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高輝度LED市場の動向・予測 (2015年)

High-brightness LED market trends and forecast, 2015

発行 Digitimes Inc. 商品コード 329619
出版日 ページ情報 英文 39 Pages
納期: 即日から翌営業日
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本日の銀行送金レート: 1USD=115.27円で換算しております。
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高輝度LED市場の動向・予測 (2015年) High-brightness LED market trends and forecast, 2015
出版日: 2015年03月16日 ページ情報: 英文 39 Pages
概要

2015年の世界の高輝度(HB) LED産業は、生産規模で見ると7.5%の年間成長率で137億ドルの規模に達すると予測されています。また利用LEDの総数では、32.6%の年間成長率で1860億ユニットに達する見通しです。用途別では照明用途の年間成長率がもっとも高く、65%に達すると予測されています。

当レポートでは、世界の高輝度LEDの市場について調査し、出荷数の推移と予測、用途別の内訳、MOCVDの生産能力とその予測、LED照明市場のタイプ・地域別の推移と予測などをまとめています。

高輝度LED市場の概要

  • 予測・分析
    • チャート:世界のHB LED市場の推移と予測
    • チャート:世界のHB LED出荷数の推移と予測
  • 用途別の分析・予測
    • チャート:照明用途別のシェアの推移と予測
    • 表:TV LED バックライトアーキテクチャ開発の動向
    • チャート:HB LEDの用途別の出荷数の推移と予測
    • 表:HB LED出荷数の用途別の推移と予測への影響因子、など
  • HB LED出荷数の変化
    • チャート:出荷数の年間成長率の推移と予測
    • チャート:HB LED出荷数の用途別シェアの推移と予測、など
  • ■MOCVDの生産能力の予測
  • 世界のMOCVD機器の需要の推移と予測
    • チャート:世界のMOCVD機器の出荷数の推移と予測
    • 中国本土の主要LEDベンダーとMOCVD機器の設備容量拡張計画
    • チャート:中国のLEDベンダーによるMOCVD機器の新規購入のシェア
    • アジアで新たに追加される設備生産能力
    • チャート:MOCVD機器の地域別需要予測
    • チャート:MOCVD機器需要の地域別シェア
    • チャート:新しいMOCVD機器における中国のシェア
    • チャート:Veeco・Aixtron:アジアによる収益の割合の推移と予測、など
  • MOCVDの設備生産能力全体の推移と予測
    • チャート:世界のMOCVD機器の所有状況:地域別
    • チャート:世界のMOCVD機器の所有の地域別シェア
    • チャート:導入済みの世界のMOCVD機器:地域別
    • チャート:Share of 導入済みの世界のMOCVD機器の地域別シェア、など

LED照明市場の予測

  • LED電球市場の規模
    • チャート:60W相当LED電球の平均発光効率の推移と予測
    • チャート:60W相当LED電球の効率別分布の推移と予測
    • チャート:世界の地域別人口分布
    • チャート:世界の主要地域の一人あたりのGDP実績
    • チャート:世界のLED電球出荷数の推移と予測
    • チャート:世界のLED電球の普及率の推移と予測、など
  • LED蛍光灯市場
    • チャート:商用ハイエンドLED蛍光灯の発光効率の推移と予測
    • チャート:4ft T8 LED蛍光灯の平均価格の推移と予測
    • チャート:世界のLED蛍光灯需要の推移と予測
    • チャート:世界のLED蛍光灯の普及率の推移と予測、など
  • LEDスポットライト市場
    • チャート:世界のLEDスポットライト需要の推移と予測
    • チャート:世界のLEDスポットライトの普及率の推移と予測
  • LED街灯市場
    • 表:LED街灯の導入率の概要:地域別
    • チャート:世界のLED街灯出荷数の推移と予測
  • LED照明市場全体の規模
    • チャート:世界のLED照明市場の規模と普及率の推移と予測

LED照明の予測

  • LED照明の成長累進因子
    • 日本の市場
    • チャート:日本のLED照明市場の規模と普及率の推移・予測
    • 米国のLED照明市場
    • チャート:米国のLED照明市場の規模と普及率の推移・予測
    • 欧州のLED照明市場
    • チャート:欧州のLED照明市場の規模と普及率の推移・予測
    • 中国のLED照明市場
    • チャート:中国のLED照明市場の規模と普及率の推移・予測
    • ロシアのLED照明市場
    • チャート:ロシアのLED照明市場の規模と普及率の推移・予測
    • インドのLED照明市場
    • チャート:インドのLED照明市場の規模と普及率の推移・予測
  • LED照明市場の成長動向:地域別
    • チャート:LED照明市場の推移と予測:地域別
    • チャート:LED照明市場の成長率の推移と予測:地域別
    • チャート:世界のLED照明市場の地域別シェアの推移と予測
    • チャート:LED照明市場の地域別シェアの変化の推移と予測
目次

Digitimes Research forecasts that in 2015, the global high-brightness (HB) LED industry will have annual growth of 7.5% in terms of output, reaching US$13.7 billion. The total number of LEDs used will reach 186 billion units, representing annual growth of 32.6%, out of which lighting applications will have the highest annual growth rate in terms of usage, reaching 65%.

From the perspective of LED usage distribution, in 2015, lighting applications will account for up to 49.3% of LED usage, representing growth of 9.9 percentage points (pp) compared to 2014. Of the LEDs used in lighting applications 37.4% will be used for public LED tubes. Furthermore, the prices for LED light bulbs will drop, and these types of light sources will account for 32.5% of the LEDs used in lighting applications.

LED light source categories whose usage rates will decline due to drops in end-user device demand in 2015 include tablets, notebooks, and monitors. Due to the effects of large-screen mobile phones as well as consumers allocating budgets to buying smartwatches, it is forecast that in 2015, the amount of LEDs used for tablets will see an annual decline of 9.8%, making it the application category of backlit LED displays with the largest decline.

In response to increased demand for LEDs in 2015, upstream equipment vendors also have plans to expand production capacity, out of which China-based LED chip vendors are being the most aggressive. Based on LED epitaxy plant expansion plans for 2015, Digitimes Research calculates that global shipments of LED MOCVD equipment in 2015 will reach 252 units, growing by 10.5% compared to the 228 units shipped in 2014, with the highest demand coming from China-based vendors, accounting for 73.8% of global demand (higher than the 63% of 2014). The primary reason for this is because the China government is continuing to provide subsidiaries in 2015 and because many vendors are turning to the China's supply chain to purchase LED components for low-price lighting products.

Table of Contents

High brightness LED market overview

  • Forecast and analysis for 2015
    • Chart 1: Global HB LED market, 2009-2015 (US$m)
    • Chart 2: Global HB LED shipments, 2009-2015 (m units)
  • 2015 analysis by application
    • Chart 3: LED shipment share by lighting application, 2014-2015
    • Table 1: TV LED backlight architecture development trends, 2015
    • Chart 4: HB LED shipments by application, 2013-2015 (m units)
    • Chart 5: Shipment changes by HB LED application, 2014-2015
    • Table 2: Factors for changes in shipment volumes of HB LEDs by application, 2014-2015
  • Shifts in HB LED shipment volumes for 2015
    • Chart 6: Changes in annual shipment growth rates, 2014-2015
    • Chart 7: Shipment share for HB LEDs by application, 2014-2015
    • Chart 8: Shipment share changes for HB LEDs, by application, 2014-2015
    • Chart 9: Shipment share for HB LEDs by application, 2009-2015

MOCVD capacity for 2015

  • Global MOCVD equipment demand, 2006-2015
    • Chart 10: Global MOCVD equipment shipments, 2006-2015
    • MOCVD equipment capacity expansion plans for Mainland China's primary LED vendors for 2015
    • Chart 11: MOCVD capacity expansion for China's main LED vendors in 2015 (units)
    • Chart 12: Forecast share of new MOCVD equipment purchased by China LED vendors in 2015
    • Newly added production capacity in Asia in 2015
    • Chart 13: Demand forecast for MOCVD equipment by region, 2015
    • Chart 14: MOCVD equipment demand share by region, 2015
    • Chart 15: China share of new MOCVD equipment, 2011-2015
    • Chart 16: Asia revenue proportion for Veeco and Aixtron, 2012-2014
  • Changes in overall installed MOCVD capacity, 2014-2015
    • Chart 17: Global MOCVD equipment ownership by region, 2014
    • Chart 18: Global MOCVD ownership share by region, 2014
    • Chart 19: Installed global MOCVD equipment by region, 2015
    • Chart 20: Share of installed global MOCVD equipment by region, 2015
    • Chart 21: Changes in share of installed global MOCVD equipment by region, 2014-2015

LED lighting market in 2015

  • Size of LED light bulb market
    • Chart 22: Average luminous efficacy for 60W-equivalent LED light bulbs, 2013-2015 (lm/W)
    • Chart 23: 60W-equivalent LED light bulb distribution by efficiency, 2012-2015 (lm/W)
    • Chart 24: Global brand LED light bulbs, lumens-per-unit price, 2012-2015 (lm/US$)
    • Chart 25: Global population distribution by region, (Total of 7.06 billion)
    • Chart 26: GDP per capita of six most populous global regions, 2013 (US$)
    • Chart 27: Global LED light bulb shipments, 2011-2015 (m units)
    • Chart 28: Global LED light bulb market penetration rate, 2011-2015
  • LED tube light market
    • Chart 29: Luminous efficacy for commercial high-end LED tube lights, 2013-2016 (lm/W)
    • Chart 30: Average pricing for 4-foot T8 LED tube lights, 2011-2015 (US$)
    • Chart 31: Global LED tube light market demand, 2011-2015 (m units)
    • Chart 32: Global LED tube light market penetration rate, 2011-2015
  • LED spotlight market
    • Chart 33: Global LED spotlight market demand, 2011-2015 (m units)
    • Chart 34: Global LED spotlight market penetration rate, 2011-2015
  • LED street light market
    • Table 3: Overview of LED street light adoption rates by global region
    • Chart 35: Global LED street light shipments, 2011-2015 (k units)
  • Scale of overall LED lighting market
    • Chart 36: Global LED lighting market and penetration rates, 2009-2015 (m units)

2015 LED lighting forecast

  • LED lighting growth drivers
    • Japan LED lighting market
    • Chart 37: Japan LED lighting market scale and penetration rate, 2012-2015 (US$m)
    • US LED lighting market
    • Chart 38: US LED lighting market scale and penetration rate, 2012-2015 (US$m)
    • Europe LED lighting market
    • Chart 39: Europe LED lighting market scale and penetration rate, 2012-2015 (US$m)
    • China LED lighting market
    • Chart 40: China LED lighting market scale and penetration rate, 2012-2015 (US$m)
    • Russia LED lighting market
    • Chart 41: Russia LED lighting market scale and penetration rate, 2012-2015 (US$m)
    • India LED lighting market
    • Chart 42: India LED lighting market scale and penetration rate, 2012-2015 (US$m)
  • LED lighting market growth trends by region
    • Chart 43: LED lighting market by region, 2013-2015 (US$m)
    • Chart 44: LED lighting market growth by region, 2014-2015
    • Chart 45: Global LED lighting market share by region, 2013-2015
    • Chart 46: Changes in LED lighting market share by region, 2014-2015
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