Chromatic Dispersion Compensation Filter Modules: Global Market Forecast 2015-2020
|出版日||ページ情報||英文 347 Pages
|波長分散補償器フィルターモジュールの世界市場：2015年〜2020年の予測 Chromatic Dispersion Compensation Filter Modules: Global Market Forecast 2015-2020|
|出版日: 2015年10月15日||ページ情報: 英文 347 Pages||
This report presents ElectroniCast's 2015-2020 market review and forecast of the consumption (value, quantity and average prices) of fiber optic chromatic dispersion compensators filter modules (DCMs) in optical communication networking; also market forecast data of the worldwide value of EDCs, DCF and DCMs is provided. Currently, the packaged filter devices (modules) are typically comprised having FBGs (Fiber Bragg Gratings) or etalon-based elements.
In this ElectroniCast market study report, we present forecasts and analysis for the following product areas:
The market data are segmented into the following geographic regions, plus a Global summary:
ElectroniCast Consultants, a leading market research & technology forecast consultancy addressing the fiber optics communications industry, announces the release of a new market forecast and analysis of the global market consumption and technology trends of filter-based chromatic dispersion compensator modules (DCMs), which are used in optical communication networks. Chromatic dispersion (CD) is due to an inherent property of silica optical fiber, which must be canceled for effective optical fiber communication.
Network planners are expecting to use the combination of improved fixed-type (plug-in, and in-line jumper-types) CD compensation and tunable per-channel compensators, especially when concerned with adding more channels (WDM), footprint size of the DCM and higher transfer rates, 2.5-, 10-, 40-Gbps and beyond. As optical networks move towards higher line rates and greater re-configurability, the requirements for more flexible dispersion management solutions become more stringent than ever.
There are three common device techniques to deal with chromatic dispersion in optical communication (fiber optic) networks-the use of dispersion-compensating fiber (DCF); the use of chromatic dispersion-compensating filter modules (DCMs); and electronic dispersion chips (EDCs) and photonic-based chips. Also, it is important to note that EDC can be used in conjunction with photonic-based solutions.
Fixed (static) compensation solutions are designed for specific fiber types in both the C- and L-Bands. Tunable dispersion compensation can eliminate any residual dispersion for error-free transmission at sensitive higher data rates.
Primary Research - This study is based on analysis of information obtained continually over the past several years, but updated through the end of October 2014. During this period, ElectroniCast analysts performed interviews with authoritative and representative individuals in the fiber optics industry plus telecommunications, datacom, and other communication industries, instrumentation/laboratory - R&D and factory/manufacturing, from the standpoint of both suppliers and users of fiber optic link products. The interviews were conducted principally with:
The interviews covered issues of technology, R&D support, pricing, contract size, reliability, documentation, installation/maintenance crafts, standards, supplier competition and other topics.
Customers also were interviewed, to obtain their estimates of quantities received and average prices paid, as a crosscheck of vendor estimates. Customer estimates of historical and expected near term future growth of their application are obtained. Their views of use of new technology products were obtained.
The analyst then considered customer expectations of near term growth in their application, plus forecasted economic payback of investment, technology trends and changes in government regulations in each geographical region, to derive estimated growth rates of quantity and price of each product subset in each application. These forecasted growth rates are combined with the estimated baseline data to obtain the long-range forecasts at the lowest detailed level of each product and application.
Secondary Research - A full review of published information was also performed to supplement information obtained through interviews. The following sources were reviewed:
In analyzing and forecasting the complexities of the market for passive optical components, it is essential that the market research team have a good and a deep understanding of the technology and of the industry. ElectroniCast members who participated in this report were qualified.
Bottom-up Methodology - ElectroniCast forecasts, as illustrated in the forecast data base structure are developed initially at the lowest detail level, then summed to successively higher levels. The background market research focuses on the amount of each type of product used in each application in the base year (last year), and the prices paid at the first transaction from the manufacturer. This forms the base year data.
ElectroniCast analysts then forecast the growth rates in component quantity use in each application, along with price trends, based on competitive, economic and technology forecast trends, and apply these to derive long term forecasts at the lowest application levels. The usage growth rate forecasts depend heavily on analysis of overall end user trends toward communication equipment usage and economic payback.
Cross-Correlation Increases Accuracy - The quantities of network switches, optical fiber/cable, connectors, transceivers, transport terminals, optical add/drop MUX, VCSELs, couplers/splitters, isolators, photonic switches and other products used in a particular application are interrelated. Since ElectroniCast conducts annual analysis and forecast updates in each fiber optic related product field, accurate current quantity estimates in each application are part of this corporate database. These quantities are cross-correlated as a "sanity check."
ElectroniCast, each year since 1985, has conducted extensive research and updated their forecasts of each fiber optic component category. As technology and applications have advanced, the number of component subsets covered by the forecasts has expanded impressively.