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米国の将来像

The Future of the United States: The Social and Technological Forces Reshaping the Country

発行 Frost & Sullivan 商品コード 339739
出版日 ページ情報 英文 201 Pages
納期: 即日から翌営業日
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米国の将来像 The Future of the United States: The Social and Technological Forces Reshaping the Country
出版日: 2015年09月15日 ページ情報: 英文 201 Pages
概要

今後10年間にわたり、社会的および技術的な力によりアメリカ国民の労働および生活のやり方が大きく変わろうとしています。仕事から生活まで全般にわたって、コネクテッドデバイスおよび直接的情報アクセスへの依存性が強まることで大きな影響を受けます。2016年の大統領選挙は今後の米国の進歩について極めて重要な役割を果たすことになると見られます。

当レポートでは、米国市民とビジネスに大きな影響を与える多くのメガトレンドを2025年までにわたって包括的に分析しています。

第1章 エグゼクティブ・サマリー

  • 2025年には米国は数量化の国となる
  • ネットワーク文化がアメリカ国民の生活を形成する
  • 米国における職業はよりスマートで人間中心のものとなる
  • 協力が職業的生活および個人的生活の双方を決める
  • 米国における競争は再構築される
  • 2025年までに最も大きな破壊的進歩をもたらすもの
  • 重要なメガトレンドについてのマクロからミクロに至る分析

第2章 調査手法および主要定義

  • 調査手法 - マクロからミクロに至る
  • 定義一覧
  • 略語一覧

第3章 社会的動向

  • 社会的動向 - 重要な調査結果
  • 北米の2025年における人口は他の地域よりも少なくなる
  • ミレニアル世代の成長につれて彼らがもたらす影響も大きくなる
  • 米国の人種構成はさらに多様性を増す
  • 米国のヒスパニック文化が進化する
  • 米国の移民人口が増加
  • She-conomyが強化される
  • 高齢米国民が重要な人口層を形作る
  • 高齢米国民は前世代の高齢米国民とは異なる
  • 労働年齢人口のサポート負荷が重くなる
  • 業務オートメーションが一部の労働人口にとっては脅威となる
  • 米国民の所得は両極化が進む
  • 所得の両極化とともに市場成長促進要因と市場機会ももたらされる
  • マクロからミクロへ - 戦略的提言および予測

第4章 高等教育動向

  • 高等教育動向 - 重要な調査結果
  • 大学への入学者数が増加
  • 大学教育を受けた米国民の需要増が続く
  • 高等教育コストは上がり続ける
  • 学生の債務負担が悪化する
  • 米国政府は学生ローンで利益を上げる?
  • 学生の債務は一生続く悪影響をもたらす
  • 技術が学習方法を進化させる
  • 高等教育の状況により人種間のギャップが広がる
  • STEM (科学、技術、および数学) 関連の職業が増える
  • マクロからミクロへ - 戦略的提言および予測

第5章 政治動向

  • 政治動向 - 重要な調査結果
  • e-ガバナンスとm-ガバナンスの効率が高まる
  • 人口密度が米国の都市における革新的なモビリティ戦略を押し進める
  • 米国最高裁の均衡は2016年に切り替わる
  • 重要なビジネス上の課題が続々と法廷の訴訟一覧表に上る
  • 国会における根強い両極化が国会の役割を弱める
  • 州政府と地方政府の影響力が強まる
  • ヒスパニックの投票がより重要性を増すがまとまりのあるものとはならない
  • マクロからミクロへ - 戦略的提言および予測

第6章 将来の米国産業動向

  • 将来の米国産業動向 - 重要な調査結果
  • 将来の米国の産業は成長を遂げる
  • 将来の米国産業は新技術を導入することで成長する
  • 小売産業 - 消費パターンと技術パターンで現状とは変わってくる
  • 小売産業 - 実店舗とオンライン店舗とを持つ小売業が購買者への影響を強める
  • 製造業 - 主要産業の下部部門が急速に成長
  • 製造業 - 市場動向を受けて変革が進む
  • 建設業 - 米国のエネルギーが成長を促進する
  • 建設業 - 産業の移行と動向とがイノベーションを押し進める
  • 金融業 - 中国との競争が激化
  • 金融業 - 産業の移行により顧客第一主義が浸透
  • 医療 - 巨大な力が医療業界の変革を促す
  • 医療 - 新しい状況の中で市場機会が生まれる
  • 技術 - 米国で大変革をもたらす技術が生まれる
  • 新技術が産業を根底から変え続ける
  • マクロからミクロへ - 戦略的提言および予測

第7章 健康と幸福についての動向

第8章 都市化動向

第9章 インフラ動向

第10章 モビリティ動向

第11章 エネルギー動向

第12章 セキュリティおよび防御動向

第13章 経済動向

  • 経済動向 - 重要な調査結果
  • 米国の世界経済での立ち位置は入り交じったものとなる
  • 政府、消費者、ビジネス、および輸出が経済を構成する
  • CBO (議会予算局) が2025年までの赤字支出を予測
  • 社会プログラムが連邦政府支出で最大のものとなる
  • 教育は州政府支出の中で大きな分量を占める
  • 消費者圧力が国の経済的バックボーンを脅かす恐れ
  • 消費者意識が向上; 支出が増加
  • ビジネス支出は将来を予測し易いものにする
  • 経済指標は経済の回復基調を示すが不安定
  • 米国の輸出は輸入を追い抜くものとはならない
  • 二つの重要な経済影響要因は利率と交易
  • マクロからミクロへ - 戦略的提言および予測

第14章 コネクティビティ動向

第15章 スマートが新たなグリーンとなる

第16章 結言

  • 結言 - 三大予測
  • 免責条項

第17章 付録

目次
Product Code: NEE6-MT

The Social and Technological Forces Reshaping the Country

Over the next 10 years, social and technological forces are going to reshape the way Americans work and live. How we travel, perform our jobs, run our homes, invest our money, and plan for the future will all be influenced by increasing dependence upon connected devices and access to immediate information. Spurred by the presidential election of 2016, which will play a critical role in the nation's progress, Frost & Sullivan offers this comprehensive analysis of the many Mega Trends that will affect American citizens and business through 2025. Topics range from automation and the potential obsolescence of jobs to the rise of Smart Cities and the dynamic social shifts brought on by the millennial and aging populations.

Table of Contents

1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Executive Summary

  • 1. In 2025, the United States Will be a Land of Quantification
  • 2. A Network Culture Will Shape American Lives
  • 3. Work in the United States Will be Smarter and More Human-centric
  • 4. Collaboration Will Define Both Professional and Personal Lives
  • 5. Competition in the United States Will be Reconfigured
  • 6. Top US Disruptors through 2025
  • 7. Macro-to-micro Analysis of Key Mega Trends
  • 8. Macro-to-micro Analysis of Key Mega Trends (continued)

2. RESEARCH METHODOLOGY AND KEY DEFINITIONS

Research Methodology and Key Definitions

  • 1. Research Methodology-From Macro-to-micro
  • 2. Research Methodology-From Macro-to-micro (continued)
  • 3. List of Definitions
  • 4. List of Definitions (continued)
  • 5. List of Acronyms and Abbreviations
  • 6. List of Acronyms and Abbreviations (continued)

3. SOCIAL TRENDS

Social Trends

  • 1. Social Trends-Key Findings
  • 2. North America's 2025 Population Will be Smaller Than Other Regions'
  • 3. As Millennials Rise, so Will Their Influence
  • 4. Millennials Display Common Characteristics
  • 5. The US Racial Composition Will be More Diverse
  • 6. The US Hispanic Culture is Evolving
  • 7. The US Immigrant Population Will Grow
  • 8. The She-conomy Will Strengthen
  • 9. Aging Americans Will Form an Important Demographic
  • 10. Aging Americans Will be Unlike Their Previous Counterparts
  • 11. The Working-age Support Burden Will be Greater
  • 12. Job Automation Threatens Parts of the Working Population
  • 13. American Incomes Will Continue to Polarize
  • 14. With Income Polarization Comes Drivers and Opportunities
  • 15. “Macro-to-micro”-Strategic Recommendations and Predictions

4. HIGHER EDUCATION TRENDS

Higher Education Trends

  • 1. Higher Education Trends-Key Findings
  • 2. College Attendance Will Increase
  • 3. Demand for College-educated Americans Will Continue to Grow
  • 4. Higher Education Costs Will Continue to Rise
  • 5. Student Debt Burden is Worsening
  • 6. Does the US Government Profit from Student Loans?
  • 7. Student Debt Has Negative, Lifelong Repercussions
  • 8. Technology Evolves Learning Methods
  • 9. Higher Education Reveals Widening Racial Gaps
  • 10. Projected Increase in STEM-related Jobs
  • 11. “Macro-to-micro”-Strategic Recommendations and Predictions

5. POLITICAL TRENDS

Political Trends

  • 1. Political Trends-Key Findings
  • 2. eGovernance and mGovernance Increase Efficiency
  • 3. eGovernance and mGovernance Increase Efficiency (continued)
  • 4. Population Density Drives Innovative Mobility Strategies in US Cities
  • 5. The Balance of the US Supreme Court Hinges on 2016
  • 6. Key Business Issues Will be on the Court's Docket
  • 7. Persistent Polarization in Congress May Weaken Its Role
  • 8. State and Local Government Influence is Increasing
  • 9. The Hispanic Vote Will be More Important but Less Cohesive
  • 10. “Macro-to-micro”-Strategic Recommendations and Predictions

6. FUTURE US INDUSTRY TRENDS

Future US Industry Trends

  • 1. Future US Industry Trends-Key Findings
  • 2. Future US Industries to Experience Growth
  • 3. Future US Industries Will Grow with Technology Adoption
  • 4. Retail-Consumption and Technology Patterns Alter the Status Quo
  • 5. Retail-Bricks-and-Clicks Retailing Influences Shoppers
  • 6. Manufacturing-Key Industry Subsectors Grow Quickly
  • 7. Manufacturing-Trends Drive Transformational Shifts
  • 8. Construction-US Energy Drives Growth
  • 9. Construction-Industry Shifts and Trends Drive Innovation
  • 10. Finance-Competition from China Will Intensify
  • 11. Finance-Industry Shifts Put the Customer First
  • 12. Healthcare-Huge Forces Drive Industry Changes
  • 13. Healthcare-Opportunities Arise in a New Landscape
  • 14. Technology-Game Changers are Born in the United States
  • 15. Technologies Will Continue Disrupting Industries
  • 16. “Macro-to-micro”-Strategic Recommendations and Predictions

7. HEALTH, WELLNESS, AND WELLBEING TRENDS

Health, Wellness, and Wellbeing Trends

  • 1. Health, Wellness, and Wellbeing Trends-Key Findings
  • 2. Chronic Health Problems Weigh Down the US Healthcare System
  • 3. Healthcare Becomes Decentralized
  • 4. Technology is in Place for Home Healthcare Solutions
  • 5. The “Quantified Self” Emerges from Future Healthcare Applications
  • 6. The Workplace Promotes a Healthy Lifestyle
  • 7. Prevention-focused Wellness Programs Could Offset Insurance Costs
  • 8. The Dietary Supplement Market Grows
  • 9. What's the Buzz on Marijuana?
  • 10. Widespread Marijuana Legalization Could Impact Big Pharma
  • 11. “Macro-to-micro”-Strategic Recommendations and Predictions

8. URBANIZATION TRENDS

Urbanization Trends

  • 1. Urbanization Trends-Key Findings
  • 2. The City Will be 2025's Most Connected Customer
  • 3. Population Density Will Rise while Trends Expand
  • 4. Two Mega Regions Will Dominate the East and West Coasts
  • 5. Mega Regions are Not Necessarily the Fastest Growing
  • 6. What Makes a Metro Area Business Friendly?
  • 7. Urban Core Population Will Continue to Swell
  • 8. Suburban Rings Will Continue to House Most Americans
  • 9. Smart Will Become the Technological Norm
  • 10. San Francisco Leads the Smart City Race
  • 11. Growing GDP and Spend Are Turning Cities into Customers
  • 12. Boston's SCOPE Project Embodies the Connected City
  • 13. “Macro-to-micro”-Strategic Recommendations and Predictions

9. INFRASTRUCTURE TRENDS

Infrastructure Trends

  • 1. Infrastructure Trends-Key Findings
  • 2. Pipeline Infrastructure Investments Will Grow
  • 3. Utility Infrastructure Investments Will Double
  • 4. New Highways Indicate Pockets of Economic Development
  • 5. Waterways, Locks, and Ports Require Immediate Funding
  • 6. US New High-speed Rail (HSR) Development
  • 7. New Freight Rail Development Offers Cheaper Transport
  • 8. Hot Topic-Water in Fracking to Continue Making Headlines
  • 9. “Macro-to-micro”-Strategic Recommendations and Predictions

10. MOBILITY TRENDS

Mobility Trends

  • 1. Mobility Trends-Key Findings
  • 2. Diverse Forces Are Shifting the Mobility Landscape
  • 3. Population Density Drives Innovative Mobility Strategies in US Cities
  • 4. Mobility Options Will Increase for Every Journey
  • 5. Intercity Bus Mobility May Outpace High-speed Rail
  • 6. The Suburban Commute Will be Smarter
  • 7. Alternative Fuel Vehicles Will See Continued Growth
  • 8. Intra-city Public Transit Will Have More Options
  • 9. Conflicting Policies Limit Public Transit Adoption
  • 10. Ride Sharing and eHailing Will Yield to Autonomous Taxis
  • 11. Car Sharing Offers Alternatives to Ownership for Urban Residents
  • 12. Emerging Micro-mobility Solutions Will Not Go Far in the United States
  • 13. Federal Support for Non-motorized Transport Will Increase
  • 14. “Macro-to-micro”-Strategic Recommendations and Predictions

11. ENERGY TRENDS

Energy Trends

  • 1. Energy Trends-Key Findings
  • 2. The US Energy Outlook is Highly Vulnerable to Disruptions
  • 3. Electricity Generation Will be More Natural Gas Reliant
  • 4. The US Will Continue Being a Dominant Participant in O&G Production
  • 5. Natural Gas Production Depends on Favorable Regulation
  • 6. The Era of Coal's Dominance Will Come to an End
  • 7. Strengthening Renewables Requires More Holistic Assessments
  • 8. Nuclear Energy Will Post Less Growth in the United States
  • 9. Energy Harvesting Holds Great Promise for Cheap Energy
  • 10. Solving Energy Storage is Key to Growth in Renewables
  • 11. Distributed Generation is Going Smart
  • 12. Climate Change Could Pose Real Threats to the Economy
  • 13. “Macro-to-micro”-Strategic Recommendations and Predictions

12. SECURITY AND DEFENSE TRENDS

Security and Defense Trends

  • 1. Security and Defense Trends-Key Findings
  • 2. The Threats to Security and Safety are Changing
  • 3. Cybersecurity Will Experience Widespread Demand
  • 4. Cybersecurity Will Adapt to a Changing Landscape
  • 5. Crime Rates Continue to Fall
  • 6. Increasing Natural Disasters Require Preparation and Collaboration
  • 7. Safe Cities Will Emerge
  • 8. Safe Cities Rely on Advancing Technologies
  • 9. National Defense Will Focus on Non-traditional Actors
  • 10. National Defense Spending Will Focus on Technology
  • 11. “Macro-to-micro”-Strategic Recommendations and Predictions

13. ECONOMIC TRENDS

Economic Trends

  • 1. Economic Trends-Key Findings
  • 2. Projections for US Global Economic Standing Are Mixed
  • 3. Government, Consumers, Business, and Exports Comprise the Economy
  • 4. The CBO Projects Deficit Spending through 2025
  • 5. Social Programs Dominate Federal Government Spend
  • 6. Education Holds the Bulk of State Government Spend
  • 7. Consumer Pressures May Threaten the Country's Economic Backbone
  • 8. Consumer Sentiment is Rising; Expenditure is Growing
  • 9. Business Spend Favors Predictability
  • 10. Indicators Point to a Recovering but Precarious Economy
  • 11. US Exports Show No Sign of Overtaking Imports
  • 12. Two Key Economic Influencers are Interest Rates and Trade Deals
  • 13. “Macro-to-micro”-Strategic Recommendations and Predictions

14. CONNECTIVITY TRENDS

Connectivity Trends

  • 1. Connectivity Trends-Key Findings
  • 2. The Internet of Things Will Become Pervasive
  • 3. The Internet of Things is Creating Growth Opportunities
  • 4. New Technologies Are Emerging in the IoT
  • 5. The Race for 5G Will Create a New Standard for Connectivity
  • 6. Efforts to Close the Digital Divide Will Increase in Importance
  • 7. New Methods of Internet Access Will be Tested
  • 8. Net Neutrality is Likely Here to Stay
  • 9. Public Perceptions of Privacy are Mixed
  • 10. Privacy Concerns with Big Data May Drive Self-regulation
  • 11. “Macro-to-micro”-Strategic Recommendations and Predictions

15. SMART IS THE NEW GREEN

Smart is the New Green

  • 1. Smart is the New Green-Key Findings
  • 2. Smart is Connected
  • 3. Smart is Embedded within Most Devices
  • 4. Smart Converses
  • 5. “Macro-to-micro”-Strategic Recommendations and Predictions

16. THE LAST WORD

The Last Word

  • 1. The Last Word-3 Big Predictions
  • 2. Legal Disclaimer

17. APPENDIX

Appendix

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