Product Code: 3375
World demand to reach 3.4 million units in 2019
Global demand for prefabricated housing is forecast to increase 2.7% per annum through 2019 to 3.4 million units. In the developing countries of the Asia/Pacific region, Africa/Mideast region, and Central and South America, advances in overall housing activity as well as greater market penetration of prefabricated housing will drive gains demand going forward. In these regions, prefabricated housing will find applications both as low cost units to reduce housing shortages (particularly in multifamily applications) and as high quality, well-insulated houses for more affluent consumers. Most higher income countries (outside of the US and Japan) have low penetration levels for prefabricated housing, but its generally lower cost, shorter construction time, and greater energy efficiency will stimulate demand.
Asia/Pacific region will dominate global demand
The Asia/Pacific region accounts for the vast majority of prefabricated housing demand. China alone will account for approximately two-fifths of new global demand generated between 2014 and 2019, even though prefabricated housing has not gained wide public acceptance in China. The majority of prefabricated houses in China are temporary units, which are used to house construction workers and for disaster relief housing. In contrast to China, prefabricated housing units in India tend to be “kit homes” used as low-cost housing options. Modular homes are also popular in that country, particularly those constructed from shipping containers. Japan was a key market for prefabricated housing historically, but the country's prefabricated housing industry will grow at a below global average pace through 2019 as the country's overall residential construction market is not expected to perform well. However, prefabricated housing's share of new housing units in Japan has risen since 2004, and is expected to do so going forward.
Worldwide gains in prefabricated housing demand will be bolstered by an acceleration in the United States as that country's housing market continues to recover. While US demand for prefabricated housing will advance at double digit annual rates through 2019, prefabricated housing's share of new housing units will decline slightly during this time.
Demand for prefabricated housing in the Africa/Mideast region is forecast to grow at the most rapid rate of any region, but the level of activity will remain under 200,000 units in 2019. More traditional building methods are common throughout the region, particularly in the lower income countries. Central and South America will also post above average gains in prefabricated housing demand through 2019, though it will continue to account for only a small share of the global market. In general, home buyers in the region continue to prefer site built homes, and prefabricated housing is seen as an inferior product. Product improvements for prefabricated housing will aid modest demand growth through 2019.
Panelized & precut homes will lead volume gains
Panelized and precut homes will post the best growth in terms of units produced through 2019, realizing annual gains of 3.6 percent per year. These types of prefabricated housing are more readily transportable and will benefit from demand growth in lower income countries as well as in Japan -- where high costs of manufacturing will attract further imports of prefabricated homes. Manufactured and modular housing production, the majority of which occurs in the US, will post the fastest gains through 2019 as demand in the US rebounds sharply.
Study coverage
Details on these and other findings are offered in World Prefabricated Housing, a Freedonia industry study which presents historical demand data (2004, 2009 and 2014) plus forecasts (2019 and 2024) by type (e.g., modular and manufactured housing, temporary housing) in six world regions and 19 major countries. The study also examines market environment factors, assesses the industry structure, evaluates company market share and profiles 40 global competitors.
Table of Contents
INTRODUCTION
I. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
II. MARKET ENVIRONMENT
- General
- World Economic Overview
- Recent Historical Trends
- World Economic Outlook
- World Housing Environment
- Residential Construction Spending
- New Housing Units
- Relationship Between New Housing Units & Prefabricated
- World Demographic Overview
- World Population
- Households
- Pricing
- Regulatory & Cultural Considerations
III. OVERVIEW
- General
- Demand by Region
- Manufactured & Modular Housing
- Temporary Prefabricated Housing
- Panelized & Precut Housing
- International Trade
- Shipments by Region
- Value of Demand by Region
IV. NORTH AMERICA
- Overview
- Prefabricated Housing Supply & Demand
- Prefabricated Housing Demand by Type
- United States
- Canada
- Mexico
V. WESTERN EUROPE
- Overview
- Prefabricated Housing Supply & Demand
- Prefabricated Housing Demand by Type
- Germany
- France
- United Kingdom
- Italy
- Spain
- Other Western Europe
VI. ASIA/PACIFIC
- Overview
- Prefabricated Housing Supply & Demand
- Prefabricated Housing Demand by Type
- China
- India
- Japan
- Australia
- Other Asia/Pacific
VII. OTHER REGIONS
- Central & South America
- Overview
- Prefabricated Housing Supply & Demand
- Prefabricated Housing Demand by Type
- Chile
- Brazil
- Argentina
- Other Central & South America
- Eastern Europe
- Overview
- Prefabricated Housing Supply & Demand
- Prefabricated Housing Demand by Type
- Russia
- Poland
- Other Eastern Europe
- Africa/Mideast
- Overview
- Prefabricated Housing Supply & Demand
- Prefabricated Housing Demand by Type
- Turkey
- Israel
- South Africa
- Other Africa/Mideast
VIII. INDUSTRY STRUCTURE
- General
- Industry Composition
- Market Share
- Manufacturing & Product Development
- Competitive Strategies
- Marketing & Distribution
- Mergers & Acquisitions
- Cooperative Agreements
Company Profiles
- Algeco Chengdong International Modular Housing
- Beijing, see Algeco Scotsman Global
- Algeco Scotsman Global Sarl
- All American Homes, see Innovative Building Systems
- Asahi Kasei Corporation
- Athens Park Homes, see Champion Home Builders
- Ausco Modular Proprietary, see Algeco Scotsman Global
- Baoye Daiwa Industrialized House Manufacturing, see Daiwa House Industry
- Berkshire Hathaway Incorporated
- Bien-Zenker GmbH
- Bonneville Industries Ltée
- Caledonian Building Systems, see Champion Home Builders
- Cavco Industries Incorporated
- CEMEX SAB de CV
- Champion Home Builders Incorporated
- Chariot Eagle, see Cavco Industries
- Charles Church Development, see Persimmon
- Clayton Homes, see Berkshire Hathaway
- Container Conversions Proprietary Limited
- CORIMEC Italiana, see EDILSIDER
- Daiwa House Industry Company Limited
- EDILSIDER SpA
- Ekobustas
- ELK Holding AG
- Elliott Group, see Algeco Scotsman Global
- Epoch Homes, see Innovative Building Systems
- Eurobras Group, see Algeco Scotsman Global
- Excel Homes, see Innovative Building Systems
- Fairmont Homes, see Cavco Industries
- Fleetwood Homes, see Cavco Industries
- Friendship Homes of Minnesota, see Cavco Industries
- Future Home Technology, see Innovative Building Systems
- Global Portable Buildings Incorporated
- Handcrafted Homes, see Innovative Building Systems
- Hanse Haus GmbH & Company KG
- Honkarakenne Oyj
- HUF HAUS GmbH u. Company KG
- Innovative Building Systems LLC
- Irving (JD) Limited
- Jelovica dd
- Kampa GmbH
- Keiser Homes, see Innovative Building Systems
- Kent Homes, see Irving (JD)
- Lindal Cedar Homes Incorporated
- Linwood Homes Limited
- Lissett Homes Limited
- Manor Park Homes Limited
- Misawa Homes Company Limited
- Modukraf, see Innovative Building Systems
- Moduline Industries, see Champion Home Builders
- Nationwide Custom Homes, see Cavco Industries
- NCL Industries Limited
- Nelson Lumber Company Limited
- Omar Homes Limited
- Palm Harbor Homes, see Cavco Industries
- Pathfinder Park Homes Limited
- Persimmon plc
- Portacom Building Solutions, see Algeco Scotsman Global
- Quality Manufactured Homes & RV's Limited
- SEhomes, see Berkshire Hathaway
- Sekisui Chemical Company Limited
- Skyline Corporation
- Southern Energy Homes, see Berkshire Hathaway
- Space4, see Persimmon
- SRI Homes, see Champion Home Builders
- Stately-Albion Limited
- Sterling Premium Building Systems, see Wausau Homes
- Target Logistics Management, see Algeco Scotsman Global
- Toyota Motor Corporation
- Viceroy Homes Limited
- Wausau Homes Incorporated
- Wessex Unique Lodges & Park Homes, see Omar Homes
- Westbury Partnerships, see Persimmon
- Xella International SA
- Yahgee Modular House Group Company Limited
LIST OF TABLES
SECTION I -- EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
SECTION II -- MARKET ENVIRONMENT
- World Gross Domestic Product by Region
- World Residential Building Construction Expenditures
- by Region
- World New Housing Units by Region
- World Population by Region
- World Households by Region
SECTION III -- OVERVIEW
- World Prefabricated Housing Demand
- World Prefabricated Housing Demand by Region
- World Manufactured & Modular Housing Demand by Region
- World Temporary Prefabricated Housing Demand by Region
- World Panelized & Precut Housing Demand by Region
- World Prefabricated Housing Trade Flows
- World Prefabricated Housing Shipments
- World Prefabricated Housing Demand by Region
SECTION IV -- NORTH AMERICA
- North America: Prefabricated Housing Supply & Demand
- North America: Prefabricated Housing Demand by Type
- United States: Prefabricated Housing Supply & Demand
- United States: Prefabricated Housing Demand by Type
- Canada: Prefabricated Housing Supply & Demand
- Canada: Prefabricated Housing Demand by Type
- Mexico: Prefabricated Housing Supply & Demand
- Mexico: Prefabricated Housing Demand by Type
SECTION V -- WESTERN EUROPE
- Western Europe: Prefabricated Housing Supply & Demand
- Western Europe: Prefabricated Housing Demand by Type
- Germany: Prefabricated Housing Supply & Demand
- Germany: Prefabricated Housing Demand by Type
- France: Prefabricated Housing Supply & Demand
- France: Prefabricated Housing Demand by Type
- United Kingdom: Prefabricated Housing Supply & Demand
- United Kingdom: Prefabricated Housing Demand by Type
- Italy: Prefabricated Housing Supply & Demand
- Italy: Prefabricated Housing Demand by Type
- Spain: Prefabricated Housing Supply & Demand
- Spain: Prefabricated Housing Demand by Type
- Other Western Europe: Prefabricated Housing Supply & Demand
- Other Western Europe: Prefabricated Housing Demand by Type
SECTION VI -- ASIA/PACIFIC
- Asia/Pacific: Prefabricated Housing Supply & Demand
- Asia/Pacific: Prefabricated Housing Demand by Type
- China: Prefabricated Housing Supply & Demand
- China: Prefabricated Housing Demand by Type
- India: Prefabricated Housing Supply & Demand
- India: Prefabricated Housing Demand by Type
- Japan: Prefabricated Housing Supply & Demand
- Japan: Prefabricated Housing Demand by Type
- Australia: Prefabricated Housing Supply & Demand
- Australia: Prefabricated Housing Demand by Type
- Other Asia/Pacific: Prefabricated Housing Supply & Demand
- Other Asia/Pacific: Prefabricated Housing Demand by Type
SECTION VII -- OTHER REGIONS
- Central & South America: Prefabricated Housing Supply & Demand
- Central & South America: Prefabricated Housing Demand by Type
- Chile: Prefabricated Housing Supply & Demand
- Chile: Prefabricated Housing Demand by Type
- Brazil: Prefabricated Housing Supply & Demand
- Brazil: Prefabricated Housing Demand by Type
- Argentina: Prefabricated Housing Supply & Demand
- Argentina: Prefabricated Housing Demand by Type
- Other Central & South America: Prefabricated Housing Supply & Demand
- Other Central & South America: Prefabricated Housing Demand by Type
- Eastern Europe: Prefabricated Housing Supply & Demand
- Eastern Europe: Prefabricated Housing Demand by Type
- Russia: Prefabricated Housing Supply & Demand
- Russia: Prefabricated Housing Demand by Type
- Poland: Prefabricated Housing Supply & Demand
- Poland: Prefabricated Housing Demand by Type
- Other Eastern Europe: Prefabricated Housing Supply & Demand
- Other Eastern Europe: Prefabricated Housing Demand by Type
- Africa/Mideast: Prefabricated Housing Supply & Demand
- Africa/Mideast: Prefabricated Housing Demand by Type
- Turkey: Prefabricated Housing Supply & Demand
- Turkey: Prefabricated Housing Demand by Type
- Israel: Prefabricated Housing Supply & Demand
- Israel: Prefabricated Housing Demand by Type
- South Africa: Prefabricated Housing Supply & Demand
- South Africa: Prefabricated Housing Demand by Type
- Other Africa/Mideast: Prefabricated Housing Supply & Demand
- Other Africa/Mideast: Prefabricated Housing Demand by Type
SECTION VIII -- INDUSTRY STRUCTURE
- World Prefabricated Housing Sales by Company, 2014
- Selected Acquisitions & Divestitures
- Selected Cooperative Agreements
LIST OF CHARTS
SECTION II -- MARKET ENVIRONMENT
- Relationship Between New Housing Units & Prefabricated Housing Demand, 2014
SECTION III -- OVERVIEW
- World Prefabricated Housing Demand by Region, 2014
SECTION VIII -- INDUSTRY STRUCTURE
- World Prefabricated Housing Market Share, 2014
