ハンドヘルド型OTDR (光時間領域反射率計) の世界市場：予測・分析 (2021年～2031年)
Handheld Optical Time Domain Reflectometer Global Market Forecast & Analysis 2021-2031
|ハンドヘルド型OTDR (光時間領域反射率計) の世界市場：予測・分析 (2021年～2031年)
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当レポートでは、世界のハンドヘルド型OTDR (光時間領域反射率計) の市場について分析し、全体的な市場規模の動向見通し (2021年～2031年) や、用途別・地域別の詳細動向、平均販売価格の推移と見通し、関連製品 (アドオンモジュールほか) の市場動向、主要企業のプロファイル・業績、新型コロナウイルス感染症 (COVID-19) の影響、といった情報を取りまとめてお届けいたします。
Optical Fiber Testing - An optical time-domain reflectometer (OTDR) is an optoelectronic instrument used to characterize an optical fiber. The optical-time domain reflectometer is considered at the core of fiber optic characterization.
This report provides our estimates and forecast of global consumption of hand-held OTDR fiber optic test units, associated supplemental (add-on) modules, and Multi-Test Platforms, which are initially used with OTDR add-on modules.
This report provides an analysis (review) and a 10-year forecast (2021-2031) of the worldwide market consumption segmented into the following geographic regions:
The ElectroniCast global market is segmented into the following major application categories:
The optical time-domain reflectometer (OTDR) is used as a troubleshooting device to find faults, splices, and bends in fiber optic cables, with an eye toward identifying light loss. Light loss is especially important in fiber optic cables because it can interfere with the transmission of data. An OTDR can detect such light loss and pinpoint trouble areas, facilitating the maintenance and repair process.
Last year, Telecommunications applications, led in relative market share of the worldwide consumption value of handheld OTDRs and multi-test units with initial OTDR use and add-on OTDR modules.
The fastest annual growth, however, is forecasted for the consumption of OTDRs in the Private Networks, due to the increase optical fiber deployment in LANs (local area networks), campus (LAN extension inter-building, LAN-to-LAN and redundant lines), and (very large) Data Centers (DCs), driven by critical high-speed data applications. Private networks require an OTDR solution to accommodate a single-mode or multimode application and test scenario from relatively short to longer distances. With the exception of Military, ElectroniCast counts the use of OTDRs by the Government sector in the Private Network category.
Cable TV operations, Military/Aerospace applications, as well as various specialty/other applications are also quantified in this report of the study. ElectroniCast defines the use of handheld OTDRs in Specialty applications, as units testing the deployment of Sensors, which are not used in the other applications). Specialty applications also include the use of OTDRs in used in Industrial, Laboratory, rental units, other applications and non-specific/miscellaneous.
This study is based on analysis of information obtained continually since 1994, but updated through mid-February 2022. During this period, ElectroniCast analysts performed interviews with authoritative and representative individuals in the fiber optics industry plus private networks, telecommunications, military/aerospace and other communication industries, instrumentation/ laboratory - R&D and factory/manufacturing, from the standpoint of both suppliers and users of fiber optic test units. The interviews were conducted principally with:
The interviews covered issues of technology, R&D support, pricing, contract size, reliability, documentation, installation/maintenance crafts, standards, supplier competition and other topics. Customers also were interviewed, to obtain their estimates of quantities received and average prices paid, as a crosscheck of vendor estimates. Customer estimates of historical and expected near term future growth of their application are obtained. Their views of use of new technology products were obtained.
The analyst then considered customer expectations of near-term growth in their application, plus forecasted economic payback of investment, technology trends and changes in government regulations in each geographical region, to derive estimated growth rates of quantity and price of each product subset in each application. These forecasted growth rates are combined with the estimated baseline data to obtain the long-range forecasts at the lowest detailed level of each product and application.
A full review of published information was also performed to supplement information obtained through interviews. The following sources were reviewed:
In analyzing and forecasting the complexities of the world region markets for fiber optic test and measurement products, it is essential that the market research team have a good and a deep understanding of the technology and of the industry. ElectroniCast members who participated in this report were qualified.
ElectroniCast forecasts are developed initially at the lowest detail level, and then summed to successively higher levels. The background market research focuses on the amount of each type of product used in each application in the base year (last year), and the prices paid at the first transaction from the manufacturer. This forms the base year data. ElectroniCast analysts then forecast the growth rates in component quantity use in each application, along with price trends, based on competitive, economic and technology forecast trends, and apply these to derive long term forecasts at the lowest application levels. The usage growth rate forecasts depend heavily on analysis of overall end user trends toward optical communication equipment usage and economic payback.
The quantities of fiber optic test equipment, fiber optic fusion splice devices/equipment, fiber cable, connectors, sensors, transceivers, transport terminals, optical add/drop MUX, photonic switches and other products used in a particular application are interrelated. Since ElectroniCast conducts annual analysis and forecast updates in each fiber optic related product field, accurate current quantity estimates in each application are part of this corporate database. These quantities are cross-correlated as a "sanity check."
ElectroniCast, each year since 1985, has conducted extensive research and updated our multiple-client forecasts of each fiber optic component category. As technology and applications have advanced, the number of component subsets covered by the forecasts has expanded impressively.
The coronavirus pandemic remains a major concern throughout the world. In some countries, many "non-essential" businesses are limited, employment is affected by "on and off again" quarantine or limited quarantine of the public. However, recently many governments have eased the quarantine status. Depending on political, economic, health and several other consideration factors, some restrictions could be extended several more months. Because of the impact on production, sales, shipment and implementation (and other) caused by the negative effects of the coronavirus (COVID-19) and the waves of multiple variants of the virus, ElectroniCast is forecasting a challenge to OTDR consumption in 2022.
ElectroniCast methodology in determining the downturn of the consumption (use) of OTDRs, begins with the volume (quantity) forecast, before any considerations of the coronavirus impact. Then, we evaluated current manufacturing (not only OTDRs, but selected relative components, products and services), inventory, distribution channels, shipping, logistics, sales/marketing channels, user restrictions, with the emphasis on actual possibility of installations for both essential and non-essential or selective implementation of the subjected applications or other. Other considerations include: financial/economy in general, employment (staffing) of all levels, such as technology research, design, implementation, production, marketing/sales, management, OEM capability and product/service demand, distributors, sales agents, customers (at all levels), and many other concerns were considered.