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市場調査レポート

世界の陸上掘削リグ市場:市場予測

World Land Drilling Rig Market Forecast 2017-2021

発行 Douglas-Westwood 商品コード 244573
出版日 ページ情報 英文 105 Pages
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世界の陸上掘削リグ市場:市場予測 World Land Drilling Rig Market Forecast 2017-2021
出版日: 2017年05月22日 ページ情報: 英文 105 Pages
概要

当レポートでは、世界および主要地域の陸上掘削リグ市場の現状と見通しについて調査分析し、市場背景と市場影響因子の分析、主要35ヶ国の石油・ガス生産の動向、掘削鉱井と稼働中の掘削リグ、コントラクターおよびタイプ別の市場シェア推計、競合環境、主要製造業者のランキングなどをまとめてお届けいたします。

第1章 サマリー・総論

  • サマリー
  • 総論

第2章 推進因子・阻害因子

  • 市場成長推進因子
  • エネルギー需要
  • 探鉱・製造
  • 石油・ガス価格
  • 石油・ガス価格感度
  • 掘削・複雑性・非従来型E&D
  • 北米の進化したランドフリート
  • 政治的考察:中東・北アフリカ(MENA)
  • 政治的考察:現地調達率と汚職

第3章 製造

  • 概要:ランドリグの主要要素
  • サプライチェーンと販売プロセス
  • 重要な要素:製造業者
  • リグ装置:OEM製造業者ランキング
  • 市場成長促進上位業者
  • リグ装置動向:トップドライブシステムおよびロータリー可変翼システム
  • リグ装置動向:オートメーションおよびAC電源
  • リグ装置動向:パッド掘削および移動リグ
  • ランドリグの追加予測

第4章 調査手法

  • リグのデータ、分析、前提条件
  • 掘削および産出予測:調査手法
  • 掘削およびリグカウント
  • 国別分析:定義
  • 国別分析:主要メトリクス

第5章 世界分析

  • 世界の展望
  • 地域の掘削リグ
  • 世界の掘削リグ:主な掘削リグ

第6章 アジア

  • リグの需要と供給
  • 主なリグ(競合環境)
  • オーストラリア
  • 中国
  • インド
  • インドネシア
  • パキスタン
  • タイ

第7章 東欧・旧ソ連邦

  • リグの需要と供給
  • 主なリグ(競合環境)
  • アゼルバイジャン
  • カザフスタン
  • ポーランド
  • ルーマニア
  • ロシア

第8章 ラテンアメリカ

  • リグの需要と供給
  • 主なリグ(競合環境)
  • アルゼンチン
  • ブラジル
  • コロンビア
  • エクアドル
  • メキシコ
  • ペルー
  • ベネズエラ

第9章 中東・北アフリカ

  • リグの需要と供給
  • 主なリグ(競合環境)
  • アルジェリア
  • エジプト
  • イラン
  • イラク
  • クウェート
  • リビア
  • オマーン
  • サウジアラビア
  • シリア
  • トルコ
  • イエメン

第10章 北米

  • リグの需要と供給
  • 主なリグ(競合環境)
  • カナダ
  • 米国

第11章 サハラ以南のアフリカ

  • リグの需要と供給
  • 主なリグ(競合環境)
  • ガボン
  • ナイジェリア
  • スーダン/南スーダン

第12章 西欧

  • リグの需要と供給
  • 主なリグ(競合環境)

第13章 付録

図表

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目次

The report is essential reading for companies wanting to better understand where and when to make investment decisions, giving a detailed understanding of the outlook for land drilling rig market at both a macro and granular level. The report includes analysis for oil & gas production, onshore wells drilled, active drilling rigs required, forecast rig utilisation, fleet capacity & features, plus the competitive landscape.

North America to lead a sustained recovery in the global land drilling rig market over 2017-2021

Westwood's most recent edition of the World Land Drilling Rig Market Forecast is now available. The report features a comprehensive summary of the market at both the country and regional level, including: onshore wells drilled, rig fleet growth, active drilling rigs required by HP category, and further key trends within the market.

Global Rig Fleet and Drilling Utilisation, 2017-2021

  • Westwood expects to see a recovery in the market in 2017, led by a return to growth in North American onshore drilling activity, following anticipated upward movement in oil prices and a return of investor confidence in US shale plays.
  • The global number of rigs drilling is forecast to increase at a 7% CAGR over the next five years to reach 4,463 units by 2021.
  • The global capable fleet size is expected to rise by 154 units over 2017-2021, with North America accounting for 39% of this growth.
  • Outside of North America, the number of rigs drilling in Latin America is forecast to rise at a 5% CAGR through to 2021, following a significant decline in drilling activity over 2014-2016.
  • Rig demand in North Africa and the Middle East (MENA) is also expected to grow over the next five years, with the regional capable fleet forecast to increase by 43 units over 2017-2021.
  • The oil price downturn, and subsequent reduction in drilling activity, has had a severe impact on the global land rig market, with the global number of rigs drilling having declined by 44% over 2014-2016.

Since producing the previous edition of the report, Westwood has completed a full review and update of its unique global fleet data comprising over 13,000 land rigs. Country analysis for Bolivia has been added to the report along with continued improved visibility of difficult-to-access markets such as Russia, Iran and Indonesia.

The new report features a more detailed breakdown of the number of rigs drilling in terms of HP category (0-499 HP, 500-999 HP, 1,000-1,499 HP, 1,500-1,999 HP, 2,000-2,999 HP, and 3,000 + HP).

The report also provides a matrix of drilling contractors operating within each region, including overall fleet size, composition, and countries of operation in each contractor's fleet.

Following a 69% decline in onshore wells drilled over 2014-2016, activity in North America witnessed a resurgence in the second half of 2016, following a period of relative stability in commodity prices, and the announcement in November 2016 of planned cuts to production by OPEC member states. This trend has continued into the first half of 2017, however, Westwood expects growth in the near-term to be constrained by the speed at which rigs can be re-activated and crews re-hired. Given the anticipated upward movement in oil prices, the focus within the industry is likely to be on the ability of contractors to supply additional high-specification units to the market in a cost-effective and efficient manner.

Outside of North America, Westwood expects to see a recovery in drilling activity in Latin America over the next five years, driven by the development of the Vaca Muerta shale play in Argentina, as well as an increase in investment in drilling activity at the Orinoco Belt in Venezuela. Drilling activity in MENA is also forecast to rise over 2017-2021, with a return to more robust growth in 2018-2019 as the focus of the region's OPEC producers returns to increasing output, following the implementation of the production adjustments. Key projects expected to contribute to growth in rig demand within the region include Iran's development of oilfields along the border with Iraq, as well as Kuwait's Heavy Oil Project and Jurassic Gas Project.

Table of Contents

  • Table of Contents
  • Figures
  • Tables

1. Summary & Conclusions

  • Summary
  • Conclusions

2. Drivers & Indicators

  • Consensus Oil & Gas Prices: Near-Term Outlook
  • Oil & Gas Price Sensitivities
  • Drilling, Complexity & Unconventional E&D
  • North American Land Fleet Evolution
  • Economic & Political Considerations: MENA
  • Political Considerations: Local Content & Corruption

3. Manufacturing

  • Overview: Key Elements of a Land Rig
  • Supply Chain & Sales Process
  • Key Components: Manufacturers
  • Rig Equipment: OEM Manufacturer Ranking
  • Global Top Drive Markets
  • Rig Equipment Trends: Top Drive Systems & Rotary Steerable Systems
  • Rig Equipment Trends: Automation & AC Power
  • Rig Equipment Trends: Pad Drilling & Walking Rigs
  • Land Rig Additions Forecast

4. Methodology

  • Rig Data, Analysis & Assumptions
  • Drilling & Production Forecast: Methodology
  • Onshore Rig Demand Methodology
  • Differing Rig Counts
  • Country Analysis: Key Metrics

5. Global Analysis

  • Global Outlook
  • Regional Rig Fleets
  • Global Rig Fleet: Identified Drilling Rigs

6. Asia Pacific Analysis

  • Asia Pacific: Rig Supply and Demand
  • Asia Pacific: Identified Rigs (Competitive Landscape)
  • Australia
  • China
  • India
  • Indonesia
  • New Zealand
  • Pakistan
  • Thailand

7. Eastern Europe & FSU Analysis

  • Eastern Europe & FSU: Rig Supply and Demand
  • Eastern Europe & FSU: Identified Rigs (Competitive Landscape)
  • Azerbaijan
  • Kazakhstan
  • Poland
  • Romania
  • Russia

8. Latin America Analysis

  • Latin America: Rig Supply and Demand
  • Latin America:Identified Rigs (Competitive Landscape)
  • Argentina
  • Bolivia
  • Brazil
  • Colombia
  • Ecuador
  • Mexico
  • Peru
  • Venezuela

9. MENA Analysis

  • MENA: Rig Supply and Demand
  • MENA: Identified Rigs (Competitive Landscape)
  • Algeria
  • Egypt
  • Iran
  • Iraq
  • Kuwait
  • Libya
  • Oman
  • Saudi Arabia
  • Syria
  • Turkey
  • United Arab Emirates (UAE)
  • Yemen

10. North America Analysis

  • North America: Rig Supply and Demand
  • North America: Identified Rigs (Competitive Landscape)
  • Canada
  • USA

11. Sub-Saharan Africa Analysis

  • Sub-Saharan Africa: Rig Supply and Demand
  • Sub-Saharan Africa:Identified Rigs (Competitive Landscape)
  • Chad
  • Gabon
  • Nigeria
  • Sudan and South Sudan

12. Western Europe Analysis

  • Western Europe: Rig Supply and Demand
  • Western Europe: dentified Rigs (Competitive Landscape)

13. Appendix

Figures:

  • Figure 1: Global - Rig Fleet and Drilling Utilisation
  • Figure 2: Active Rigs Drilling by HP 2012-2021
  • Figure 3: Select US State Average Rig Count Change over Q2 2016 - Q2 2017
  • Figure 4: Global Onshore Drilling & Well Services Expenditure 2012-2021
  • Figure 5: Global Onshore Oilfield Equipment Expenditure 2012-2021
  • Figure 6: Oil Demand Growth CAGR Comparison 20 14-2021
  • Figure 7: Regional Year-on-Year Production Increase by Year (2016-2019)
  • Figure 8: Oil Supply-Demand Balance 2016-2021
  • Figure 9: Gas Production Growth, 2016-20 19
  • Figure 10: Historical Oil Price and Consensus Forecast 2017-2021
  • Figure 11: Historical Henry Hub Gas Price and Consensus Forecast 2017-2021
  • Figure 12: Relative Sensitivities of Various Markets to Changes in Oil & Gas Prices
  • Figure 13: A horizontal, hydraulically fractured well
  • Figure 14: USA Available vs. Active Land Rigs, 1988-2016
  • Figure 15: Drilling Markets Affected by the Arab Spring
  • Figure 16: Local Content and Corruption in MENA Countries
  • Figure 17: Key Elements of a Land Rig
  • Figure 18: Land Drilling Supply Chain
  • Figure 19: Rig Equipment Manufacturer Ranking
  • Figure 20: Pad Drilling
  • Figure 21: Land Rig Additions Forecast by Region(Moving Average), 2016
  • Figure 22: Comparison of Historic Rig Counts, Saudi Ara bia
  • Figure 23: Usable Fleet vs. Operating vs. Drilling, Saudi Arabia
  • Figure 24: Example - Rig Fleet and Implied Utilisation
  • Figure 25: Example - Estimated Split of Market Share by Contractor & Type
  • Figure 26: Global - Rig Fleet and Drilling Utilisation
  • Figure 27: Global - Wells Drilled vs. Rigs Drilling
  • Figure 28: Number and HP of Identified Drilling Rigsin Each Country
  • Figure 29: Asia-Pacific- Rig Fleet and Drilling Utilisation
  • Figure 30: Asia-Pacific - Wells Drilled vs. Rigs Drilling
  • Figure 31: Australia - Rig Fleet and Drilling Utilisation
  • Figure 32: Australia - Estimated Split of Market Share by Contractor & Type
  • Figure 33: China - Rig Fleet and Drilling Utilisation
  • Figure 34: China - Estimated Split of Market Share by Contractor & Type
  • Figure 35: India - Rig Fleet and Drilling Utilisation
  • Figure 36: India - Estimated Split of Market Share by Contractor & Type
  • Figure 37: Indonesia - Rig Fleet and Drilling Utilisation
  • Figure 38: Indonesia - Estimated Split of Market Share by Contractor & Type
  • Figure 39: New Zealand - Rig Fleet and Drilling Utilisation
  • Figure 40: New Zealand - Estimated Split of Market Share by Contractor
  • Figure 41: Pakistan - Rig Fleet and Drilling Utilisation
  • Figure 42: Pakistan - Estimated Split of Market Share by Contractor & Type
  • Figure 43: Thailand- Rig Fleet and Drilling Utilisation
  • Figure 44: Thailand - Estimated Split of Market Share by Contractor & Type
  • Figure 45: Eastern Europe & FSU - Rig Fleet and Drilling Utilisation
  • Figure 46: Eastern Europe & FSU - Wells Drilled vs. Rigs Drilling
  • Figure 47: Azerbaijan - Rig Fleet and Drilling Utilisation
  • Figure 48: Azerbaijan - Estimated Split of Market Share by Contractor& Type
  • Figure 49: Kazakhstan - Rig Fleet and Drilling Utilisation
  • Figure 50: Kazakhstan - Estimated Split of Market Share by Contractor & Type
  • Figure 51: Poland - Rig Fleet and Drilling Utilisation
  • Figure 52: Poland - Estimated Split of Market Share by Contractor & Type
  • Figure 53: Romania - Rig Fleet and Drilling Utilisation
  • Figure 54: Romania - Estimated Split of Market Share by Contractor & Type
  • Figure 55: Russia - Rig Fleet and Drilling Utilisation
  • Figure 56: Russia - Estimated Split of Market Share by Contractor & Type
  • Figure 57: Latin America - Rig Fleet and Drilling Utilisation
  • Figure 58: Latin America - Wells Drilled vs. Rigs Drilling
  • Figure 59: Argentina - Rig Fleet and Drilling Utilisation
  • Figure 60: Argentina - Estimated Split of Market Share by Contractor & Type
  • Figure 61: Bolivia- Rig Fleet and Drilling Utilisation
  • Figure 62: Bolivia - Estimated Split of Market Share by Contractor & Type
  • Figure 63: Brazil - Rig Fleet and Drilling Utilisation
  • Figure 64: Brazil - Estimated Split of Market Share by Contractor & Type
  • Figure 65: Colombia - Rig Fleet and Drilling Utilisation
  • Figure 66: Colombia - Estimated Split of Market Share by Contractor& Type
  • Figure 67: Ecuador - Rig Fleet and Drilling Utilisation
  • Figure 68: Ecuador - Estimated Split of Market Share by Contractor & Type
  • Figure 69: Mexico - Rig Fleet and Drilling Utilisation
  • Figure 70: Mexico - Estimated Split of Market Share by Contractor& Type
  • Figure 71: Peru - Rig Fleet and Drilling Utilisation
  • Figure 72: Peru - Estimated Split of Market Share by Contractor & Type
  • Figure 73: Venezuela - Rig Fleet and Drilling Utilisation
  • Figure 74: Venezuela - Estimated Split of Market Share by Contractor & Type
  • Figure 75: MENA - Rig Fleet and Drilling Utilisation
  • Figure 76: MENA - Wells Drilled vs. Rigs Drilling
  • Figure 77: Algeria - Rig Fleet and Drilling Utilisation
  • Figure 78: Algeria - Estimated Split of Market Share by Contractor & Type
  • Figure 79: Egypt - Rig Fleet and Drilling Utilisation
  • Figure 80: Egypt - Estimated Split of Market Share by Contractor & Type
  • Figure 81: Iran - Rig Fleet and Drilling Utilisation
  • Figure 82: Iran- Estimated Split of Market Share by Contractor & Type
  • Figure 83: Iraq - Rig Fleet and Drilling Utilisation
  • Figure 84: Iraq - Estimated Split of Market Share by Contractor & Type
  • Figure 85: Kuwait - Rig Fleet and Drilling Utilisation
  • Figure 86: Kuwait - Estimated Split of Market Share by Contractor & Type
  • Figure 87: Libya - Rig Fleet and Drilling Utilisation
  • Figure 88: Libya - Estimated Split of Market Share by Contractor& Type
  • Figure 89: Oman- Rig Fleet and Drilling Utilisation
  • Figure 90: Oman - Estimated Split of Market Share by Contractor & Type
  • Figure 91: Saudi Arabia - Rig Fleet and Drilling Utilisation
  • Figure 92: Saudi Arabia - Estimated Split of Market Share by Contractor & Type
  • Figure 93: Syria - Rig Fleet and Drilling Utilisation
  • Figure 94: Syria - Estimated Split of Market Share by Contractor & Type
  • Figure 95: Turkey - Rig Fleet and Drilling Utilisation
  • Figure 96: Turkey - Estimated Split of Market Share by Contractor & Type
  • Figure 97: UAE - Rig Fleet and Drilling Utilisation
  • Figure 98: UAE - Estimated Split of Market Share by Contractor & Type
  • Figure 99: Yemen - Rig Fleet and Drilling Utilisation
  • Figure 100: Yemen - Estimated Split of Market Share by Contractor & Type
  • Figure 101: North America - Rig Fleet and Drilling Utilisation
  • Figure 102: North America - Wells Drilled vs. Rigs Drilling
  • Figure 103: Canada - Rig Fleet and Drilling Utilisation
  • Figure 104: Canada - Estimated Split of Market Share by Contractor & Type
  • Figure 105: USA - Rig Fleet and Drilling Utilisation
  • Figure 106: USA - Estimated Split of Market Share by Contractor & Type
  • Figure 107: Sub-Saharan Africa - Rig Fleet and Drilling Utilisation
  • Figure 108: Sub-Saharan Africa - Wells Drilled vs. Rigs Drilling
  • Figure 109: Chad - Rig Fleet and Drilling Utilisation
  • Figure 110: Chad - Estimated Split of Market Share by Contractor & Type
  • Figure 111: Gabon - Rig Fleet and Drilling Utilisation
  • Figure 112: Gabon - Estimated Split of Market Share by Contractor & Type
  • Figure 113: Nigeria - Rig Fleet and Drilling Utilisation
  • Figure 114: Nigeria - Estimated Split of Market Share by Contractor & Type
  • Figure 115: Sudan and South Sudan - Rig Fleet and Drilling Utilisation
  • Figure 116: Sudan and S. Sudan- Estimated Split of Market by Contractor
  • Figure 117: Western Europe - Rig Fleet and Drilling Utilisation
  • Figure 118: Western Europe - Wells Drilled vs. Rigs Drilling

Tables:

  • Table 1: Global Identified Rig Fleet and Implied Utilization
  • Table 2: Regional Rig Fleets
  • Table 3: Asia-Pacific Identified Rigs
  • Table 4: Australia - Rig Fleet and Implied Utilisation
  • Table 5: Australia - Fleet HP
  • Table 6: China- Rig Fleet and Implied Utilisation
  • Table 7: China - Fleet HP
  • Table 8: India - Rig Fleet and Implied Utilisation
  • Table 9: India - Fleet HP
  • Table 10: Indonesia - Rig Fleet and Implied Utilisation
  • Table 11: Indonesia - Fleet HP
  • Table 12: New Zealand - Rig Fleet and Implied Utilisation
  • Table 13: New Zealand - Fleet HP
  • Table 14: Pakistan - Rig Fleet and Implied Utilisation
  • Table 15: Pakistan - Fleet HP
  • Table 16: Thailand - Rig Fleet and Implied Utilisation
  • Table 17: Thailand - Fleet HP
  • Table 18: Eastern Europe & FSU Identified Rigs
  • Table 19: Azerbaijan - Rig Fleet and Implied Utilization
  • Table 20: Azerbaijan - Fleet HP
  • Table 21: Kazakhstan- Rig Fleet and Implied Utilisation
  • Table 22: Kazakhstan - Fleet HP
  • Table 23: Poland - Rig Fleet and Implied Utilisation
  • Table 24: Poland - Fleet HP
  • Table 25: Romania- Rig Fleet and Implied Utilisation
  • Table 26: Romania - Fleet HP
  • Table 27: Russia - Rig Fleet and Implied Utilisation
  • Table 28: Russia - Fleet HP
  • Table 29: Latin America Identified Rigs
  • Table 30: Argentina - Rig Fleet and Implied Utilization
  • Table 31: Argentina - Fleet HP
  • Table 32: Bolivia - Rig Fleet and Implied Utilisation
  • Table 33: Bolivia - Fleet HP
  • Table 34: Brazil - Rig Fleet and Implied Utilisation
  • Table 35: Brazil - Fleet HP
  • Table 36: Colombia - Rig Fleet and Implied Utilisation
  • Table 37: Colombia - Fleet HP
  • Table 38: Ecuador - Rig Fleet and Implied Utilisation
  • Table 39: Ecuador - Fleet HP
  • Table 40: Mexico - Rig Fleet and Implied Utilisation
  • Table 41: Mexico - Fleet HP
  • Table 42: Peru- Rig Fleet and Implied Utilisation
  • Table 43: Peru - Fleet HP
  • Table 44: Venezuela - Rig Fleet and Implied Utilisation
  • Table 45: Venezuela - Fleet HP
  • Table 46: MENA Identified Rigs
  • Table 47: Algeria - Rig Fleet and Implied Utilization
  • Table 48: Algeria - Fleet HP
  • Table 49: Egypt - Rig Fleet and Implied Utilization
  • Table 50: Egypt - Fleet HP
  • Table 51: Iran - Rig Fleet and Implied Utilisation
  • Table 52: Iran - Fleet HP
  • Table 53: Iraq - Rig Fleet and Implied Utilization
  • Table 54: Iraq - Fleet HP
  • Table 55: Kuwait - Rig Fleet and Implied Utilisation
  • Table 56: Kuwait - Fleet HP
  • Table 57: Libya - Rig Fleet and Implied Utilization
  • Table 58: Libya - Fleet HP
  • Table 59: Oman - Rig Fleet and Implied Utilisation
  • Table 60: Oman - Fleet HP
  • Table 61: Saudi Arabia - Rig Fleet and Implied Utilisation
  • Table 62: Saudi Arabia - Fleet HP
  • Table 63: Syria - Rig Fleet and Implied Utilization
  • Table 64: Syria - Fleet HP
  • Table 65: Turkey - Rig Fleet and Implied Utilization
  • Table 66: Turkey - Fleet HP
  • Table 67: UAE - Rig Fleet and Implied Utilisation
  • Table 68: UAE - Fleet HP
  • Table 69: Yemen - Rig Fleet and Implied Utilisation
  • Table 70: Yemen - Fleet HP
  • Table 71: North America Identified Rigs
  • Table 72: Canada - Rig Fleet and
  • Table 73: Canada - Fleet HP
  • Table 74: Implied Utilization
  • Table 75: USA - Rig Fleet and Implied Utilisation
  • Table 76: USA - Fleet HP
  • Table 77: Sub-Saharan Africa Identified Rigs
  • Table 78: Chad - Rig Fleet and
  • Table 79: Chad - Fleet HP
  • Table 80: Implied Utilization
  • Table 81: Gabon - Rig Fleet and
  • Table 82: Gabon - Fleet HP
  • Table 83: Implied Utilization
  • Table 84: Nigeria - Rig Fleet and Implied Utilization
  • Table 85: Nigeria - Fleet HP
  • Table 86: Sudan and South Sudan - Rig Fleet and Implied Utilisation
  • Table 87: Sudan and South Sudan - Fleet HP
  • Table 88: Western Europe Identified Rigs
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