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世界における石油・ガス掘削および生産市場の予測

World Drilling and Production Market Forecast 2018-2024 Q3

発行 Douglas-Westwood 商品コード 296687
出版日 ページ情報 英文 107 Pages
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世界における石油・ガス掘削および生産市場の予測 World Drilling and Production Market Forecast 2018-2024 Q3
出版日: 2018年08月02日 ページ情報: 英文 107 Pages
概要

当レポートは、世界各地域の主要国の陸上および洋上における石油やガスの掘削と生産活動に焦点を絞り込み、過去、現在、未来の動き、各国の詳細な状況や世界市場全体の動きを明らかにするとともに、将来の予測を示したもので、四半期ごとに更新される年間契約型情報サービスのオプションも用意しております。

第1章 世界における掘削と生産

  • 主要テーマ
  • 主要15油田
  • 不安定な原油供給
  • 調査手法
  • 世界における生産と掘削
  • 世界における石油・ガスの生産
  • 陸上での生産と掘削
  • 陸上での生産と掘削:石油
  • 陸上での生産と掘削:ガス
  • 洋上での生産と掘削
  • 洋上での生産と掘削:浅海
  • 洋上での生産と掘削:深海

第2章 アフリカ

  • アフリカの概況
  • アルジェリア
  • チャド
  • エジプト
  • 赤道ギニア
  • ガボン
  • ガーナ
  • リビア
  • モーリタニア
  • モザンビーク
  • ナイジェリア
  • コンゴ共和国
  • スーダン・南スーダン
  • タンザニア
  • ウガンダ

第3章 アジア

  • アジアの概況
  • バングラデシュ
  • ブルネイ
  • カンボジア
  • 中国
  • インド
  • インドネシア
  • マレーシア
  • ミャンマー
  • パキスタン
  • タイ
  • ベトナム

第4章 オーストラレーシア

  • オーストラレーシアの概況
  • オーストラリア
  • ニュージーランド
  • パプアニューギニア

第5章 東欧と旧ソ連諸国

  • 東欧と旧ソ連諸国の概況
  • アゼルバイジャン
  • カザフスタン
  • ポーランド
  • ルーマニア
  • ロシア
  • トルクメニスタン
  • ウクライナ
  • ウズベキスタン

第6章 ラテンアメリカ

  • ラテンアメリカの概況
  • アルゼンチン
  • ボリビア
  • ブラジル
  • コロンビア
  • エクアドル
  • フォークランド諸島
  • ガイアナ
  • メキシコ
  • ペルー
  • トリニダード・トバゴ
  • ベネズエラ

第7章 中東

  • 中東の概況
  • バーレーン
  • イラン
  • イラク
  • イスラエル
  • クウェート
  • オマーン
  • カタール
  • サウジアラビア
  • シリア
  • トルコ
  • アラブ首長国連邦 (UAE)
  • イエメン

第8章 北米

  • 北米の概況
  • カナダ
  • 米国

第9章 西欧

  • 西欧の概況
  • アルバニア
  • デンマーク
  • ドイツ
  • アイルランド
  • イタリア
  • オランダ
  • ノルウェー
  • 英国

第10章 付録

目次
Product Code: ISBN 978-1-910045-63-3

Based on detailed models, the report examines each country in turn and includes a summary of hydrocarbon potential and sensitised production outlook, with associated development drilling requirements segmented into oil & gas for the onshore sector and shallow vs. deep water depths for the offshore sector. Country-by-country exploration and appraisal (E&A) drilling forecasts for both the onshore and offshore sectors are also detailed.

World Drilling & Production - Geo-Political Risk to Hamper Market Stability

OPEC oil production fell by 420 kbbl/d from January to May 2018 as continued political disruption in Venezuela and decline in Angolan oilfields resulted in significant output losses. The result of this disruption led to months of uncertainty for global supply, and subsequently oil prices. This uncertainty has been exacerbated by the expected re-introduction of US sanctions on Iran from November 2018. In response, OPEC, at the June 2018 meeting, pledged to return to group-wide compliance of 100% by ramping up output in Saudi Arabia and several other member nations. As a result of OPEC's production increase, Venezuelan, Angolan, and Iranian losses will be partially offset. However, OPEC's 2018 production will still decline by 481 kbbl/d from 2017.

US drilling activity increased sharply in 1H 2018, leading to record oil production in June 2018. However, pipeline capacity bottlenecks in the Permian basin are expected to limit growth for the remainder of 2018 and 2019, causing operators to exploit other US basins.

Key Conclusions:

  • Geopolitical issues have, and will, continue to destabilise the market, leading to significant supply shortages in Venezuela and Iran.
  • Other OPEC nations will ramp up production in 2019 - Westwood expects notable additions of 434 kbbl/d, 462 kbbl/d, and 241 kbbl/d from Saudi Arabia, Iraq, and Kuwait, respectively.
  • Through 1H 2018, US onshore liquids production exceeded projections. Growth is expected to continue in 2H 2018, but will be limited through to 2019 by Permian bottlenecks.
  • US activity will account for 40% of global onshore development wells drilled over 2018-2024.
  • Deepwater drilling activity will diversify, moving away from the ‘Golden Triangle' as investment is focussed on Australia, East Africa, and the Mediterranean.
  • Brazil will continue to dominate deepwater production, accounting for an average of 35% of the global deepwater production over the forecast.
  • Gas will increase its role in global energy market, with gas-targeted drilling growth expected to push gas production to 79.5 mmboe/d by 2024.

The Q3 edition of Westwood's ‘World Drilling & Production Market Forecast' highlights the impact that geopolitical problems have had on global oil supply. Despite OPEC's best efforts to stabilise oil prices, US sanctions and other political issues will see nearly 1 mmbbl/d of production losses across Venezuela, Iran, and others in both 2018 and 2019.

These losses, however, will be more than offset by significant growth in production elsewhere. Onshore activity in the US has increased markedly through the first half of 2018, with the majority of the expected 1.3 mmbbl/d 2018 liquids production additions having already been seen. However, bottlenecks in the Permian basin will result in a slowing of growth through the next 18 months. Several OPEC nations, including Iraq, Saudi Arabia, and Kuwait, will also see significant additions of nearly 2 mmbbl/d in 2019, following 905 kbbl/d in the second half of 2018. Additional non-OPEC production will push global liquids supply to 93.8 mmbbl/d in 2019; an increment of 2.3 mmbbl/d on 2018, largely from the US and Russia.

In the longer-term, further gains will come from new deepwater plays away from the traditional ‘Golden-Triangle', such as ExxonMobil's Stabroek block offshore Guyana. As a result, Westwood expects oil production to rally to 97.6 mmbbl/d in 2023.

Other key findings of the report include the increased role that gas will play in the global energy market. Gas-targeted drilling will grow significantly, causing global gas production to reach 79.5 mmboe/d in 2024, from just 72.1 mmboe/d in 2018. This is driven by shifts in operator focus and large recent gas discoveries being developed, with particularly strong growth forecast in Australia, East Africa, and the Mediterranean.

This report includes data and analysis for more than 70 of the most important energy producing countries, including detailed drilling and production data for each country covering the period 2008-2024.

Table of Contents

1. Global Drilling & Production

  • Key Themes
  • Key Themes
  • Top 15 Oil and Gas Fields
  • Global Drilling & Production
  • Global Production: Oil & Gas
  • Onshore Production and Drilling
  • Onshore Production and Drilling: Oil
  • Onshore Production and Drilling: Gas
  • Offshore Production and Drilling
  • Offshore Production and Drilling: Shallow Water
  • Offshore Production and Drilling: Deepwater

2. Africa

  • Africa Overview
  • Algeria
  • Chad
  • Egypt
  • Equatorial Guinea
  • Gabon
  • Ghana
  • Libya
  • Mauritania
  • Mozambique
  • Nigeria
  • Republic of Congo
  • Sudan and South Sudan
  • Tanzania
  • Uganda

3. Asia

  • Asia Overview
  • Bangladesh
  • Brunei
  • Cambodia
  • China
  • India
  • Indonesia
  • Malaysia
  • Myanmar
  • Pakistan
  • Thailand
  • Vietnam

4. Australasia

  • Australasia Overview
  • Australia
  • New Zealand
  • Papua New Guinea

5. Eastern Europe & FSU

  • Eastern Europe & FSU Overview
  • Azerbaijan
  • Kazakhstan
  • Poland
  • Romania
  • Russia
  • Turkmenistan
  • Ukraine
  • Uzbekistan

6. Latin America

  • Latin America Overview
  • Argentina
  • Bolivia
  • Brazil
  • Colombia
  • Ecuador
  • Falkland Islands
  • Guyana
  • Mexico
  • Peru
  • Trinidad and Tobago
  • Venezuela

7. Middle East

  • Middle East Overview
  • Bahrain
  • Iran
  • Iraq
  • Israel
  • Kuwait
  • Oman
  • Qatar
  • Saudi Arabia
  • Syria
  • Turkey
  • United Arab Emirates
  • Yemen

8. North America

  • North America Overview
  • Canada
  • USA

9. Western Europe

  • Western Europe Overview
  • Albania
  • Denmark
  • Germany
  • Ireland
  • Italy
  • Netherlands
  • Norway
  • United Kingdom

10. Appendix

  • Barriers and Limitations

Figures

  • Figure 1: Effect of Oil Supply and Demand Changes on Oil Market Balance 2015-2022
  • Figure 2: Oil Supply Changes 2017-2019
  • Figure 3: Oil production change by region
  • Figure 4: Year-on-year growth for global oil and gas production
  • Figure 5: Global Hydrocarbon Production by Region
  • Figure 6: Global Development Wels Drilled by Region
  • Figure 7: Global Oil Production by Region
  • Figure 8: Global Gas Production by Region
  • Figure 9: Onshore Hydrocarbon Production by Region
  • Figure 10: Onshore Development Wells Drilled by Region
  • Figure 11: Onshore Oil Production by Region
  • Figure 12: Onshore Oil Development Wells Drilled by Region
  • Figure 13: Onshore Gas Production by Region
  • Figure 14: Onshore Gas Development Wells Drilled by Region
  • Figure 15: Offshore Hydrocarbon Production by Region
  • Figure 16: Offshore Development Wells Drilled by Region
  • Figure 17: Shallow Water Hydrocarbon Production by Region
  • Figure 18: Shallow Water Development Wells Drilled by Region
  • Figure 19: Deepwater Hydrocarbon Production by Region
  • Figure 20: Deepwater Development Wells Drilled by Region
  • Figure 21: Africa Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 22: Africa Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 23: Algeria Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 24: Angola Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 25: Angola Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 26: Chad Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 27: Egypt Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 28: Egypt Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 29: Equatorial Guinea Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 30: Gabon Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 31: Gabon Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 32: Ghana Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 33: Libya Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 34: Libya Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 35: Mauritania Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 36: Mozambique Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 37: Mozambique Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 38: Nigeria Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 39: Nigeria Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 40: Republic of Congo Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 41: Republic of Congo Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 42: Sudan and South Sudan Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 43: Tanzania Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 44: Tanzania Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 45: Uganda Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 46: Asia Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 47: Asia Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 48: Bangladesh Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 49: Bangladesh Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 50: Brunei Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 51: Brunei Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 52: Cambodia Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 53: China Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 54: China Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 55: India Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 56: India Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 57: Indonesia Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 58: Indonesia Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 59: Malaysia Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 60: Myanmar Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 61: Myanmar Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 62: Pakistan Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 63: Thailand Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 64: Thailand Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 65: Vietnam Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 66: Australasia Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 67: Australasia Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 68: Australia Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 69: Australia Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 70: New Zealand Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 71: New Zealand Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 72: Papua New Guinea Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 73: Papua New Guinea Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 74: Eastern Europe & FSU Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 75: Eastern Europe & FSU Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 76: Azerbaijan Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 77: Azerbaijan Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 78: Kazakhstan Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 79: Kazakhstan Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 80: Poland Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 81: Poland Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 82: Romania Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 83: Romania Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 84: Russia Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 85: Russia Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 86: Turkmenistan Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 87: Turkmenistan Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 88: Ukraine Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 89: Ukraine Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 90: Uzbekistan Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 91: Latin America Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 92: Latin America Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 93: Argentina Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 94: Argentina Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 95: Bolivia Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 96: Brazil Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 97: Brazil Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 98: Colombia Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 99: Colombia Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 100: Ecuador Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 101: Ecuador Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 102: Falkland Islands Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 103: Guyana Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 104: Mexico Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 105: Mexico Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 106: Peru Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 107: Peru Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 108: Trinidad and Tobago Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 109: Trinidad and Tobago Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 110: Venezuela Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 111: Venezuela Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 112: Middle East Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 113: Middle East Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 114: Bahrain Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 115: Iran Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 116: Iran Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 117: Iraq Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 118: Israel Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 119: Israel Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 120: Kuwait Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 121: Kuwait Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 122: Oman Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 123: Oman Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 124: Qatar Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 125: Qatar Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 126: Saudi Arabia Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 127: Saudi Arabia Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 128: Syria Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 129: Turkey Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 130: Turkey Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 131: UAE Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 132: UAE Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 133: Yemen Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 134: North America Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 135: North America Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 136: Canada Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 137: Canada Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 138: USA Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 139: USA Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 140: Western Europe Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 141: Western Europe Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 142: Albania Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 143: Denmark Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 144: Germany Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 145: Germany Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 146: Ireland Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 147: Italy Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 148: Italy Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 149: Netherlands Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 150: Netherlands Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 151: Norway Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 152: United Kingdom Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 153: United Kingdom Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
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