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市場調査レポート

世界のオンショアパイプライン市場

World Onshore Pipelines Market Forecast 2015-2019

発行 Douglas-Westwood 商品コード 133442
出版日 ページ情報 英文 74 Pages
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世界のオンショアパイプライン市場 World Onshore Pipelines Market Forecast 2015-2019
出版日: 2015年08月12日 ページ情報: 英文 74 Pages
概要

今後5年間の世界におけるオンショアパイプライン支出額は、過去5年間と比較して14%の増加となる2,200億米ドルに達する見込みで、距離にして30万9,000キロのパイプラインが設置されると予測されています。ガス化の拡大はパイプの長期的な需要を形成しています。世界のエネルギー需要は2010年から2040年にかけて35%増加すると予測されており、天然ガスは同期間内にエネルギー消費全体の65%を占める見込みです。

当レポートでは、世界のオンショアパイプライン市場について調査し、地域別の予測、市場の主要促進因子、サプライチェーン、主要プロジェクト、コスト分析および技術レビューなどをまとめています。

目次

第1章 サマリー&結論

第2章 マクロ促進因子

  • 人口とGDPの成長でエネルギー需要が増加
  • エネルギーミックス(電源構成)
  • 石油価格の不安定さ
  • 地域別の生産−消費バランス
  • 課題

第3章 技術レビュー

  • プロジェクトプロセス
  • FEED:概要
  • FEED:ルート選定
  • 制限&代替輸送手段

第4章 サプライチェーン

  • サプライチェーンマップ
  • 主要請負業者:FEED
  • ラインパイプ建築請負業者
  • 主要請負業者

第5章 市場展望

  • 調査手法&制限
  • 世界市場:展望&主要動向
  • アフリカ:展望&主要動向
  • アジア:展望&主要動向
  • オーストラレーシア:展望&主要動向
  • 東欧&FSU(旧ソ連):展望&主要動向
  • ラテンアメリカ:展望&主要動向
  • 中東:展望&主要動向
  • 北米:展望&主要動向
  • 西欧:展望&主要動向

第6章 主要プロジェクトの概要

  • アフリカ:主要パイプライン
  • アジア:主要パイプライン
  • オーストラレーシア:主要パイプライン
  • 東欧&FSU(旧ソ連):主要パイプライン
  • ラテンアメリカ:主要パイプライン
  • 中東:主要パイプライン
  • 北米:主要パイプライン
  • 西欧:主要パイプライン

第7章 付録

図表

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目次
Product Code: ISBN 978-1-910045-21-3

Stuck in the Pipeline - Project Delays Hit Industry Outlook

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Now in its 8th edition, the World Onshore Pipelines Market Forecast 2015-2019 from Douglas-Westwood, considers the prospects for the onshore pipelines construction business and values the future markets through to 2019 by key component, region, pipeline type and diameter.

A substantial fall in oil prices since July 2014 has negatively impacted the onshore pipeline market, although project delays are almost exclusively in North America. The pipeline market itself is well-cushioned from short-term commodity price fluctuations with projects typically responsive to long-term demand and supply trends, both within and between regions.

Douglas-Westwood (DW) expects onshore pipeline expenditure to grow modestly to $220bn between 2015 and 2019, an increase of 14% compared with $193bn over the preceding five-year period. An increasing volume of pipeline installations is expected in most regions, supported by continued product demand growth in both new and existing population centres, new and increasing hydrocarbon supply, and a shift in energy demand preferences towards gas.

North America and Asia remain the highest volume markets, together accounting for approximately 45% of global Capex. However, fastest growth is anticipated in the Middle East. In total DW expects almost 309,000km of line pipe to be installed. This represents an increase of 11% compared to the previous five-year period.

Key Trends

With an anticipated 35% increase in global energy demand between 2010 and 2040, natural gas is expected to significantly increase its share of the energy mix - growing by 65% over the same period. This trend, observable in our previous edition of this report, is progressing as expected, driven in large part by non-OECD demand growth and technology advancements, including in liquefied natural gas.

Investment in new infrastructure to support LNG and unconventional gas developments will be a major factor shaping future demand for pipelines. Outside the major oil province of the Middle East, gas pipelines accounted for 62% of km installed over the past five years with this figure expected to increase to 66% for the 2015-19 period.

We have seen lower steel prices and greater manufacturing capacity become available. Lower levels of near-term activity among tubular goods providers have released manufacturing capacity for line pipes. Lower than expected economic growth in Asia and reduced activity in North American unconventional production is expected to support this scenario in the short-term.

The Douglas-Westwood Approach

  • Industry consultation - discussions with a wide range of companies including: operators, EPC contractors, equipment manufacturers, engineering consultancies and private equity firms.
  • Unique and proprietary data - detailed by project in our in-house databases. Updated year-round from published sources and insight gained from industry consultation.
  • Methodology - our forecast is drawn from our in-house databases, which enables the forecasts to be established on a project-by-project basis; taking into account factors such as progress to date, project size, location and any other complications.
  • Market forecasts - by region, product (gas & liquid), diameter and key components (line pipe, right-of-way, fittings, pumping & compression stations and construction).

Key Themes

The Report covers all key commercial themes relevant to players across the value chain in the onshore pipeline sector:

  • Regional forecasts - Capex within each region, including examples of notable projects and operators within the region and countries with most activity.
  • Key drivers - discussion of factors encouraging onshore pipeline market growth including the energy needed for industrialisation in emerging economies, increase in population and GDP per capita, the surge in transportation demand and the move towards gas for power generation.
  • Supply chain - detailing key contractors regionally within FEED; line pipe; flow assurance, fittings & components; welding, operations & maintenance.
  • Key projects - for each region, detailing the developers, countries involved, product, length, diameter and capacity.
  • Cost breakdowns - individual market forecast for line pipe, right-of-way, fittings, pumping & compression stations and construction.
  • Technical review - of the project process from pre-FEED, FEED through to engineering, procurement & construction (EPC) and operations & maintenance.

Why purchase the World Onshore Pipeline Market Forecast?

The World Onshore Pipeline Market Forecast 2015-2019 is essential for equipment manufacturers, onshore construction companies, steel mills, pipeline operators, oilfield service companies, government agencies, financial institutions and oil & gas companies who need quality, up-to-date information and commercial insight to assist with their strategy in the pipeline sector.

Our forecasts of activity in the onshore pipelines sector over the period 2015-2019 are driven by thorough scrutiny of identified fields/prospects within the Douglas-Westwood oil and gas database.

Consistent with Douglas-Westwood's commitment to delivering value for our clients, all our market publications have a concise layout comprising industry background and supporting materials, condensed to enable quick review with 'speed-read' summaries of key points throughout.

Table of Contents

1 Summary & Conclusions

  • Summary
  • Conclusions

2 Macro Drivers

  • Population & GDP Growth Drive Energy Demand
  • The Energy Mix
  • Oil Price Volatility
  • Regional Production - Consumption Balances
  • Challenges

3 Technical Review

  • Project Process
  • FEED: Overview
  • FEED: Route Selection
  • Limitations and Alternative Transport Methods

4 Supply Chain

  • Supply Chain Map
  • Line Pipe Contractors
  • Key Contractors

5 Market Outlook

  • Methodology & Limitations
  • Global Market: Outlook & Key Trends
  • Africa: Outlook & Key Trends
  • Asia: Outlook & Key Trends
  • Australasia: Outlook & Key Trends
  • Eastern Europe & FSU: Outlook & Key Trends
  • Latin America: Outlook & Key Trends
  • Middle East: Outlook & Key Trends
  • North America: Outlook & Key Trends
  • Western Europe: Outlook & Key Trends

6 Major Project Overview

  • Africa: Key Pipelines
  • Africa: Key Pipelines
  • Asia: Key Pipelines
  • Asia: Key Pipelines
  • Australasia: Key Pipelines
  • Eastern Europe & FSU: Key Pipelines
  • Eastern Europe & FSU: Key Pipelines
  • Latin America: Key Pipelines
  • Latin America: Key Pipelines
  • Middle East: Key Pipelines
  • Middle East: Key Pipelines
  • North America: Key Pipelines
  • North America: Key Pipelines
  • Western Europe: Key Pipelines

7 Appendix

  • Data and Text Conventions

Figures

  • Figure 1: Global Expenditure 2010-2019
  • Figure 2: Global Kilometres Installed by Diameter Range Indexed to 2010
  • Figure 3: Global Market Outlook by Region 2015-2019
  • Figure 4: Global Population Growth & Energy Demand, 1965-2015
  • Figure 5: Historic Primary Energy Demand by Region
  • Figure 6: The Changing Energy Mix
  • Figure 7: World Liquids Production Growth, 2005-2014
  • Figure 8: Historical Brent and WTI Oil Prices, January 2007 - February 2015
  • Figure 9: Brent Annual Average Spot Price Forecasts, 2010 - 2020
  • Figure 10: Regional Balance in oil & gas by Region in 2010 and 2030 (mtoe)
  • Figure 11: US Steel Price, January 2004 - June 2015
  • Figure 12: FEED Components
  • Figure 13: GIS Data Sample
  • Figure 14: GE PipeView Exchange Platform
  • Figure 15: Main Components of Pipeline Project Facilitation Tool
  • Figure 16: United States Interstate Natural Gas System Mainline Compressor Stations
  • Figure 17: Safe Operating Temperatures of 13 Chromium Stainless Steel
  • Figure 18: Limits for 13 Chromium in Sour Service Environment
  • Figure 19: Corrosion Resistant Alloy Types
  • Figure 20: External Corrosion Direct Assessment Flowchart (Part 1)
  • Figure 21: External Corrosion Direct Assessment Flowchart (Part 2)
  • Figure 22: Pipeline Components
  • Figure 23: Construction Process
  • Figure 24: GEOPIG
  • Figure 25: Onstream Combination Inspection Tool.
  • Figure 26: Alternative Transport Methods
  • Figure 27: Onshore Pipelines Supply Chain
  • Figure 28: Global pipeline length installed annually.
  • Figure 29: Global Market Outlook by Capex and Length
  • Figure 30: Annual Installed Length by Product
  • Figure 31: Global Historic and Forecast Capex by Region
  • Figure 32: Market Outlook by Capex and Length in Africa
  • Figure 33: Annual Installed Length by Product in Africa
  • Figure 34: Africa Historic and Forecast Length by Diameter
  • Figure 35: Market Outlook by Capex and Length in Asia
  • Figure 36: Annual Installed Length by Product in Asia
  • Figure 37: Asia Historic and Forecast Length by Diameter
  • Figure 38: Market Outlook by Capex and Length in Australasia
  • Figure 39: Annual Installed Length by Product in Australasia
  • Figure 40: Australasia Historic and Forecast Length by Diameter
  • Figure 41: Market Outlook by Capex and Length in Eastern Europe & FSU
  • Figure 42: Annual Installed Length by Product in Eastern Europe & FSU
  • Figure 43: Eastern Europe & FSU Historic and Forecast Length by Diameter
  • Figure 44: Market Outlook by Capex and Length in Latin America
  • Figure 45: Annual Installed Length by Product in Latin America
  • Figure 46: Latin America Historic and Forecast Length by Diameter
  • Figure 47: Market Outlook by Capex and Length in Middle East
  • Figure 48: Annual Installed Length by Product in Middle East
  • Figure 49: Middle East Historic and Forecast Length by Diameter
  • Figure 50: Market Outlook by Capex and Length in North America
  • Figure 51: Annual Installed Length by Product in North America
  • Figure 52: North America Historic and Forecast Length by Diameter
  • Figure 53: Market Outlook by Capex and Length in Western Europe
  • Figure 54: Annual Installed Length by Product in Western Europe
  • Figure 55: Western Europe Historic and Forecast Length by Diameter

Tables

  • Table 1: Geographic Information Systems Software Packages
  • Table 2: General Material Selection for Pipelines in oil & gas Industry
  • Table 3: Pipeline Materials and their Typical Limitations
  • Table 4: Materials for Process and Utility Use
  • Table 5: Guidelines for H2S Limits for Generic CRA Classes
  • Table 6: Corrosion Resistant Alloy Types
  • Table 7: Organisations governing Pipeline Materials and Relevant Codes & Standards
  • Table 8: Structural Material Selection.
  • Table 9: Common ASTM Steel Pipe Specifications
  • Table 10: Pipeline Control Systems
  • Table 11: Line Pipe Contractors
  • Table 12: Key Contractors
  • Table 13: DW Product Classification
  • Table 14: Global Market Outlook by Capex and Length
  • Table 15: Africa Market Outlook by Capex and Length
  • Table 16: Asia Market Outlook by Capex and Length
  • Table 17: Australasia Market Outlook by Capex and Length
  • Table 18: Eastern Europe & FSU Market Outlook by Capex and Length
  • Table 19: Latin America Market Outlook by Capex and Length
  • Table 20: Middle East Market Outlook by Capex and Length
  • Table 21: North America Market Outlook by Capex and Length
  • Table 22: Western Europe Market Outlook by Capex and Length.
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