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オンショアパイプラインの世界市場:将来予想 (2019〜2023年)

World Onshore Pipelines Market Forecast 2019-2023

発行 Douglas-Westwood 商品コード 133442
出版日 ページ情報 英文 84 Pages
納期: 即日から翌営業日
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オンショアパイプラインの世界市場:将来予想 (2019〜2023年) World Onshore Pipelines Market Forecast 2019-2023
出版日: 2018年11月29日 ページ情報: 英文 84 Pages
概要

世界のオンショアパイプライン向け資本支出額 (CAPEX) は、2019〜2020年には14%増加するものの、予測期間全体 (2019〜2023年) ではマイナス2.4%のCAGR (複合年間成長率) となる見通しです。他方、運営支出額 (OPEX) を含めた総支出額は、予測期間全体で1803億米ドルに達する見込みで、これは過去の分析期間 (2014〜2018年) より21%の増加となっています。

当レポートでは、世界のオンショア (陸上) パイプライン市場における、今後のCAPEXおよびOPEXの動向見通しについて推計すると共に、地域別の詳細動向や、今後のパイプライン整備動向の見通し、主要技術のレビュー、サプライチェーン構造、代表的なパイプラインの情報といった情報を取りまとめてお届けいたします。

第1章 サマリーと結論

第2章 マクロ的な促進要因

  • 原油価格
  • 天然ガス価格
  • 石油供給量:短期的見通し
  • ガス需要量・供給量:短期的見通し
  • エネルギーミックスの変化
  • 課題

第3章 技術レビュー

  • プロジェクトのプロセス
  • FEED (front-end engineering and design)
    • 概要
    • ルート選択
    • パイプラインの計算
    • 主要材料
  • EPC (設計・調達・建設)
    • 主なコンポーネント
    • 建設プロセス
  • 運用・整備
    • 運用制御システム
    • ルーチン業務
    • 非常事態業務
  • 限界と代替輸送手段

第4章 サプライチェーン

  • CAPEX (資本支出) 関連のサプライチェーン
  • ラインパイプの請負敷設業者
  • OPEX (運営支出) 関連のサプライチェーン
  • 主な建設請負業者

第5章 市場の将来展望

  • CAPEX (資本支出額) の分析手法
  • OPEX (運営支出額) の分析手法と限界
  • 世界市場
    • CAPEXの動向見通しと主な傾向
    • OPEXの動向見通しと主な傾向
  • アフリカ市場
  • アジア市場
  • オーストラレーシア市場
  • 東欧・旧ソ連諸国 (FSU) 市場
  • ラテンアメリカ市場
  • 中東市場
  • 北米市場
  • 西欧市場

第6章 主要パイプラインの概要

  • アフリカ:主要パイプライン
  • アジア:主要パイプライン
  • オーストラレーシア:主要パイプライン
  • 東欧・旧ソ連諸国 (FSU):主要パイプライン
  • ラテンアメリカ:主要パイプライン
  • 中東:主要パイプライン
  • 北米:主要パイプライン
  • 西欧:主要パイプライン

第7章 付録

目次
Product Code: ISBN 978-1-910045-77-0

The ‘World Onshore Pipelines Market Forecast’ considers the prospects for the onshore pipelines construction business and values the future capital expenditure (Capex) and operating expenditure (Opex) markets through to 2023.

Large Projects to Contribute to Rising Installation Activity in the Near-Term, with the Market Remaining Resilient over the Forecast Period

Global installation activity and expenditure for onshore pipelines in the near-term is expected to be bolstered by a number of large pipelines in Africa, Asia, and Eastern Europe & FSU, as detailed in the latest edition of Westwood's ‘World Onshore Pipelines Market Forecast’. Additional capacity in the near-term will also come from projects designed to alleviate bottlenecks in takeaway capacity in the Permian basin in the US. A decline in activity is expected post-2020, with some pipelines having experienced delays and cancellations since the release of the previous edition of the report, including the Trans Mountain Expansion pipeline in Canada and the Djibouti-Dire Dawa-Awash (Horn of Africa) from Djibouti to Ethiopia. Despite this trend, Westwood expects the market to remain resilient, relative to the previous five-year period, with total forecast expenditure expected to increase by 21% compared to 2014-2018, with key project announcements in 2017-2018 having resulted in an uptick in forecast expenditure for regions such as Australasia.

Global Onshore Pipeline Expenditure and Additional km, 2014-2023

The report includes regional capital and operational expenditure forecasts, including examples of key countries and projects driving installation activity and expenditure within each region. The regional forecasts for capital expenditure are provided for line pipe, right of way, fittings, stations, and construction, with operational expenditure being split in terms of operations-related expenditure, integrity management, technical and land management support, and stations. The report also provides a comprehensive technical overview of the project development process, from front-end engineering and design (FEED) through to engineering, procurement, construction (EPC), and operations and maintenance. It is therefore an essential tool for companies operating across the supply chain, from steel mills and original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) to pipeline operators and integrity service providers.

  • Despite a 14% rise in 2019-2020, global capital expenditure is forecast to decline at a 2.4% CAGR over 2019-2023.
  • Total expenditure over 2019-2023 is expected to amount to $180.3bn, representing a 21% increase when compared to the total for the 2014-2018 period.
  • North America has historically accounted for the largest proportion of the market, representing 42% of global expenditure over 2014-2018. Westwood expects this to continue over the next five years, albeit with a reduced share of 35%.
  • Asia is expected to see the largest increase in total capital expenditure for 2019-2023, when compared to the total for the previous five years. Overall spending in the region over 2019-2023 is expected to rise by 76% compared to the total for 2014-2018.

Westwood expects a 12% increase in additional kilometres installed in the near-term (2019-2020) to be supported by a number of key projects currently under construction, including the 1,400km Hoima to Tanga crude oil pipeline from Uganda to Tanzania and the 4,000km Power of Siberia pipeline from Russia to China. Additional capacity in North America is also expected to come from projects designed to alleviate the bottlenecks in takeaway capacity in the Permian basin in the US, including the Cactus II and EPIC pipelines. Additional projects such as the African Renaissance Project (ARP) pipeline from Mozambique to South Africa and the planned Eagle Spirit pipeline in Canada are also expected to contribute to expenditure towards the end of the forecast.

Table of Contents

1. Summary & Conclusions

  • Summary & Conclusions

2. Macro Drivers

  • Consensus Oil Price
  • Consensus Gas Price
  • Oil Supply: Near-Term Outlook
  • Gas Demand and Supply: Near-Term Outlook
  • Changing Energy Mix
  • Challenges

3. Technical Review

  • Project Process
  • FEED: Overview
  • FEED: Route Selection
  • FEED: Route Selection
  • FEED: Pipeline Calculations
  • FEED: Key Materials - Selection Criteria
  • FEED: Key Materials - Coatings and Corrosion Assessment
  • FEED: Key Materials - Corrosion Resistant Alloys
  • FEED: Key Materials - Qualification and Assessment
  • FEED: Key Materials - Standards and Specifications
  • EPC: Key Components - Overview
  • EPC: Key Components - Westwood Capex
  • EPC: Construction Process
  • Operations & Maintenance: Operational Control Systems
  • Operations & Maintenance: Routine Operations Procedures
  • Operations & Maintenance: Routine Integrity Management Procedures
  • Operations & Maintenance: Abnormal & Emergency Operations Procedures
  • Limitations and Alternative Transport Methods

4. Supply Chain

  • Capex Supply Chain
  • Line Pipe Contractors
  • OPEX Supply Chain
  • Key Contractors

5. Market Outlook

  • Capex Methodology
  • Opex Methodology & Limitations
  • Global Market: Capex Outlook & Key Trends
  • Africa: Capex Outlook & Key Trends
  • Africa: Opex Outlook & Key Trends
  • Asia: Capex Outlook & Key Trends
  • Asia: Opex Outlook & Key Trends
  • Australasia: Capex Outlook & Key Trends
  • Australasia: Opex Outlook & Key Trends
  • Eastern Europe & FSU: Capex Outlook & Key Trends
  • Eastern Europe & FSU: Opex Outlook & Key Trends
  • Latin America: Capex Outlook & Key Trends
  • Latin America: Opex Outlook & Key Trends
  • Middle East: Capex Outlook & Key Trends
  • Middle East: Opex Outlook & Key Trends
  • North America: Capex Outlook & Key Trends
  • North America: Opex Outlook & Key Trends
  • Western Europe: Capex Outlook & Key Trends
  • Western Europe: Opex Outlook & Key Trends

6. Major Project Overview

  • Africa: Key Pipelines
  • Asia: Key Pipelines
  • Australasia: Key Pipelines
  • Eastern Europe & FSU: Key Pipelines
  • Latin America: Key Pipelines
  • Middle East: Key Pipelines
  • North America: Key Pipelines
  • Western Europe: Key Pipelines

7. Appendix

Figures

  • Figure 1: Global Capital Expenditure and Additional km by Region, 2014-2023
  • Figure 2: Global Operational Expenditure by Region, 2014-2023
  • Figure 3: Consensus Oil Price Forecast 2014-2024*
  • Figure 4: Henry Hub Gas Price Consensus 2014-2024*
  • Figure 5: Oil Production Growth, 2019-2023
  • Figure 6: Gas Production Growth, 2019-2023
  • Figure 7: Final Energy Consumption by Fuel, 1970-2040
  • Figure 8: Final Energy Consumption by Scenario 2016 vs 2040
  • Figure 9: Percentage Change in Industrial Metals Prices (US$), 2014-2022
  • Figure 10: FEED Components
  • Figure 11: GIS Data Sample
  • Figure 12: GE PipeView Exchange Platform
  • Figure 13: Main Components of Pipeline Project Facilitation Tool
  • Figure 14: US Interstate Natural Gas System Mainline Compressor Stations
  • Figure 15: Safe Operating Temperatures of 13 Chromium Stainless Steel
  • Figure 16: Limits for 13 Chromium in Sour Service Environment
  • Figure 17: External Corrosion Direct Assessment Flowchart (Part 1)
  • Figure 18: External Corrosion Direct Assessment Flowchart (Part 2)
  • Figure 19: Pipeline Components
  • Figure 20: Construction Process
  • Figure 21: GEOPIG
  • Figure 22: Inspection Tool
  • Figure 23: Alternative Transport Methods
  • Figure 24: Capex Supply Chain
  • Figure 25: Key Contractors
  • Figure 26: Global Additional Km 2014-2023
  • Figure 27: Global Capital Expenditure and Additional km 2014-2023
  • Figure 28: Global Capital Expenditure Regional Split 2014-2018
  • Figure 29: Global Capital Expenditure Regional Split 2019-2023
  • Figure 30: Global Operational Expenditure 2014-2023
  • Figure 31: Global Installed Base km by Product 2014-2023
  • Figure 32: Africa Capital Expenditure and Additional km 2014-2023
  • Figure 33: Africa Additional km Diameter Split 2014-2018
  • Figure 34: Africa Additional km Diameter Split 2019-2023
  • Figure 35: Africa Operational Expenditure 2014-2023
  • Figure 36: Africa Installed Base km by Product 2014-2023
  • Figure 37: Asia Capital Expenditure and Additional km 2014-2023
  • Figure 38: Asia Additional km Diameter Split 2014-2018
  • Figure 39: Asia Additional km Diameter Split 2019-2023
  • Figure 40: Asia Operational Expenditure 2014-2023
  • Figure 41: Asia Installed Base km by Product 2014-2023
  • Figure 42: Australasia Capital Expenditure and Additional km 2014-2023
  • Figure 43: Australasia Additional km Diameter Split 2014-2018
  • Figure 44: Australasia Additional km Diameter Split 2019-2023
  • Figure 45: Australasia Operational Expenditure 2014-2023
  • Figure 46: Australasia Installed Base km by Product 2014-2023
  • Figure 47: Eastern Europe & FSU Capital Expenditure and Additional km 2014-23
  • Figure 48: Eastern Europe & FSU Additional km Diameter Split 2014-2018
  • Figure 49: Eastern Europe & FSU Additional km Diameter Split 2019-2023
  • Figure 50: Eastern Europe & FSU Operational Expenditure 2014-2023
  • Figure 51: Eastern Europe & FSU Installed Base km by Product 2014-2023
  • Figure 52: Latin America Capital Expenditure and Additional km 2014-2023
  • Figure 53: Latin America Additional km Diameter Split 2014-2018
  • Figure 54: Latin America Additional km Diameter Split 2019-2023
  • Figure 55: Latin America Operational Expenditure 2014-2023
  • Figure 56: Latin America Installed Base km by Product 2014-2023
  • Figure 57: Middle East Capital Expenditure and Additional km 2014-2023
  • Figure 58: Middle East Additional km Diameter Split 2014-2018
  • Figure 59: Middle East Additional km Diameter Split 2019-2023
  • Figure 60: Middle East Operational Expenditure 2014-2023
  • Figure 61: Middle East Installed Base km by Product 2014-2023
  • Figure 62: North America Capital Expenditure and Additional km 2014-2023
  • Figure 63: North America Additional km Diameter Split 2014-2018
  • Figure 64: North America Additional km Diameter Split 2019-2023
  • Figure 65: North America Operational Expenditure 2014-2023
  • Figure 66: North America Installed Base km by Product 2014-2023
  • Figure 67: Western Europe Capital Expenditure and Additional km 2014-2023
  • Figure 68: Western Europe Additional km Diameter Split 2014-2018
  • Figure 69: Western Europe Additional km Diameter Split 2019-2023
  • Figure 70: Western Europe Operational Expenditure 2014-2023
  • Figure 71: Western Europe Installed Base km by Product 2014-2023

Tables

  • Table 1: Geographic Information Systems Software Packages
  • Table 2: General Material Selection for Pipelines in oil & gas Industry
  • Table 3: Pipeline Materials and their Typical Limitations
  • Table 4: Materials for Process and Utility Use
  • Table 5: Guidelines for H2S Limits for Generic CRA Classes
  • Table 6: Corrosion Resistant Alloy Types
  • Table 7: Pipeline Materials and their Typical Limitations
  • Table 8: Structural Material Selection.
  • Table 9: Common ASTM Steel Pipe Specifications
  • Table 10: Common ASTM Steel Pipe Specifications
  • Table 11: Line Pipe Contractors
  • Table 12: Opex Supply Chain
  • Table 13: Westwood Product Classification
  • Table 14: Global Capital Expenditure 2017-2023
  • Table 15: Global Additional Pipeline km 2017-2023
  • Table 16: Global Operational Expenditure 2017-2023
  • Table 17: Africa Capital Expenditure 2017-2023
  • Table 18: Africa Additional Pipeline km 2017-2023
  • Table 19: Africa Operational Expenditure 2017-2023
  • Table 20: Asia Capital Expenditure 2017-2023
  • Table 21: Asia Additional Pipeline km 2017-2023
  • Table 22: Asia Operational Expenditure 2017-2023
  • Table 23: Australasia Capital Expenditure 2017-2023
  • Table 24: Australasia Additional Pipeline km 2017-2023
  • Table 25: Australasia Operational Expenditure 2017-2023
  • Table 26: Eastern Europe & FSU Capital Expenditure 2017-2023
  • Table 27: Eastern Europe & FSU Additional Pipeline km 2017-2023
  • Table 28: Eastern Europe & FSU Operational Expenditure 2017-2023
  • Table 29: Latin America Capital Expenditure 2017-2023
  • Table 30: Latin America Additional Pipeline km 2017-2023
  • Table 31: Latin America Operational Expenditure 2017-2023
  • Table 32: Middle East Capital Expenditure 2017-2023
  • Table 33: Middle East Additional Pipeline km 2017-2023
  • Table 34: Middle East Operational Expenditure 2017-2023
  • Table 35: North America Capital Expenditure 2017-2023
  • Table 36: North America Additional Pipeline km 2017-2023
  • Table 37: North America Operational Expenditure 2017-2023
  • Table 38: Western Europe Capital Expenditure 2017-2023
  • Table 39: Western Europe Additional Pipeline km 2017-2023
  • Table 40: Western Europe Operational Expenditure 2017-2023
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