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世界の浮体式生産システム (FPS) 市場の予測

World Floating Production Market Forecast 2017-2021

発行 Douglas-Westwood 商品コード 217636
出版日 ページ情報 英文 87 Pages
納期: 即日から翌営業日
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世界の浮体式生産システム (FPS) 市場の予測 World Floating Production Market Forecast 2017-2021
出版日: 2017年01月20日 ページ情報: 英文 87 Pages
概要

浮体式生産システム (FPS) 市場は、2017年に回復過程に入り、2017年〜2021年に500億米ドル以上の支出が見込まれています。

当レポートでは、世界の浮体式生産システム (FPS) 市場について調査分析し、促進要因と指標、オペレーター分析、FPSのサプライチェーン、リース・ファイナンス、地域別分析、生産見通しなど、体系的な情報を提供しています。

第1章 サマリーと結論

第2章 マクロ経済の概要

  • オフショアE&P産業の進化
  • 石油価格の影響
  • 石油の需要:短期見通し
  • 石油の需給バランス
  • 石油の供給:短期見通し
  • ガスの需給:短期見通し
  • コンセンサス石油・ガス価格:短期見通し
  • 開発反応性
  • エネルギー混合の変化:短期見通し
  • E&P動向:支出活動
  • 深海に注目:新しい領域
  • ブラジルの活動

第3章 FPSの種類と用途

  • フィールド開発
  • FPSのライフサイクル
  • FPSのコンセプトの選択
  • 浮体式生産貯蔵積出設備 (FPSO)
  • FPSOの種類
  • 浮体式生産セミサブ (FPSS)
  • FPSSの種類
  • スパー (SPAR)
  • SPARの種類
  • 緊張係留式プラットフォーム (TLP)
  • TLPの種類
  • 浮体式生産システムの種類:サマリー
  • FPSの用途

第4章 FPSのコンポーネント

  • 船体
  • 上甲板
  • 係留システム
  • クリティカルパス設備リードタイム
  • ライザーシステム

第5章 輸送・設置・試運転

  • 輸送・設置・試運転
  • SPARの設置

第6章 リース・ファイナンス

  • ファイナンス
  • FPSのリース
  • 主要なリース業者
  • リースユニットの再展開

第7章 FPSのサプライチェーン

  • FPSのサプライチェーン
  • 業者の概要
  • FPSの造船所・建設施設
  • オーダー
  • 現地調達:FPSの建設

第8章 FPSのフリート

  • FPSのフリート
  • フリート分析:オペレーター・水深の分布

第9章 市場予測

  • 市場予測
  • 世界のFPS市場:地域別
  • 世界のFPS市場の段階的CAPEX:地域別
  • 世界のFPS市場:船舶別
  • FPSO
  • FPSOのCAPEXの内訳
  • FPSS
  • FPSSのCAPEXの内訳
  • SPAR
  • TLP
  • TLPのCAPEXの内訳
  • アフリカ
  • アジア
  • オーストラレーシア
  • ラテンアメリカ
  • 中東
  • 北米
  • 西欧
  • オペレーター分析
  • 深海FPS市場

第10章 付録

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目次
Product Code: ISBN 978-1-910045-45-9

Floating Production Systems to Begin Recovery in 2017 - Expenditure of $50bn over 2017-2021.

The market for Floating Production Systems (FPS) has bottomed in 2016 (during which no orders were placed) and is poised for recovery in 2017. This is a function of both a recovery in oil prices but also lower industry costs and the re-engineering of projects

The latest World Floating Production Report is a market outlook built on granular ‘project-by-project' analysis of over 130 potential future deployments. Many of the projects we are tracking have seen timelines slip both in terms of project sanctioning and execution. However, this year we have seen the hiatus in FPS ordering broken with the order of Mad Dog Phase 2 production platform. This is the first of a number of units expected to be ordered this year, from the large FPSO for Petrobras' Libra field to much smaller leased units for fields offshore the UK, such as Hurricane Exploration's Lancaster field.

When the Capex for each FPS unit is phased over the construction lifecycle there will be a 40% decline compared to the hindcast and a -6% CAGR between 2017 and 2021 - highlighting the impact of the downturn. Despite this, the value of units coming onstream over the forecast will reach record levels, totalling $50bn, though much of this will be seen in 2017-2018 as units that were ordered while prices were at record levels are commissioned.

Due to their versatility and wide-spread availability FPSOs will continue to represent the largest segment of the market both in terms of numbers (45 installations) and forecast Capex (84%) over the 2017-2021 period. FPSSs and TLPs will account for 10% and 8% of Capex respectively while Spars will account for 1%.

On a regional level Latin America will account for both the highest number of units (31% of forecast installations) and the highest amount of Capex (33%). Western Europe, Asia and Africa will all follow with 11, 10 and 9 installations respectively. Both Asia and Western Europe will see a lower proportion of expenditure than installations at 10% and 14% respectively. Africa however will account for 25% of Capex from its nine installations - demonstrating the high value of units in the region.

The World Floating Production System Market Forecast 2017-2021 analyses the factors influencing the global floating production market and utilises extensive industry consultation to provide detailed insight on demand and supply. Now in its 15th edition, the report is supported by analysis, insight and industry consultation and includes:

  • Drivers & indicators - a review of factors influencing the floating production market including global energy demand; continued development of offshore reserves; oil & gas prices; supply & demand; Brazilian activity; and the role of deepwater.
  • Operator analysis - Capex for the leading FPS operators, historic, forecast and by region and water depth.
  • The FPS supply chain - detailed analysis of the FPS supply chain, outlining the EPC firms, shipyards, lease contractors, topside fabricators and their respective capabilities.
  • Leasing & financing - the issues and future outlook for financing of the sector; analysis of major leasing contractors, their assets and a review of prospective vessel redeployments.
  • Regional analysis - with trend commentary for Africa, Asia, Australasia, Latin America, Middle East, North America and Western Europe.
  • Floating production prospects - list of floating production systems due onstream over 2017-2021, including the following data: country, E&P operator, field, FPS name, prospective year, status of FPS, FPS type and moored water depth.

Why purchase the World Floating Production Market Forecast?

DW's market forecasting is trusted by sector players worldwide, with clients including the world's top-10 oil & gas companies, top-10 oilfield services companies and top-10 private equity firms.

The report is essential for financial institutions, equipment manufacturers, offshore engineering, construction, operations & maintenance companies and contractors, oil & gas companies, lease contractors, shipbuilders and agencies & government departments wanting to make more informed investment decisions.

Our proven approach includes:

  • Unique and proprietary data - updated year-round from published sources and insight gained from industry consultation.
  • Detailed methodology - analysis is based on DW's SECTORS database which details more than 700 FPS projects. The data feeds into the market model to generate forecasts of floating production systems in each region of the world. Expenditure is allocated both to year of order and year of installation.
  • Comprehensive analysis - comprehensive examination, analysis and 10-year coverage of floating production capital expenditure.
  • Concise report layout - consistent with DW's commitment to delivering value for our clients, all our market forecasts have a concise layout consisting of industry background and supporting materials condensed to enable quick review with ‘speed-read' summaries of key points throughout.

Table of Contents

1. Summary and Conclusions

  • Summary
  • Conclusions

2. Macro Economic Overview

  • Evolution of Offshore E&P Industry
  • Oil Price Impacts
  • Oil Demand: Near-Term Outlook
  • Oil Supply & Demand Balance
  • Oil Supply : Near-Term Outlook
  • Gas Demand and Supply: Near-Term Outlook
  • Consensus Oil & Gas Prices: Near-Term Outlook
  • Development Reactivity
  • The Changing Energy Mix: Long-Term Outlook
  • E&P Trends - Spending Activity
  • Deepwater Focus: New Frontiers
  • Brazilian Activity

3. FPS Types and Applications

  • Field Development
  • The FPS Lifecycle
  • FPS Concept Selection
  • Floating Production, Storage and Offloading Vessels (FPSOs)
  • Types of FPSO
  • Floating Production Semi-Submersibles (FPSS)
  • Types of FPSS
  • Spars
  • Types of Spars
  • Tension Leg Platforms (TLPs)
  • Types of TLP
  • Types of Floating Production Systems - Summary
  • FPS Applications

4. FPS Components

  • Hulls
  • Topsides
  • Mooring Systems
  • Critical Path Equipment Lead Times
  • Riser Systems

5. Transportation, Installation & Commissioning

  • Transportation, Installation & Commissioning
  • Spar Installation

6. Leasing and Financing

  • Financing
  • FPS Leasing
  • Major Leasing Contractors
  • Redeployments of Leased Units

7. The FPS Supply Chain

  • The FPS Supply Chain
  • Contractor Overview
  • FPS Shipyards & Construction Facilities
  • Orders
  • Local Content - FPS Construction

8. FPS Fleet

  • The FPS Fleet
  • Fleet Analysis: Operator & Water Depth Distributions

9. Market Forecast

  • Market Forecast
  • The Global FPS Market by Region
  • The Phased Capex Global FPS Market by Region
  • The Global FPS Market by Vessel Type
  • FPSOs
  • FPSO Capex Breakdown
  • FPSSs
  • FPSS Capex Breakdown
  • Spars
  • TLPs
  • TLP Capex Breakdown
  • Africa
  • Asia
  • Australasia
  • Latin America
  • Middle East
  • North America
  • Western Europe
  • Operator Analysis
  • The Deepwater FPS Market

10. Appendix

  • Floating Production Prospects
  • Data and Text Conventions

Figures

  • Figure 1: Phased FPS Capex by Region 2011-2020
  • Figure 2: Onshore vs. Offshore Oil & Gas Production, 2006-2021
  • Figure 3: Global - Deepwater Production wells by Region 2012-2021
  • Figure 4: Average Share Performance Index (January 2014=1) January 2014-December 2016
  • Figure 5: Quarterly Visible Subsea Production Tree Orders, Q1 2009-Q3 2016
  • Figure 6: Caption
  • Figure 7: Supply-Demand Balance 2014-2020
  • Figure 8: Caption
  • Figure 9: Gas Production Growth, 2015-2018, December 2016
  • Figure 10: Consensus Oil Price Forecast 2010-2021
  • Figure 11: Henry Hub Gas Price Consensus, 2010-2021
  • Figure 12: Indicative Reactivity to Oil Price Recovery by Development Type
  • Figure 13: Energy Consumption Mix and Total (mmboe/d) 2015, 2025 & 2035
  • Figure 14: Brazillian Offshore Basins
  • Figure 15: The FPS Lifecycle
  • Figure 16: Completion Strategy and FPS Concept Selection
  • Figure 17: Typical Layout of an FPSO
  • Figure 19: Typical Layout of an FPSS (Deep Draft)
  • Figure 18: Typical Pontoon Arrangements
  • Figure 20: Typical Layout of a Spar (Truss)
  • Figure 21: Typical Layout of a TLP (Dry-tree)
  • Figure 22: Typical Layout of Topside Modules
  • Figure 23: Spar Installation
  • Figure 24: Typical Lending Cycles in the Offshore Sector
  • Figure 25: Major Leasing Contractors (2017)
  • Figure 26: Leased Units on contract by region (2017)
  • Figure 27: Major Leasing Contractors' Vessels Available for Redeployment (2017-2021)
  • Figure 28: The FPS Supply Chain
  • Figure 29: Major Shipbuilding Countries
  • Figure 30: Number of FPS Units On Order by Type Jan 2012-Jan 2017
  • Figure 31: Value of FPS Units On Order by Type April 2012-April 2016
  • Figure 32: Global FPS Fleet
  • Figure 33: Operator Distribution of FPS Fleet
  • Figure 34: Water Depth Distribution of FPS Fleet by Region
  • Figure 35: Global FPS Installation Capex by Region 2012-2021
  • Figure 36: Global Phased FPS Capex by Region 2012-2021
  • Figure 37: Global FPS Installation Capex by Vessel Type 2012-2021
  • Figure 38: FPSO Capex by Region 2012-2021
  • Figure 39: FPSO Capex by Component Type 2012-2021
  • Figure 40: FPSS Capex by Region 2012-2021
  • Figure 41: FPSS Capex by Component Type 2012-2021
  • Figure 42: Spar Capex by Region 2012-2021
  • Figure 43: TLP Capex by Region 2012-2021
  • Figure 44: TLP Capex by Component Type 2012-2021
  • Figure 45: FPS Capex - Africa 2012-2021
  • Figure 46: FPS Capex - Asia 2012-2021
  • Figure 47: FPS Capex - Australasia 2012-2021
  • Figure 48: FPS Capex - Latin America 2012-2021
  • Figure 49: FPS Capex - Middke East 2012-2021
  • Figure 50: FPS Capex - North America 2012-2021
  • Figure 51: FPS Capex - Western Europe 2012-2021
  • Figure 52: Leading FPS Operators Capex 2012-2021
  • Figure 53: Leading FPS Operators 2016-2020 by Region
  • Figure 54: Deepwater FPS Capex by Vessel Type 2012-2021
  • Figure 55: Deepwater FPS Capex by Region 2012-2021

Tables

  • Table 1: International E&P Expenditure
  • Table 2: E&P Expenditure (Consolidated)
  • Table 3: Typical Mooring System Designs by FPS Type
  • Table 4: Major Leasing Contractors & Their Units
  • Table 5: FPS Competitive Landscape (list not exhaustive)
  • Table 6: Number of FPS Units On Order by Type April 2012-April 2016
  • Table 7: Value of FPS Units On Order by Type April 2012-April 2016
  • Table 8: Global FPS Capex by Region 2016-2021
  • Table 9: Global FPS Installations by Region 2016-2021
  • Table 10: Global Phased FPS Capex by Region 2016-2021
  • Table 11: Global Phased FPS Installations by Region 2016-2021
  • Table 12: Global FPS Capex by Vessel Type 2016-2021
  • Table 13: Global FPS Installations by Vessel Type 2016-2021
  • Table 14: FPSO Capex by Region 2016-2021
  • Table 15: FPSO Installations by Region 2016-2021
  • Table 16: FPSO Capex by Component Type 2016-2021
  • Table 17: FPSS Capex by Region 2016-2021
  • Table 18: FPSS Installations by Region 2016-2021
  • Table 19: FPSS Capex by Component Type 2016-2021
  • Table 20: Spar Capex by Region 2016-2021
  • Table 21: Spar Installations by Region 2016-2021
  • Table 22: TLP Capex by Region 2016-2021
  • Table 23: TLP Installations by Region 2016-2021
  • Table 24: TLP Capex by Component Type 2016-2021
  • Table 25: FPS Capex - Africa 2016-2021
  • Table 26: FPS Installations - Africa 2016-2021
  • Table 27: FPS Capex - Asia 2016-2021
  • Table 28: FPS Installations - Asia 2016-2021
  • Table 29: FPS Capex - Australasia 2016-2021
  • Table 30: FPS Installations - Australasia 2016-2021
  • Table 31: FPS Capex - Latin America 2016-2021
  • Table 32: FPS Installations - Latin America 2016-2021
  • Table 33: FPS Capex - Middle East 2016-2021
  • Table 34: FPS Installations - Middle East 2016-2021
  • Table 35: FPS Capex - North America 2016-2021
  • Table 36: FPS Installations - North America 2016-2021
  • Table 37: FPS Capex - Western Europe 2016-2021
  • Table 38: FPS Installations - Western Europe 2016-2021
  • Table 39: Leading FPS Operators 2016-2021
  • Table 40: Deepwater FPS Capex by Vessel Type 2016-2021
  • Table 41: Deepwater FPS Capex by Region 2016-2021
  • Table 42: Floating Production Prospects 2017-2021
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