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世界のオフショア風力発電市場予測

World Offshore Wind Market Forecast 2017-2026

発行 Douglas-Westwood 商品コード 223474
出版日 ページ情報 英文 69 Pages
納期: 即日から翌営業日
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世界のオフショア風力発電市場予測 World Offshore Wind Market Forecast 2017-2026
出版日: 2017年06月12日 ページ情報: 英文 69 Pages
概要

当レポートでは、世界のオフショア風力発電市場を取り上げ、技術および市場の概要をまとめ、市場発展促進および制約要因を分析し、サプライチェーン分析、国別の分析、今後の市場予測を提示しています。

第1章 サマリー・結論

第2章 促進因子・阻害因子

  • 概要
  • 政治的促進因子
  • 経済的促進因子
  • 低炭素エネルギー

第3章 オフショア風力発電の開発

  • オフショア風力プロジェクトのライフサイクル
  • オフショア風力プロジェクトのコスト構造
  • Capexフェーズ1:計画&開発
  • Capexフェーズ1:風力タービン
  • Capexフェーズ1:プラントのバランス
  • Capexフェーズ1:設置
  • Oapexフェーズ
  • Capexフェーズ2:
  • オフショア風力サプライチェーン

第4章 商業的考察

  • プロジェクト規模
  • サプライチェーン
  • 資本・耐用年数コスト
  • リスクプロファイル
  • 財務課題
  • 契約戦略
  • 産業課題
  • 技術:風力タービン
  • 技術:サポート構造
  • 主要市場
  • 新興市場:容量予測

第5章 市場予測

  • 調査手法
  • 追加発電量:国別
  • 累積発電量:国別
  • 資本支出:国別
  • 年間Capex:タイプ別
  • 運営費:国別
  • セグメント予測:風力タービン−国別
  • セグメント予測:風力タービン−サイズ別
  • セグメント予測:風力タービン−メーカー別
  • セグメント予測:サポート構造
  • セグメント予測:ケーブル
  • セグメント予測:オフショア変電所
  • セグメント予測:船舶

第6章 付録

図表リスト

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目次
Product Code: ISBN 978-1-910045-51-0

Westwood's new report now features global project listings and a more in-depth Capex analysis - including component breakdown - and country-specific commentary, reflecting on announced renewables obligations. Tracking the industry on a project by project basis, Westwood offers a comprehensive view on the significant opportunities for the wind supply chain over the next decade. Given the increased focus on renewables, the industry will continue to attract investment from utilities, large engineering and service contractors, as well as upstream oil and gas companies.

Description

Offshore Wind Update: Total Capex forecast at €402bn over 2017-2026

Westwood's most recent edition of the Word Offshore Wind Market Forecast is now available. The report features a restructured market forecast, splitting global Capex into planning and development, hardware and installation expenditure, together totalling €402bn over the 2017-2026 period.

image1

Key Conclusions:

  • Total Capex is projected at €402bn over 2017-2026.
  • Global cumulative capacity is forecast to grow from 16.4 GW in 2017 to 94.0 GW by 2026*.
  • The UK, China and Germany are the three largest contributors to total capacity additions.
  • Capex across the UK, China and Germany is forecast at €217bn, accounting for approximately 54% of total global expenditure*.
  • Opex is expected to amount to €68bn, with nearly 70% of this expected to be spent across the UK, Germany and China*.
  • Global hardware Capex is expected to total €288.0bn versus installation Capex at €88.6bn and planning & development at €25.6 over the 2017-2026 period*.

*All figures are inclusive of projects yet to develop past conceptual phases.

Since the 2016 edition of this report, the offshore wind industry has experienced a number of changes, which include the evolution in turbine size, growth in project scale, supply chain consolidation and cost efficiencies. In 2016 the industry saw the installation of the very first US offshore wind farm, whilst in 2017 the UK announced the achievement of its 2020 levelised cost of electricity (LCoE) target 4 years ahead of schedule. As the market is becoming less reliant on government subsidies, DONG Energy and EnBW have won the first zero-subsidy bids in German auctions.

Westwood's new report now features global project listings and a more in-depth Capex analysis - including component breakdown - and country-specific commentary, reflecting on announced renewables obligations. Tracking the industry on a project by project basis, Westwood offers a comprehensive view on the significant opportunities for the wind supply chain over the next decade. Given the increased focus on renewables, the industry will continue to attract investment from utilities, large engineering and service contractors, as well as upstream oil and gas companies.

This report is therefore a must have for vessel contractors, OEMs, design companies and private sector investors.

Report Contents:

  • Key Drivers and Indicators
  • Project Development and Commercial Insights
  • Global to Country Capex and Opex Market Forecasts
  • Segment Market Forecasts
  • Project Listings

Table of Contents

  • Table of Contents
  • Figures
  • Tables

1 Summary & Conclusions

  • Summary
  • Conclusions

2 Drivers & Indicators

  • Overview
  • Political Drivers
  • Economic Drivers
  • Low Carbon Power Generation

3 Offshore Wind Project Development

  • Offshore Wind Project Lifecycle
  • Offshore Wind Project Cost Structure
  • Capex Phase 1 : Planning & Development
  • Capex Phase 1 : Wind Turbine
  • Capex Phase 1: Balance of Plant
  • Capex Phase 1 : Installation
  • Opex Phase
  • Capex Phase 2 : Decommissioning
  • Offshore Wind Supply Chain

4 Commercial Insights

  • Project Scale
  • Supply Chain
  • Capital and Lifetime Costs
  • Risk Profile
  • Financing Challenges
  • Contracting Strategies
  • Industry Challenges
  • Technology: Wind Turbines
  • Technology: Foundations
  • Key Trends: New Technologies
  • Key Trends: Clustering and Repowering
  • Key Trends: Logistics

5 Methodology

  • Methodology

6 Country Market Forecast

  • Added Capacity by Country
  • Cumulative Capacity by Country
  • Capital Expenditure by Country
  • Operational Expenditure by Country
  • China Offshore Wind Outlook
  • Denmark Offshore Wind Outlook
  • France Offshore Wind Outlook
  • Germany Offshore Wind Outlook
  • Netherlands Offshore Wind Outlook
  • Poland Offshore Wind Outlook
  • South Korea Offshore Wind Outlook
  • Sweden Offshore Wind Outlook
  • UK Offshore Wind Outlook
  • USA Offshore Wind Outlook
  • RoW Offshore Wind Outlook

7 Segment Market Forecast

  • Turbines by Country
  • Turbines by Size
  • Turbines by Manufacturer
  • Foundations
  • Cables
  • Offshore Substations
  • Vessels
  • Helicopters

8 Appendix

  • Project Listings

Figures

  • Figure 1: Capital Expenditure by Country, 2016-2026
  • Figure 2: Drivers for Offshore Wind
  • Figure 3: EU 2020 Targets and Progress to Date for Key Offshore Wind Markets
  • Figure 4: Global Primary Energy Consumption by Economy, 1990-2035
  • Figure 5: Share of Global Primary Energy Consumption by Fuel, 1990-2035
  • Figure 6: Global Power Generation Forecast
  • Figure 7: Levelised Cost Estimates for Technology-Specific Hurdle Rates
  • Figure 8: Offshore Wind Project Life-Cycle
  • Figure 9: Cost Breakdown by Project Phase - Capex, Opex, Decom.
  • Figure 10: Offshore Wind Supply Chain Overview
  • Figure 11: Average Project Capacity, Distance from Shore and Water Depth
  • Figure 12: Offshore Wind Capex Drivers
  • Figure 13: UK Project Cost/MW 2000-2026 (monopiled projects only)
  • Figure 14: Planning & Development Time Lines, UK
  • Figure 15: Size Evolution of Wind Turbines
  • Figure 16: Aerogenerator X.
  • Figure 17: Two-bladed Offshore Wind Turbine.
  • Figure 18: Types of Floating Foundations
  • Figure 19: Picture of UAV
  • Figure 20: Siemens OTM Module
  • Figure 21: Radar Image showing aircraft flying through wind farm
  • Figure 23: Cost of Repowered Wind vs. CCGT 2005-2020
  • Figure 22: Artist's Impression of Siemens Facility
  • Figure 24: Heli-Hoist Basket
  • Figure 25: Wind Service Operation Vessel (SOV)
  • Figure 26: Westwood Forecast Added Capacity by Status Group, 2016-2026
  • Figure 27: Example Country Cumulative Capacity with Extrapolation, 2020-2030
  • Figure 28: Added Capacity by Country, 2016-2026
  • Figure 29: Cumulative Capacity by Country, 2016-2026
  • Figure 30: Capital Expenditure by Country, 2016-2026
  • Figure 31: Operational Expenditure by Country, 2016-2026
  • Figure 32: China Capex by Service Line, 2016-2026
  • Figure 33: China Capex by Service Line, 2016-2026
  • Figure 34: Denmark Capex by Service Line, 2016-2026
  • Figure 35: Denmark Cumulative Capacity by Current Project Status, 2016-2026
  • Figure 36: France Capex by Service Line, 2016-2026
  • Figure 37: France Cumulative Capacity by Current Project Status, 2016-2026
  • Figure 38: Germany Capex by Service Line, 2016-2026
  • Figure 39: Germany Cumulative Capacity by Current Project Status, 2016-2026
  • Figure 40: Nertherlands Capex by Service Line, 2016-2026
  • Figure 41: Netherlands Cumulative Capacity by Current Project Status, 2016-2026
  • Figure 42: Poland Capex by Service Line, 2016-2026
  • Figure 43: Poland Cumulative Capacity by Current Project Status, 2016-2026
  • Figure 44: South Korea Capex by Service Line, 2016-2026
  • Figure 45: South Korea Cumulative Capacity by Current Project Status, 2016-2026
  • Figure 46: Sweden Capex by Service Line, 2016-2026
  • Figure 47: Sweden Cumulative Capacity by Current Project Status, 2016-2026
  • Figure 48: UK Capex by Service Line, 2016-2026
  • Figure 49: UK Cumulative Capacity by Current Project Status, 2016-2026
  • Figure 50: USA Capex by Service Line, 2016-2026
  • Figure 51: USA Cumulative Capacity by Current Project Status, 2016-2026
  • Figure 52: Rest of World Capex by Service Line, 2016-2026
  • Figure 53: Rest of World Cumulative Capacity by Current Project Status, 2016-2026
  • Figure 54: Rest of World Added Capacity (MW) 2016-2026
  • Figure 55: Wind Turbines Installed by Country, 2016-2026
  • Figure 56: Wind Turbines Installed by Size, 2016-2026
  • Figure 57: Wind Turbines Installed by Manufacturer, 2016-2026
  • Figure 58: Foundations Installed by Type, 2016-2026
  • Figure 59: Cable Length Installed by Country, 2016-2026
  • Figure 60: Cable Length Installed by Type, 2016-2026
  • Figure 61: Substations Installed by Country, 2016-2026
  • Figure 62: Substations Installed by Type, 2016-2026
  • Figure 63: Installation Vessels Required by Type, 2016-2026
  • Figure 64: Personnel Vessels Required, 2016-2026
  • Figure 65: Helicopters Required, 2016-2026
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