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市場調査レポート

電気自動車 (EV) の世界市場における展望 (2019年)

Global Electric Vehicle Market Outlook, 2019

発行 Frost & Sullivan 商品コード 487841
出版日 ページ情報 英文 156 Pages
納期: 即日から翌営業日
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本日の銀行送金レート: 1USD=110.75円で換算しております。
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電気自動車 (EV) の世界市場における展望 (2019年) Global Electric Vehicle Market Outlook, 2019
出版日: 2019年03月25日 ページ情報: 英文 156 Pages
概要

2019年の電気自動車 (EV) 販売台数は280万台を上回ると予測されており、このうち中国が57%の市場シェアを構成すると見込まれています。

当レポートでは、世界の電気自動車 (EV) 市場の将来展望について分析し、現在の市場構造や技術水準、主な市場促進要因、地域別・技術方式別 (BEV/PHEVなど) の詳細動向、今後の技術開発・普及および市場成長の見通し、充電インフラの現在の整備状況と将来展望、現在/将来の主力モデル、今後の市場機会や戦略提言などについて調査しております。

第1章 エグゼクティブサマリー

第2章 分析範囲と市場区分

第3章 世界の経済展望

  • 世界の経済動向:2018年
  • 世界経済の予測:2019年
  • 予測:先進経済諸国
  • 予測:新興経済諸国
  • 世界のGDP成長展望
  • 世界の急成長経済諸国トップ20

第4章 産業の主な調査結果

  • 主な調査結果:市場展望
  • 主な調査結果:顧客の声
  • 主な予測
  • 主な調査結果:自動車メーカー
  • EV・HEV普及率のダッシュボード
  • コストメリット分析:リース vs. 所有

第5章 市場計測

  • 世界のEV市場の展望:2018年
  • 世界のEV市場の展望:2019年
  • 過去10年間における電気自動車 (EV) の販売台数
  • ハイブリッド・電気自動車の販売ミックス
  • xEV乗用車の内訳:地域別
  • 販売台数の予測:地域・技術別
  • EVの月間販売台数 (種類別) と、売上高上位モデル5種
  • 上位メーカーの販売台数

第6章 ハイブリッド電気自動車 (HEV)

  • HEV市場の展望:世界
  • HEV販売台数のトップ20
  • EVの月間販売台数 (種類別) と、売上高上位モデル5種
  • HEV売上台数:国別 - トップ10
  • 現在・将来の展望:48V

第7章 地域展望:2018年

  • 欧州
  • 北米
  • 中国
  • 日本
  • 韓国

第8章 地域展望:2019年

  • 欧州
  • 北米
  • 中国
  • 日本
  • 韓国

第9章 主な規制・政府正確

  • 欧州
  • 米国
  • 韓国
  • 中国

第10章 主な奨励金・補助金制度

  • 欧州のEV奨励金
  • 米国の税額控除プログラム
  • 米国・中国の税額控除プログラム

第11章 バッテリー製造・生産の動向

  • 地域概要:現在の生産シナリオ
  • 地域概要:アジアの優勢
  • 地域概要:中国における生産工場
  • 地域概要:欧州のロードマップ
  • 地域概要:欧州へのシフト?
  • 地域概要:リチウムイオン生産拡大工場、EU

第12章 ギガファクトリー

  • バッテリーメーカーが発表したLiB製造目標
  • 稼働中・計画中のLiB工場:メーカー上位8社
  • ギガファクトリー:市場シェア分析

第13章 サプライチェーン分析

  • ギガファクトリー:供給を巡る争い
  • バッテリーサプライチェーン:バッテリーセル化学技術別
  • バッテリーポートフォリオ:バッテリー化学技術の導入動向 (OEM別)
  • バッテリーポートフォリオ:バッテリーバリューチェーンマッピング
  • バッテリーポートフォリオ:バッテリーバリューチェーンマッピング (高級車OEMの場合)
  • OEM調達戦略の現在のベンチマーキング

第14章 バッテリー熱管理における動向

  • 市場概要
  • xEVバッテリーの仕様
  • バッテリー仕様のロードマップ
  • IRE安全性コンプライアンス技術
  • OEMのバッテリー熱管理技術
  • 技術ロードマップ:P-BTMSソリューション
  • BTMSにおける将来の動向:集中型アクティブクーリング
  • バッテリーエネルギーストレージ市場 (住宅用)
  • バッテリーストレージシステムサプライヤーの市場シェア

第15章 EV新興企業エコシステムにおける動向

  • 主なEV新興企業の情勢ハイライト
  • 融資動向:地域別
  • 潜在的な提携先の目標、ほか

第16章 EV充電インフラの傾向

  • 充電ステーションの地域別分布状況
  • バッテリー熱管理:技術ロードマップ
  • DC急速充電:将来の構造・要件
  • 充電ステーション:米国の上位10州
  • 充電ステーション:欧州
  • 充電ステーション:中国、ほか

第17章 成長機会・CTA (推奨行動)

  • 成長機会
  • EV市場における戦略的課題

第18章 主な結論と将来展望

第19章 付録

目次
Product Code: ME4F-18

Over 2.8 Million Electric Vehicles are Likely to be Sold in 2019 With China Being the Leader With 57% Market Share.

About 2 million electric vehicles were sold globally out of which 68.7% were battery electric vehicles (BEV) and 31.3% were plugin hybrid electric vehicles (PHEV) recording a y-o-y market growth of 57.3%. China retained its market leadership for the 5th consecutive year with a 55.5% share, selling approximately 1.1 million electric vehicles (75% of it being BEVs and 25% PHEVs) and recording a 63.5% y-o-y market growth. Approximately 2.4 million hybrid electric vehicles (HEV) were sold globally which includes both mild and full hybrid vehicles. APAC sales consisted of 60.3% followed by Europe with 22.0% market share. Canada (+137.4%), South Korea (+83.4%) and USA (+77.1%) were the top 3 countries to experience highest y-o-y growth. In Canada and South Korea it was mainly to due increased in number of models available and in the US it was the Tesla Model 3. For the first time, Tesla emerged as the market leader with the launch of Model 3. Tesla sold highest number of cars constituting to 11.8% (231,850 units) of the total market closely followed by BYD with 11.3% (222,743) market share. 207 models (143 BEVs and 64 PHEVs) were available for sale in 2018 as compared to 165 (109 BEVs and 56 PHEVs) in 2017. In 2019 were 45 models added to the list which consisted of 37 BEVs and 8 PHEVs. BMW became the first automaker to offer inductive charging on its BMW 530e iPerformance model at an additional cost of $3,700 including taxes ($1000 for the module on the vehicle and $2,700 for mounting the control box). Over 2.8 million electric vehicles are likely to be sold globally in 2019 in which 68% will be BEVs and 32% will be plug in hybrids. The EV market will account for 3% of the total passenger car market.

China will continue to lead with over 58% market share followed by Europe and North America. More than 43 models are confirmed to be launched in 2019 in which 25 will be BEVs and remaining being PHEVs. The models will be a mix of small city cars, SUVs and performance vehicles. Africa, Middle East, Latin America and South Asia will be the next markets for electric vehicles that have the highest potential due to a heavy push from local government through incentives and subsidies for both automakers and car buyers. Incentives on Evs will be reduced in some countries such as China, UK, and USA. Cash incentives in US will be reduced by 50% ($3,750) as some automakers have surpassed 200,000 units sales. The competition will be tougher for foreign automaker in China as it will introduce stringent norms for automakers to promote electric vehicles by introducing a credit system. Automakers will require credits to produce conventional vehicles. For example, if an automaker wants to produce 100,000 conventional vehicles, it will require 10,000 credits which will be gained by producing 2,000 Evs.

Table of Contents

1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

  • Top Findings-Market Outlook
  • Key Predictions-2019
  • Electric Vehicles Sold in the Last Decade
  • EV Market Outlook 2018-Global
  • 2019 Confirmed Launches
  • Regional Overview-Current Production Scenario
  • EV Start-up Hotspot by Region
  • OEM Battery Thermal Management Strategy
  • Giga-factories-Battle of Supply
  • Battery Specification Roadmap
  • Geographical Distribution of Charging Stations

2. RESEARCH SCOPE AND SEGMENTATION

  • Research Scope
  • Research Aims and Objectives
  • Key Questions this Study will Answer
  • Research Background
  • Research Methodology
  • Key OEMs or Participant Groups Compared in this Study

3. 2018 GLOBAL ECONOMIC OUTLOOK

  • Top 2018 Global Economic Trends
  • Top 2019 Global Economic Predictions
  • Top 2019 Global Economic Predictions (continued)
  • Top 2019 Predictions-Advanced Economies
  • Top 2019 Predictions-Emerging Economies
  • World GDP Growth Snapshot
  • World's 20 Fastest Growing Economies in 2018 and 2019

4. 2018 INDUSTRY KEY FINDINGS

  • 2018 Top Findings-Market Outlook
  • Top Findings-Voice of Consumer
  • Key Predictions-2019
  • Top Findings-Automakers
  • October 2018 EV and HEV Penetration Dashboard
  • Cost Benefit Analysis-Leasing vs. Owning

5. MARKET MEASUREMENTS

  • EV Market Outlook 2018-Global
  • EV Market Outlook 2019-Global
  • Electric Vehicles Sold in the Last Decade
  • Hybrid and Electric Vehicle Sales Mix to 2025
  • Hybrid and Electric Vehicle Sales Mix to 2025 (continued)
  • xEV Passenger Car Breakdown by Region-2025
  • Sales Forecast by Region and Technology
  • Top 20 EVs Sold in 2018
  • Monthly EV Sales by EV Type and Top 5 Selling Models
  • Sales by Top OEMs-2018 Vs 2019

6. HYBRID ELECTRIC VEHICLES (HEV)

  • HEV Market Outlook 2018-Global
  • Top 20 HEVs Sold in 2018
  • Monthly EV Sales by EV Type and Top 5 Selling Models
  • HEV Sales by Country-Top 10
  • Current and Future Outlook for 48v

7. 2018-REGIONAL OUTLOOK

  • Market Outlook-Europe
  • Market Outlook-North America
  • Market Outlook-China
  • Market Outlook-Japan
  • Market Outlook-South Korea

8. 2019-REGIONAL OUTLOOK

  • 2019 Outlook-Europe
  • 2019 Outlook-Americas
  • 2019 Outlook-China
  • 2019 Outlook-APAC

9. KEY REGULATIONS AND GOVERNMENT POLICIES

  • Key Regulations and Government Policies-Europe
  • Key Regulations and Government Policies-Europe (continued)
  • Key Regulations and Government Policies-USA
  • Key Regulations and Government Policies-Korea
  • Key Regulations and Government Policies-China
  • Key Regulations and Government Policies-China (continued)

10. KEY INCENTIVES AND SUBSIDIES

  • Europe-EV Incentives
  • Europe-EV Incentives (continued)
  • Europe-EV Incentives (continued)
  • Europe-EV Incentives (continued)
  • USA-Tax Credit Program
  • USA-Tax Credit Program (continued)
  • USA-Tax Credit Program (continued)
  • USA-Tax Credit Program (continued)
  • USA and China-Tax Credit Program

11. TRENDS IN BATTERY MANUFACTURING AND PRODUCTION

  • Regional Overview-Current Production Scenario
  • Regional Overview-Asia's Dominance
  • Regional Overview-Production Plants in China
  • Regional Overview-Europe's Roadmap
  • Regional Overview-Shift to Europe?
  • Regional Overview-Li-Ion Production Expansion Plans, EU

12. GIGAFACTORIES

  • LiB Manufacturing Targets Announced by Battery Makers
  • Active and Planned LiB Plants-Top 8 Manufacturers
  • Active and Planned LiB Plants-Top 8 Manufacturers (continued)
  • Giga Factories-Market Share Analysis

13. SUPPLY CHAIN ANALYSIS

  • Giga-factories-Battle of Supply
  • Battery Supply Chain by Battery Cell Chemistry
  • Battery Portfolio-Battery Chemistry Adoption Trend (OEM)
  • Battery Portfolio-Battery Value Chain Mapping
  • Battery Portfolio-Battery Value Chain Mapping (Premium Segment OEM)
  • Current Benchmarking of OEM Sourcing Strategies

14. TRENDS IN BATTERY THERMAL MANAGEMENT

  • Market Snapshot
  • xEV Battery Specifications
  • Battery Specification Roadmap
  • IRE Safety Compliance Technologies
  • OEM Battery Thermal Management Strategy
  • Technology Roadmap by P-BTMS Solution
  • Future Trend in BTMS-Centralized Active Cooling
  • Battery Energy Storage Market (Residential)
  • Market Share of Battery Storage System Suppliers
  • Market Share of Battery Storage System Suppliers (continued)

15. TRENDS IN EV STARTUP ECOSYSTEM

  • Key EV Start-up Landscape Highlights
  • Funding Trends by Region
  • Potential Partnership Targets
  • First Level Snapshot of EV Start-up Landscape
  • Analysis of Startup's Launch Year
  • EV Start-up Hotspot by Region
  • Analysis on Chinese EV Startup Market

16. TRENDS IN ELECTRIC VEHICLE CHARGING INFRASTRUCTURE

  • Geographical Distribution of Charging Stations
  • Battery Thermal Management-Technology Roadmap
  • DC Fast Charging-Future Configurations and Requirements
  • Charging Stations by Top 10 States-The United States
  • Charging Stations by Country-Europe
  • Charging Stations by Country-China
  • AC Level 2+ Charging-The Future of AC Fast Charging
  • DC Fast Charging-Future Configurations and Requirements: CCS to CCS+
  • Electric Vehicle Charging Value Chain
  • EV Charging Ecosystem-Value Creation
  • Innovative Business Models-An Overview
  • Is Data Monetization the Next Big Wave in Charging?
  • Potential Revenue Sources
  • EV Charging Installation by Owner Type

17. GROWTH OPPORTUNITIES AND COMPANIES TO ACTION

  • Growth Opportunity
  • Strategic Imperatives for Electric Vehicle Market

18. KEY CONCLUSION AND FUTURE OUTLOOK

  • Conclusion and Recommendations
  • Legal Disclaimer

19. APPENDIX

  • Market Engineering Methodology
  • List of Exhibits
  • List of Exhibits (continued)
  • List of Exhibits (continued)
  • List of Exhibits (continued)
  • List of Exhibits (continued)
  • List of Exhibits (continued)
  • List of Exhibits (continued)
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