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市場調査レポート

世界のオンショアパイプライン市場

World Onshore Pipelines Market Forecast 2018-2022

発行 Douglas-Westwood 商品コード 133442
出版日 ページ情報 英文
納期: 即日から翌営業日
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世界のオンショアパイプライン市場 World Onshore Pipelines Market Forecast 2018-2022
出版日: ページ情報: 英文
概要

今後5年間の世界におけるオンショアパイプラインの設備建造にかかる総費用Capex は、過去5年間と比較して5%の微増となる2,030億米ドルに達する見込みで、距離にして27万6,000キロ以上のパイプラインが設置されると予測されています。一方、設備稼働後の運転・保守整備にかかる費用のOpexは、過去5年間と比較して14%増の1,320億米ドルとなる見込みです。

当レポートでは、世界のオンショアパイプライン市場について調査し、地域別の予測、市場の主要促進因子、サプライチェーン、主要プロジェクト、コスト分析および技術レビューなどをまとめています。

目次

第1章 サマリー&結論

第2章 マクロ促進因子

  • 石油の需要:短期見通し
  • 石油の供給:短期見通し
  • ガスの需給:短期見通し
  • 統一の石油・ガス価格:短期見通し
  • 課題

第3章 技術レビュー

  • プロジェクトプロセス
  • FEED:概要
  • FEED:ルート選定
  • 制限&代替輸送手段

第4章 サプライチェーン

  • Capexのサプライチェーン
  • ラインパイプ建築請負業者
  • OPEXのサプライチェーン
  • 主要請負業者

第5章 市場展望

  • Capexの調査手法
  • Opexの調査手法・制限
  • 世界市場:Capex/Opexの展望・主要動向
  • アフリカ:Capex/Opexの展望・主要動向
  • アジア:Capex/Opexの展望・主要動向
  • オーストラレーシア:Capex/Opexの展望・主要動向
  • 東欧&FSU(旧ソ連):Capex/Opexの展望・主要動向
  • ラテンアメリカ:Capex/Opexの展望・主要動向
  • 中東:Capex/Opexの展望・主要動向
  • 北米:Capex/Opexの展望・主要動向
  • 西欧:Capex/Opexの展望・主要動向

第6章 主要プロジェクトの概要

  • アフリカ:主要パイプライン
  • アジア:主要パイプライン
  • オーストラレーシア:主要パイプライン
  • 東欧&FSU(旧ソ連):主要パイプライン
  • ラテンアメリカ:主要パイプライン
  • 中東:主要パイプライン
  • 北米:主要パイプライン
  • 西欧:主要パイプライン

第7章 付録

図表

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目次

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Now in its 6th edition, The World Onshore Pipelines Market Forecast 2017-2021 from Douglas-Westwood, considers the prospects for the onshore pipelines construction business and values the future capital expenditure (Capex) and operating expenditure (Opex) markets through to 2021 by key component/segment, region, pipeline product and diameter.

Description

Onshore Pipelines Forecast - Operations and Maintenance Activity to Boost Spend

Now in its 6th edition, The World Onshore Pipelines Market Forecast 2017-2021 from Douglas-Westwood (DW), considers the prospects for the onshore pipelines construction business and values the future capital expenditure (Capex) and operating expenditure (Opex) markets through to 2021 by key component/segment, region, pipeline product and diameter.

The publication provides an outlook for a sector that has been negatively impacted by the sustained low oil price environment, whereby reduced investment in early feasibility and front-end engineering and design (FEED) work is expected to impact the latter years of the forecast period. However, overall expenditure is expected to be bolstered by greater installation activity in the near-term, due to projects that were sanctioned prior to the downturn.

As a result, DW expects total onshore pipeline Capex over the forecast period to increase slightly to $203 billion (bn), a rise of 5% compared with $194bn over the preceding five-year period. Pipeline additions are predicted to increase overall, compared to 2012-2016, though many regions will see declines during the forecast. Global installed kilometres (km) over the forecast will total over 276,000km, representing an increase of 2% compared to the previous five-year period.

North America and Asia remain the highest volume markets, together accounting for approximately 53% of global Capex over the forecast period. Australasia, having seen a large increase in installations over recent years due to the number of LNG projects in the area, is expected to see a significant decline in Capex as a number of these projects begin operations mid-forecast. Eastern Europe & FSU is expected to be the most resilient pipeline market, with 2021 expenditure of around $5.6bn seeing only a 7% decline from $6bn in 2017, owing to key pipeline projects such as Power of Siberia 1 and 2.

The operations and maintenance market has a more positive outlook, as the majority of regions already possess a large installed base of pipeline. Total Opex is expected to be approximately $132bn over the 2017-2021 period, compared to $114bn in the preceding five years, representing a 16% increase. Unlike Capex, this sector is somewhat sheltered by stringent pipeline regulations and the need to continue operations. North America will see the greatest operations and maintenance expenditure - 37% of total Opex during the forecast - due to the region having the largest installed base. More than half of the $10.5bn Opex expenditure in North America will be associated with pipeline operation costs (covering routine expenditure associated with the day-to-day operation of the pipeline facility, including monitoring, routine pigging, and cleaning), due to ageing infrastructure and more stringent pipeline regulations, whilst a quarter of it will be linked to station costs.

The World Onshore Pipeline Market Forecast 2017-2021 presents a 'bottom-up' (pipeline-by-pipeline) analysis of the sector with extensive industry interviews to give a granular and realistic evaluation of current and expected activity in the sector. This report analyses the current pipelines under construction and planned using the DW in-house database and external sources, and has extrapolated future installations using regression analysis to accurately capture the onshore pipeline Capex and Opex markets.

The Report includes:

  • Regional forecasts - Capex and Opex within each region, including examples of notable projects and operators, as well as key countries within the region.
  • Key drivers - discussion of factors encouraging onshore pipeline market growth including oil & gas supply and demand, commodity prices, major challenges to installation activity, and the changing energy mix and move towards gas for power generation.
  • Supply chain - detailing key contractors regionally within FEED; line pipe; flow assurance, fittings & components; welding, integrity management, specialist providers (inspection, corrosion etc.), component manufacturers & suppliers, as well as key contractors within the O&M supply chain.
  • Key projects - for each region, detailing the developers, countries involved, product, length, diameter and capacity.
  • Capex cost breakdowns - individual market forecast for line pipe, right-of-way, fittings, stations and construction.
  • Opex cost breakdowns - individual market forecast for operations, integrity management, technical & land management support and stations.
  • Technical review - of the project process from pre-FEED, FEED through to engineering, procurement & construction (EPC) and operations & maintenance.

Why purchase the World Onshore Pipeline Market Forecast?

DW's market forecasting is trusted by sector players worldwide, with clients including the world's top-10 oil & gas companies, top-10 oilfield services companies and top-10 private equity firms.

An essential report for equipment manufacturers, onshore construction companies, steel mills, pipeline operators, oilfield service companies, government agencies, financial institutions and oil & gas companies who need quality, up-to-date information and commercial insight to assist with their strategy in the pipeline sector.

Our proven approach includes:

  • Unique and proprietary data - updated year-round from published sources and insight gained from industry consultation.
  • Detailed methodology - the report is drawn from DW's in-house database, as well as external sources, which enable the forecasts to be constructed on a project-by-project basis, taking into account factors such as progress to date, project size, location and other complications. Regression analysis has been used in order to provide an accurate representation of the market over the forecast period.
  • Comprehensive market forecasts - examination, analysis and 10-year coverage of expenditure.
  • Concise report layout - consistent with DW's commitment to delivering value for our clients, all our market forecasts have a concise layout consisting of industry background and supporting materials condensed to enable quick review with 'speed-read' summaries of key points throughout.

Table of Contents

1 Summary & Conclusions

  • Summary
  • Conclusions

2 Macro Drivers

  • Oil Demand: Near-Term Outlook
  • Oil Supply: Near-Term Outlook
  • Gas Demand and Supply: Near-Term Outlook
  • Consensus Oil & Gas Prices: Near-Term Outlook
  • The Changing Energy Mix: Long-Term Outlook
  • Challenges

3 Technical Review

  • Project Process
  • FEED: Overview
  • FEED: Route Selection
  • Limitations and Alternative Transport Methods

4 Supply Chain

  • CAPEX Supply Chain
  • Line Pipe Contractors
  • OPEX Supply Chain
  • Key Contractors

5 Market Outlook

  • Capex Methodology
  • Opex Methodology & Limitations
  • Global Market: Capex Outlook & Key Trends
  • Global Market: Opex Outlook & Key Trends
  • Africa: Capex Outlook & Key Trends
  • Africa: Opex Outlook & Key Trends
  • Asia: Capex Outlook & Key Trends
  • Asia: Opex Outlook & Key Trends
  • Australasia: Capex Outlook & Key Trends
  • Australasia: Opex Outlook & Key Trends
  • Eastern Europe & FSU: Capex Outlook & Key Trends
  • Eastern Europe & FSU: Opex Outlook & Key Trends
  • Latin America: Capex Outlook & Key Trends
  • Latin America: Opex Outlook & Key Trends
  • Middle East: Capex Outlook & Key Trends
  • Middle East: Opex Outlook & Key Trends
  • North America: Capex Outlook & Key Trends
  • North America: Opex Outlook & Key Trends
  • Western Europe: Capex Outlook & Key Trends
  • Western Europe: Opex Outlook & Key Trends

6 Major Project Overview

  • Africa: Key Pipelines
  • Asia: Key Pipelines
  • Australasia: Key Pipelines
  • Eastern Europe & FSU: Key Pipelines
  • Latin America: Key Pipelines
  • Middle East: Key Pipelines
  • North America: Key Pipelines
  • Western Europe: Key Pipelines

7 Appendix

  • Data and Text Conventions

Figures

  • Figure 1: Global Capital Expenditure and Additional km by Region, 2012-2021
  • Figure 2: Global Operational Expenditure by Region, 2012-2021
  • Figure 3: Oil Demand Growth CAGR Comparison 2014-2020
  • Figure 4: Regional Year-on-Year Production Increase by Year (2015-2018), December 2016
  • Figure 5: Gas Production Growth, 2015-2018, December 2016
  • Figure 6: Consensus Oil Price Forecast 2010-2020
  • Figure 7: Henry Hub Gas Price Consensus, 2010-2020
  • Figure 8: Energy Consumption Mix and Total (mmboe/d) 2015, 2025 & 2035
  • Figure 9: Percentage Change in Industrial Metals Prices (US$), 2012-2021
  • Figure 10: FEED Components
  • Figure 11: GIS Data Sample
  • Figure 12: GE PipeView Exchange Platform
  • Figure 13: Main Components of Pipeline Project Facilitation Tool
  • Figure 14: United States Interstate Natural Gas System Mainline Compressor Stations
  • Figure 15: Safe Operating Temperatures of 13 Chromium Stainless Steel
  • Figure 16: Limits for 13 Chromium in Sour Service Environment
  • Figure 17: External Corrosion Direct Assessment Flowchart (Part 1)
  • Figure 18: External Corrosion Direct Assessment Flowchart (Part 2)
  • Figure 19: Pipeline Components
  • Figure 20: Construction Process
  • Figure 21: GEOPIG
  • Figure 22: Onstream Combination
  • Inspection Tool
  • Figure 23: Alternative Transport Methods
  • Figure 24: Capex Supply Chain
  • Figure 25: Opex Supply Chain
  • Figure 26: Key Contractors
  • Figure 27: Global pipeline length installed annually.
  • Figure 28: Global Capital Expenditure and Additional km 2012-2021
  • Figure 29: Global Capital Expenditure Regional Split 2012-2016
  • Figure 30: Global Capital Expenditure Regional Split 2017-2021
  • Figure 31: Global Operational Expenditure 2012-2021
  • Figure 32: Global Installed Base km by Product 2012-2021
  • Figure 33: Africa Capital Expenditure and Additional km 2012-2021
  • Figure 34: Africa Additional km Diameter Split 2012-2016
  • Figure 35: Africa Additional km Diameter Split 2017-2021
  • Figure 36: Africa Operational Expenditure 2012-2021
  • Figure 37: Africa Installed Base km by Product 2012-2021
  • Figure 38: Asia Capital Expenditure and Additional km 2012-2021
  • Figure 39: Asia Additional km Diameter Split 2012-2016
  • Figure 40: Asia Additional km Diameter Split 2017-2021
  • Figure 41: Asia Operational Expenditure 2012-2021
  • Figure 42: Asia Installed Base km by Product 2012-2021
  • Figure 43: Australasia Capital Expenditure and Additional km 2012-2021
  • Figure 44: Australasia Additional km Diameter Split 2012-2016
  • Figure 45: Australasia Additional km Diameter Split 2017-2021
  • Figure 46: Australasia Operational Expenditure 2012-2021
  • Figure 47: Australasia Installed Base km by Product 2012-2021
  • Figure 48: Eastern Europe & FSU Capital Expenditure and Additional km 2012-2021
  • Figure 49: Eastern Europe & FSU Additional km Diameter Split 2012-2016
  • Figure 50: Eastern Europe & FSU Additional km Diameter Split 2017-2021
  • Figure 51: Eastern Europe & FSU Operational Expenditure 2012-2021
  • Figure 52: Eastern Europe & FSU Installed Base km by Product 2012-2021
  • Figure 53: Latin America Capital Expenditure and Additional km 2012-2021
  • Figure 54: Latin America Additional km Diameter Split 2012-2016
  • Figure 55: Latin America Additional km Diameter Split 2017-2021
  • Figure 56: Latin America Operational Expenditure 2012-2021
  • Figure 57: Latin America Installed Base km by Product 2012-2021
  • Figure 58: Middle East Capital Expenditure and Additional km 2012-2021.
  • Figure 59: Middle East Additional km Diameter Split 2012-2016
  • Figure 60: Middle East Additional km Diameter Split 2017-2021
  • Figure 61: Middle East Operational Expenditure 2012-2021
  • Figure 62: Middle East Installed Base km by Product 2012-2021
  • Figure 63: North America Capital Expenditure and Additional km 2012-2021
  • Figure 64: North America Additional km Diameter Split 2012-2016
  • Figure 65: North America Additional km Diameter Split 2017-2021
  • Figure 66: North America Operational Expenditure 2012-2021
  • Figure 67: North America Installed Base km by Product 2012-2021
  • Figure 68: Western Europe Capital Expenditure and Additional km 2012-2021
  • Figure 69: Western Europe Additional km Diameter Split 2012-2016
  • Figure 70: Western Europe Additional km Diameter Split 2017-2021
  • Figure 71: Western Europe Operational Expenditure 2012-2021
  • Figure 72: Western Europe Installed Base km by Product 2012-2021

Tables

  • Table 1: Geographic Information Systems Software Packages
  • Table 2: General Material Selection for Pipelines in oil & gas Industry
  • Table 3: Pipeline Materials and their Typical Limitations
  • Table 4: Materials for Process and Utility Use
  • Table 5: Guidelines for H2S Limits for Generic CRA Classes
  • Table 6: Corrosion Resistant Alloy Types
  • Table 7: Organisations governing Pipeline Materials and Relevant Codes & Standards.
  • Table 8: Structural Material Selection
  • Table 9: Common ASTM Steel Pipe Specifications
  • Table 10: Pipeline Control Systems
  • Table 11: Line Pipe Contractors
  • Table 12: DW Product Classification
  • Table 13: Global Capital Expenditure and Additional km 2015-2021
  • Table 14: Global Operational Expenditure 2015-2021
  • Table 15: Africa Capital Expenditure and Additional km 2015-2021
  • Table 16: Africa Operational Expenditure 2015-2021
  • Table 17: Asia Capital Expenditure and Additional km 2015-2021
  • Table 18: Asia Operational Expenditure 2015-2021
  • Table 19: Australasia Capital Expenditure and Additional km 2015-2021
  • Table 20: Australasia Operational Expenditure 2015-2021
  • Table 21: Eastern Europe & FSU Capital Expenditure and Additional km 2015-2021
  • Table 22: Eastern Europe & FSU Operational Expenditure 2015-2021
  • Table 23: Latin America Capital Expenditure and Additional km 2015-2021
  • Table 24: Latin America Operational Expenditure 2015-2021
  • Table 25: Middle East Capital Expenditure and Additional km 2015-2021
  • Table 26: Middle East Operational Expenditure 2015-2021
  • Table 27: North America Capital Expenditure and Additional km 2015-2021
  • Table 28: North America Operational Expenditure 2015-2021
  • Table 29: Western Europe Capital Expenditure and Additional km 2015-2021
  • Table 30: Western Europe Operational Expenditure 2015-2021
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