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石油ガス下流部門の設備資産保守:世界市場の予測 (2017-2021年)

World Downstream Maintenance Market Forecast 2017-2021

発行 Douglas-Westwood 商品コード 300802
出版日 ページ情報 英文 56 Pages
納期: 即日から翌営業日
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石油ガス下流部門の設備資産保守:世界市場の予測 (2017-2021年) World Downstream Maintenance Market Forecast 2017-2021
出版日: 2016年09月20日 ページ情報: 英文 56 Pages
概要

2017年から2021年にかけての世界の石油ガス下流部門における設備資産保守への総支出額は3360億ドルの規模に達すると予測されています。既存資産の老朽化とグリーンフィールド開発およびブラウンフィールド拡張プロジェクト双方による新規設備の導入が同市場の主な推進因子となっています。

当レポートでは、世界の石油ガス下流部門 (製油所・石油化学プラント・ガス処理施設・LNG施設) における設備資産保守の市場を調査し、下流部門の施設総数、エネルギー需要、石油の需給状況、下流部門の施設総数、政策および規制など市場への各種影響因子の分析、サービスライン・設備資産区分・地域別の支出額の推移と予測、競合環境、サプライチェーンの分析などをまとめています。

第1章 サマリー・総論

第2章 成長促進要因と指標

  • 人口・GDP・エネルギー需要
  • 黒 (石油)から緑 (再生エネルギー) への動き
  • 天然ガス
  • LNGとFLNG
  • エネルギーミックスの変化
  • 石油の需給状況
  • 石油価格の不安定性
  • 精製利益率
  • 下流部門の施設数
  • 製油所と石油化学施設の生産量
  • 製油所の動向と成長促進要因
  • 石油化学施設の動向と成長促進要因
  • ガス処理施設の動向と成長促進要因
  • LNG施設の動向と成長促進要因
  • 政策と規制

第3章 市場構造

  • 設備資産のライフサイクル
  • アセットサービス:定義
  • アセットインテグリティ:定義
  • サプライチェーン:欧州大陸
  • サプライチェーン:北米
  • サプライチェーン:中東

第4章 調査手法

第5章 アセットサービス市場の予測

  • 市場予測:サービスライン別
  • 市場予測:設備資産タイプ別
  • 市場予測:地域別

第6章 アセットインテグリティ市場の予測

  • 市場予測:サービスライン別
  • 市場予測:設備資産タイプ別
  • 市場予測:地域別

第7章 地域市場の概要

  • 概要
  • アフリカ
  • アジア
  • オーストラレーシア
  • 東欧・旧ソ連諸国
  • 南米
  • 中東
  • 北米
  • 西欧

第8章 付録

図表

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目次
Product Code: ISBN 978-1-910045-40-4

Leaner Downstream MMO Sector Sees Renewed Activity

The latest view from the downstream asset maintenance market paints a positive outlook for the sector. The industry is emerging from a period of aggressive cost pressure and is now seeing renewed activity. Lower margins are improving asset owner appetite; using downtime to perform downstream maintenance activity that may have been deferred previously.

The World Downstream Maintenance Market Forecast 2017-2021 combines a ‘bottom-up' (facility-by-facility) view of the sector with extensive industry interviews to give a granular and realistic appraisal of current and expected activity.

Between 2017 and 2021, global downstream asset maintenance spend is expected to total $336 billion (bn), an increase of 7% when compared to the previous five-year period. In 2016, expenditure will total $59bn for the world's global downstream asset population of approximately 14,000 facilities. Driving this spend is an ageing existing asset population and a number of new installations - both greenfield developments and brownfield expansion projects.

By sector, Asset Services accounts for the majority of expenditure, 72%, with Asset Integrity making up the remaining 28%. North America and Asia dominate global expenditure, with 34% and 28% of spend over the forecast period respectively.

The World Downstream Maintenance Market Forecast 2017-2021 analyses the demand for maintenance across eight key equipment and service lines within downstream asset services and downstream asset integrity services, and across four facility types: refineries, petrochemical plants, gas processing and LNG. The report includes:

  • Drivers & Indicators - in depth discussion of the factors encouraging asset maintenance expenditure including: E&P trends, oil & gas prices, analysis of the oil price downturn, downstream facility population, asset lifecycle, policies & regulation and trends & drivers detailed by refinery, petrochemical, gas processing and LNG.
  • Service Line Analysis - for downstream asset services and asset integrity services split out by service line, asset type and region with competitive landscape and detailed supply chain analysis.
  • Regional Analysis - expenditure by service line 2012-2021 with trend commentary for Africa, Asia, Australasia, Eastern Europe & FSU, Latin America, Middle East, North America and Western Europe.

Why purchase the Downstream Maintenance Market Forecast?

Douglas-Westwood's market forecasting is trusted by sector players worldwide, with clients including the world's top-10 oil & gas companies, top-10 oilfield services companies and top-10 private equity firms.

An essential report - for financial institutions, equipment manufacturers, operations & maintenance companies and contractors, oil & gas companies and government agencies & departments wanting to make more informed investment decisions.

Our proven approach includes:

  • Unique and proprietary data - updated year-round from published sources and insight gained from industry consultation.
  • Detailed Methodology - the report uses research from our own in-house downstream databases for refineries, petrochemicals, gas processing and LNG, an information system exclusive to DW, to form the basis of the models. Assumptions used to generate market demand are the result of our primary and secondary research. Demand-side analysis by service line provides a metric on which to establish future opportunities and provide a context for market share assessment.
  • Comprehensive Market forecasts - examination, analysis and 10-year coverage of expenditure.
  • Concise report layout - consistent with DW's commitment to delivering value for our clients, all our market forecasts have a concise layout consisting of industry background and supporting materials condensed to enable quick review with ‘speed-read' summaries of key points throughout.

Table of Contents

1. Summary and Conclusions

  • Summary
  • Conclusions

2. Drivers and Indicators

  • Population, GDP & Energy Demand
  • From Black to Green
  • Natural Gas
  • LNG & FLNG
  • Oil - Supply & Demand
  • Oil Price Volatility
  • Refining Margins
  • Downstream Facility Population
  • Refinery and Petrochemical Output
  • Refining Trends & Drivers
  • Petrochemical Trends & Drivers
  • Gas Processing Trends & Drivers
  • LNG Trends & Drivers
  • Politics and Regulation

3. Market Structure

  • Asset Lifecycle
  • Asset Services - Definitions
  • Asset Integrity - Definitions
  • Supply Chain - Continental Europe
  • Supply Chain - North America
  • Supply Chain - Middle East

4. Methodology

  • Methodology: Overview
  • Barriers & Limitations

5. Asset Services Market Forecast

  • Market Forecast: By Service Line
  • Market Forecast: by Asset Type
  • Market Forecast: By Region

6. Asset Integrity Market Forecast

  • Market Forecast: By Service Line
  • Market Forecast: By Asset Type
  • Market Forecast: By Region

7. Regional Summary

  • Regional Summary
  • Africa
  • Asia
  • Australasia
  • Eastern Europe & FSU
  • Latin America
  • Middle East
  • North America
  • Western Europe

8. Appendix

  • Top 20 Countries
  • Data and Text Conventions

List of Figures

  • Figure 1: Global Total Maintenance Expenditure 2012-2021
  • Figure 2: Global Population Growth & Energy Demand, 1965-2035
  • Figure 3: OECD and Non-OECD Energy Intensity, 1980-2015
  • Figure 4: The Changing Energy Mix 1965-2015
  • Figure 5: Levelised Cost of Energy ($/MWh) in 2022
  • Figure 6: Henry Hub Annual Average Spot Price Forecasts, 2010-2020
  • Figure 7: LNG Supply by Region (excludes FLNG), 1960-2021
  • Figure 8: FLNG Capex, 2010-2022
  • Figure 9: World Liquids Production Growth, 2005-2016
  • Figure 10: Onshore and Offshore Oil Supply Additions, 2014-2020
  • Figure 11: Historical Brent and WTI Oil Prices, January 2010-June 2016
  • Figure 12: Historic Brent Cracking Margins and Brent Oil Price (Jan 2008-Feb 2016)
  • Figure 13: Global Downstream Population 2012-2021
  • Figure 14: Global Downstream Population Market Share, 2017
  • Figure 15: US Refinery Yield 2015
  • Figure 16: Petrochemical Feedstocks and Outputs
  • Figure 17: Global Oil Refinery Utilisation
  • Figure 18: Refinery Capacity by Region 2012-2021
  • Figure 19: Global Petrochemical Price Index 2009-2015
  • Figure 20: Petrochemical Capacity by Region 2012-2021
  • Figure 21: Natural Gas Production Forecast 2006-2022
  • Figure 22: Gas Processing Capacity by Region 2012-2021
  • Figure 23: LNG Import and Export Capacity 2012-2021
  • Figure 24: LNG Export Capacity by Region 2012-2021
  • Figure 25: Asset Service Expenditure by Service Line 2012-2021
  • Figure 26: Asset Service Expenditure by Service Line 2012-2016 and 2017-2021
  • Figure 27: Asset Service Expenditure by Asset Type 2012-2021
  • Figure 28: Asset Service Expenditure by Asset Type 2012-2016 and 2017-2021
  • Figure 29: Asset Service Expenditure by Region 2012-2021
  • Figure 30: Asset Service Expenditure by Region 2012-2016 and 2017-2021
  • Figure 31: Asset Integrity Expenditure by Service Line 2012-2021
  • Figure 32: Asset Integrity Expenditure by Service Line 2012-2016 and 2017-2021
  • Figure 33: Asset Integrity Expenditure by Asset Type 2012-2021
  • Figure 34: Asset Integrity Expenditure by Asset Type 2009-2013 and2017-2021
  • Figure 35: Asset Integrity Expenditure by Region 2012-2021
  • Figure 36: Asset Integrity Expenditure by Asset Type 2009-2013 and2017-2021
  • Figure 37: Global Maintenance Expenditure 2012-2021
  • Figure 38: Maintenance Expenditure in Africa 2012-2021
  • Figure 39: Maintenance Expenditure in Asia 2012-2021
  • Figure 40: Maintenance Expenditure in Australasia 2012-2021
  • Figure 41: Maintenance Expenditure in EE & FSU 2012-2021
  • Figure 42: Maintenance Expenditure in Latin America 2012-2021
  • Figure 43: Maintenance Expenditure in Middle East 2012-2021
  • Figure 44: Maintenance Expenditure in North America 2012-2021
  • Figure 45: Maintenance Expenditure in Western Europe 2012-2021

List of Tables

  • Table 1: Energy Demand Growth 2000-2015
  • Table 2: Asset Service Expenditure by Service Line 2016-2021
  • Table 3: Asset Service Expenditure by Asset Type 2016-2021
  • Table 4: Asset Service Expenditure by Asset Type 2016-2021
  • Table 5: Asset Integrity Expenditure by Service Line 2016-2021
  • Table 6: Asset Integrity Expenditure by Asset Type 2016-2021
  • Table 7: Asset Integrity Expenditure by Region 2016-2021
  • Table 8: Global Maintenance Expenditure 2016-2021
  • Table 9: Global Maintenance Expenditure by Asset Type & Service Line 2017-2021
  • Table 10: Maintenance Expenditure in Africa by Service Line 2016-2021
  • Table 11: Maintenance Expenditure in Africa by Asset Type 2016-2021
  • Table 12: Maintenance Expenditure in Asia by Service Line 2016-2021
  • Table 13: Maintenance Expenditure in Asia by Asset Type 2016-2021
  • Table 14: Maintenance Expenditure in Australasia by Service Line 2016-2021
  • Table 15: Maintenance Expenditure in Australasia by Asset Type 2016-2021
  • Table 16: Maintenance Expenditure in EE & FSU by Service Line 2016-2021
  • Table 17: Maintenance Expenditure in EE & FSU by Asset Type 2016-2021
  • Table 18: Maintenance Expenditure in Latin America by Service Line 2016-2021
  • Table 19: Maintenance Expenditure in Latin America by Asset Type 2016-2021
  • Table 20: Maintenance Expenditure in Middle East by Service Line 2016-2021
  • Table 21: Maintenance Expenditure in Middle East by Asset Type 2016-2021
  • Table 22: Maintenance Expenditure in North America by Service Line 2016-2021
  • Table 23: Maintenance Expenditure in North America by Asset Type 2016-2021
  • Table 24: Maintenance Expenditure in Western Europe by Service Line 2016-2021
  • Table 25: Maintenance Expenditure in Western Europe by Asset Type 2016-2021
  • Table 26: Top 20 Countries - Refining Maintenance Expenditure 2017 & 2021
  • Table 27: Top 20 Countries - Petrochemical Maintenance Expenditure 2017 & 2021
  • Table 28: Top 20 Countries - Gas Processing Expenditure 2017 & 2021
  • Table 29: Top 20 Countries - LNG Expenditure 2017 & 2021
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