無料レポート プレゼントキャンペーン 実施中 : メールサービスに新規登録いただいた方にご用意した無料レポートをご提供

株式会社グローバルインフォメーション
TEL: 044-952-0102
表紙
市場調査レポート

世界における石油・ガス掘削および生産市場の予測

World Drilling and Production Market Forecast 2018-2024 Q4

発行 Douglas-Westwood 商品コード 296687
出版日 ページ情報 英文 107 Pages
納期: 即日から翌営業日
価格
本日の銀行送金レート: 1GBP=146.05円で換算しております。

ご注意: DRM (デジタル著作権管理システム) 付PDFになります。制限内容はお問合せください。
Hard Copyにつきましては、航空便送料80ドルが別途かかります。

Back to Top
世界における石油・ガス掘削および生産市場の予測 World Drilling and Production Market Forecast 2018-2024 Q4
出版日: 2018年10月31日 ページ情報: 英文 107 Pages
概要

当レポートは、世界各地域の主要国の陸上および洋上における石油やガスの掘削と生産活動に焦点を絞り込み、過去、現在、未来の動き、各国の詳細な状況や世界市場全体の動きを明らかにするとともに、将来の予測を示したもので、四半期ごとに更新される年間契約型情報サービスのオプションも用意しております。

第1章 世界における掘削と生産

  • 主要テーマ
  • 主要15油田
  • 不安定な原油供給
  • 調査手法
  • 世界における生産と掘削
  • 世界における石油・ガスの生産
  • 陸上での生産と掘削
  • 陸上での生産と掘削:石油
  • 陸上での生産と掘削:ガス
  • 洋上での生産と掘削
  • 洋上での生産と掘削:浅海
  • 洋上での生産と掘削:深海

第2章 アフリカ

  • アフリカの概況
  • アルジェリア
  • チャド
  • エジプト
  • 赤道ギニア
  • ガボン
  • ガーナ
  • リビア
  • モーリタニア
  • モザンビーク
  • ナイジェリア
  • コンゴ共和国
  • スーダン・南スーダン
  • タンザニア
  • ウガンダ

第3章 アジア

  • アジアの概況
  • バングラデシュ
  • ブルネイ
  • カンボジア
  • 中国
  • インド
  • インドネシア
  • マレーシア
  • ミャンマー
  • パキスタン
  • タイ
  • ベトナム

第4章 オーストラレーシア

  • オーストラレーシアの概況
  • オーストラリア
  • ニュージーランド
  • パプアニューギニア

第5章 東欧と旧ソ連諸国

  • 東欧と旧ソ連諸国の概況
  • アゼルバイジャン
  • カザフスタン
  • ポーランド
  • ルーマニア
  • ロシア
  • トルクメニスタン
  • ウクライナ
  • ウズベキスタン

第6章 ラテンアメリカ

  • ラテンアメリカの概況
  • アルゼンチン
  • ボリビア
  • ブラジル
  • コロンビア
  • エクアドル
  • フォークランド諸島
  • ガイアナ
  • メキシコ
  • ペルー
  • トリニダード・トバゴ
  • ベネズエラ

第7章 中東

  • 中東の概況
  • バーレーン
  • イラン
  • イラク
  • イスラエル
  • クウェート
  • オマーン
  • カタール
  • サウジアラビア
  • シリア
  • トルコ
  • アラブ首長国連邦 (UAE)
  • イエメン

第8章 北米

  • 北米の概況
  • カナダ
  • 米国

第9章 西欧

  • 西欧の概況
  • アルバニア
  • デンマーク
  • ドイツ
  • アイルランド
  • イタリア
  • オランダ
  • ノルウェー
  • 英国

第10章 付録

目次
Product Code: ISBN 978-1-910045-63-3

Based on detailed models, the report examines each country in turn and includes a summary of hydrocarbon potential and sensitised production outlook, with associated development drilling requirements segmented into oil & gas for the onshore sector and shallow vs. deep water depths for the offshore sector. Country-by-country exploration and appraisal (E&A) drilling forecasts for both the onshore and offshore sectors are also detailed.

World Drilling and Production Market Forecast - Strong Oil Growth to Continue but Several Countries Will Fail to Live up to Potential

Throughout 2018, the oil and gas market has continued to evolve, with a series of unforeseen events driving prices higher and leading those able to produce more to do just that. This was highlighted in June, when OPEC made a concerted effort to try and increase production to their originally agreed quotas, and was further highlighted in September, when the resurgence in US oil production saw it surpass that of Russia and Saudi Arabia. Out to 2024, Westwood's latest ‘World Drilling and Production Market Forecast’ paints a mixed picture for the future of the upstream O&G industry.

Key Conclusions Include:

  • Overall liquids production will experience strong growth, 5.2 mmbbl/d higher in 2024 than 2018.
  • US activity will account for 41% of global onshore development wells drilled over 2018-2024.
  • US onshore liquids production exceeded early projections, with an average 1.3 mmbbl/d of additional production for 2018 expected, with and an additional 0.8 mmbbl/d likely in 2019.
  • Production in >500m of water accounted for 18% of total offshore production in 2018, growing to 23% in 2024.
  • Deepwater drilling will continue to diversity, with non- ‘Golden Triangle' wells drilled increasing from 20% in 2018 to 35% by 2024.
  • Brazil will continue to dominate deepwater production, accounting for an average of 41% of the global deepwater oil production over the forecast.
  • Onshore drilling activity remains strong in many regions, with over 366,000 onshore development wells to be drilled globally over the forecast period.

With the end of the OPEC production quota seemingly in sight, several Middle Eastern producers, including Saudi Arabia, are expected to produce at record levels going forward. Combined with continued output increases in the US, as well as a range of additions from long-in-gestation deepwater projects, Westwood expects to see liquids production increase 1.8 mmbbl/d in 2019 (the same as 2018) to a global total of 93.3 mmbbl/d. Beyond this, production will continue to increase, albeit at much slower rates, reaching a peak of 96.8 mmbbl/d in 2023 before falling marginally to 96.6 mmbbl/d, based on currently visible projects and reserves.

These additions for 2018-2019 are significantly lower than Westwood has forecasted in previous Q4 reports, which have often predicted a sharp return to chronic oversupply and a deterioration in macro fundamentals. Instead, political and economic issues have resulted in a vast downgrade in production outlooks for several producers throughout the course of 2018. In Venezuela, production fell to 1.2 mmbbl/d in September - 0.8 mmbbl/d lower than January 2017. The economic issues which have blighted the Latin American producer are not expected to be alleviated any time soon, with Westwood now expecting output to decline to 0.6 mmbbl/d by 2024.

Similarly, Iran's production has plummeted by 0.3 mmbbl/d in two months and a further fall is expected following the full imposition of US sanctions in November this year, which will severely restrict the country's export market. Meanwhile, Nigeria has seen several major deepwater projects continually pushed back due to political and budgetary concerns. The Nigerian Petroleum Industry Bill is still well off being put into law, with FIDs unlikely to be taken until the long-discussed legislative framework is agreed. Other countries, including Angola and Mexico, have also seen output decline far beyond expectations in 2018, with little signs of improvement over the forecast.

Based on a consensus of strong demand growth over the forecast, production growth beyond the near-term looks set to be insufficient to meet demand, leading to undersupply for the remainder of the forecast. However, this outlook is assuming that the outages and economic/political issues remain in place for the countries discussed prior. With a new Mexican president promising to restore Pemex to its former glory, a 2019 election in Nigeria and uncertainty over how long the Iranian sanctions will last, the potential for large increases in production to fill the global shortfalls remains very real - particularly further into the 2020s.

Other key findings of the report include the continued growth of natural gas production. A slew of new LNG projects, including LNG Canada and the North Field Expansion progressed towards sanctioning in the last three months, boosting outlooks in Canada and Qatar respectively. Over the forecast period, gas targeted drilling will grow significantly, causing global gas production to reach almost 80 mmboe/d in 2024, from just over 71 mmboe/d in 2018. This is driven by shifts in operator and government focus, as well as recent gas discoveries, with particularly strong growth expected in Australia, East Africa and the Mediterranean.

This report, includes data and analysis for more than 70 of the most important energy producing countries, including detailed drilling and production data for each country covering the period 2008-2024.

Table of Contents

1. Global Drilling & Production

  • Key Themes
  • Key Themes
  • Top 15 Oil and Gas Fields
  • Global Drilling & Production
  • Global Production: Oil & Gas
  • Onshore Production and Drilling
  • Onshore Production and Drilling: Oil
  • Onshore Production and Drilling: Gas
  • Offshore Production and Drilling
  • Offshore Production and Drilling: Shallow Water
  • Offshore Production and Drilling: Deepwater

2. Africa

  • Africa Overview
  • Algeria
  • Chad
  • Egypt
  • Equatorial Guinea
  • Gabon
  • Ghana
  • Libya
  • Mauritania
  • Mozambique
  • Nigeria
  • Republic of Congo
  • Sudan and South Sudan
  • Tanzania
  • Uganda

3. Asia

  • Asia Overview
  • Bangladesh
  • Brunei
  • Cambodia
  • China
  • India
  • Indonesia
  • Malaysia
  • Myanmar
  • Pakistan
  • Thailand
  • Vietnam

4. Australasia

  • Australasia Overview
  • Australia
  • New Zealand
  • Papua New Guinea

5. Eastern Europe & FSU

  • Eastern Europe & FSU Overview
  • Azerbaijan
  • Kazakhstan
  • Poland
  • Romania
  • Russia
  • Turkmenistan
  • Ukraine
  • Uzbekistan

6. Latin America

  • Latin America Overview
  • Argentina
  • Bolivia
  • Brazil
  • Colombia
  • Ecuador
  • Falkland Islands
  • Guyana
  • Mexico
  • Peru
  • Trinidad and Tobago
  • Venezuela

7. Middle East

  • Middle East Overview
  • Bahrain
  • Iran
  • Iraq
  • Israel
  • Kuwait
  • Oman
  • Qatar
  • Saudi Arabia
  • Syria
  • Turkey
  • United Arab Emirates
  • Yemen

8. North America

  • North America Overview
  • Canada
  • USA

9. Western Europe

  • Western Europe Overview
  • Albania
  • Denmark
  • Germany
  • Ireland
  • Italy
  • Netherlands
  • Norway
  • United Kingdom

10. Appendix

  • Barriers and Limitations

List of Figures

  • Figure 1: Effect of Oil Supply and Demand Changes on Oil Market Balance 2015-2022
  • Figure 2: Oil Supply Changes 2017-2019
  • Figure 3: Oil production change by region
  • Figure 4: Year-on-year growth for global oil and gas production
  • Figure 5: Global Hydrocarbon Production by Region
  • Figure 6: Global Development Wels Drilled by Region
  • Figure 7: Global Oil Production by Region
  • Figure 8: Global Gas Production by Region
  • Figure 9: Onshore Hydrocarbon Production by Region
  • Figure 10: Onshore Development Wells Drilled by Region
  • Figure 11: Onshore Oil Production by Region
  • Figure 12: Onshore Oil Development Wells Drilled by Region
  • Figure 13: Onshore Gas Production by Region
  • Figure 14: Onshore Gas Development Wells Drilled by Region
  • Figure 15: Offshore Hydrocarbon Production by Region
  • Figure 16: Offshore Development Wells Drilled by Region
  • Figure 17: Shallow Water Hydrocarbon Production by Region
  • Figure 18: Shallow Water Development Wells Drilled by Region
  • Figure 19: Deepwater Hydrocarbon Production by Region
  • Figure 20: Deepwater Development Wells Drilled by Region
  • Figure 21: Africa Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 22: Africa Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 23: Algeria Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 24: Angola Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 25: Angola Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 26: Chad Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 27: Egypt Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 28: Egypt Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 29: Equatorial Guinea Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 30: Gabon Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 31: Gabon Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 32: Ghana Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 33: Libya Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 34: Libya Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 35: Mauritania Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 36: Mozambique Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 37: Mozambique Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 38: Nigeria Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 39: Nigeria Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 40: Republic of Congo Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 41: Republic of Congo Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 42: Sudan and South Sudan Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 43: Tanzania Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 44: Tanzania Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 45: Uganda Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 46: Asia Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 47: Asia Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 48: Bangladesh Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 49: Bangladesh Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 50: Brunei Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 51: Brunei Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 52: Cambodia Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 53: China Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 54: China Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 55: India Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 56: India Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 57: Indonesia Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 58: Indonesia Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 59: Malaysia Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 60: Myanmar Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 61: Myanmar Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 62: Pakistan Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 63: Thailand Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 64: Thailand Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 65: Vietnam Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 66: Australasia Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 67: Australasia Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 68: Australia Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 69: Australia Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 70: New Zealand Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 71: New Zealand Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 72: Papua New Guinea Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 73: Papua New Guinea Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 74: Eastern Europe & FSU Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 75: Eastern Europe & FSU Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 76: Azerbaijan Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 77: Azerbaijan Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 78: Kazakhstan Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 79: Kazakhstan Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 80: Poland Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 81: Poland Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 82: Romania Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 83: Romania Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 84: Russia Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 85: Russia Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 86: Turkmenistan Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 87: Turkmenistan Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 88: Ukraine Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 89: Ukraine Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 90: Uzbekistan Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 91: Latin America Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 92: Latin America Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 93: Argentina Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 94: Argentina Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 95: Bolivia Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 96: Brazil Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 97: Brazil Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 98: Colombia Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 99: Colombia Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 100: Ecuador Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 101: Ecuador Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 102: Falkland Islands Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 103: Guyana Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 104: Mexico Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 105: Mexico Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 106: Peru Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 107: Peru Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 108: Trinidad and Tobago Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 109: Trinidad and Tobago Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 110: Venezuela Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 111: Venezuela Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 112: Middle East Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 113: Middle East Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 114: Bahrain Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 115: Iran Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 116: Iran Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 117: Iraq Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 118: Israel Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 119: Israel Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 120: Kuwait Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 121: Kuwait Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 122: Oman Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 123: Oman Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 124: Qatar Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 125: Qatar Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 126: Saudi Arabia Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 127: Saudi Arabia Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 128: Syria Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 129: Turkey Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 130: Turkey Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 131: UAE Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 132: UAE Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 133: Yemen Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 134: North America Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 135: North America Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 136: Canada Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 137: Canada Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 138: USA Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 139: USA Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 140: Western Europe Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 141: Western Europe Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 142: Albania Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 143: Denmark Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 144: Germany Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 145: Germany Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 146: Ireland Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 147: Italy Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 148: Italy Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 149: Netherlands Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 150: Netherlands Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 151: Norway Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 152: United Kingdom Onshore Wells Drilled and Production
  • Figure 153: United Kingdom Offshore Wells Drilled and Production
Back to Top