の低下、世界の発展途上地域の企業による増資が、新しい製油所の建設と古い施設の改修の後押しになります。自動車の普及率が高まると、主にアジアとアフリカで、ガソリンとディーゼルの需要が高まり、需要の拡大に対応するために製油所の容量を拡大する必要性が高まります。世界の石油精製市場は、2018年の1日当たり9,970万バレルから、2023年には1日当たり約1億650万バレルまで、CAGRで1.3%の成長が予測されています。

当レポートでは、世界の石油精製市場について調査分析し、市場概要、促進要因と抑制要因、予測と動向、成長機会などについて、体系的な情報を提供しています。

目次

エグゼクティブサマリー

市場概要

  • 調査範囲
  • 調査内容

促進要因と抑制要因 - 総合市場

  • 市場促進要因
  • 促進要因の説明
  • 市場抑制要因
  • 抑制要因の説明

予測と動向 - 総合市場

  • 製油所能力の予測
  • 製油所能力の予測の議論
  • 製油所能力割合の予測:地域別
  • 製油所能力の予測:地域別
  • 製油所能力の予測の議論:地域別

成長機会と推奨行動 (C2A)

  • 成長機会1 - 石油精製装置・サービス
  • 成長機会2 - 投資:上流メジャー別
  • 成長機会3 - 単一石油精製品
  • 成功・成長の必須事項

結論

付録

Frost & Sullivanについて

目次
Product Code: 9AAE/68

Increasing Demand from Developing Regions of the World to Drive Demand for Refinery Investments

The global refining market is characterised by a high demand for petrochemicals and fuels for automobiles, which will keep the market growing for the next decade. Expanding population, increasing affordability, higher automobile penetration, lower oil prices, and increasing investments by companies in the developing regions of the world will aid in new refinery construction and upgrade of old facilities. Increasing automobile penetration will drive the demand for gasoline and diesel, mainly in Asia and Africa, which drives the need to expand refinery capacity to cater to expanding demand.

Asia is expected to be the key hub for refinery expansion, as the region invests heavily in new capacities and upgrading old ones to meet domestic demand and take advantage of export opportunities. China and the Middle East are expected to lead the way for refinery expansion, followed by India and Southeast Asia. These regions are expected to drive global growth, as they add more consumers to the market, which will drive demand for oil-based products.

Satisfying domestic demand is a key concern for most countries, as demand exceeds supply in many developing regions, especially in the Middle East, where countries and companies are focusing more on downstream activities after years of focus on upstream. Middle Eastern companies are also looking at other geographies to invest in new refinery capacity, as they are keen to tap into growing global demand for petrochemical products. South and Southeast Asia and Africa will be key beneficiaries of such Middle Eastern investments.

Africa will see the highest growth in refinery expansion on the back of a low base, as the region tries to move away from imports and be self-sufficient. Many such refinery programs are expected to get strong local government support in Africa. North America will see large expansion and upgrade programs, as it tries to accommodate more shale oil in its refineries and also cater to export markets of Europe and Asia. Russia and CIS are expanding refineries to cater to the main export market of Europe and Asia.

The market will see headwinds in the form of increased penetration of electric vehicles (EVs), which will decrease fuel demand as well as pollution concerns, which will see a shift away from diesel and other polluting fuels. Many countries and cities are expected to completely eliminate or limit fossil fuel vehicles and replace them with EVs. The move toward stricter emission requirements for diesel gensets is expected to lead to the installation of more gas-based gensets. Increasing usage of biodiesel and alternative types of fuel will impact oil consumption, as countries move toward more green fuels. Frost & Sullivan expects the market to grow from 99.7 million barrels per day in 2018 to nearly 106.5 million barrels per day in 2023, at a CAGR of 1.3%.

Research Highlights:

This study addresses the future and present market opportunities across the globe, as well as challenges faced in a rapidly changing environment. It forecasts refinery expansion as well as provides regional splits for refinery growth. Market metrics are provided for the United States and Canada, Latin America, Africa, Europe, Russia and CIS, the Middle East, China, and other APAC countries.

Key Issues Addressed:

  • What is the status of the global refining market? Which are the emerging regions?
  • Which are the regions where new capacity additions are taking place?
  • What are some of the various trends impacting the global refining market?
  • How much new capacity is coming online and in which regions?
  • What are the investment trends in the global refining market?

Table of Contents

Executive Summary

  • Key Findings

Market Overview

  • Research Scope
  • Research Scope (continued)
  • Key Questions this Study will Answer

Drivers and Restraints-Total Refining Market

  • Market Drivers
  • Drivers Explained
  • Drivers Explained (continued)
  • Drivers Explained (continued)
  • Market Restraints
  • Restraints Explained
  • Restraints Explained (continued)
  • Restraints Explained (continued)

Forecast and Trends-Total Refining Market

  • Refinery Capacity Forecast
  • Refinery Capacity Forecast Discussion
  • Percent Refinery Capacity Forecast by Region
  • Refinery Capacity Forecast by Region
  • Refinery Capacity Forecast Discussion by Region

Growth Opportunities and Companies to Action

  • Growth Opportunity 1-Refining Equipment and Services
  • Growth Opportunity 2-Investments by Upstream Majors
  • Growth Opportunity 3-Single Refinery Product
  • Strategic Imperatives for Success and Growth

Conclusion

  • Conclusion
  • Legal Disclaimer

Appendix

  • List of Exhibits

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